Ontario

Historique récent | St. Catharines


2018 2022 2025 Projection NPD 44% ± 10% 36,6% 39,7% 42,0% PC 35% ± 9% 33,6% 34,4% 35,0% PLO 16% ± 6% 24,5% 16,6% 17,3% PVO 2% ± 2% 3,7% 4,1% 2,5% PNBO 2% ± 2% 0,0% 2,6% 1,7% PON 1% ± 1% 0,0% 1,4% 0,6%

Infolettre Qc125

Chargement…


Drapeau de l’Ontario

Projection Qc125 St. Catharines

Mise à jour : 18 février 2026

St. Catharines 34% 54% 44% ± 10% NPD 26% 43% 35% ± 9% PC 10% 22% 16% ± 6% PLO NPD 2025 41,98% Projection du vote | 18 février 2026
Note méthodologique. Cette projection est calculée à l'aide d'un modèle principalement proportionnel, ajusté à l'aide de sondages provinciaux et régionaux réalisés par des sondeurs professionnels. Il ne s'agit pas d'un sondage, mais d'une projection basée sur des sondages. Pour en savoir plus sur la méthodologie de Qc125, cliquez ici.
50% 100% St. Catharines 94%▲ NPD 6%▼ PC <1% PLO Probabilités de victoire | 18 février 2026
Note méthodologique. Ces chances de victoire sont celles si une élection générale avait lieu aujourd'hui. Elles sont calculées par le modèle avec des simulations de type Monte Carlo..


Projection du vote | St. Catharines

PLO 16% ± 6% PC 35% ± 9% NPD 44% ± 10% Projection du vote % | St. Catharines 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-03-01 2026-05-01 2026-07-01 Élection 2025 PLO PC NPD 18 février 2026 2025-01-27 PC 37% NPD 33% PLO 20% 2025-01-27 2025-01-29 PC 38% NPD 33% PLO 20% 2025-01-29 2025-01-31 PC 40% NPD 33% PLO 20% 2025-01-31 2025-02-02 PC 40% NPD 34% PLO 19% 2025-02-02 2025-02-03 PC 39% NPD 34% PLO 20% 2025-02-03 2025-02-04 PC 40% NPD 33% PLO 20% 2025-02-04 2025-02-05 PC 40% NPD 33% PLO 20% 2025-02-05 2025-02-06 PC 40% NPD 32% PLO 20% 2025-02-06 2025-02-07 PC 40% NPD 32% PLO 20% 2025-02-07 2025-02-08 PC 39% NPD 33% PLO 20% 2025-02-08 2025-02-09 PC 39% NPD 34% PLO 20% 2025-02-09 2025-02-10 PC 39% NPD 33% PLO 20% 2025-02-10 2025-02-11 PC 40% NPD 32% PLO 21% 2025-02-11 2025-02-12 PC 40% NPD 32% PLO 21% 2025-02-12 2025-02-13 PC 40% NPD 32% PLO 21% 2025-02-13 2025-02-14 PC 39% NPD 32% PLO 21% 2025-02-14 2025-02-15 PC 38% NPD 32% PLO 21% 2025-02-15 2025-02-16 PC 38% NPD 32% PLO 21% 2025-02-16 2025-02-17 PC 37% NPD 33% PLO 22% 2025-02-17 2025-02-18 PC 37% NPD 33% PLO 22% 2025-02-18 2025-02-19 PC 38% NPD 33% PLO 22% 2025-02-19 2025-02-20 PC 38% NPD 33% PLO 22% 2025-02-20 2025-02-21 PC 37% NPD 33% PLO 22% 2025-02-21 2025-02-22 PC 37% NPD 33% PLO 22% 2025-02-22 2025-02-23 PC 37% NPD 34% PLO 22% 2025-02-23 2025-02-24 PC 37% NPD 34% PLO 22% 2025-02-24 2025-02-25 PC 37% NPD 34% PLO 22% 2025-02-25 2025-02-26 PC 38% NPD 33% PLO 22% 2025-02-26 2025-02-27 PC 37% NPD 34% PLO 22% 2025-02-27 2025-02-28 NPD 42% PC 35% PLO 17% 2025-02-28 2025-06-07 NPD 42% PC 35% PLO 17% 2025-06-07 2025-06-27 NPD 41% PC 35% PLO 17% 2025-06-27 2025-07-27 NPD 41% PC 36% PLO 17% 2025-07-27 2025-08-31 PC 40% NPD 37% PLO 17% 2025-08-31 2025-10-21 PC 39% NPD 38% PLO 17% 2025-10-21 2025-11-23 NPD 41% PC 37% PLO 16% 2025-11-23 2025-12-20 NPD 44% PC 35% PLO 16% 2025-12-20 2026-01-25 NPD 44% PC 35% PLO 16% 2026-01-25 2026-02-18 NPD 44% PC 35% PLO 16% 2026-02-18

