Ontario

Historique récent | Kingston and the Islands


2018 2022 2025 Projection PLO 60% ± 9% 27,5% 37,7% 61,6% PC 24% ± 7% 26,0% 24,6% 22,2% NPD 12% ± 5% 39,3% 31,2% 12,3% PVO 2% ± 2% 6,5% 3,3% 2,2% PON 1% ± 1% 0,0% 1,7% 1,0%

Infolettre Qc125

Chargement…


Drapeau de l’Ontario

Projection Qc125 Kingston and the Islands

Mise à jour : 18 février 2026

Kingston and the Islands 52% 69% 60% ± 9% PLO 16% 31% 24% ± 7% PC 7% 17% 12% ± 5% NPD PLO 2025 61,57% Projection du vote | 18 février 2026
Note méthodologique. Cette projection est calculée à l'aide d'un modèle principalement proportionnel, ajusté à l'aide de sondages provinciaux et régionaux réalisés par des sondeurs professionnels. Il ne s'agit pas d'un sondage, mais d'une projection basée sur des sondages. Pour en savoir plus sur la méthodologie de Qc125, cliquez ici.
50% 100% Kingston and the Islands >99% PLO <1% PC <1% NPD Probabilités de victoire | 18 février 2026
Note méthodologique. Ces chances de victoire sont celles si une élection générale avait lieu aujourd'hui. Elles sont calculées par le modèle avec des simulations de type Monte Carlo..


Projection du vote | Kingston and the Islands

PLO 60% ± 9% PC 24% ± 7% NPD 12% ± 5% Projection du vote % | Kingston and the Islands 70 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-03-01 2026-05-01 2026-07-01 Élection 2025 PLO PC NPD 18 février 2026 2025-01-27 PLO 38% NPD 29% PC 26% 2025-01-27 2025-01-29 PLO 38% NPD 29% PC 27% 2025-01-29 2025-01-31 PLO 37% PC 29% NPD 28% 2025-01-31 2025-02-02 PLO 37% PC 29% NPD 28% 2025-02-02 2025-02-03 PLO 37% PC 29% NPD 28% 2025-02-03 2025-02-04 PLO 39% PC 29% NPD 27% 2025-02-04 2025-02-05 PLO 39% PC 29% NPD 26% 2025-02-05 2025-02-06 PLO 38% PC 30% NPD 26% 2025-02-06 2025-02-07 PLO 38% PC 30% NPD 26% 2025-02-07 2025-02-08 PLO 38% PC 30% NPD 27% 2025-02-08 2025-02-09 PLO 37% PC 30% NPD 27% 2025-02-09 2025-02-10 PLO 38% PC 30% NPD 27% 2025-02-10 2025-02-11 PLO 39% PC 30% NPD 25% 2025-02-11 2025-02-12 PLO 39% PC 30% NPD 25% 2025-02-12 2025-02-13 PLO 40% PC 30% NPD 25% 2025-02-13 2025-02-14 PLO 40% PC 30% NPD 24% 2025-02-14 2025-02-15 PLO 40% PC 31% NPD 24% 2025-02-15 2025-02-16 PLO 40% PC 31% NPD 24% 2025-02-16 2025-02-17 PLO 41% PC 29% NPD 24% 2025-02-17 2025-02-18 PLO 41% PC 30% NPD 24% 2025-02-18 2025-02-19 PLO 40% PC 30% NPD 24% 2025-02-19 2025-02-20 PLO 41% PC 30% NPD 24% 2025-02-20 2025-02-21 PLO 41% PC 30% NPD 24% 2025-02-21 2025-02-22 PLO 40% PC 30% NPD 24% 2025-02-22 2025-02-23 PLO 40% PC 31% NPD 25% 2025-02-23 2025-02-24 PLO 40% PC 31% NPD 25% 2025-02-24 2025-02-25 PLO 40% PC 31% NPD 25% 2025-02-25 2025-02-26 PLO 39% PC 31% NPD 24% 2025-02-26 2025-02-27 PLO 40% PC 31% NPD 24% 2025-02-27 2025-02-28 PLO 62% PC 22% NPD 12% 2025-02-28 2025-06-07 PLO 61% PC 22% NPD 12% 2025-06-07 2025-06-27 PLO 62% PC 22% NPD 12% 2025-06-27 2025-07-27 PLO 61% PC 23% NPD 12% 2025-07-27 2025-08-31 PLO 60% PC 25% NPD 10% 2025-08-31 2025-10-21 PLO 61% PC 25% NPD 10% 2025-10-21 2025-11-23 PLO 60% PC 25% NPD 11% 2025-11-23 2025-12-20 PLO 60% PC 24% NPD 12% 2025-12-20 2026-01-25 PLO 60% PC 24% NPD 12% 2026-01-25 2026-02-18 PLO 60% PC 24% NPD 12% 2026-02-18

Probabilités de victoire | Kingston and the Islands

PLO >99% NPD <1% Probabilité de victoire 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-03-01 2026-05-01 2026-07-01 Élection 2025 PLO NPD 18 février 2026 2025-01-27 PLO 95% NPD 4% 2025-01-27 2025-01-29 PLO 97% NPD 3% 2025-01-29 2025-01-31 PLO 92% NPD 3% 2025-01-31 2025-02-02 PLO 92% NPD 3% 2025-02-02 2025-02-03 PLO 94% NPD 3% 2025-02-03 2025-02-04 PLO 97% NPD <1% 2025-02-04 2025-02-05 PLO 97% NPD <1% 2025-02-05 2025-02-06 PLO 94% NPD <1% 2025-02-06 2025-02-07 PLO 95% NPD <1% 2025-02-07 2025-02-08 PLO 96% NPD <1% 2025-02-08 2025-02-09 PLO 93% NPD 1% 2025-02-09 2025-02-10 PLO 95% NPD 1% 2025-02-10 2025-02-11 PLO 96% NPD <1% 2025-02-11 2025-02-12 PLO 97% NPD <1% 2025-02-12 2025-02-13 PLO 97% NPD <1% 2025-02-13 2025-02-14 PLO 98% NPD <1% 2025-02-14 2025-02-15 PLO 98% NPD <1% 2025-02-15 2025-02-16 PLO 98% NPD <1% 2025-02-16 2025-02-17 PLO 99% NPD <1% 2025-02-17 2025-02-18 PLO 99% NPD <1% 2025-02-18 2025-02-19 PLO 98% NPD <1% 2025-02-19 2025-02-20 PLO 98% NPD <1% 2025-02-20 2025-02-21 PLO 98% NPD <1% 2025-02-21 2025-02-22 PLO 99% NPD <1% 2025-02-22 2025-02-23 PLO 97% NPD <1% 2025-02-23 2025-02-24 PLO 97% NPD <1% 2025-02-24 2025-02-25 PLO 97% NPD <1% 2025-02-25 2025-02-26 PLO 96% NPD <1% 2025-02-26 2025-02-27 PLO 95% NPD <1% 2025-02-27 2025-02-28 PLO >99% NPD <1% 2025-02-28 2025-06-07 PLO >99% NPD <1% 2025-06-07 2025-06-27 PLO >99% NPD <1% 2025-06-27 2025-07-27 PLO >99% NPD <1% 2025-07-27 2025-08-31 PLO >99% NPD <1% 2025-08-31 2025-10-21 PLO >99% NPD <1% 2025-10-21 2025-11-23 PLO >99% NPD <1% 2025-11-23 2025-12-20 PLO >99% NPD <1% 2025-12-20 2026-01-25 PLO >99% NPD <1% 2026-01-25 2026-02-18 PLO >99% NPD <1% 2026-02-18