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Ontario

Brantford—Brant


Député(e) : Bouma, Will (PPCO)

Dernière mise à jour : 9 octobre 2024
PPCO solide
Brantford—Brant 44% ± 9%▼ PPCO 24% ± 7%▲ NPD 16% ± 5%▲ PLO 9% ± 5% PVO 4% ± 3% PNBO PPCO 2022 44,2% Projection du vote | 9 octobre 2024
Cette projection est calculée à l'aide d'un modèle essentiellement proportionnel, ajusté en fonction des sondages provinciaux et régionaux réalisés par des instituts de sondage professionnels. Il ne s'agit pas d'un sondage, mais d'une projection basée sur des sondages. Le modèle Qc125 tient également compte de l'historique électoral et d'autres données. Pour en savoir plus sur la méthodologie de Qc125, cliquez ici.
50% 100% Brantford—Brant >99% PPCO <1% NPD <1% PLO Probabilités de victoire | 9 octobre 2024
Les probabilités de victoire ci-dessus sont celles si une élection avait lieu aujourd'hui. Elles sont calculées par un programme de type Monte-Carlo qui effectue des milliers de simulations d'élections générales. Les circonscriptions sont ensuite étiquettées comme étant solide (probabilités de victoire supérieures à 99,5%), probable (entre 90% et 99,5%), enclin (entre 70% et 90%) ou pivot (probabilités inférieures à 70%).


Projection du vote | Brantford—Brant

PLO 16% ± 5% PPCO 44% ± 9% NPD 24% ± 7% PVO 9% ± 5% Projection du vote % | Brantford—Brant 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2022-05-01 2022-09-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-05-01 Élection 2022 PLO PPCO NPD PVO 9 octobre 2024 2022-04-30 PPCO 43% NPD 27% PLO 17% PVO 7% 2022-04-30 2022-05-03 PPCO 43% NPD 28% PLO 15% PVO 7% 2022-05-03 2022-05-04 PPCO 43% NPD 28% PLO 15% PVO 7% 2022-05-04 2022-05-05 PPCO 43% NPD 28% PLO 15% PVO 7% 2022-05-05 2022-05-06 PPCO 43% NPD 28% PLO 16% PVO 7% 2022-05-06 2022-05-07 PPCO 43% NPD 28% PLO 16% PVO 7% 2022-05-07 2022-05-08 PPCO 43% NPD 28% PLO 16% PVO 7% 2022-05-08 2022-05-09 PPCO 43% NPD 28% PLO 16% PVO 7% 2022-05-09 2022-05-10 PPCO 42% NPD 28% PLO 17% PVO 7% 2022-05-10 2022-05-11 PPCO 43% NPD 28% PLO 16% PVO 7% 2022-05-11 2022-05-12 PPCO 43% NPD 27% PLO 16% PVO 7% 2022-05-12 2022-05-13 PPCO 44% NPD 27% PLO 16% PVO 7% 2022-05-13 2022-05-14 PPCO 43% NPD 27% PLO 16% PVO 7% 2022-05-14 2022-05-15 PPCO 43% NPD 28% PLO 15% PVO 6% 2022-05-15 2022-05-16 PPCO 42% NPD 28% PLO 16% PVO 6% 2022-05-16 2022-05-17 PPCO 41% NPD 26% PLO 18% PVO 7% 2022-05-17 2022-05-18 PPCO 41% NPD 26% PLO 18% PVO 7% 2022-05-18 2022-05-19 PPCO 41% NPD 26% PLO 18% PVO 9% 2022-05-19 2022-05-20 PPCO 39% NPD 27% PLO 17% PVO 9% 2022-05-20 2022-05-21 PPCO 39% NPD 27% PLO 17% PVO 9% 2022-05-21 2022-05-22 PPCO 39% NPD 28% PLO 17% PVO 9% 2022-05-22 2022-05-23 PPCO 40% NPD 27% PLO 17% PVO 9% 2022-05-23 2022-05-24 PPCO 40% NPD 27% PLO 17% PVO 9% 2022-05-24 2022-05-25 PPCO 40% NPD 27% PLO 17% PVO 9% 2022-05-25 2022-05-26 PPCO 39% NPD 27% PLO 17% PVO 9% 2022-05-26 2022-05-27 PPCO 37% NPD 29% PLO 17% PVO 9% 2022-05-27 2022-05-28 PPCO 37% NPD 32% PLO 14% PVO 9% 2022-05-28 2022-05-29 PPCO 37% NPD 32% PLO 14% PVO 9% 2022-05-29 2022-05-30 PPCO 37% NPD 32% PLO 14% PVO 9% 2022-05-30 2022-05-31 PPCO 38% NPD 32% PLO 14% PVO 9% 2022-05-31 2022-06-01 PPCO 40% NPD 31% PLO 13% PVO 9% 2022-06-01 2022-06-03 PPCO 44% NPD 28% PLO 13% PVO 7% 2022-06-03 2022-12-30 PPCO 44% NPD 29% PLO 13% PVO 7% 2022-12-30 2023-02-15 PPCO 44% NPD 27% PLO 13% PVO 8% 2023-02-15 2023-03-09 PPCO 44% NPD 26% PLO 14% PVO 8% 2023-03-09 2023-03-17 PPCO 44% NPD 27% PLO 14% PVO 8% 2023-03-17 2023-04-16 PPCO 44% NPD 27% PLO 13% PVO 8% 2023-04-16 2023-07-07 PPCO 39% NPD 29% PLO 13% PVO 10% 2023-07-07 2023-07-22 PPCO 40% NPD 29% PLO 13% PVO 10% 2023-07-22 2023-07-28 PPCO 41% NPD 29% PLO 13% PVO 9% 2023-07-28 2023-08-26 PPCO 41% NPD 28% PLO 13% PVO 9% 2023-08-26 2023-10-07 PPCO 39% NPD 30% PLO 14% PVO 9% 2023-10-07 2023-10-23 PPCO 41% NPD 29% PLO 13% PVO 9% 2023-10-23 2023-12-01 PPCO 43% NPD 28% PLO 13% PVO 9% 2023-12-01 2023-12-20 PPCO 43% NPD 28% PLO 14% PVO 9% 2023-12-20 2024-02-02 PPCO 43% NPD 28% PLO 14% PVO 9% 2024-02-02 2024-02-20 PPCO 41% NPD 25% PLO 18% PVO 9% 2024-02-20 2024-03-05 PPCO 42% NPD 24% PLO 18% PVO 9% 2024-03-05 2024-04-04 PPCO 43% NPD 25% PLO 17% PVO 9% 2024-04-04 2024-05-03 PPCO 43% NPD 24% PLO 16% PVO 9% 2024-05-03 2024-06-30 PPCO 44% NPD 24% PLO 16% PVO 9% 2024-06-30 2024-07-29 PPCO 46% NPD 23% PLO 15% PVO 9% 2024-07-29 2024-10-09 PPCO 44% NPD 24% PLO 16% PVO 9% 2024-10-09

