Ontario

Historique récent | Markham—Stouffville


2018 2022 2025 Projection PC 52% ± 10% 48,1% 48,4% 50,6% PLO 40% ± 10% 26,0% 35,5% 41,4% NPD 4% ± 3% 20,4% 9,5% 4,6% PVO 2% ± 2% 4,0% 3,9% 2,3% PNBO 1% ± 1% 0,0% 1,5% 1,1%

Infolettre Qc125

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Drapeau de l’Ontario

Projection Qc125 Markham—Stouffville

Mise à jour : 18 février 2026

Markham—Stouffville 43% 62% 52% ± 10% PC 30% 50% 40% ± 10% PLO 2% 7% 4% ± 3% NPD PC 2025 50,64% Projection du vote | 18 février 2026
Note méthodologique. Cette projection est calculée à l'aide d'un modèle principalement proportionnel, ajusté à l'aide de sondages provinciaux et régionaux réalisés par des sondeurs professionnels. Il ne s'agit pas d'un sondage, mais d'une projection basée sur des sondages. Pour en savoir plus sur la méthodologie de Qc125, cliquez ici.
50% 100% Markham—Stouffville 97% PC 3% PLO <1% NPD Probabilités de victoire | 18 février 2026
Note méthodologique. Ces chances de victoire sont celles si une élection générale avait lieu aujourd'hui. Elles sont calculées par le modèle avec des simulations de type Monte Carlo..


Projection du vote | Markham—Stouffville

PLO 40% ± 10% PC 52% ± 10% NPD 4% ± 3% Projection du vote % | Markham—Stouffville 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-03-01 2026-05-01 2026-07-01 Élection 2025 PLO PC NPD 18 février 2026 2025-01-27 PC 48% PLO 37% NPD 9% 2025-01-27 2025-01-29 PC 48% PLO 37% NPD 9% 2025-01-29 2025-01-31 PC 50% PLO 36% NPD 9% 2025-01-31 2025-02-02 PC 51% PLO 35% NPD 9% 2025-02-02 2025-02-03 PC 50% PLO 36% NPD 9% 2025-02-03 2025-02-04 PC 50% PLO 37% NPD 8% 2025-02-04 2025-02-05 PC 50% PLO 37% NPD 8% 2025-02-05 2025-02-06 PC 51% PLO 36% NPD 8% 2025-02-06 2025-02-07 PC 51% PLO 36% NPD 8% 2025-02-07 2025-02-08 PC 48% PLO 38% NPD 8% 2025-02-08 2025-02-09 PC 49% PLO 37% NPD 8% 2025-02-09 2025-02-10 PC 49% PLO 38% NPD 8% 2025-02-10 2025-02-11 PC 49% PLO 38% NPD 8% 2025-02-11 2025-02-12 PC 48% PLO 39% NPD 7% 2025-02-12 2025-02-13 PC 49% PLO 39% NPD 8% 2025-02-13 2025-02-14 PC 49% PLO 39% NPD 7% 2025-02-14 2025-02-15 PC 49% PLO 39% NPD 7% 2025-02-15 2025-02-16 PC 49% PLO 39% NPD 7% 2025-02-16 2025-02-17 PC 48% PLO 40% NPD 7% 2025-02-17 2025-02-18 PC 48% PLO 40% NPD 7% 2025-02-18 2025-02-19 PC 49% PLO 39% NPD 7% 2025-02-19 2025-02-20 PC 49% PLO 39% NPD 7% 2025-02-20 2025-02-21 PC 49% PLO 39% NPD 7% 2025-02-21 2025-02-22 PC 49% PLO 39% NPD 7% 2025-02-22 2025-02-23 PC 49% PLO 39% NPD 7% 2025-02-23 2025-02-24 PC 49% PLO 39% NPD 7% 2025-02-24 2025-02-25 PC 49% PLO 39% NPD 7% 2025-02-25 2025-02-26 PC 49% PLO 39% NPD 7% 2025-02-26 2025-02-27 PC 49% PLO 39% NPD 7% 2025-02-27 2025-02-28 PC 51% PLO 41% NPD 5% 2025-02-28 2025-06-07 PC 51% PLO 41% NPD 5% 2025-06-07 2025-06-27 PC 51% PLO 41% NPD 4% 2025-06-27 2025-07-27 PC 52% PLO 41% NPD 4% 2025-07-27 2025-08-31 PC 55% PLO 39% NPD 4% 2025-08-31 2025-10-21 PC 54% PLO 39% NPD 4% 2025-10-21 2025-11-23 PC 54% PLO 39% NPD 4% 2025-11-23 2025-12-20 PC 53% PLO 39% NPD 4% 2025-12-20 2026-01-25 PC 53% PLO 40% NPD 4% 2026-01-25 2026-02-18 PC 52% PLO 40% NPD 4% 2026-02-18

