Ontario

Historique récent | University—Rosedale


2018 2022 2025 Projection NPD 49% ± 10% 49,7% 37,8% 46,7% PLO 28% ± 9% 22,1% 27,2% 30,4% PC 19% ± 7% 21,1% 17,4% 19,0% PVO 3% ± 2% 5,4% 15,9% 3,1% PNBO 1% ± 1% 0,0% 1,3% 0,7%

Infolettre Qc125

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Drapeau de l’Ontario

Projection Qc125 University—Rosedale

Mise à jour : 18 février 2026

University—Rosedale 39% 59% 49% ± 10% NPD 20% 37% 28% ± 9% PLO 12% 26% 19% ± 7% PC NPD 2025 46,72% Projection du vote | 18 février 2026
Note méthodologique. Cette projection est calculée à l'aide d'un modèle principalement proportionnel, ajusté à l'aide de sondages provinciaux et régionaux réalisés par des sondeurs professionnels. Il ne s'agit pas d'un sondage, mais d'une projection basée sur des sondages. Pour en savoir plus sur la méthodologie de Qc125, cliquez ici.
50% 100% University—Rosedale >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% PC Probabilités de victoire | 18 février 2026
Note méthodologique. Ces chances de victoire sont celles si une élection générale avait lieu aujourd'hui. Elles sont calculées par le modèle avec des simulations de type Monte Carlo..


Projection du vote | University—Rosedale

PLO 28% ± 9% PC 19% ± 7% NPD 49% ± 10% Projection du vote % | University—Rosedale 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-03-01 2026-05-01 2026-07-01 Élection 2025 PLO PC NPD 18 février 2026 2025-01-27 NPD 33% PLO 29% PC 20% 2025-01-27 2025-01-29 NPD 33% PLO 29% PC 20% 2025-01-29 2025-01-31 NPD 33% PLO 28% PC 22% 2025-01-31 2025-02-02 NPD 33% PLO 28% PC 22% 2025-02-02 2025-02-03 NPD 33% PLO 29% PC 22% 2025-02-03 2025-02-04 NPD 32% PLO 29% PC 22% 2025-02-04 2025-02-05 NPD 32% PLO 29% PC 22% 2025-02-05 2025-02-06 NPD 31% PLO 29% PC 23% 2025-02-06 2025-02-07 NPD 31% PLO 29% PC 22% 2025-02-07 2025-02-08 NPD 32% PLO 29% PC 22% 2025-02-08 2025-02-09 NPD 32% PLO 28% PC 22% 2025-02-09 2025-02-10 NPD 32% PLO 29% PC 22% 2025-02-10 2025-02-11 NPD 31% PLO 29% PC 22% 2025-02-11 2025-02-12 NPD 30% PLO 30% PC 23% 2025-02-12 2025-02-13 NPD 30% PLO 30% PC 23% 2025-02-13 2025-02-14 PLO 30% NPD 30% PC 23% 2025-02-14 2025-02-15 PLO 30% NPD 30% PC 23% 2025-02-15 2025-02-16 PLO 30% NPD 30% PC 23% 2025-02-16 2025-02-17 PLO 31% NPD 30% PC 22% 2025-02-17 2025-02-18 PLO 31% NPD 30% PC 22% 2025-02-18 2025-02-19 PLO 30% NPD 30% PC 22% 2025-02-19 2025-02-20 PLO 30% NPD 30% PC 22% 2025-02-20 2025-02-21 PLO 30% NPD 30% PC 22% 2025-02-21 2025-02-22 NPD 30% PLO 30% PC 23% 2025-02-22 2025-02-23 NPD 30% PLO 30% PC 23% 2025-02-23 2025-02-24 NPD 30% PLO 30% PC 23% 2025-02-24 2025-02-25 NPD 30% PLO 30% PC 23% 2025-02-25 2025-02-26 PLO 30% NPD 30% PC 23% 2025-02-26 2025-02-27 NPD 30% PLO 30% PC 23% 2025-02-27 2025-02-28 NPD 47% PLO 30% PC 19% 2025-02-28 2025-06-07 NPD 46% PLO 30% PC 19% 2025-06-07 2025-06-27 NPD 46% PLO 31% PC 19% 2025-06-27 2025-07-27 NPD 46% PLO 31% PC 20% 2025-07-27 2025-08-31 NPD 42% PLO 31% PC 23% 2025-08-31 2025-10-21 NPD 44% PLO 31% PC 22% 2025-10-21 2025-11-23 NPD 47% PLO 29% PC 21% 2025-11-23 2025-12-20 NPD 49% PLO 28% PC 19% 2025-12-20 2026-01-25 NPD 49% PLO 28% PC 19% 2026-01-25 2026-02-18 NPD 49% PLO 28% PC 19% 2026-02-18

Probabilités de victoire | University—Rosedale

PLO <1% NPD >99% Probabilité de victoire 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-03-01 2026-05-01 2026-07-01 Élection 2025 PLO NPD 18 février 2026 2025-01-27 NPD 75% PLO 24% 2025-01-27 2025-01-29 NPD 75% PLO 25% 2025-01-29 2025-01-31 NPD 79% PLO 21% 2025-01-31 2025-02-02 NPD 78% PLO 21% 2025-02-02 2025-02-03 NPD 78% PLO 22% 2025-02-03 2025-02-04 NPD 65% PLO 34% 2025-02-04 2025-02-05 NPD 65% PLO 34% 2025-02-05 2025-02-06 NPD 67% PLO 32% 2025-02-06 2025-02-07 NPD 68% PLO 32% 2025-02-07 2025-02-08 NPD 67% PLO 32% 2025-02-08 2025-02-09 NPD 77% PLO 22% 2025-02-09 2025-02-10 NPD 71% PLO 28% 2025-02-10 2025-02-11 NPD 61% PLO 39% 2025-02-11 2025-02-12 NPD 51% PLO 48% 2025-02-12 2025-02-13 NPD 51% PLO 48% 2025-02-13 2025-02-14 PLO 51% NPD 49% 2025-02-14 2025-02-15 PLO 52% NPD 47% 2025-02-15 2025-02-16 PLO 52% NPD 47% 2025-02-16 2025-02-17 PLO 53% NPD 47% 2025-02-17 2025-02-18 PLO 53% NPD 46% 2025-02-18 2025-02-19 PLO 53% NPD 46% 2025-02-19 2025-02-20 PLO 53% NPD 46% 2025-02-20 2025-02-21 PLO 51% NPD 48% 2025-02-21 2025-02-22 NPD 53% PLO 46% 2025-02-22 2025-02-23 NPD 54% PLO 46% 2025-02-23 2025-02-24 NPD 54% PLO 45% 2025-02-24 2025-02-25 NPD 54% PLO 45% 2025-02-25 2025-02-26 PLO 50% NPD 49% 2025-02-26 2025-02-27 NPD 50% PLO 49% 2025-02-27 2025-02-28 NPD >99% PLO <1% 2025-02-28 2025-06-07 NPD >99% PLO <1% 2025-06-07 2025-06-27 NPD 99% PLO 1% 2025-06-27 2025-07-27 NPD >99% PLO <1% 2025-07-27 2025-08-31 NPD 97% PLO 3% 2025-08-31 2025-10-21 NPD 99% PLO 1% 2025-10-21 2025-11-23 NPD >99% PLO <1% 2025-11-23 2025-12-20 NPD >99% PLO <1% 2025-12-20 2026-01-25 NPD >99% PLO <1% 2026-01-25 2026-02-18 NPD >99% PLO <1% 2026-02-18