Parti libéral du Canada
Mise à jour : 8 mars 2026
| Chef | Mark Carney |
| Proportion du suffrage national en 2025 | 43.8% |
| Projection de vote actuelle | 44,7 % ± 3,4 % |
| Nombre actuel de députés-es | 170 |
| Projection de sièges actuelle | 201 [170-236] |
Remarque : la fonction de sièges par vote, ou l'efficacité du vote, n'est pas une fonction linéaire, mais peut être approximée comme telle sur des intervalles de vote étroits.
Gains et pertes projetés comparés aux résultats de 2025.
Projection du vote | 8 mars 2026
Projection de sièges | 8 mars 2026
Liste des circonscriptions favorables | Parti libéral du Canada
| Circonscriptions | Parti actuel | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | Serge Cormier
|
 |
PLC solide | |
| 2. | Tom Osborne
|
 |
PLC solide | |
| 3. | Nathaniel Erskine-Smith
|
 |
PLC solide | |
| 4. | Ben Carr
|
 |
PLC solide | |
| 5. | Darren Fisher
|
 |
PLC solide | |
| 6. | Francis Scarpaleggia
|
 |
PLC solide | |
| 7. | Marie-France Lalonde
|
|
PLC solide | |
| 8. | Gary Anandasangaree
|
|
PLC solide | |
| 9. | Sean Casey
|
 |
PLC solide | |
| 10. | Lena Metlege Diab
|
|
PLC solide | |
| 11. | Ginette Petitpas Taylor
|
|
PLC solide | |
| 12. | Shaun Chen
|
|
PLC solide | |
| 13. | Rob Oliphant
|
|
PLC solide | |
| 14. | Julie Dabrusin
|
|
PLC solide | |
| 15. | Wade Grant
|
 |
PLC solide | |
| 16. | Mona Fortier
|
|
PLC solide | |
| 17. | Ginette Lavack
|
|
PLC solide | |
| 18. | Patricia Lattanzio
|
|
PLC solide | |
| 19. | Leslie Church
|
|
PLC solide | |
| 20. | Terry Duguid
|
|
PLC solide | |
| 21. | Braedon Clark
|
|
PLC solide | |
| 22. | David McGuinty
|
|
PLC solide | |
| 23. | David Myles
|
|
PLC solide | |
| 24. | Mark Carney
|
|
PLC solide | |
| 25. | Taleeb Noormohamed
|
|
PLC solide | |
| 26. | Vacant
|
|
PLC solide | |
| 27. | Dominic LeBlanc
|
|
PLC solide | |
| 28. | Vacant
|
|
PLC solide | |
| 29. | Evan Solomon
|
|
PLC solide | |
| 30. | Anna Gainey
|
|
PLC solide | |
| 31. | Mark Gerretsen
|
|
PLC solide | |
| 32. | Kevin Lamoureux
|
|
PLC solide | |
| 33. | Kody Blois
|
|
PLC solide | |
| 34. | Michael Coteau
|
|
PLC solide | |
| 35. | Marc Miller
|
|
PLC solide | |
| 36. | Anita Vandenbeld
|
|
PLC solide | |
| 37. | Alexandra Mendes
|
|
PLC solide | |
| 38. | Sameer Zuberi
|
|
PLC solide | |
| 39. | Joanne Thompson
|
|
PLC solide | |
| 40. | Greg Fergus
|
|
PLC solide | |
| 41. | Jonathan Wilkinson
|
|
PLC solide | |
| 42. | Jenna Sudds
|
|
PLC solide | |
| 43. | Shannon Miedema
|
|
PLC solide | |
| 44. | Chi Nguyen
|
|
PLC solide | |
| 45. | Steven MacKinnon
|
|
PLC solide | |
| 46. | Terry Beech
|
|
PLC solide | |
| 47. | Paul Connors
|
|
PLC solide | |
| 48. | Patrick Weiler
|
|
PLC solide | |
| 49. | James Maloney
|
|
PLC solide | |
| 50. | Melanie Joly
|
|
PLC solide | |
| 51. | Eric St-Pierre
|
|
PLC solide | |
| 52. | Salma Zahid
