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Ontario

Etobicoke North


Député(e) : Ford, Doug (PPCO)

Dernière mise à jour : 9 octobre 2024
PPCO solide
Etobicoke North 54% ± 9%▼ PPCO 26% ± 8% PLO 12% ± 5%▲ NPD 4% ± 3% PVO PPCO 2022 55,3% Projection du vote | 9 octobre 2024
Cette projection est calculée à l'aide d'un modèle essentiellement proportionnel, ajusté en fonction des sondages provinciaux et régionaux réalisés par des instituts de sondage professionnels. Il ne s'agit pas d'un sondage, mais d'une projection basée sur des sondages. Le modèle Qc125 tient également compte de l'historique électoral et d'autres données. Pour en savoir plus sur la méthodologie de Qc125, cliquez ici.
50% 100% Etobicoke North >99% PPCO <1% PLO <1% NPD Probabilités de victoire | 9 octobre 2024
Les probabilités de victoire ci-dessus sont celles si une élection avait lieu aujourd'hui. Elles sont calculées par un programme de type Monte-Carlo qui effectue des milliers de simulations d'élections générales. Les circonscriptions sont ensuite étiquettées comme étant solide (probabilités de victoire supérieures à 99,5%), probable (entre 90% et 99,5%), enclin (entre 70% et 90%) ou pivot (probabilités inférieures à 70%).


Projection du vote | Etobicoke North

PLO 26% ± 8% PPCO 54% ± 9% NPD 12% ± 5% Projection du vote % | Etobicoke North 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2022-05-01 2022-09-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-05-01 Élection 2022 PLO PPCO NPD 9 octobre 2024 2022-04-30 PPCO 48% PLO 26% NPD 18% 2022-04-30 2022-05-03 PPCO 47% PLO 26% NPD 18% 2022-05-03 2022-05-04 PPCO 48% PLO 26% NPD 18% 2022-05-04 2022-05-05 PPCO 48% PLO 26% NPD 17% 2022-05-05 2022-05-06 PPCO 48% PLO 26% NPD 18% 2022-05-06 2022-05-07 PPCO 48% PLO 26% NPD 18% 2022-05-07 2022-05-08 PPCO 47% PLO 27% NPD 18% 2022-05-08 2022-05-09 PPCO 47% PLO 27% NPD 17% 2022-05-09 2022-05-10 PPCO 47% PLO 28% NPD 17% 2022-05-10 2022-05-11 PPCO 48% PLO 26% NPD 17% 2022-05-11 2022-05-12 PPCO 