Ontario

Historique récent | Niagara Centre


2018 2022 2025 Projection NPD 44% ± 10% 44,3% 39,7% 42,3% PC 37% ± 9% 37,5% 37,6% 37,3% PLO 14% ± 5% 11,8% 13,3% 14,7% PVO 2% ± 2% 3,7% 4,5% 2,6% PNBO 2% ± 2% 0,0% 2,8% 1,8% PON 1% ± 1% 0,0% 2,0% 1,1%

Infolettre Qc125

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Drapeau de l’Ontario

Projection Qc125 Niagara Centre

Mise à jour : 18 février 2026

Niagara Centre 35% 54% 44% ± 10% NPD 28% 46% 37% ± 9% PC 8% 19% 14% ± 5% PLO NPD 2025 42,29% Projection du vote | 18 février 2026
Note méthodologique. Cette projection est calculée à l'aide d'un modèle principalement proportionnel, ajusté à l'aide de sondages provinciaux et régionaux réalisés par des sondeurs professionnels. Il ne s'agit pas d'un sondage, mais d'une projection basée sur des sondages. Pour en savoir plus sur la méthodologie de Qc125, cliquez ici.
50% 100% Niagara Centre 88%▲ NPD 12%▼ PC <1% PLO Probabilités de victoire | 18 février 2026
Note méthodologique. Ces chances de victoire sont celles si une élection générale avait lieu aujourd'hui. Elles sont calculées par le modèle avec des simulations de type Monte Carlo..


Projection du vote | Niagara Centre

PLO 14% ± 5% PC 37% ± 9% NPD 44% ± 10% Projection du vote % | Niagara Centre 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-03-01 2026-05-01 2026-07-01 Élection 2025 PLO PC NPD 18 février 2026 2025-01-27 PC 41% NPD 34% PLO 16% 2025-01-27 2025-01-29 PC 42% NPD 33% PLO 16% 2025-01-29 2025-01-31 PC 44% NPD 33% PLO 16% 2025-01-31 2025-02-02 PC 43% NPD 34% PLO 16% 2025-02-02 2025-02-03 PC 42% NPD 34% PLO 16% 2025-02-03 2025-02-04 PC 43% NPD 33% PLO 17% 2025-02-04 2025-02-05 PC 43% NPD 33% PLO 17% 2025-02-05 2025-02-06 PC 44% NPD 32% PLO 16% 2025-02-06 2025-02-07 PC 43% NPD 33% PLO 16% 2025-02-07 2025-02-08 PC 42% NPD 33% PLO 17% 2025-02-08 2025-02-09 PC 42% NPD 34% PLO 16% 2025-02-09 2025-02-10 PC 43% NPD 33% PLO 16% 2025-02-10 2025-02-11 PC 43% NPD 33% PLO 17% 2025-02-11 2025-02-12 PC 43% NPD 32% PLO 17% 2025-02-12 2025-02-13 PC 43% NPD 32% PLO 17% 2025-02-13 2025-02-14 PC 43% NPD 32% PLO 17% 2025-02-14 2025-02-15 PC 42% NPD 33% PLO 17% 2025-02-15 2025-02-16 PC 42% NPD 33% PLO 17% 2025-02-16 2025-02-17 PC 41% NPD 34% PLO 18% 2025-02-17 2025-02-18 PC 41% NPD 34% PLO 18% 2025-02-18 2025-02-19 PC 42% NPD 33% PLO 17% 2025-02-19 2025-02-20 PC 42% NPD 33% PLO 17% 2025-02-20 2025-02-21 PC 42% NPD 33% PLO 17% 2025-02-21 2025-02-22 PC 41% NPD 34% PLO 17% 2025-02-22 2025-02-23 PC 40% NPD 35% PLO 17% 2025-02-23 2025-02-24 PC 40% NPD 35% PLO 17% 2025-02-24 2025-02-25 PC 40% NPD 35% PLO 17% 2025-02-25 2025-02-26 PC 41% NPD 34% PLO 17% 2025-02-26 2025-02-27 PC 40% NPD 35% PLO 17% 2025-02-27 2025-02-28 NPD 42% PC 37% PLO 15% 2025-02-28 2025-06-07 NPD 42% PC 38% PLO 15% 2025-06-07 2025-06-27 NPD 42% PC 38% PLO 15% 2025-06-27 2025-07-27 NPD 41% PC 39% PLO 15% 2025-07-27 2025-08-31 PC 43% NPD 37% PLO 15% 2025-08-31 2025-10-21 PC 42% NPD 38% PLO 14% 2025-10-21 2025-11-23 NPD 41% PC 40% PLO 14% 2025-11-23 2025-12-20 NPD 44% PC 37% PLO 13% 2025-12-20 2026-01-25 NPD 44% PC 37% PLO 14% 2026-01-25 2026-02-18 NPD 44% PC 37% PLO 14% 2026-02-18

