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Ontario

London West


Député(e) : Sattler, Peggy (NPD)

Dernière mise à jour : 9 octobre 2024
NPD enclin
London West 39% ± 8%▲ NPD 35% ± 8%▼ PPCO 15% ± 5% PLO 5% ± 3% PVO NPD 2022 45,1% Projection du vote | 9 octobre 2024
Cette projection est calculée à l'aide d'un modèle essentiellement proportionnel, ajusté en fonction des sondages provinciaux et régionaux réalisés par des instituts de sondage professionnels. Il ne s'agit pas d'un sondage, mais d'une projection basée sur des sondages. Le modèle Qc125 tient également compte de l'historique électoral et d'autres données. Pour en savoir plus sur la méthodologie de Qc125, cliquez ici.
50% 100% London West 74%▲ NPD 26%▼ PPCO <1% PLO Probabilités de victoire | 9 octobre 2024
Les probabilités de victoire ci-dessus sont celles si une élection avait lieu aujourd'hui. Elles sont calculées par un programme de type Monte-Carlo qui effectue des milliers de simulations d'élections générales. Les circonscriptions sont ensuite étiquettées comme étant solide (probabilités de victoire supérieures à 99,5%), probable (entre 90% et 99,5%), enclin (entre 70% et 90%) ou pivot (probabilités inférieures à 70%).


Projection du vote | London West

PLO 15% ± 5% PPCO 35% ± 8% NPD 39% ± 8% PVO 5% ± 3% Projection du vote % | London West 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2022-05-01 2022-09-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-05-01 Élection 2022 PLO PPCO NPD PVO 9 octobre 2024 2022-04-30 NPD 39% PPCO 31% PLO 18% PVO 6% 2022-04-30 2022-05-03 NPD 41% PPCO 31% PLO 16% PVO 6% 2022-05-03 2022-05-04 NPD 40% PPCO 31% PLO 16% PVO 6% 2022-05-04 2022-05-05 NPD 39% PPCO 31% PLO 16% PVO 6% 2022-05-05 2022-05-06 NPD 39% PPCO 31% PLO 17% PVO 6% 2022-05-06 2022-05-07 NPD 40% PPCO 31% PLO 17% PVO 6% 2022-05-07 2022-05-08 NPD 40% PPCO 31% PLO 17% PVO 6% 2022-05-08 2022-05-09 NPD 39% PPCO 31% PLO 17% PVO 6% 2022-05-09 2022-05-10 NPD 39% PPCO 30% PLO 18% PVO 6% 2022-05-10 2022-05-11 NPD 39% PPCO 31% PLO 17% PVO 6% 2022-05-11 2022-05-12 NPD 39% PPCO 31% PLO 17% PVO 6% 2022-05-12 2022-05-13 NPD 39% PPCO 32% PLO 17% PVO 6% 2022-05-13 2022-05-14 NPD 38% PPCO 31% PLO 17% PVO 6% 2022-05-14 2022-05-15 NPD 38% PPCO 32% PLO 16% PVO 6% 2022-05-15 2022-05-16 NPD 39% PPCO 31% PLO 17% PVO 6% 2022-05-16 2022-05-17 NPD 37% PPCO 31% PLO 18% PVO 6% 2022-05-17 2022-05-18 NPD 37% PPCO 31% PLO 18% PVO 6% 2022-05-18 2022-05-19 NPD 36% PPCO 31% PLO 17% PVO 8% 2022-05-19 2022-05-20 NPD 37% PPCO 30% PLO 17% PVO 8% 2022-05-20 2022-05-21 NPD 37% PPCO 30% PLO 17% PVO 8% 2022-05-21 2022-05-22 NPD 37% PPCO 30% PLO 17% PVO 9% 2022-05-22 2022-05-23 NPD 37% PPCO 30% PLO 17% PVO 9% 2022-05-23 2022-05-24 NPD 37% PPCO 30% PLO 17% PVO 9% 2022-05-24 2022-05-25 NPD 36% PPCO 30% PLO 17% PVO 8% 2022-05-25 2022-05-26 NPD 36% PPCO 30% PLO 17% PVO 9% 2022-05-26 2022-05-27 NPD 37% PPCO 30% PLO 16% PVO 8% 2022-05-27 2022-05-28 NPD 36% PPCO 31% PLO 16% PVO 8% 2022-05-28 2022-05-29 NPD 36% PPCO 31% PLO 16% PVO 8% 2022-05-29 2022-05-30 NPD 39% PPCO 31% PLO 16% PVO 6% 2022-05-30 2022-05-31 NPD 38% PPCO 31% PLO 16% PVO 6% 2022-05-31 2022-06-01 NPD 38% PPCO 32% PLO 16% PVO 6% 2022-06-01 2022-06-03 NPD 45% PPCO 34% PLO 12% PVO 3% 2022-06-03 2022-12-30 NPD 46% PPCO 33% PLO 12% PVO 3% 2022-12-30 2023-02-15 NPD 43% PPCO 34% PLO 13% PVO 4% 2023-02-15 2023-03-09 NPD 43% PPCO 34% PLO 13% PVO 4% 2023-03-09 2023-03-17 NPD 43% PPCO 34% PLO 13% PVO 4% 2023-03-17 2023-04-16 NPD 44% PPCO 34% PLO 13% PVO 4% 2023-04-16 2023-07-07 NPD 46% PPCO 30% PLO 13% PVO 5% 2023-07-07 2023-07-22 NPD 46% PPCO 31% PLO 13% PVO 5% 2023-07-22 2023-07-28 NPD 46% PPCO 31% PLO 13% PVO 5% 2023-07-28 2023-08-26 NPD 45% PPCO 32% PLO 13% PVO 5% 2023-08-26 2023-10-07 NPD 47% PPCO 30% PLO 13% PVO 5% 2023-10-07 2023-10-23 NPD 46% PPCO 31% PLO 13% PVO 5% 2023-10-23 2023-12-01 NPD 45% PPCO 33% PLO 12% PVO 5% 2023-12-01 2023-12-20 NPD 45% PPCO 33% PLO 13% PVO 4% 2023-12-20 2024-02-02 NPD 44% PPCO 33% PLO 14% PVO 4% 2024-02-02 2024-02-20 NPD 41% PPCO 32% PLO 17% PVO 5% 2024-02-20 2024-03-05 NPD 39% PPCO 34% PLO 17% PVO 5% 2024-03-05 2024-04-04 NPD 41% PPCO 34% PLO 16% PVO 5% 2024-04-04 2024-05-03 NPD 40% PPCO 34% PLO 16% PVO 5% 2024-05-03 2024-06-30 NPD 40% PPCO 35% PLO 15% PVO 5% 2024-06-30 2024-07-29 NPD 38% PPCO 37% PLO 15% PVO 5% 2024-07-29 2024-10-09 NPD 39% PPCO 35% PLO 15% PVO 5% 2024-10-09