48% PLO 26% NPD 17% 2022-05-12 2022-05-13 PPCO 48% PLO 26% NPD 17% 2022-05-13 2022-05-14 PPCO 48% PLO 26% NPD 17% 2022-05-14 2022-05-15 PPCO 48% PLO 25% NPD 17% 2022-05-15 2022-05-16 PPCO 47% PLO 26% NPD 18% 2022-05-16 2022-05-17 PPCO 46% PLO 29% NPD 16% 2022-05-17 2022-05-18 PPCO 46% PLO 29% NPD 16% 2022-05-18 2022-05-19 PPCO 46% PLO 28% NPD 16% 2022-05-19 2022-05-20 PPCO 45% PLO 28% NPD 17% 2022-05-20 2022-05-21 PPCO 45% PLO 28% NPD 17% 2022-05-21 2022-05-22 PPCO 45% PLO 28% NPD 17% 2022-05-22 2022-05-23 PPCO 45% PLO 28% NPD 17% 2022-05-23 2022-05-24 PPCO 45% PLO 28% NPD 17% 2022-05-24 2022-05-25 PPCO 45% PLO 27% NPD 17% 2022-05-25 2022-05-26 PPCO 45% PLO 27% NPD 17% 2022-05-26 2022-05-27 PPCO 45% PLO 27% NPD 17% 2022-05-27 2022-05-28 PPCO 46% PLO 27% NPD 17% 2022-05-28 2022-05-29 PPCO 46% PLO 27% NPD 17% 2022-05-29 2022-05-30 PPCO 46% PLO 27% NPD 17% 2022-05-30 2022-05-31 PPCO 47% PLO 26% NPD 16% 2022-05-31 2022-06-01 PPCO 51% PLO 24% NPD 15% 2022-06-01 2022-06-03 PPCO 55% PLO 24% NPD 13% 2022-06-03 2022-12-30 PPCO 55% PLO 24% NPD 13% 2022-12-30 2023-02-15 PPCO 55% PLO 24% NPD 12% 2023-02-15 2023-03-09 PPCO 54% PLO 25% NPD 12% 2023-03-09 2023-03-17 PPCO 54% PLO 25% NPD 12% 2023-03-17 2023-04-16 PPCO 55% PLO 24% NPD 13% 2023-04-16 2023-07-07 PPCO 50% PLO 25% NPD 14% 2023-07-07 2023-07-22 PPCO 50% PLO 25% NPD 14% 2023-07-22 2023-07-28 PPCO 51% PLO 25% NPD 14% 2023-07-28 2023-08-26 PPCO 51% PLO 25% NPD 14% 2023-08-26 2023-10-07 PPCO 49% PLO 27% NPD 15% 2023-10-07 2023-10-23 PPCO 51% PLO 25% NPD 14% 2023-10-23 2023-12-01 PPCO 54% PLO 24% NPD 14% 2023-12-01 2023-12-20 PPCO 53% PLO 26% NPD 14% 2023-12-20 2024-02-02 PPCO 52% PLO 26% NPD 13% 2024-02-02 2024-02-20 PPCO 48% PLO 31% NPD 13% 2024-02-20 2024-03-05 PPCO 50% PLO 29% NPD 12% 2024-03-05 2024-04-04 PPCO 51% PLO 28% NPD 13% 2024-04-04 2024-05-03 PPCO 52% PLO 28% NPD 12% 2024-05-03 2024-06-30 PPCO 53% PLO 26% NPD 12% 2024-06-30 2024-07-29 PPCO 55% PLO 26% NPD 11% 2024-07-29 2024-10-09 PPCO 54% PLO 26% NPD 12% 2024-10-09

