Ontario

Historique récent | Huron—Bruce


2018 2022 2025 Projection PC 52% ± 9% 52,4% 52,0% 50,0% PLO 27% ± 8% 13,9% 18,7% 28,0% NPD 11% ± 5% 29,0% 16,4% 11,8% PVO 5% ± 3% 3,4% 4,1% 5,6% PNBO 4% ± 3% 0,0% 7,2% 4,2%

Infolettre Qc125

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Drapeau de l’Ontario

Projection Qc125 Huron—Bruce

Mise à jour : 18 février 2026

Huron—Bruce 43% 61% 52% ± 9% PC 19% 35% 27% ± 8% PLO 7% 16% 11% ± 5% NPD 2% 9% 5% ± 3% PVO 1% 7% 4% ± 3% PNBO PC 2025 50,01% Projection du vote | 18 février 2026
Note méthodologique. Cette projection est calculée à l'aide d'un modèle principalement proportionnel, ajusté à l'aide de sondages provinciaux et régionaux réalisés par des sondeurs professionnels. Il ne s'agit pas d'un sondage, mais d'une projection basée sur des sondages. Pour en savoir plus sur la méthodologie de Qc125, cliquez ici.
50% 100% Huron—Bruce >99% PC <1% PLO <1% NPD Probabilités de victoire | 18 février 2026
Note méthodologique. Ces chances de victoire sont celles si une élection générale avait lieu aujourd'hui. Elles sont calculées par le modèle avec des simulations de type Monte Carlo..


Projection du vote | Huron—Bruce

PLO 27% ± 8% PC 52% ± 9% NPD 11% ± 5% PVO 5% ± 3% PNBO 4% ± 3% Projection du vote % | Huron—Bruce 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-03-01 2026-05-01 2026-07-01 Élection 2025 PLO PC NPD PVO PNBO 18 février 2026 2025-01-27 PC 52% PLO 23% NPD 14% PVO 5% 2025-01-27 2025-01-29 PC 52% PLO 23% NPD 14% PVO 5% 2025-01-29 2025-01-31 PC 56% PLO 22% NPD 14% PVO 5% 2025-01-31 2025-02-02 PC 56% PLO 22% NPD 14% PVO 5% 2025-02-02 2025-02-03 PC 55% PLO 22% NPD 14% PVO 5% 2025-02-03 2025-02-04 PC 56% PLO 23% NPD 13% PVO 5% 2025-02-04 2025-02-05 PC 56% PLO 23% NPD 13% PVO 5% 2025-02-05 2025-02-06 PC 57% PLO 22% NPD 12% PVO 5% 2025-02-06 2025-02-07 PC 56% PLO 22% NPD 13% PVO 5% 2025-02-07 2025-02-08 PC 56% PLO 22% NPD 13% PVO 5% 2025-02-08 2025-02-09 PC 56% PLO 22% NPD 13% PVO 5% 2025-02-09 2025-02-10 PC 56% PLO 22% NPD 13% PVO 5% 2025-02-10 2025-02-11 PC 57% PLO 23% NPD 12% PVO 5% 2025-02-11 2025-02-12 PC 57% PLO 23% NPD 12% PVO 5% 2025-02-12 2025-02-13 PC 57% PLO 23% NPD 12% PVO 5% 2025-02-13 2025-02-14 PC 57% PLO 23% NPD 11% PVO 5% 2025-02-14 2025-02-15 PC 57% PLO 23% NPD 11% PVO 5% 2025-02-15 2025-02-16 PC 57% PLO 23% NPD 11% PVO 5% 2025-02-16 2025-02-17 PC 56% PLO 24% NPD 11% PVO 5% 2025-02-17 2025-02-18 PC 56% PLO 24% NPD 11% PVO 5% 2025-02-18 2025-02-19 PC 57% PLO 23% NPD 11% PVO 5% 2025-02-19 2025-02-20 PC 57% PLO 23% NPD 11% PVO 5% 2025-02-20 2025-02-21 PC 57% PLO 23% NPD 11% PVO 5% 2025-02-21 2025-02-22 PC 57% PLO 23% NPD 11% PVO 5% 2025-02-22 2025-02-23 PC 57% PLO 23% NPD 11% PVO 5% 2025-02-23 2025-02-24 PC 57% PLO 23% NPD 11% PVO 5% 2025-02-24 2025-02-25 PC 57% PLO 23% NPD 11% PVO 5% 2025-02-25 2025-02-26 PC 58% PLO 23% NPD 11% PVO 5% 2025-02-26 2025-02-27 PC 58% PLO 23% NPD 11% PVO 5% 2025-02-27 2025-02-28 PC 50% PLO 28% NPD 12% PVO 6% 2025-02-28 2025-06-07 PC 50% PLO 28% NPD 12% PVO 6% 2025-06-07 2025-06-27 PC 50% PLO 28% NPD 12% PVO 6% 2025-06-27 2025-07-27 PC 51% PLO 28% NPD 11% PVO 5% 2025-07-27 2025-08-31 PC 55% PLO 26% NPD 9% PVO 5% 2025-08-31 2025-10-21 PC 55% PLO 27% NPD 9% PVO 5% 2025-10-21 2025-11-23 PC 54% PLO 26% NPD 10% PVO 5% 2025-11-23 2025-12-20 PC 52% PLO 27% NPD 11% PVO 5% 2025-12-20 2026-01-25 PC 52% PLO 27% NPD 11% PVO 5% 2026-01-25 2026-02-18 PC 52% PLO 27% NPD 11% PVO 5% 2026-02-18

Probabilités de victoire | Huron—Bruce

PLO <1% PC >99% NPD <1% Probabilité de victoire 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-03-01 2026-05-01 2026-07-01 Élection 2025 PLO PC NPD 18 février 2026 2025-01-27 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-01-27 2025-01-29 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-01-29 2025-01-31 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-01-31 2025-02-02 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-02 2025-02-03 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-03 2025-02-04 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-04 2025-02-05 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-05 2025-02-06 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-06 2025-02-07 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-07 2025-02-08 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-08 2025-02-09 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-09 2025-02-10 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-10 2025-02-11 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-11 2025-02-12 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-12 2025-02-13 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-13 2025-02-14 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-14 2025-02-15 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-15 2025-02-16 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-16 2025-02-17 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-17 2025-02-18 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-18 2025-02-19 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-19 2025-02-20 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-20 2025-02-21 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-21 2025-02-22 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-22 2025-02-23 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-23 2025-02-24 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-24 2025-02-25 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-25 2025-02-26 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-26 2025-02-27 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-27 2025-02-28 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-28 2025-06-07 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-06-07 2025-06-27 PC >99% PLO <1% NPD <1% 2025-06-27 2025-07-27 PC >99% PLO <1% NPD <1% 2025-07-27 2025-08-31 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-08-31 2025-10-21 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-10-21 2025-11-23 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-11-23 2025-12-20 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-12-20 2026-01-25 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2026-01-25 2026-02-18 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2026-02-18