Ontario

Historique récent | Bay of Quinte


2018 2022 2025 Projection PC 46% ± 9% 48,1% 49,3% 44,4% PLO 30% ± 8% 14,9% 18,5% 31,5% NPD 18% ± 6% 31,8% 20,9% 18,5% PVO 3% ± 2% 3,4% 6,3% 3,4% PNBO 1% ± 1% 0,0% 2,6% 1,1% PON 1% ± 1% 0,0% 2,5% 1,1%

Infolettre Qc125

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Drapeau de l’Ontario

Projection Qc125 Bay of Quinte

Mise à jour : 18 février 2026

Bay of Quinte 37% 55% 46% ± 9% PC 22% 39% 30% ± 8% PLO 12% 24% 18% ± 6% NPD PC 2025 44,42% Projection du vote | 18 février 2026
Note méthodologique. Cette projection est calculée à l'aide d'un modèle principalement proportionnel, ajusté à l'aide de sondages provinciaux et régionaux réalisés par des sondeurs professionnels. Il ne s'agit pas d'un sondage, mais d'une projection basée sur des sondages. Pour en savoir plus sur la méthodologie de Qc125, cliquez ici.
50% 100% Bay of Quinte >99% PC <1% PLO <1% NPD Probabilités de victoire | 18 février 2026
Note méthodologique. Ces chances de victoire sont celles si une élection générale avait lieu aujourd'hui. Elles sont calculées par le modèle avec des simulations de type Monte Carlo..


Projection du vote | Bay of Quinte

PLO 30% ± 8% PC 46% ± 9% NPD 18% ± 6% PVO 3% ± 2% Projection du vote % | Bay of Quinte 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-03-01 2026-05-01 2026-07-01 Élection 2025 PLO PC NPD PVO 18 février 2026 2025-01-27 PC 41% PLO 30% NPD 20% PVO 6% 2025-01-27 2025-01-29 PC 41% PLO 30% NPD 19% PVO 6% 2025-01-29 2025-01-31 PC 44% PLO 29% NPD 19% PVO 6% 2025-01-31 2025-02-02 PC 44% PLO 29% NPD 19% PVO 6% 2025-02-02 2025-02-03 PC 43% PLO 30% NPD 19% PVO 6% 2025-02-03 2025-02-04 PC 44% PLO 31% NPD 17% PVO 6% 2025-02-04 2025-02-05 PC 44% PLO 31% NPD 17% PVO 6% 2025-02-05 2025-02-06 PC 45% PLO 30% NPD 17% PVO 6% 2025-02-06 2025-02-07 PC 44% PLO 30% NPD 17% PVO 6% 2025-02-07 2025-02-08 PC 44% PLO 30% NPD 17% PVO 6% 2025-02-08 2025-02-09 PC 44% PLO 30% NPD 18% PVO 6% 2025-02-09 2025-02-10 PC 44% PLO 30% NPD 18% PVO 6% 2025-02-10 2025-02-11 PC 45% PLO 31% NPD 17% PVO 6% 2025-02-11 2025-02-12 PC 45% PLO 31% NPD 16% PVO 6% 2025-02-12 2025-02-13 PC 45% PLO 31% NPD 16% PVO 6% 2025-02-13 2025-02-14 PC 45% PLO 31% NPD 16% PVO 6% 2025-02-14 2025-02-15 PC 45% PLO 31% NPD 15% PVO 6% 2025-02-15 2025-02-16 PC 45% PLO 31% NPD 15% PVO 6% 2025-02-16 2025-02-17 PC 44% PLO 32% NPD 16% PVO 6% 2025-02-17 2025-02-18 PC 44% PLO 32% NPD 16% PVO 6% 2025-02-18 2025-02-19 PC 45% PLO 31% NPD 15% PVO 6% 2025-02-19 2025-02-20 PC 45% PLO 31% NPD 15% PVO 6% 2025-02-20 2025-02-21 PC 45% PLO 31% NPD 15% PVO 6% 2025-02-21 2025-02-22 PC 46% PLO 29% NPD 16% PVO 6% 2025-02-22 2025-02-23 PC 46% PLO 29% NPD 16% PVO 6% 2025-02-23 2025-02-24 PC 46% PLO 29% NPD 16% PVO 6% 2025-02-24 2025-02-25 PC 46% PLO 29% NPD 16% PVO 6% 2025-02-25 2025-02-26 PC 47% PLO 29% NPD 16% PVO 6% 2025-02-26 2025-02-27 PC 47% PLO 29% NPD 16% PVO 6% 2025-02-27 2025-02-28 PC 44% PLO 31% NPD 19% PVO 3% 2025-02-28 2025-06-07 PC 45% PLO 31% NPD 18% PVO 3% 2025-06-07 2025-06-27 PC 45% PLO 32% NPD 18% PVO 3% 2025-06-27 2025-07-27 PC 45% PLO 31% NPD 18% PVO 3% 2025-07-27 2025-08-31 PC 49% PLO 30% NPD 15% PVO 3% 2025-08-31 2025-10-21 PC 49% PLO 31% NPD 15% PVO 3% 2025-10-21 2025-11-23 PC 48% PLO 30% NPD 16% PVO 3% 2025-11-23 2025-12-20 PC 47% PLO 30% NPD 18% PVO 3% 2025-12-20 2026-01-25 PC 47% PLO 30% NPD 18% PVO 3% 2026-01-25 2026-02-18 PC 46% PLO 30% NPD 18% PVO 3% 2026-02-18