Probabilités de victoire | Etobicoke North

PLO <1% PPCO >99% NPD <1% PVO <1% Probabilité de victoire 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2022-05-01 2022-09-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-05-01 Élection 2022 PLO PPCO NPD PVO 9 octobre 2024 2022-04-30 PPCO >99% PLO <1% PVO <1% NPD <1% 2022-04-30 2022-05-03 PPCO >99% PLO <1% PVO <1% NPD <1% 2022-05-03 2022-05-04 PPCO >99% PLO <1% PVO <1% NPD <1% 2022-05-04 2022-05-05 PPCO >99% PLO <1% PVO <1% NPD <1% 2022-05-05 2022-05-06 PPCO >99% PLO <1% PVO <1% NPD <1% 2022-05-06 2022-05-07 PPCO >99% PLO <1% PVO <1% NPD <1% 2022-05-07 2022-05-08 PPCO >99% PLO <1% PVO <1% NPD <1% 2022-05-08 2022-05-09 PPCO >99% PLO <1% PVO <1% NPD <1% 2022-05-09 2022-05-10 PPCO >99% PLO <1% PVO <1% NPD <1% 2022-05-10 2022-05-11 PPCO >99% PLO <1% PVO <1% NPD <1% 2022-05-11 2022-05-12 PPCO >99% PLO <1% PVO <1% NPD <1% 2022-05-12 2022-05-13 PPCO >99% PLO <1% PVO <1% NPD <1% 2022-05-13 2022-05-14 PPCO >99% PVO <1% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-14 2022-05-15 PPCO >99% PLO <1% PVO <1% NPD <1% 2022-05-15 2022-05-16 PPCO >99% PLO <1% PVO <1% NPD <1% 2022-05-16 2022-05-17 PPCO >99% PLO <1% PVO <1% NPD <1% 2022-05-17 2022-05-18 PPCO >99% PLO <1% PVO <1% NPD <1% 2022-05-18 2022-05-19 PPCO >99% PLO <1% PVO <1% NPD <1% 2022-05-19 2022-05-20 PPCO >99% PLO <1% PVO <1% NPD <1% 2022-05-20 2022-05-21 PPCO >99% PLO <1% PVO <1% NPD <1% 2022-05-21 2022-05-22 PPCO >99% PLO <1% PVO <1% NPD <1% 2022-05-22 2022-05-23 PPCO >99% PLO <1% PVO <1% NPD <1% 2022-05-23 2022-05-24 PPCO >99% PLO <1% PVO <1% NPD <1% 2022-05-24 2022-05-25 PPCO >99% PLO <1% PVO <1% NPD <1% 2022-05-25 2022-05-26 PPCO >99% PLO <1% PVO <1% NPD <1% 2022-05-26 2022-05-27 PPCO >99% PLO <1% PVO <1% NPD <1% 2022-05-27 2022-05-28 PPCO >99% PLO <1% PVO <1% NPD <1% 2022-05-28 2022-05-29 PPCO >99% PLO <1% PVO <1% NPD <1% 2022-05-29 2022-05-30 PPCO >99% PLO <1% PVO <1% NPD <1% 2022-05-30 2022-05-31 PPCO >99% PLO <1% PVO <1% NPD <1% 2022-05-31 2022-06-01 PPCO >99% PVO <1% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2022-06-01 2022-06-03 PPCO >99% PVO <1% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2022-06-03 2022-12-30 PPCO >99% PVO <1% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2022-12-30 2023-02-15 PPCO >99% PVO <1% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2023-02-15 2023-03-09 PPCO >99% PVO <1% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2023-03-09 2023-03-17 PPCO >99% PVO <1% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2023-03-17 2023-04-16 PPCO >99% PVO <1% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2023-04-16 2023-07-07 PPCO >99% PVO <1% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2023-07-07 2023-07-22 PPCO >99% PVO <1% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2023-07-22 2023-07-28 PPCO >99% PVO <1% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2023-07-28 2023-08-26 PPCO >99% PLO <1% PVO <1% NPD <1% 2023-08-26 2023-10-07 PPCO >99% PLO <1% PVO <1% NPD <1% 2023-10-07 2023-10-23 PPCO >99% PVO <1% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2023-10-23 2023-12-01 PPCO >99% PVO <1% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2023-12-01 2023-12-20 PPCO >99% PVO <1% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2023-12-20 2024-02-02 PPCO >99% PVO <1% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2024-02-02 2024-02-20 PPCO >99% PLO <1% PVO <1% NPD <1% 2024-02-20 2024-03-05 PPCO >99% PLO <1% PVO <1% NPD <1% 2024-03-05 2024-04-04 PPCO >99% PVO <1% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2024-04-04 2024-05-03 PPCO >99% PVO <1% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2024-05-03 2024-06-30 PPCO >99% PVO <1% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2024-06-30 2024-07-29 PPCO >99% PVO <1% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2024-07-29 2024-10-09 PPCO >99% PVO <1% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2024-10-09

Historique récent | Etobicoke North



2014 2018 2022 Proj. PPCO 22,5% 52,5% 55,3% 54% ± 9% PLO 45,6% 18,2% 23,5% 26% ± 8% NPD 25,7% 25,4% 13,1% 12% ± 5% PON 0,0% 0,0% 3,1% 2% ± 2% PVO 2,4% 2,7% 2,8% 4% ± 3% PNBO 0,0% 0,0% 1,6% 1% ± 1%