Probabilités de victoire | Brantford—Brant

PLO <1% PPCO >99% NPD <1% PVO <1% Probabilité de victoire 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2022-05-01 2022-09-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-05-01 Élection 2022 PLO PPCO NPD PVO 9 octobre 2024 2022-04-30 PPCO >99% NPD <1% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2022-04-30 2022-05-03 PPCO >99% NPD <1% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-03 2022-05-04 PPCO >99% NPD <1% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-04 2022-05-05 PPCO >99% NPD <1% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-05 2022-05-06 PPCO >99% NPD <1% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-06 2022-05-07 PPCO >99% NPD <1% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-07 2022-05-08 PPCO >99% NPD <1% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-08 2022-05-09 PPCO >99% NPD <1% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-09 2022-05-10 PPCO >99% NPD <1% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-10 2022-05-11 PPCO >99% NPD <1% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-11 2022-05-12 PPCO >99% NPD <1% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-12 2022-05-13 PPCO >99% NPD <1% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-13 2022-05-14 PPCO >99% NPD <1% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-14 2022-05-15 PPCO >99% NPD <1% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-15 2022-05-16 PPCO >99% NPD <1% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-16 2022-05-17 PPCO >99% NPD <1% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-17 2022-05-18 PPCO >99% NPD <1% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-18 2022-05-19 PPCO >99% NPD <1% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-19 2022-05-20 PPCO 99% NPD 1% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-20 2022-05-21 PPCO 99% NPD 1% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-21 2022-05-22 PPCO 99% NPD 1% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-22 2022-05-23 PPCO >99% NPD <1% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-23 2022-05-24 PPCO >99% NPD <1% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-24 2022-05-25 PPCO >99% NPD <1% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-25 2022-05-26 PPCO >99% NPD <1% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-26 2022-05-27 PPCO 93% NPD 7% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-27 2022-05-28 PPCO 86% NPD 14% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-28 2022-05-29 PPCO 86% NPD 14% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-29 2022-05-30 PPCO 86% NPD 14% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-30 2022-05-31 PPCO 87% NPD 13% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-31 2022-06-01 PPCO 97% NPD 3% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2022-06-01 2022-06-03 PPCO >99% PVO <1% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2022-06-03 2022-12-30 PPCO >99% NPD <1% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2022-12-30 2023-02-15 PPCO >99% NPD <1% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2023-02-15 2023-03-09 PPCO >99% NPD <1% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2023-03-09 2023-03-17 PPCO >99% NPD <1% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2023-03-17 2023-04-16 PPCO >99% NPD <1% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2023-04-16 2023-07-07 PPCO 98% NPD 2% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2023-07-07 2023-07-22 PPCO 98% NPD 2% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2023-07-22 2023-07-28 PPCO 99% NPD 1% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2023-07-28 2023-08-26 PPCO 99% NPD 1% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2023-08-26 2023-10-07 PPCO 96% NPD 4% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2023-10-07 2023-10-23 PPCO 99% NPD 1% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2023-10-23 2023-12-01 PPCO >99% NPD <1% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2023-12-01 2023-12-20 PPCO >99% NPD <1% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2023-12-20 2024-02-02 PPCO >99% NPD <1% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2024-02-02 2024-02-20 PPCO >99% NPD <1% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2024-02-20 2024-03-05 PPCO >99% NPD <1% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2024-03-05 2024-04-04 PPCO >99% NPD <1% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2024-04-04 2024-05-03 PPCO >99% NPD <1% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2024-05-03 2024-06-30 PPCO >99% NPD <1% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2024-06-30 2024-07-29 PPCO >99% PVO <1% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2024-07-29 2024-10-09 PPCO >99% PVO <1% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2024-10-09

Historique récent | Brantford—Brant



2014 2018 2022 Proj. PPCO 29,5% 42,0% 44,2% 44% ± 9% NPD 27,4% 40,9% 28,3% 24% ± 7% PLO 37,9% 9,5% 13,0% 16% ± 5% PVO 4,0% 4,7% 6,8% 9% ± 5% PNBO 0,0% 0,0% 4,4% 4% ± 3% PON 0,0% 0,0% 1,4% 1% ± 1%