Ontario

Historique récent | Kitchener—Conestoga


2018 2022 2025 Projection PC 43% ± 9% 39,6% 40,0% 41,5% PLO 29% ± 8% 14,1% 17,5% 29,5% NPD 18% ± 7% 38,0% 28,9% 18,5% PVO 5% ± 3% 6,5% 6,2% 5,5% PNBO 3% ± 2% 0,0% 5,9% 2,8% PON 2% ± 2% 0,0% 1,3% 2,2%

Infolettre Qc125

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Drapeau de l’Ontario

Projection Qc125 Kitchener—Conestoga

Mise à jour : 18 février 2026

Kitchener—Conestoga 34% 52% 43% ± 9% PC 20% 37% 29% ± 8% PLO 11% 25% 18% ± 7% NPD 2% 9% 5% ± 3% PVO PC 2025 41,54% Projection du vote | 18 février 2026
Note méthodologique. Cette projection est calculée à l'aide d'un modèle principalement proportionnel, ajusté à l'aide de sondages provinciaux et régionaux réalisés par des sondeurs professionnels. Il ne s'agit pas d'un sondage, mais d'une projection basée sur des sondages. Pour en savoir plus sur la méthodologie de Qc125, cliquez ici.
50% 100% Kitchener—Conestoga >99% PC <1% PLO <1% NPD Probabilités de victoire | 18 février 2026
Note méthodologique. Ces chances de victoire sont celles si une élection générale avait lieu aujourd'hui. Elles sont calculées par le modèle avec des simulations de type Monte Carlo..


Projection du vote | Kitchener—Conestoga

PLO 29% ± 8% PC 43% ± 9% NPD 18% ± 7% PVO 5% ± 3% Projection du vote % | Kitchener—Conestoga 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-03-01 2026-05-01 2026-07-01 Élection 2025 PLO PC NPD PVO 18 février 2026 2025-01-27 PC 41% NPD 25% PLO 21% PVO 9% 2025-01-27 2025-01-29 PC 41% NPD 24% PLO 21% PVO 10% 2025-01-29 2025-01-31 PC 44% NPD 24% PLO 20% PVO 9% 2025-01-31 2025-02-02 PC 44% NPD 24% PLO 20% PVO 9% 2025-02-02 2025-02-03 PC 44% NPD 24% PLO 21% PVO 9% 2025-02-03 2025-02-04 PC 44% NPD 22% PLO 21% PVO 9% 2025-02-04 2025-02-05 PC 44% NPD 22% PLO 21% PVO 9% 2025-02-05 2025-02-06 PC 45% NPD 22% PLO 21% PVO 9% 2025-02-06 2025-02-07 PC 45% NPD 22% PLO 21% PVO 9% 2025-02-07 2025-02-08 PC 45% NPD 22% PLO 21% PVO 9% 2025-02-08 2025-02-09 PC 45% NPD 22% PLO 21% PVO 9% 2025-02-09 2025-02-10 PC 45% NPD 22% PLO 21% PVO 9% 2025-02-10 2025-02-11 PC 45% PLO 21% NPD 21% PVO 9% 2025-02-11 2025-02-12 PC 45% PLO 22% NPD 20% PVO 9% 2025-02-12 2025-02-13 PC 46% PLO 22% NPD 20% PVO 9% 2025-02-13 2025-02-14 PC 46% PLO 22% NPD 20% PVO 9% 2025-02-14 2025-02-15 PC 46% PLO 22% NPD 20% PVO 9% 2025-02-15 2025-02-16 PC 46% PLO 22% NPD 20% PVO 9% 2025-02-16 2025-02-17 PC 45% PLO 23% NPD 20% PVO 9% 2025-02-17 2025-02-18 PC 45% PLO 23% NPD 20% PVO 9% 2025-02-18 2025-02-19 PC 46% PLO 22% NPD 20% PVO 9% 2025-02-19 2025-02-20 PC 46% PLO 22% NPD 20% PVO 9% 2025-02-20 2025-02-21 PC 46% PLO 22% NPD 20% PVO 9% 2025-02-21 2025-02-22 PC 46% PLO 22% NPD 20% PVO 9% 2025-02-22 2025-02-23 PC 46% PLO 22% NPD 20% PVO 9% 2025-02-23 2025-02-24 PC 46% PLO 22% NPD 20% PVO 9% 2025-02-24 2025-02-25 PC 46% PLO 22% NPD 20% PVO 9% 2025-02-25 2025-02-26 PC 47% PLO 22% NPD 19% PVO 9% 2025-02-26 2025-02-27 PC 47% PLO 22% NPD 19% PVO 9% 2025-02-27 2025-02-28 PC 42% PLO 29% NPD 19% PVO 5% 2025-02-28 2025-06-07 PC 42% PLO 29% NPD 18% PVO 5% 2025-06-07 2025-06-27 PC 42% PLO 30% NPD 18% PVO 5% 2025-06-27 2025-07-27 PC 43% PLO 29% NPD 18% PVO 5% 2025-07-27 2025-08-31 PC 47% PLO 28% NPD 15% PVO 5% 2025-08-31 2025-10-21 PC 46% PLO 29% NPD 15% PVO 5% 2025-10-21 2025-11-23 PC 45% PLO 28% NPD 16% PVO 5% 2025-11-23 2025-12-20 PC 44% PLO 28% NPD 18% PVO 5% 2025-12-20 2026-01-25 PC 44% PLO 28% NPD 18% PVO 5% 2026-01-25 2026-02-18 PC 43% PLO 29% NPD 18% PVO 5% 2026-02-18

Probabilités de victoire | Kitchener—Conestoga

PLO <1% PC >99% NPD <1% Probabilité de victoire 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-03-01 2026-05-01 2026-07-01 Élection 2025 PLO PC NPD 18 février 2026 2025-01-27 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-01-27 2025-01-29 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-01-29 2025-01-31 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-01-31 2025-02-02 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-02 2025-02-03 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-03 2025-02-04 PC >99% PLO <1% NPD <1% 2025-02-04 2025-02-05 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-05 2025-02-06 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-06 2025-02-07 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-07 2025-02-08 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-08 2025-02-09 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-09 2025-02-10 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-10 2025-02-11 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-11 2025-02-12 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-12 2025-02-13 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-13 2025-02-14 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-14 2025-02-15 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-15 2025-02-16 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-16 2025-02-17 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-17 2025-02-18 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-18 2025-02-19 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-19 2025-02-20 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-20 2025-02-21 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-21 2025-02-22 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-22 2025-02-23 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-23 2025-02-24 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-24 2025-02-25 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-25 2025-02-26 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-26 2025-02-27 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-27 2025-02-28 PC >99% PLO <1% NPD <1% 2025-02-28 2025-06-07 PC 99% PLO 1% NPD <1% 2025-06-07 2025-06-27 PC 99% PLO 1% NPD <1% 2025-06-27 2025-07-27 PC 99% PLO 1% NPD <1% 2025-07-27 2025-08-31 PC >99% PLO <1% NPD <1% 2025-08-31 2025-10-21 PC >99% PLO <1% NPD <1% 2025-10-21 2025-11-23 PC >99% PLO <1% NPD <1% 2025-11-23 2025-12-20 PC >99% PLO <1% NPD <1% 2025-12-20 2026-01-25 PC >99% PLO <1% NPD <1% 2026-01-25 2026-02-18 PC >99% PLO <1% NPD <1% 2026-02-18