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Bruce—Grey—Owen Sound


Député(e) : Byers, Rick (PPCO)

Dernière mise à jour : 9 octobre 2024
PPCO solide
Bruce—Grey—Owen Sound 47% ± 9%▼ PPCO 23% ± 7%▲ PLO 12% ± 6%▲ PVO 11% ± 5% NPD 3% ± 3% PON PPCO 2022 48,6% Projection du vote | 9 octobre 2024
Cette projection est calculée à l'aide d'un modèle essentiellement proportionnel, ajusté en fonction des sondages provinciaux et régionaux réalisés par des instituts de sondage professionnels. Il ne s'agit pas d'un sondage, mais d'une projection basée sur des sondages. Le modèle Qc125 tient également compte de l'historique électoral et d'autres données. Pour en savoir plus sur la méthodologie de Qc125, cliquez ici.
50% 100% Bruce—Grey—Owen Sound >99% PPCO <1% PLO <1% PVO Probabilités de victoire | 9 octobre 2024
Les probabilités de victoire ci-dessus sont celles si une élection avait lieu aujourd'hui. Elles sont calculées par un programme de type Monte-Carlo qui effectue des milliers de simulations d'élections générales. Les circonscriptions sont ensuite étiquettées comme étant solide (probabilités de victoire supérieures à 99,5%), probable (entre 90% et 99,5%), enclin (entre 70% et 90%) ou pivot (probabilités inférieures à 70%).


Projection du vote | Bruce—Grey—Owen Sound

PLO 23% ± 7% PPCO 47% ± 9% NPD 11% ± 5% PVO 12% ± 6% Projection du vote % | Bruce—Grey—Owen Sound 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2022-05-01 2022-09-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-05-01 Élection 2022 PLO PPCO NPD PVO 9 octobre 2024 2022-04-30 PPCO 53% PLO 21% NPD 13% PVO 7% 2022-04-30 2022-05-03 PPCO 52% PLO 19% NPD 16% PVO 7% 2022-05-03 2022-05-04 PPCO 52% PLO 19% NPD 16% PVO 7% 2022-05-04 2022-05-05 PPCO 52% PLO 19% NPD 16% PVO 7% 2022-05-05 2022-05-06 PPCO 51% PLO 19% NPD 16% PVO 7% 2022-05-06 2022-05-07 PPCO 51% PLO 19% NPD 16% PVO 7% 2022-05-07 2022-05-08 PPCO 51% PLO 20% NPD 16% PVO 7% 2022-05-08 2022-05-09 PPCO 51% PLO 20% NPD 16% PVO 7% 2022-05-09 2022-05-10 PPCO 51% PLO 20% NPD 16% PVO 7% 2022-05-10 2022-05-11 PPCO 52% PLO 19% NPD 16% PVO 7% 2022-05-11 2022-05-12 PPCO 52% PLO 19% NPD 16% PVO 7% 2022-05-12 2022-05-13 PPCO 52% PLO 19% NPD 16% PVO 7% 2022-05-13 2022-05-14 PPCO 52% PLO 19% NPD 16% PVO 7% 2022-05-14 2022-05-15 PPCO 52% PLO 19% NPD 16% PVO 7% 2022-05-15 2022-05-16 PPCO 51% PLO 19% NPD 17% PVO 7% 2022-05-16 2022-05-17 PPCO 49% PLO 22% NPD 15% PVO 7% 2022-05-17 2022-05-18 PPCO 49% PLO 22% NPD 15% PVO 7% 2022-05-18 2022-05-19 PPCO 48% PLO 21% NPD 15% PVO 9% 2022-05-19 2022-05-20 PPCO 47% PLO 21% NPD 16% PVO 9% 2022-05-20 2022-05-21 PPCO 47% PLO 21% NPD 17% PVO 9% 2022-05-21 2022-05-22 PPCO 47% PLO 21% NPD 17% PVO 9% 2022-05-22 2022-05-23 PPCO 47% PLO 21% NPD 16% PVO 9% 2022-05-23 2022-05-24 PPCO 47% PLO 21% NPD 16% PVO 9% 2022-05-24 2022-05-25 PPCO 47% PLO 21% NPD 16% PVO 9% 2022-05-25 2022-05-26 PPCO 47% PLO 21% NPD 16% PVO 9% 2022-05-26 2022-05-27 PPCO 47% PLO 20% NPD 16% PVO 9% 2022-05-27 2022-05-28 PPCO 48% PLO 20% NPD 16% PVO 9% 2022-05-28 2022-05-29 PPCO 48% PLO 20% NPD 16% PVO 9% 2022-05-29 2022-05-30 PPCO 48% PLO 20% NPD 16% PVO 9% 2022-05-30 2022-05-31 PPCO 49% PLO 20% NPD 15% PVO 9% 2022-05-31 2022-06-01 PPCO 53% PLO 18% NPD 14% PVO 8% 2022-06-01 2022-06-03 PPCO 49% PLO 20% NPD 14% PVO 9% 2022-06-03 2022-12-30 PPCO 48% PLO 20% NPD 14% PVO 9% 2022-12-30 2023-02-15 PPCO 48% PLO 21% NPD 13% PVO 10% 2023-02-15 2023-03-09 PPCO 47% PLO 21% NPD 13% PVO 10% 2023-03-09 2023-03-17 PPCO 47% PLO 21% NPD 13% PVO 10% 2023-03-17 2023-04-16 PPCO 48% PLO 21% NPD 13% PVO 10% 2023-04-16 2023-07-07 PPCO 43% PLO 21% NPD 14% PVO 13% 2023-07-07 2023-07-22 PPCO 43% PLO 21% NPD 14% PVO 13% 2023-07-22 2023-07-28 PPCO 45% PLO 21% NPD 14% PVO 12% 2023-07-28 2023-08-26 PPCO 45% PLO 21% NPD 14% PVO 12% 2023-08-26 2023-10-07 PPCO 42% PLO 22% NPD 15% PVO 12% 2023-10-07 2023-10-23 PPCO 44% PLO 21% NPD 14% PVO 12% 2023-10-23 2023-12-01 PPCO 48% PLO 20% NPD 14% PVO 12% 2023-12-01 2023-12-20 PPCO 47% PLO 22% NPD 14% PVO 11% 2023-12-20 2024-02-02 PPCO 46% PLO 22% NPD 14% PVO 11% 2024-02-02 2024-02-20 PPCO 43% PLO 27% NPD 12% PVO 11% 2024-02-20 2024-03-05 PPCO 45% PLO 25% PVO 12% NPD 11% 2024-03-05 2024-04-04 PPCO 45% PLO 24% NPD 12% PVO 11% 2024-04-04 2024-05-03 PPCO 46% PLO 24% NPD 12% PVO 11% 2024-05-03 2024-06-30 PPCO 47% PLO 23% NPD 12% PVO 12% 2024-06-30 2024-07-29 PPCO 49% PLO 22% PVO 11% NPD 11% 2024-07-29 2024-10-09 PPCO 47% PLO 23% PVO 12% NPD 11% 2024-10-09