Probabilités de victoire | London West

PLO <1% PPCO 26% NPD 74% PVO <1% Probabilité de victoire 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2022-05-01 2022-09-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-05-01 Élection 2022 PLO PPCO NPD PVO 9 octobre 2024 2022-04-30 NPD 93% PPCO 7% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2022-04-30 2022-05-03 NPD 96% PPCO 4% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-03 2022-05-04 NPD 94% PPCO 6% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-04 2022-05-05 NPD 93% PPCO 7% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-05 2022-05-06 NPD 94% PPCO 6% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-06 2022-05-07 NPD 95% PPCO 5% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-07 2022-05-08 NPD 95% PPCO 5% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-08 2022-05-09 NPD 94% PPCO 6% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-09 2022-05-10 NPD 95% PPCO 5% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-10 2022-05-11 NPD 92% PPCO 8% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-11 2022-05-12 NPD 92% PPCO 8% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-12 2022-05-13 NPD 90% PPCO 10% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-13 2022-05-14 NPD 90% PPCO 10% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-14 2022-05-15 NPD 89% PPCO 11% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-15 2022-05-16 NPD 92% PPCO 8% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-16 2022-05-17 NPD 87% PPCO 13% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-17 2022-05-18 NPD 88% PPCO 12% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-18 2022-05-19 NPD 88% PPCO 12% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-19 2022-05-20 NPD 93% PPCO 7% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-20 2022-05-21 NPD 93% PPCO 7% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-21 2022-05-22 NPD 94% PPCO 6% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-22 2022-05-23 NPD 91% PPCO 9% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-23 2022-05-24 NPD 91% PPCO 9% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-24 2022-05-25 NPD 89% PPCO 11% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-25 2022-05-26 NPD 90% PPCO 10% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-26 2022-05-27 NPD 92% PPCO 8% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-27 2022-05-28 NPD 85% PPCO 15% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-28 2022-05-29 NPD 85% PPCO 15% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-29 2022-05-30 NPD 94% PPCO 6% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-30 2022-05-31 NPD 92% PPCO 8% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2022-05-31 2022-06-01 NPD 90% PPCO 10% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2022-06-01 2022-06-03 NPD >99% PPCO <1% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2022-06-03 2022-12-30 NPD 98% PPCO 2% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2022-12-30 2023-02-15 NPD 92% PPCO 8% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2023-02-15 2023-03-09 NPD 92% PPCO 8% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2023-03-09 2023-03-17 NPD 93% PPCO 7% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2023-03-17 2023-04-16 NPD 95% PPCO 5% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2023-04-16 2023-07-07 NPD >99% PPCO <1% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2023-07-07 2023-07-22 NPD >99% PPCO <1% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2023-07-22 2023-07-28 NPD 99% PPCO 1% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2023-07-28 2023-08-26 NPD 99% PPCO 1% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2023-08-26 2023-10-07 NPD >99% PPCO <1% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2023-10-07 2023-10-23 NPD 99% PPCO 1% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2023-10-23 2023-12-01 NPD 98% PPCO 2% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2023-12-01 2023-12-20 NPD 98% PPCO 2% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2023-12-20 2024-02-02 NPD 98% PPCO 2% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2024-02-02 2024-02-20 NPD 94% PPCO 6% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2024-02-20 2024-03-05 NPD 85% PPCO 15% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2024-03-05 2024-04-04 NPD 89% PPCO 11% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2024-04-04 2024-05-03 NPD 84% PPCO 16% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2024-05-03 2024-06-30 NPD 82% PPCO 18% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2024-06-30 2024-07-29 NPD 59% PPCO 41% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2024-07-29 2024-10-09 NPD 74% PPCO 26% PVO <1% PLO <1% 2024-10-09

Historique récent | London West



2014 2018 2022 Proj. NPD 40,2% 55,3% 45,1% 39% ± 8% PPCO 29,9% 29,0% 33,9% 35% ± 8% PLO 23,7% 9,9% 12,2% 15% ± 5% PVO 4,1% 3,8% 3,4% 5% ± 3% PNBO 0,0% 0,0% 2,6% 2% ± 2% PON 0,0% 0,0% 1,0% 1% ± 1%