|
|
PLC solide | |
| 53. | Emmanuella Lambropoulos
|
|
PLC solide | |
| 54. | Anju Dhillon
|
|
PLC solide | |
| 55. | Bardish Chagger
|
|
PLC solide | |
| 56. | Will Greaves
|
|
PLC solide | |
| 57. | Peter Schiefke
|
|
PLC solide | |
| 58. | Abdelhaq Sari
|
|
PLC solide | |
| 59. | Judy Sgro
|
|
PLC solide | |
| 60. | Yasir Naqvi
|
|
PLC solide | |
| 61. | Hedy Fry
|
|
PLC solide | |
| 62. | JP Danko
|
|
PLC solide | |
| 63. | Julie Dzerowicz
|
|
PLC solide | |
| 64. | Joel Lightbound
|
|
PLC solide | |
| 65. | Peter Fragiskatos
|
|
PLC solide | |
| 66. | Sophie Chatel
|
|
PLC solide | |
| 67. | Angelo Iacono
|
|
PLC solide | |
| 68. | Annie Koutrakis
|
|
PLC solide | |
| 69. | Rachel Bendayan
|
|
PLC solide | |
| 70. | Stephanie McLean
|
|
PLC solide | |
| 71. | Dominique O’Rourke
|
|
PLC solide | |
| 72. | Marjorie Michel
|
|
PLC solide | |
| 73. | Carlos Leitao
|
|
PLC solide | |
| 74. | Steven Guilbeault
|
|
PLC solide | |
| 75. | Faycal El-Khoury
|
|
PLC solide | |
| 76. | Francois-Philippe Champagne
|
|
PLC solide | |
| 77. | Claude Guay
|
|
PLC solide | |
| 78. | Stephane Lauzon
|
|
PLC solide | |
| 79. | Doug Eyolfson
|
|
PLC solide | |
| 80. | Ahmed Hussen
|
|
PLC solide | |
| 81. | Jennifer McKelvie
|
|
PLC solide | |
| 82. | Arielle Kayabaga
|
|
PLC solide | |
| 83. | Buckley Belanger
|
 |
PLC solide | |
| 84. | Wayne Long
|
|
PLC solide | |
| 85. | Karim Bardeesy
|
|
PLC solide | |
| 86. | Elisabeth Briere
|
|
PLC solide | |
| 87. | Mike Kelloway
|
|
PLC solide | |
| 88. | Patty Hajdu
|
|
PLC solide | |
| 89. | Sherry Romanado
|
|
PLC solide | |
| 90. | Heath MacDonald
|
|
PLC solide | |
| 91. | Louis Villeneuve
|
|
PLC solide | |
| 92. | Karina Gould
|
|
PLC solide | |
| 93. | Gregor Robertson
|
|
PLC solide | |
| 94. | Jessica Fancy-Landry
|
|
PLC solide | |
| 95. | Eleanor Olszewski
|
 |
PLC solide | |
| 96. | Guillaume Deschenes-Theriault
|
|
PLC solide | |
| 97. | Giovanna Mingarelli
|
|
PLC solide | |
| 98. | Iqra Khalid
|
|
PLC solide | |
| 99. | Marianne Dandurand
|
|
PLC solide | |
| 100. | Jean Yip
|
|
PLC solide | |
| 101. | Emma Harrison
|
|
PLC solide | |
| 102. | Kent McDonald
|
|
PLC solide | |
| 103. | Yvan Baker
|
|
PLC solide | |
| 104. | Juanita Nathan
|
|
PLC solide | |
| 105. | Marie-Gabrielle Menard
|
|
PLC solide | |
| 106. | Maggie Chi
|
|
PLC solide | |
| 107. | John Zerucelli
|
|
PLC solide | |
| 108. | Chris Bittle
|
|
PLC solide | |
| 109. | Viviane Lapointe
|
|
PLC solide | |
| 110. | Anthony Housefather
|
|
PLC solide | |
| 111. | Ali Ehsassi
|
|
PLC probable | |
| 112. | Tim Hodgson
|
|
PLC probable | |
| 113. | Fares Al Soud
|
|
PLC probable | |
| 114. | Nathalie Provost
|
|
PLC probable | |
| 115. | Sean Fraser
|
|
PLC probable | |
| 116. | Iqwinder Gaheer
|
|
PLC probable | |
| 117. | Ryan Turnbull
|
|
PLC probable | |
| 118. | Corey Hogan
|
|
