Ontario

Historique récent | Ottawa South


2018 2022 2025 Projection PLO 52% ± 10% 39,6% 45,1% 53,2% PC 26% ± 8% 29,2% 23,2% 24,6% NPD 17% ± 7% 27,2% 23,8% 17,8% PVO 3% ± 2% 3,1% 4,7% 2,9% PNBO 2% ± 2% 0,0% 1,7% 1,5%

Infolettre Qc125

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Drapeau de l’Ontario

Projection Qc125 Ottawa South

Mise à jour : 18 février 2026

Ottawa South 43% 62% 52% ± 10% PLO 18% 34% 26% ± 8% PC 11% 24% 17% ± 7% NPD PLO 2025 53,23% Projection du vote | 18 février 2026
Note méthodologique. Cette projection est calculée à l'aide d'un modèle principalement proportionnel, ajusté à l'aide de sondages provinciaux et régionaux réalisés par des sondeurs professionnels. Il ne s'agit pas d'un sondage, mais d'une projection basée sur des sondages. Pour en savoir plus sur la méthodologie de Qc125, cliquez ici.
50% 100% Ottawa South >99% PLO <1% PC <1% NPD Probabilités de victoire | 18 février 2026
Note méthodologique. Ces chances de victoire sont celles si une élection générale avait lieu aujourd'hui. Elles sont calculées par le modèle avec des simulations de type Monte Carlo..


Projection du vote | Ottawa South

PLO 52% ± 10% PC 26% ± 8% NPD 17% ± 7% Projection du vote % | Ottawa South 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-03-01 2026-05-01 2026-07-01 Élection 2025 PLO PC NPD 18 février 2026 2025-01-27 PLO 46% PC 25% NPD 21% 2025-01-27 2025-01-29 PLO 46% PC 25% NPD 21% 2025-01-29 2025-01-31 PLO 45% PC 28% NPD 21% 2025-01-31 2025-02-02 PLO 45% PC 28% NPD 21% 2025-02-02 2025-02-03 PLO 45% PC 27% NPD 21% 2025-02-03 2025-02-04 PLO 46% PC 28% NPD 19% 2025-02-04 2025-02-05 PLO 46% PC 28% NPD 19% 2025-02-05 2025-02-06 PLO 45% PC 28% NPD 19% 2025-02-06 2025-02-07 PLO 46% PC 28% NPD 19% 2025-02-07 2025-02-08 PLO 46% PC 28% NPD 19% 2025-02-08 2025-02-09 PLO 45% PC 28% NPD 20% 2025-02-09 2025-02-10 PLO 45% PC 28% NPD 19% 2025-02-10 2025-02-11 PLO 46% PC 28% NPD 18% 2025-02-11 2025-02-12 PLO 47% PC 28% NPD 18% 2025-02-12 2025-02-13 PLO 47% PC 29% NPD 18% 2025-02-13 2025-02-14 PLO 48% PC 29% NPD 17% 2025-02-14 2025-02-15 PLO 48% PC 29% NPD 17% 2025-02-15 2025-02-16 PLO 48% PC 29% NPD 17% 2025-02-16 2025-02-17 PLO 49% PC 28% NPD 17% 2025-02-17 2025-02-18 PLO 48% PC 28% NPD 17% 2025-02-18 2025-02-19 PLO 48% PC 28% NPD 17% 2025-02-19 2025-02-20 PLO 48% PC 28% NPD 17% 2025-02-20 2025-02-21 PLO 48% PC 28% NPD 17% 2025-02-21 2025-02-22 PLO 48% PC 28% NPD 17% 2025-02-22 2025-02-23 PLO 48% PC 28% NPD 17% 2025-02-23 2025-02-24 PLO 48% PC 28% NPD 17% 2025-02-24 2025-02-25 PLO 48% PC 28% NPD 17% 2025-02-25 2025-02-26 PLO 48% PC 29% NPD 17% 2025-02-26 2025-02-27 PLO 48% PC 29% NPD 17% 2025-02-27 2025-02-28 PLO 53% PC 25% NPD 18% 2025-02-28 2025-06-07 PLO 53% PC 25% NPD 18% 2025-06-07 2025-06-27 PLO 53% PC 25% NPD 17% 2025-06-27 2025-07-27 PLO 53% PC 25% NPD 17% 2025-07-27 2025-08-31 PLO 53% PC 28% NPD 15% 2025-08-31 2025-10-21 PLO 53% PC 28% NPD 14% 2025-10-21 2025-11-23 PLO 52% PC 28% NPD 16% 2025-11-23 2025-12-20 PLO 52% PC 26% NPD 17% 2025-12-20 2026-01-25 PLO 52% PC 26% NPD 17% 2026-01-25 2026-02-18 PLO 52% PC 26% NPD 17% 2026-02-18

Probabilités de victoire | Ottawa South

PLO >99% NPD <1% Probabilité de victoire 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-03-01 2026-05-01 2026-07-01 Élection 2025 PLO NPD 18 février 2026 2025-01-27 PLO >99% NPD <1% 2025-01-27 2025-01-29 PLO >99% NPD <1% 2025-01-29 2025-01-31 PLO >99% NPD <1% 2025-01-31 2025-02-02 PLO >99% NPD <1% 2025-02-02 2025-02-03 PLO >99% NPD <1% 2025-02-03 2025-02-04 PLO >99% NPD <1% 2025-02-04 2025-02-05 PLO >99% NPD <1% 2025-02-05 2025-02-06 PLO >99% NPD <1% 2025-02-06 2025-02-07 PLO >99% NPD <1% 2025-02-07 2025-02-08 PLO >99% NPD <1% 2025-02-08 2025-02-09 PLO >99% NPD <1% 2025-02-09 2025-02-10 PLO >99% NPD <1% 2025-02-10 2025-02-11 PLO >99% NPD <1% 2025-02-11 2025-02-12 PLO >99% NPD <1% 2025-02-12 2025-02-13 PLO >99% NPD <1% 2025-02-13 2025-02-14 PLO >99% NPD <1% 2025-02-14 2025-02-15 PLO >99% NPD <1% 2025-02-15 2025-02-16 PLO >99% NPD <1% 2025-02-16 2025-02-17 PLO >99% NPD <1% 2025-02-17 2025-02-18 PLO >99% NPD <1% 2025-02-18 2025-02-19 PLO >99% NPD <1% 2025-02-19 2025-02-20 PLO >99% NPD <1% 2025-02-20 2025-02-21 PLO >99% NPD <1% 2025-02-21 2025-02-22 PLO >99% NPD <1% 2025-02-22 2025-02-23 PLO >99% NPD <1% 2025-02-23 2025-02-24 PLO >99% NPD <1% 2025-02-24 2025-02-25 PLO >99% NPD <1% 2025-02-25 2025-02-26 PLO >99% NPD <1% 2025-02-26 2025-02-27 PLO >99% NPD <1% 2025-02-27 2025-02-28 PLO >99% NPD <1% 2025-02-28 2025-06-07 PLO >99% NPD <1% 2025-06-07 2025-06-27 PLO >99% NPD <1% 2025-06-27 2025-07-27 PLO >99% NPD <1% 2025-07-27 2025-08-31 PLO >99% NPD <1% 2025-08-31 2025-10-21 PLO >99% NPD <1% 2025-10-21 2025-11-23 PLO >99% NPD <1% 2025-11-23 2025-12-20 PLO >99% NPD <1% 2025-12-20 2026-01-25 PLO >99% NPD <1% 2026-01-25 2026-02-18 PLO >99% NPD <1% 2026-02-18