Probabilités de victoire | St. Catharines

PLO <1% PC 6% NPD 94% Probabilité de victoire 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-03-01 2026-05-01 2026-07-01 Élection 2025 PLO PC NPD 18 février 2026 2025-01-27 PC 77% NPD 23% PLO <1% 2025-01-27 2025-01-29 PC 78% NPD 22% PLO <1% 2025-01-29 2025-01-31 PC 88% NPD 12% PLO <1% 2025-01-31 2025-02-02 PC 85% NPD 15% PLO <1% 2025-02-02 2025-02-03 PC 82% NPD 18% PLO <1% 2025-02-03 2025-02-04 PC 89% NPD 11% PLO <1% 2025-02-04 2025-02-05 PC 90% NPD 10% PLO <1% 2025-02-05 2025-02-06 PC 92% NPD 8% PLO <1% 2025-02-06 2025-02-07 PC 92% NPD 8% PLO <1% 2025-02-07 2025-02-08 PC 86% NPD 14% PLO <1% 2025-02-08 2025-02-09 PC 83% NPD 17% PLO <1% 2025-02-09 2025-02-10 PC 86% NPD 14% PLO <1% 2025-02-10 2025-02-11 PC 90% NPD 10% PLO <1% 2025-02-11 2025-02-12 PC 93% NPD 7% PLO <1% 2025-02-12 2025-02-13 PC 93% NPD 7% PLO <1% 2025-02-13 2025-02-14 PC 91% NPD 9% PLO <1% 2025-02-14 2025-02-15 PC 87% NPD 13% PLO <1% 2025-02-15 2025-02-16 PC 87% NPD 13% PLO <1% 2025-02-16 2025-02-17 PC 79% NPD 21% PLO <1% 2025-02-17 2025-02-18 PC 79% NPD 21% PLO <1% 2025-02-18 2025-02-19 PC 84% NPD 16% PLO <1% 2025-02-19 2025-02-20 PC 84% NPD 16% PLO <1% 2025-02-20 2025-02-21 PC 75% NPD 25% PLO <1% 2025-02-21 2025-02-22 PC 75% NPD 25% PLO <1% 2025-02-22 2025-02-23 PC 74% NPD 26% PLO <1% 2025-02-23 2025-02-24 PC 74% NPD 26% PLO <1% 2025-02-24 2025-02-25 PC 74% NPD 26% PLO <1% 2025-02-25 2025-02-26 PC 82% NPD 18% PLO <1% 2025-02-26 2025-02-27 PC 70% NPD 29% PLO <1% 2025-02-27 2025-02-28 NPD 97% PC 3% PLO <1% 2025-02-28 2025-06-07 NPD 85% PC 15% PLO <1% 2025-06-07 2025-06-27 NPD 84% PC 16% PLO <1% 2025-06-27 2025-07-27 NPD 78% PC 22% PLO <1% 2025-07-27 2025-08-31 PC 73% NPD 27% PLO <1% 2025-08-31 2025-10-21 PC 56% NPD 44% PLO <1% 2025-10-21 2025-11-23 NPD 73% PC 27% PLO <1% 2025-11-23 2025-12-20 NPD 92% PC 8% PLO <1% 2025-12-20 2026-01-25 NPD 93% PC 7% PLO <1% 2026-01-25 2026-02-18 NPD 94% PC 6% PLO <1% 2026-02-18