Ontario

Historique récent | Orléans


2018 2022 2025 Projection PLO 53% ± 9% 39,1% 46,4% 54,2% PC 37% ± 9% 35,2% 32,7% 35,3% NPD 6% ± 3% 21,9% 13,6% 6,0% PVO 2% ± 2% 2,5% 4,6% 2,5% PNBO 1% ± 1% 0,0% 1,5% 1,1% IND 0% ± 1% 0,0% 0,0% 0,5%

Infolettre Qc125

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Drapeau de l’Ontario

Projection Qc125 Orléans

Mise à jour : 18 février 2026

Orléans 43% 62% 53% ± 9% PLO 28% 46% 37% ± 9% PC 3% 9% 6% ± 3% NPD PLO 2025 54,18% Projection du vote | 18 février 2026
Note méthodologique. Cette projection est calculée à l'aide d'un modèle principalement proportionnel, ajusté à l'aide de sondages provinciaux et régionaux réalisés par des sondeurs professionnels. Il ne s'agit pas d'un sondage, mais d'une projection basée sur des sondages. Pour en savoir plus sur la méthodologie de Qc125, cliquez ici.
50% 100% Orléans 99% PLO 1% PC <1% NPD Probabilités de victoire | 18 février 2026
Note méthodologique. Ces chances de victoire sont celles si une élection générale avait lieu aujourd'hui. Elles sont calculées par le modèle avec des simulations de type Monte Carlo..


Projection du vote | Orléans

PLO 53% ± 9% PC 37% ± 9% NPD 6% ± 3% Projection du vote % | Orléans 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-03-01 2026-05-01 2026-07-01 Élection 2025 PLO PC NPD 18 février 2026 2025-01-27 PLO 46% PC 35% NPD 12% 2025-01-27 2025-01-29 PLO 46% PC 35% NPD 12% 2025-01-29 2025-01-31 PLO 45% PC 37% NPD 12% 2025-01-31 2025-02-02 PLO 45% PC 37% NPD 12% 2025-02-02 2025-02-03 PLO 45% PC 37% NPD 12% 2025-02-03 2025-02-04 PLO 46% PC 37% NPD 11% 2025-02-04 2025-02-05 PLO 46% PC 37% NPD 11% 2025-02-05 2025-02-06 PLO 45% PC 38% NPD 11% 2025-02-06 2025-02-07 PLO 45% PC 38% NPD 11% 2025-02-07 2025-02-08 PLO 46% PC 37% NPD 11% 2025-02-08 2025-02-09 PLO 45% PC 38% NPD 11% 2025-02-09 2025-02-10 PLO 45% PC 38% NPD 11% 2025-02-10 2025-02-11 PLO 46% PC 38% NPD 10% 2025-02-11 2025-02-12 PLO 46% PC 38% NPD 10% 2025-02-12 2025-02-13 PLO 46% PC 38% NPD 10% 2025-02-13 2025-02-14 PLO 47% PC 38% NPD 10% 2025-02-14 2025-02-15 PLO 47% PC 38% NPD 9% 2025-02-15 2025-02-16 PLO 47% PC 38% NPD 9% 2025-02-16 2025-02-17 PLO 48% PC 36% NPD 10% 2025-02-17 2025-02-18 PLO 48% PC 37% NPD 10% 2025-02-18 2025-02-19 PLO 47% PC 37% NPD 10% 2025-02-19 2025-02-20 PLO 47% PC 37% NPD 10% 2025-02-20 2025-02-21 PLO 47% PC 37% NPD 10% 2025-02-21 2025-02-22 PLO 47% PC 37% NPD 10% 2025-02-22 2025-02-23 PLO 47% PC 37% NPD 10% 2025-02-23 2025-02-24 PLO 47% PC 37% NPD 10% 2025-02-24 2025-02-25 PLO 47% PC 37% NPD 10% 2025-02-25 2025-02-26 PLO 47% PC 38% NPD 9% 2025-02-26 2025-02-27 PLO 47% PC 38% NPD 9% 2025-02-27 2025-02-28 PLO 54% PC 35% NPD 6% 2025-02-28 2025-06-07 PLO 54% PC 36% NPD 6% 2025-06-07 2025-06-27 PLO 54% PC 36% NPD 6% 2025-06-27 2025-07-27 PLO 54% PC 36% NPD 6% 2025-07-27 2025-08-31 PLO 52% PC 39% NPD 5% 2025-08-31 2025-10-21 PLO 52% PC 39% NPD 5% 2025-10-21 2025-11-23 PLO 52% PC 39% NPD 5% 2025-11-23 2025-12-20 PLO 52% PC 38% NPD 6% 2025-12-20 2026-01-25 PLO 52% PC 37% NPD 6% 2026-01-25 2026-02-18 PLO 53% PC 37% NPD 6% 2026-02-18