PLC probable | |
| 119. | Jaime Battiste
|
|
PLC probable | |
| 120. | Adam van Koeverden
|
|
PLC probable | |
| 121. | Brendan Hanley
|
 |
PLC probable | |
| 122. | Charles Sousa
|
|
PLC probable | |
| 123. | Rebecca Alty
|
 |
PLC probable | |
| 124. | Jill McKnight
|
|
PLC probable | |
| 125. | Sima Acan
|
|
PLC probable | |
| 126. | Caroline Desrochers
|
|
PLC probable | |
| 127. | Madeleine Chenette
|
|
PLC probable | |
| 128. | Wade Wei Lin Chang
|
|
PLC probable | |
| 129. | Rechie Valdez
|
|
PLC probable | |
| 130. | Anita Anand
|
|
PLC probable | |
| 131. | Bobby Morrissey
|
|
PLC probable | |
| 132. | Linda Lapointe
|
|
PLC probable | |
| 133. | Helena Jaczek
|
|
PLC probable | |
| 134. | Bruce Fanjoy
|
|
PLC probable | |
| 135. | Christopher Malette
|
|
PLC probable | |
| 136. | Lisa Hepfner
|
|
PLC probable | |
| 137. | Aslam Rana
|
|
PLC probable | |
| 138. | Vince Gasparro
|
|
PLC probable | |
| 139. | Rebecca Chartrand
|
|
PLC probable | |
| 140. | Bienvenu-Olivier Ntumba
|
|
PLC probable | |
| 141. | Jean-Yves Duclos
|
|
PLC probable | |
| 142. | Peter Fonseca
|
|
PLC probable | |
| 143. | Chris d’Entremont [Élu avec le PCC]
|
|
PLC probable | |
| 144. | Marcus Powlowski
|
|
PLC probable | |
| 145. | Jake Sawatzky
|
|
PLC probable | |
| 146. | Ron McKinnon
|
|
PLC probable | |
| 147. | Philip Earle
|
|
PLC probable | |
| 148. | Sukh Dhaliwal
|
|
PLC probable | |
| 149. | Alana Hirtle
|
|
PLC probable | |
| 150. | Zoe Royer
|
|
PLC probable | |
| 151. | Ernie Klassen
|
|
PLC probable | |
| 152. | Randeep Sarai
|
|
PLC probable | |
| 153. | Shafqat Ali
|
|
PLC probable | |
| 154. | Maninder Sidhu
|
|
PLC probable | |
| 155. | Terry Sheehan
|
|
PLC probable | |
| 156. | Pauline Rochefort
|
|
PLC probable | |
| 157. | Dalwinder Gill
|
|
PLC probable | |
| 158. | Gurbux Saini
|
|
PLC probable | |
| 159. | Jacques Ramsay
|
|
PLC probable | |
| 160. | Matt Jeneroux [Élu avec le PCC]
|
|
PLC enclin | |
| 161. | Sonia Sidhu
|
|
PLC enclin | |
| 162. | Ruby Sahota
|
|
PLC enclin | |
| 163. | Tim Louis
|
|
PLC enclin | |
| 164. | Jonathan Rowe
|
|
PLC enclin | |
| 165. | Parm Bains
|
|
PLC enclin | |
| 166. | Mike Dawson
|
|
PLC enclin | |
| 167. | Amandeep Sodhi
|
|
PLC enclin | |
| 168. | Kathy Borrelli
|
|
PLC enclin | |
| 169. | Steeve Lavoie
|
|
PLC enclin | |
| 170. | Stephen Fuhr
|
|
PLC enclin | |
| 171. | Kristina Tesser Derksen
|
|
PLC enclin | |
| 172. | Mandy Gull
|
|
PLC enclin | |
| 173. | Kelly McCauley
|
|
PLC enclin | |
| 174. | Michael Ma [Élu avec le PCC]
|
|
PLC enclin | |
| 175. | Matt Strauss
|
|
PLC enclin | |
| 176. | Jamil Jivani
|
|
PLC enclin | |
| 177. | Greg McLean
|
|
PLC enclin | |
| 178. | Jagsharan Singh Mahal
|
|
PLC enclin | |
| 179. | Sandra Cobena
|
|
PLC enclin | |
| 180. | Marc Dalton
|
|
PLC enclin | |
| 181. | Timothy Watchorn
|
|
PLC enclin | |
| 182. | Raquel Dancho