Probabilités de victoire | Niagara Centre

PLO <1% PC 12% NPD 88% Probabilité de victoire 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-03-01 2026-05-01 2026-07-01 Élection 2025 PLO PC NPD 18 février 2026 2025-01-27 PC 91% NPD 9% PLO <1% 2025-01-27 2025-01-29 PC 92% NPD 8% PLO <1% 2025-01-29 2025-01-31 PC 97% NPD 3% PLO <1% 2025-01-31 2025-02-02 PC 93% NPD 7% PLO <1% 2025-02-02 2025-02-03 PC 92% NPD 8% PLO <1% 2025-02-03 2025-02-04 PC 96% NPD 4% PLO <1% 2025-02-04 2025-02-05 PC 96% NPD 4% PLO <1% 2025-02-05 2025-02-06 PC 97% NPD 3% PLO <1% 2025-02-06 2025-02-07 PC 97% NPD 3% PLO <1% 2025-02-07 2025-02-08 PC 94% NPD 6% PLO <1% 2025-02-08 2025-02-09 PC 92% NPD 8% PLO <1% 2025-02-09 2025-02-10 PC 94% NPD 6% PLO <1% 2025-02-10 2025-02-11 PC 96% NPD 4% PLO <1% 2025-02-11 2025-02-12 PC 97% NPD 3% PLO <1% 2025-02-12 2025-02-13 PC 98% NPD 2% PLO <1% 2025-02-13 2025-02-14 PC 98% NPD 2% PLO <1% 2025-02-14 2025-02-15 PC 94% NPD 6% PLO <1% 2025-02-15 2025-02-16 PC 95% NPD 5% PLO <1% 2025-02-16 2025-02-17 PC 90% NPD 10% PLO <1% 2025-02-17 2025-02-18 PC 90% NPD 10% PLO <1% 2025-02-18 2025-02-19 PC 92% NPD 8% PLO <1% 2025-02-19 2025-02-20 PC 93% NPD 7% PLO <1% 2025-02-20 2025-02-21 PC 92% NPD 8% PLO <1% 2025-02-21 2025-02-22 PC 89% NPD 11% PLO <1% 2025-02-22 2025-02-23 PC 83% NPD 17% PLO <1% 2025-02-23 2025-02-24 PC 83% NPD 17% PLO <1% 2025-02-24 2025-02-25 PC 83% NPD 17% PLO <1% 2025-02-25 2025-02-26 PC 89% NPD 11% PLO <1% 2025-02-26 2025-02-27 PC 78% NPD 22% PLO <1% 2025-02-27 2025-02-28 NPD 91% PC 9% PLO <1% 2025-02-28 2025-06-07 NPD 76% PC 24% PLO <1% 2025-06-07 2025-06-27 NPD 75% PC 25% PLO <1% 2025-06-27 2025-07-27 NPD 66% PC 34% PLO <1% 2025-07-27 2025-08-31 PC 84% NPD 16% PLO <1% 2025-08-31 2025-10-21 PC 70% NPD 30% PLO <1% 2025-10-21 2025-11-23 NPD 60% PC 40% PLO <1% 2025-11-23 2025-12-20 NPD 85% PC 15% PLO <1% 2025-12-20 2026-01-25 NPD 87% PC 13% PLO <1% 2026-01-25 2026-02-18 NPD 88% PC 12% PLO <1% 2026-02-18