Probabilités de victoire | Markham—Stouffville

PLO 3% PC 97% NPD <1% Probabilité de victoire 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-03-01 2026-05-01 2026-07-01 Élection 2025 PLO PC NPD 18 février 2026 2025-01-27 PC 96% PLO 4% NPD <1% 2025-01-27 2025-01-29 PC 97% PLO 3% NPD <1% 2025-01-29 2025-01-31 PC 99% PLO 1% NPD <1% 2025-01-31 2025-02-02 PC 99% PLO 1% NPD <1% 2025-02-02 2025-02-03 PC 99% PLO 1% NPD <1% 2025-02-03 2025-02-04 PC 98% PLO 2% NPD <1% 2025-02-04 2025-02-05 PC 98% PLO 2% NPD <1% 2025-02-05 2025-02-06 PC 99% PLO 1% NPD <1% 2025-02-06 2025-02-07 PC 99% PLO 1% NPD <1% 2025-02-07 2025-02-08 PC 94% PLO 6% NPD <1% 2025-02-08 2025-02-09 PC 97% PLO 3% NPD <1% 2025-02-09 2025-02-10 PC 96% PLO 4% NPD <1% 2025-02-10 2025-02-11 PC 95% PLO 5% NPD <1% 2025-02-11 2025-02-12 PC 94% PLO 6% NPD <1% 2025-02-12 2025-02-13 PC 94% PLO 6% NPD <1% 2025-02-13 2025-02-14 PC 93% PLO 7% NPD <1% 2025-02-14 2025-02-15 PC 95% PLO 5% NPD <1% 2025-02-15 2025-02-16 PC 96% PLO 4% NPD <1% 2025-02-16 2025-02-17 PC 90% PLO 10% NPD <1% 2025-02-17 2025-02-18 PC 89% PLO 11% NPD <1% 2025-02-18 2025-02-19 PC 93% PLO 7% NPD <1% 2025-02-19 2025-02-20 PC 94% PLO 6% NPD <1% 2025-02-20 2025-02-21 PC 93% PLO 7% NPD <1% 2025-02-21 2025-02-22 PC 95% PLO 5% NPD <1% 2025-02-22 2025-02-23 PC 94% PLO 6% NPD <1% 2025-02-23 2025-02-24 PC 95% PLO 5% NPD <1% 2025-02-24 2025-02-25 PC 95% PLO 5% NPD <1% 2025-02-25 2025-02-26 PC 96% PLO 4% NPD <1% 2025-02-26 2025-02-27 PC 95% PLO 5% NPD <1% 2025-02-27 2025-02-28 PC 99% PLO 1% NPD <1% 2025-02-28 2025-06-07 PC 92% PLO 8% NPD <1% 2025-06-07 2025-06-27 PC 92% PLO 8% NPD <1% 2025-06-27 2025-07-27 PC 94% PLO 6% NPD <1% 2025-07-27 2025-08-31 PC 99% PLO 1% NPD <1% 2025-08-31 2025-10-21 PC 99% PLO 1% NPD <1% 2025-10-21 2025-11-23 PC 99% PLO 1% NPD <1% 2025-11-23 2025-12-20 PC 98% PLO 2% NPD <1% 2025-12-20 2026-01-25 PC 97% PLO 3% NPD <1% 2026-01-25 2026-02-18 PC 97% PLO 3% NPD <1% 2026-02-18