|
|
PLC enclin | |
| 183. | Amarjeet Gill
|
|
PLC enclin | |
| 184. | Tamara Jansen
|
|
Pivot PLC/PCC | |
| 185. | Philip Lawrence
|
|
Pivot PLC/PCC | |
| 186. | Fred Davies
|
|
Pivot PLC/PCC | |
| 187. | Tim Uppal
|
|
Pivot PLC/PCC | |
| 188. | Tony Baldinelli
|
|
Pivot PLC/PCC | |
| 189. | Ned Kuruc
|
|
Pivot PLC/PCC | |
| 190. | Adam Chambers
|
|
Pivot PLC/PCC | |
| 191. | Warren Steinley
|
|
Pivot PLC/PCC | |
| 192. | Connie Cody
|
|
Pivot PLC/PCC | |
| 193. | Don Davies
|
|
Pivot PLC/NPD | |
| 194. | Scott Reid
|
|
Pivot PLC/PCC | |
| 195. | Jenny Kwan
|
|
Pivot PLC/NPD | |
| 196. | Michael Barrett
|
|
Pivot PLC/PCC | |
| 197. | Lori Idlout [Élu avec le NPD]
|
 |
Pivot PLC/NPD | |
| 198. | Michael Kram
|
|
Pivot PLC/PCC | |
| 199. | Natilien Joseph
|
|
Pivot PLC/BQ | |
| 200. | Rhonda Kirkland
|
|
Pivot PLC/PCC | |
| 201. | Corey Tochor
|
|
Pivot PLC/PCC | |
| 202. | Helena Konanz
|
|
Pivot PLC/PCC | |
| 203. | Michael Chong
|
|
Pivot PLC/PCC | |
| 204. | Chak Au
|
|
Pivot PLC/PCC | |
| 205. | Carol Anstey
|
|
Pivot PLC/PCC | |
| 206. | Jim Belanger
|
|
Pivot PLC/PCC | |
| 207. | Pierre Paul-Hus
|
|
Pivot PLC/PCC | |
| 208. | Éric Lefebvre
|
|
Pivot PLC/PCC/BQ | |
| 209. | Andrew Lawton
|
|
Pivot PLC/PCC | |
| 210. | Vacant
|
|
Pivot PLC/BQ | |
| 211. | Amanpreet Singh Gill
|
|
Pivot PLC/PCC | |
| 212. | Doug Shipley
|
|
Pivot PLC/PCC | |
| 213. | Billy Morin
|
|
Pivot PLC/PCC | |
| 214. | Roman Baber
|
|
Pivot PLC/PCC | |
| 215. | Vincent Neil Ho
|
|
Pivot PLC/PCC | |
| 216. | Ziad Aboultaif
|
|
Pivot PLC/PCC | |
| 217. | Jeff Kibble
|
|
Pivot PLC/PCC/NPD | |
| 218. | Kevin Waugh
|
|
Pivot PLC/PCC | |
| 219. | Dan Albas
|
|
Pivot PLC/PCC | |
| 220. | Dean Allison
|
|
Pivot PLC/PCC | |
| 221. | Richard Martel
|
|
Pivot PLC/PCC/BQ | |
| 222. | Clifford Small
|
|
Pivot PLC/PCC | |
| 223. | Gaetan Malette
|
|
Pivot PLC/PCC | |
| 224. | Terry Dowdall
|
|
Pivot PLC/PCC | |
| 225. | Tamara Kronis
|
|
Pivot PLC/PCC | |
| 226. | Andreanne Larouche
|
|
Pivot PLC/BQ | |
| 227. | Scott Anderson
|
|
Pivot PLC/PCC | |
| 228. | John Williamson
|
|
PCC enclin | |
| 229. | Dan Muys
|
|
PCC enclin | |
| 230. | Scott Aitchison
|
|
PCC enclin | |
| 231. | Leah Gazan
|
|
NPD enclin | |
| 232. | Lianne Rood
|
|
PCC enclin | |
| 233. | Shuv Majumdar
|
|
PCC enclin | |
| 234. | Tako van Popta
|
|
PCC enclin | |
| 235. | Harbinder Gill
|
|
Pivot PLC/PCC | |
| 236. | Eric Melillo
|
|
PCC enclin | |
| 237. | Rob Moore
|
|
PCC enclin | |
| 238. | Gérard Deltell
|
|
PCC enclin | |
| 239. | Larry Brock
|
|
PCC enclin | |
| 240. | Michelle Rempel Garner
|
|
PCC enclin | |
| 241. | Patrick Bonin
|
|
BQ enclin | |
| 242. | Ben Lobb
|
|
PCC enclin | |
| 243. | Sukhman Singh Gill
|
|
PCC enclin | |
| 244. | Costas Menegakis
|
|
PCC enclin | |
| 245. | Kurt Holman
|
|
PCC enclin | |
| 246. | David McKenzie
|
|