Probabilités de victoire | Orléans

PLO 99% PC 1% NPD <1% Probabilité de victoire 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-03-01 2026-05-01 2026-07-01 Élection 2025 PLO PC NPD 18 février 2026 2025-01-27 PLO 97% PC 3% NPD <1% 2025-01-27 2025-01-29 PLO 97% PC 3% NPD <1% 2025-01-29 2025-01-31 PLO 89% PC 11% NPD <1% 2025-01-31 2025-02-02 PLO 88% PC 12% NPD <1% 2025-02-02 2025-02-03 PLO 91% PC 9% NPD <1% 2025-02-03 2025-02-04 PLO 92% PC 8% NPD <1% 2025-02-04 2025-02-05 PLO 92% PC 8% NPD <1% 2025-02-05 2025-02-06 PLO 88% PC 12% NPD <1% 2025-02-06 2025-02-07 PLO 89% PC 11% NPD <1% 2025-02-07 2025-02-08 PLO 91% PC 9% NPD <1% 2025-02-08 2025-02-09 PLO 87% PC 13% NPD <1% 2025-02-09 2025-02-10 PLO 89% PC 11% NPD <1% 2025-02-10 2025-02-11 PLO 91% PC 9% NPD <1% 2025-02-11 2025-02-12 PLO 92% PC 8% NPD <1% 2025-02-12 2025-02-13 PLO 93% PC 7% NPD <1% 2025-02-13 2025-02-14 PLO 94% PC 6% NPD <1% 2025-02-14 2025-02-15 PLO 94% PC 6% NPD <1% 2025-02-15 2025-02-16 PLO 94% PC 6% NPD <1% 2025-02-16 2025-02-17 PLO 97% PC 3% NPD <1% 2025-02-17 2025-02-18 PLO 96% PC 4% NPD <1% 2025-02-18 2025-02-19 PLO 94% PC 6% NPD <1% 2025-02-19 2025-02-20 PLO 95% PC 5% NPD <1% 2025-02-20 2025-02-21 PLO 95% PC 5% NPD <1% 2025-02-21 2025-02-22 PLO 95% PC 5% NPD <1% 2025-02-22 2025-02-23 PLO 95% PC 5% NPD <1% 2025-02-23 2025-02-24 PLO 95% PC 5% NPD <1% 2025-02-24 2025-02-25 PLO 95% PC 5% NPD <1% 2025-02-25 2025-02-26 PLO 94% PC 6% NPD <1% 2025-02-26 2025-02-27 PLO 94% PC 6% NPD <1% 2025-02-27 2025-02-28 PLO >99% NPD <1% PC <1% 2025-02-28 2025-06-07 PLO >99% PC <1% NPD <1% 2025-06-07 2025-06-27 PLO >99% PC <1% NPD <1% 2025-06-27 2025-07-27 PLO >99% PC <1% NPD <1% 2025-07-27 2025-08-31 PLO 97% PC 3% NPD <1% 2025-08-31 2025-10-21 PLO 98% PC 2% NPD <1% 2025-10-21 2025-11-23 PLO 98% PC 2% NPD <1% 2025-11-23 2025-12-20 PLO 99% PC 1% NPD <1% 2025-12-20 2026-01-25 PLO 99% PC 1% NPD <1% 2026-01-25 2026-02-18 PLO 99% PC 1% NPD <1% 2026-02-18