Probabilités de victoire | Bay of Quinte

PLO <1% PC >99% NPD <1% Probabilité de victoire 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 2025-09-01 2025-11-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-03-01 2026-05-01 2026-07-01 Élection 2025 PLO PC NPD 18 février 2026 2025-01-27 PC 96% PLO 4% NPD <1% 2025-01-27 2025-01-29 PC 97% PLO 3% NPD <1% 2025-01-29 2025-01-31 PC 99% PLO 1% NPD <1% 2025-01-31 2025-02-02 PC >99% PLO <1% NPD <1% 2025-02-02 2025-02-03 PC 99% PLO 1% NPD <1% 2025-02-03 2025-02-04 PC 99% PLO 1% NPD <1% 2025-02-04 2025-02-05 PC 99% PLO 1% NPD <1% 2025-02-05 2025-02-06 PC 99% PLO 1% NPD <1% 2025-02-06 2025-02-07 PC 99% PLO 1% NPD <1% 2025-02-07 2025-02-08 PC 99% PLO 1% NPD <1% 2025-02-08 2025-02-09 PC >99% PLO <1% NPD <1% 2025-02-09 2025-02-10 PC >99% PLO <1% NPD <1% 2025-02-10 2025-02-11 PC 99% PLO 1% NPD <1% 2025-02-11 2025-02-12 PC 99% PLO 1% NPD <1% 2025-02-12 2025-02-13 PC 99% PLO 1% NPD <1% 2025-02-13 2025-02-14 PC 99% PLO 1% NPD <1% 2025-02-14 2025-02-15 PC 99% PLO 1% NPD <1% 2025-02-15 2025-02-16 PC 99% PLO 1% NPD <1% 2025-02-16 2025-02-17 PC 99% PLO 1% NPD <1% 2025-02-17 2025-02-18 PC 98% PLO 2% NPD <1% 2025-02-18 2025-02-19 PC 99% PLO 1% NPD <1% 2025-02-19 2025-02-20 PC 99% PLO 1% NPD <1% 2025-02-20 2025-02-21 PC 99% PLO 1% NPD <1% 2025-02-21 2025-02-22 PC >99% PLO <1% NPD <1% 2025-02-22 2025-02-23 PC >99% PLO <1% NPD <1% 2025-02-23 2025-02-24 PC >99% PLO <1% NPD <1% 2025-02-24 2025-02-25 PC >99% PLO <1% NPD <1% 2025-02-25 2025-02-26 PC >99% PLO <1% NPD <1% 2025-02-26 2025-02-27 PC >99% PLO <1% NPD <1% 2025-02-27 2025-02-28 PC >99% PLO <1% NPD <1% 2025-02-28 2025-06-07 PC 99% PLO 1% NPD <1% 2025-06-07 2025-06-27 PC 99% PLO 1% NPD <1% 2025-06-27 2025-07-27 PC 99% PLO 1% NPD <1% 2025-07-27 2025-08-31 PC >99% PLO <1% NPD <1% 2025-08-31 2025-10-21 PC >99% PLO <1% NPD <1% 2025-10-21 2025-11-23 PC >99% PLO <1% NPD <1% 2025-11-23 2025-12-20 PC >99% PLO <1% NPD <1% 2025-12-20 2026-01-25 PC >99% PLO <1% NPD <1% 2026-01-25 2026-02-18 PC >99% PLO <1% NPD <1% 2026-02-18