PCC enclin | |
| 247. | John Nater
|
|
PCC enclin | |
| 248. | Kelly DeRidder
|
|
Pivot PLC/PCC/PVC | |
| 249. | Aaron Gunn
|
|
PCC enclin | |
| 250. | Frank Caputo
|
|
PCC enclin | |
| 251. | Mario Beaulieu
|
|
BQ enclin | |
| 252. | Alex Ruff
|
|
PCC enclin | |
| 253. | Gabriel Hardy
|
|
BQ enclin | |
| 254. | Shelby Kramp-Neuman
|
|
PCC probable | |
| 255. | Xavier Barsalou-Duval
|
|
BQ probable | |
| 256. | Jean-Denis Garon
|
|
BQ probable | |
| 257. | Alexis Deschenes
|
|
BQ probable | |
| 258. | Mel Arnold
|
|
PCC probable | |
| 259. | Shuv Majumdar
|
|
PCC probable | |
| 260. | Bernard Genereux
|
|
PCC probable | |
| 261. | Arpan Khanna
|
|
PCC probable | |
| 262. | Marilyn Gladu
|
|
PCC probable | |
| 263. | Jacob Mantle
|
|
PCC probable | |
| 264. | Gord Johns
|
|
NPD enclin | |
| 265. | Eric Duncan
|
|
PCC probable | |
| 266. | Marie-Helene Gaudreau
|
|
BQ probable | |
| 267. | Elizabeth May
|
|
PVC probable | |
| 268. | Rachael Thomas
|
|
PCC probable | |
| 269. | Jasraj Singh Hallan
|
|
PCC probable | |
| 270. | Cheryl Gallant
|
|
PCC probable | |
| 271. | Maxime Blanchette-Joncas
|
|
BQ probable | |
| 272. | Jamie Schmale
|
|
PCC probable | |
| 273. | Christine Normandin
|
|
BQ probable | |
| 274. | Yves Perron
|
|
BQ probable | |
| 275. | Simon-Pierre Savard-Tremblay
|
|
BQ probable | |
| 276. | Alexandre Boulerice
|
|
NPD probable | |
| 277. | Jacques Gourde
|
|
PCC probable | |
| 278. | Richard Bragdon
|
|
PCC probable | |
| 279. | John Brassard
|
|
PCC probable | |
| 280. | Rheal Fortin
|
|
BQ probable | |
| 281. | Claude DeBellefeuille
|
|
BQ probable | |
| 282. | Joel Godin
|
|
PCC probable | |
| 283. | Dominique Vien
|
|
PCC probable | |
| 284. | Mark Strahl
|
|
PCC probable | |
| 285. | Chris Lewis
|
|
PCC probable | |
| 286. | Brad Vis
|
|
PCC probable | |
| 287. | Michael Guglielmin
|
|
PCC probable | |
| 288. | Leslyn Lewis
|
|
PCC probable | |
| 289. | Brad Redekopp
|
|
PCC probable | |
| 290. | Dave Epp
|
|
PCC probable | |
| 291. | Scot Davidson
|
|
PCC probable | |
| 292. | Yves-Francois Blanchet
|
|
BQ probable | |
| 293. | Marilene Gill
|
|
BQ probable | |
| 294. | Martin Champoux
|
|
BQ probable | |
| 295. | Mario Simard
|
|
BQ probable | |
| 296. | James Bezan
|
|
PCC solide | |
| 297. | Michael Cooper
|
|
PCC solide | |
| 298. | Kyle Seeback
|
|
PCC solide | |
| 299. | Rob Morrison
|
|
PCC solide | |
| 300. | Gabriel Ste-Marie
|
|
BQ solide | |
| 301. | Anna Roberts
|
|
PCC solide | |
| 302. | Colin Reynolds
|
|
Pivot PCC/NPD | |
| 303. | Stephanie Kusie
|
|
PCC solide | |
| 304. | Louis Plamondon
|
|
BQ solide | |
| 305. | Alexis Brunelle-Duceppe
|
|
BQ solide | |
| 306. | Kerry Diotte
|
|
Pivot PCC/NPD | |
| 307. | Sebastien Lemire
|
|
BQ solide | |
| 308. | Tom Kmiec
|
|
PCC solide | |
| 309. | Garnett Genuis
|
|
PCC solide | |
| 310. | Luc Theriault
|
|
BQ solide |