Probabilités de victoire | Bruce—Grey—Owen Sound

PLO <1% PPCO >99% NPD <1% PVO <1% Probabilité de victoire 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2022-05-01 2022-09-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-05-01 Élection 2022 PLO PPCO NPD PVO 9 octobre 2024 2022-04-30 PPCO >99% PVO <1% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2022-04-30 2022-05-03 PPCO >99% PVO <1% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-03 2022-05-04 PPCO >99% PVO <1% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-04 2022-05-05 PPCO >99% PVO <1% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-05 2022-05-06 PPCO >99% PVO <1% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-06 2022-05-07 PPCO >99% PVO <1% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-07 2022-05-08 PPCO >99% PVO <1% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-08 2022-05-09 PPCO >99% PVO <1% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-09 2022-05-10 PPCO >99% PVO <1% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-10 2022-05-11 PPCO >99% PVO <1% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-11 2022-05-12 PPCO >99% PVO <1% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-12 2022-05-13 PPCO >99% PVO <1% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-13 2022-05-14 PPCO >99% PVO <1% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-14 2022-05-15 PPCO >99% PVO <1% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-15 2022-05-16 PPCO >99% PVO <1% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-16 2022-05-17 PPCO >99% PVO <1% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-17 2022-05-18 PPCO >99% PVO <1% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-18 2022-05-19 PPCO >99% PVO <1% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-19 2022-05-20 PPCO >99% PVO <1% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-20 2022-05-21 PPCO >99% PVO <1% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-21 2022-05-22 PPCO >99% PVO <1% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-22 2022-05-23 PPCO >99% PVO <1% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-23 2022-05-24 PPCO >99% PVO <1% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-24 2022-05-25 PPCO >99% PVO <1% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-25 2022-05-26 PPCO >99% PVO <1% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-26 2022-05-27 PPCO >99% PVO <1% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-27 2022-05-28 PPCO >99% PVO <1% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-28 2022-05-29 PPCO >99% PVO <1% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-29 2022-05-30 PPCO >99% PVO <1% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-30 2022-05-31 PPCO >99% PVO <1% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-31 2022-06-01 PPCO >99% PVO <1% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2022-06-01 2022-06-03 PPCO >99% PVO <1% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2022-06-03 2022-12-30 PPCO >99% PVO <1% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2022-12-30 2023-02-15 PPCO >99% PVO <1% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2023-02-15 2023-03-09 PPCO >99% PVO <1% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2023-03-09 2023-03-17 PPCO >99% PVO <1% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2023-03-17 2023-04-16 PPCO >99% PVO <1% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2023-04-16 2023-07-07 PPCO >99% PVO <1% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2023-07-07 2023-07-22 PPCO >99% PVO <1% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2023-07-22 2023-07-28 PPCO >99% PVO <1% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2023-07-28 2023-08-26 PPCO >99% PVO <1% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2023-08-26 2023-10-07 PPCO >99% PVO <1% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2023-10-07 2023-10-23 PPCO >99% PVO <1% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2023-10-23 2023-12-01 PPCO >99% PVO <1% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2023-12-01 2023-12-20 PPCO >99% PVO <1% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2023-12-20 2024-02-02 PPCO >99% PVO <1% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2024-02-02 2024-02-20 PPCO >99% PLO <1% PVO <1% NPD <1% 2024-02-20 2024-03-05 PPCO >99% PLO <1% PVO <1% NPD <1% 2024-03-05 2024-04-04 PPCO >99% PLO <1% PVO <1% NPD <1% 2024-04-04 2024-05-03 PPCO >99% PVO <1% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2024-05-03 2024-06-30 PPCO >99% PVO <1% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2024-06-30 2024-07-29 PPCO >99% PVO <1% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2024-07-29 2024-10-09 PPCO >99% PVO <1% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2024-10-09

Historique récent | Bruce—Grey—Owen Sound



2014 2018 2022 Proj. PPCO 47,5% 54,7% 48,6% 47% ± 9% PLO 27,1% 12,3% 20,3% 23% ± 7% NPD 15,9% 24,1% 13,9% 11% ± 5% PVO 8,6% 6,0% 8,8% 12% ± 6% PON 0,0% 0,0% 4,0% 3% ± 3% PNBO 0,0% 0,0% 2,7% 2% ± 2%