Ontario

Historique récent | Bruce—Grey—Owen Sound


2018 2022 2025 Projection PC 46% ± 9% 54,7% 48,6% 44,1% PLO 29% ± 8% 12,3% 20,3% 29,4% PVO 12% ± 5% 6,0% 8,8% 12,5% NPD 8% ± 4% 24,1% 13,9% 7,9% PNBO 2% ± 2% 0,0% 2,7% 2,0%

Infolettre Qc125

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Drapeau de l’Ontario

Projection Qc125 Bruce—Grey—Owen Sound

Mise à jour : 18 février 2026

Bruce—Grey—Owen Sound 37% 55% 46% ± 9% PC 20% 37% 29% ± 8% PLO 7% 17% 12% ± 5% PVO 4% 11% 8% ± 4% NPD PC 2025 44,14% Projection du vote | 18 février 2026
Note méthodologique. Cette projection est calculée à l'aide d'un modèle principalement proportionnel, ajusté à l'aide de sondages provinciaux et régionaux réalisés par des sondeurs professionnels. Il ne s'agit pas d'un sondage, mais d'une projection basée sur des sondages. Pour en savoir plus sur la méthodologie de Qc125, cliquez ici.
50% 100% Bruce—Grey—Owen Sound >99% PC <1% PLO <1% PVO Probabilités de victoire | 18 février 2026
Note méthodologique. Ces chances de victoire sont celles si une élection générale avait lieu aujourd'hui. Elles sont calculées par le modèle avec des simulations de type Monte Carlo..


Projection du vote | Bruce—Grey—Owen Sound

PLO 29% ± 8% PC 46% ± 9% NPD 8% ± 4% PVO 12% ± 5% Projection du vote % | Bruce—Grey—Owen Sound 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-03-01 2026-05-01 2026-07-01 Élection 2025 PLO PC NPD PVO 18 février 2026 2025-01-27 PC 48% PLO 23% NPD 12% PVO 11% 2025-01-27 2025-01-29 PC 49% PLO 23% NPD 11% PVO 11% 2025-01-29 2025-01-31 PC 52% PLO 23% NPD 11% PVO 10% 2025-01-31 2025-02-02 PC 53% PLO 23% NPD 11% PVO 10% 2025-02-02 2025-02-03 PC 52% PLO 23% NPD 11% PVO 10% 2025-02-03 2025-02-04 PC 52% PLO 24% NPD 10% PVO 10% 2025-02-04 2025-02-05 PC 52% PLO 24% NPD 10% PVO 10% 2025-02-05 2025-02-06 PC 53% PLO 23% NPD 10% PVO 10% 2025-02-06 2025-02-07 PC 53% PLO 23% NPD 10% PVO 10% 2025-02-07 2025-02-08 PC 53% PLO 23% NPD 10% PVO 10% 2025-02-08 2025-02-09 PC 53% PLO 23% NPD 10% PVO 10% 2025-02-09 2025-02-10 PC 53% PLO 23% NPD 10% PVO 10% 2025-02-10 2025-02-11 PC 53% PLO 23% PVO 10% NPD 10% 2025-02-11 2025-02-12 PC 53% PLO 24% PVO 10% NPD 9% 2025-02-12 2025-02-13 PC 54% PLO 24% PVO 10% NPD 10% 2025-02-13 2025-02-14 PC 54% PLO 24% PVO 10% NPD 9% 2025-02-14 2025-02-15 PC 54% PLO 24% PVO 10% NPD 9% 2025-02-15 2025-02-16 PC 54% PLO 24% PVO 10% NPD 9% 2025-02-16 2025-02-17 PC 53% PLO 25% PVO 10% NPD 9% 2025-02-17 2025-02-18 PC 53% PLO 25% PVO 10% NPD 9% 2025-02-18 2025-02-19 PC 54% PLO 24% PVO 10% NPD 9% 2025-02-19 2025-02-20 PC 54% PLO 24% PVO 10% NPD 9% 2025-02-20 2025-02-21 PC 54% PLO 24% PVO 10% NPD 9% 2025-02-21 2025-02-22 PC 54% PLO 24% PVO 10% NPD 9% 2025-02-22 2025-02-23 PC 54% PLO 24% PVO 10% NPD 9% 2025-02-23 2025-02-24 PC 54% PLO 24% PVO 10% NPD 9% 2025-02-24 2025-02-25 PC 54% PLO 24% PVO 10% NPD 9% 2025-02-25 2025-02-26 PC 55% PLO 24% PVO 10% NPD 9% 2025-02-26 2025-02-27 PC 55% PLO 24% PVO 10% NPD 9% 2025-02-27 2025-02-28 PC 44% PLO 29% PVO 12% NPD 8% 2025-02-28 2025-06-07 PC 44% PLO 29% PVO 12% NPD 8% 2025-06-07 2025-06-27 PC 44% PLO 29% PVO 12% NPD 8% 2025-06-27 2025-07-27 PC 45% PLO 29% PVO 12% NPD 8% 2025-07-27 2025-08-31 PC 49% PLO 28% PVO 12% NPD 6% 2025-08-31 2025-10-21 PC 48% PLO 28% PVO 11% NPD 6% 2025-10-21 2025-11-23 PC 48% PLO 28% PVO 12% NPD 7% 2025-11-23 2025-12-20 PC 46% PLO 28% PVO 12% NPD 8% 2025-12-20 2026-01-25 PC 46% PLO 28% PVO 12% NPD 8% 2026-01-25 2026-02-18 PC 46% PLO 29% PVO 12% NPD 8% 2026-02-18

Probabilités de victoire | Bruce—Grey—Owen Sound

PLO <1% PC >99% NPD <1% Probabilité de victoire 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-03-01 2026-05-01 2026-07-01 Élection 2025 PLO PC NPD 18 février 2026 2025-01-27 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-01-27 2025-01-29 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-01-29 2025-01-31 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-01-31 2025-02-02 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-02 2025-02-03 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-03 2025-02-04 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-04 2025-02-05 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-05 2025-02-06 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-06 2025-02-07 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-07 2025-02-08 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-08 2025-02-09 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-09 2025-02-10 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-10 2025-02-11 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-11 2025-02-12 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-12 2025-02-13 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-13 2025-02-14 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-14 2025-02-15 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-15 2025-02-16 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-16 2025-02-17 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-17 2025-02-18 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-18 2025-02-19 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-19 2025-02-20 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-20 2025-02-21 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-21 2025-02-22 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-22 2025-02-23 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-23 2025-02-24 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-24 2025-02-25 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-25 2025-02-26 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-26 2025-02-27 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-27 2025-02-28 PC >99% PLO <1% NPD <1% 2025-02-28 2025-06-07 PC >99% PLO <1% NPD <1% 2025-06-07 2025-06-27 PC >99% PLO <1% NPD <1% 2025-06-27 2025-07-27 PC >99% PLO <1% NPD <1% 2025-07-27 2025-08-31 PC >99% PLO <1% NPD <1% 2025-08-31 2025-10-21 PC >99% PLO <1% NPD <1% 2025-10-21 2025-11-23 PC >99% PLO <1% NPD <1% 2025-11-23 2025-12-20 PC >99% PLO <1% NPD <1% 2025-12-20 2026-01-25 PC >99% PLO <1% NPD <1% 2026-01-25 2026-02-18 PC >99% PLO <1% NPD <1% 2026-02-18