Ontario

Historique récent | Leeds—Grenville—1000 Islands & Rideau Lakes


2018 2022 2025 Projection PC 57% ± 9% 61,3% 57,8% 54,9% PLO 26% ± 8% 13,4% 18,3% 27,1% NPD 9% ± 4% 19,8% 13,3% 9,8% PVO 4% ± 3% 4,8% 6,1% 4,6% PNBO 2% ± 2% 0,0% 2,2% 1,6% PON 1% ± 1% 0,0% 1,3% 1,2%

Infolettre Qc125

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Projection Qc125 Leeds—Grenville—1000 Islands & Rideau Lakes

Mise à jour : 18 février 2026

Leeds—Grenville—1000 Islands & Rideau Lakes 48% 66% 57% ± 9% PC 18% 34% 26% ± 8% PLO 5% 14% 9% ± 4% NPD 1% 7% 4% ± 3% PVO PC 2025 54,94% Projection du vote | 18 février 2026
Note méthodologique. Cette projection est calculée à l'aide d'un modèle principalement proportionnel, ajusté à l'aide de sondages provinciaux et régionaux réalisés par des sondeurs professionnels. Il ne s'agit pas d'un sondage, mais d'une projection basée sur des sondages. Pour en savoir plus sur la méthodologie de Qc125, cliquez ici.
50% 100% Leeds—Grenville—1000 Islands & Rideau Lakes >99% PC <1% PLO <1% NPD Probabilités de victoire | 18 février 2026
Note méthodologique. Ces chances de victoire sont celles si une élection générale avait lieu aujourd'hui. Elles sont calculées par le modèle avec des simulations de type Monte Carlo..


Projection du vote | Leeds—Grenville—1000 Islands & Rideau Lakes

PLO 26% ± 8% PC 57% ± 9% NPD 9% ± 4% PVO 4% ± 3% Projection du vote % | Leeds—Grenville—1000 Islands & Rideau Lakes 70 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-03-01 2026-05-01 2026-07-01 Élection 2025 PLO PC NPD PVO 18 février 2026 2025-01-27 PC 58% PLO 19% NPD 12% PVO 7% 2025-01-27 2025-01-29 PC 58% PLO 19% NPD 12% PVO 8% 2025-01-29 2025-01-31 PC 61% PLO 18% NPD 12% PVO 7% 2025-01-31 2025-02-02 PC 61% PLO 18% NPD 12% PVO 7% 2025-02-02 2025-02-03 PC 60% PLO 19% NPD 12% PVO 7% 2025-02-03 2025-02-04 PC 61% PLO 19% NPD 11% PVO 7% 2025-02-04 2025-02-05 PC 61% PLO 19% NPD 11% PVO 7% 2025-02-05 2025-02-06 PC 62% PLO 19% NPD 11% PVO 7% 2025-02-06 2025-02-07 PC 62% PLO 19% NPD 11% PVO 7% 2025-02-07 2025-02-08 PC 61% PLO 19% NPD 11% PVO 7% 2025-02-08 2025-02-09 PC 61% PLO 18% NPD 11% PVO 7% 2025-02-09 2025-02-10 PC 61% PLO 19% NPD 11% PVO 7% 2025-02-10 2025-02-11 PC 62% PLO 19% NPD 10% PVO 7% 2025-02-11 2025-02-12 PC 62% PLO 19% NPD 10% PVO 7% 2025-02-12 2025-02-13 PC 62% PLO 19% NPD 10% PVO 7% 2025-02-13 2025-02-14 PC 62% PLO 19% NPD 10% PVO 7% 2025-02-14 2025-02-15 PC 62% PLO 19% NPD 9% PVO 7% 2025-02-15 2025-02-16 PC 62% PLO 19% NPD 9% PVO 7% 2025-02-16 2025-02-17 PC 61% PLO 20% NPD 10% PVO 7% 2025-02-17 2025-02-18 PC 61% PLO 20% NPD 10% PVO 7% 2025-02-18 2025-02-19 PC 62% PLO 19% NPD 10% PVO 7% 2025-02-19 2025-02-20 PC 62% PLO 19% NPD 10% PVO 7% 2025-02-20 2025-02-21 PC 62% PLO 19% NPD 10% PVO 7% 2025-02-21 2025-02-22 PC 62% PLO 19% NPD 10% PVO 7% 2025-02-22 2025-02-23 PC 62% PLO 19% NPD 10% PVO 7% 2025-02-23 2025-02-24 PC 62% PLO 19% NPD 10% PVO 7% 2025-02-24 2025-02-25 PC 62% PLO 19% NPD 10% PVO 7% 2025-02-25 2025-02-26 PC 63% PLO 19% NPD 9% PVO 7% 2025-02-26 2025-02-27 PC 63% PLO 19% NPD 9% PVO 7% 2025-02-27 2025-02-28 PC 55% PLO 27% NPD 10% PVO 5% 2025-02-28 2025-06-07 PC 55% PLO 27% NPD 10% PVO 5% 2025-06-07 2025-06-27 PC 55% PLO 27% NPD 10% PVO 5% 2025-06-27 2025-07-27 PC 56% PLO 27% NPD 9% PVO 4% 2025-07-27 2025-08-31 PC 59% PLO 25% NPD 8% PVO 4% 2025-08-31 2025-10-21 PC 59% PLO 26% NPD 8% PVO 4% 2025-10-21 2025-11-23 PC 59% PLO 25% NPD 8% PVO 4% 2025-11-23 2025-12-20 PC 57% PLO 26% NPD 9% PVO 4% 2025-12-20 2026-01-25 PC 57% PLO 26% NPD 9% PVO 4% 2026-01-25 2026-02-18 PC 57% PLO 26% NPD 9% PVO 4% 2026-02-18

Probabilités de victoire | Leeds—Grenville—1000 Islands & Rideau Lakes

PLO <1% PC >99% NPD <1% Probabilité de victoire 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-03-01 2026-05-01 2026-07-01 Élection 2025 PLO PC NPD 18 février 2026 2025-01-27 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-01-27 2025-01-29 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-01-29 2025-01-31 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-01-31 2025-02-02 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-02 2025-02-03 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-03 2025-02-04 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-04 2025-02-05 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-05 2025-02-06 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-06 2025-02-07 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-07 2025-02-08 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-08 2025-02-09 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-09 2025-02-10 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-10 2025-02-11 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-11 2025-02-12 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-12 2025-02-13 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-13 2025-02-14 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-14 2025-02-15 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-15 2025-02-16 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-16 2025-02-17 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-17 2025-02-18 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-18 2025-02-19 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-19 2025-02-20 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-20 2025-02-21 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-21 2025-02-22 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-22 2025-02-23 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-23 2025-02-24 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-24 2025-02-25 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-25 2025-02-26 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-26 2025-02-27 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-27 2025-02-28 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-02-28 2025-06-07 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-06-07 2025-06-27 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-06-27 2025-07-27 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-07-27 2025-08-31 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-08-31 2025-10-21 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-10-21 2025-11-23 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-11-23 2025-12-20 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2025-12-20 2026-01-25 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2026-01-25 2026-02-18 PC >99% NPD <1% PLO <1% 2026-02-18