Qc125 Canada | Parti libéral du Canada





Dernière mise à jour: 20 septembre 2021

ChefJustin Trudeau
Proportion du suffrage national en 201933.1%
Projection de vote actuelle31,9 % ± 4,2 %
Nombre actuel de députés-es155
Projection de sièges actuelle148 ± 40



Projection du vote | Parti libéral du Canada | 20 septembre 2021




Projection de sièges | Parti libéral du Canada | 20 septembre 2021





Liste des circonscriptions favorables au Parti libéral du Canada



Rang Circonscription Province Parti actuel Dernière projection Probabilité de victoire
1. Scarborough–Rouge Park PLC solide > 99 %
2. Scarborough–Guildwood PLC solide > 99 %
3. Don Valley-Est PLC solide > 99 %
4. Etobicoke-Nord PLC solide > 99 %
5. Humber River–Black Creek PLC solide > 99 %
6. Saint-Léonard–Saint-Michel PLC solide > 99 %
7. Saint-Laurent PLC solide > 99 %
8. Honoré-Mercier PLC solide > 99 %
9. Bourassa PLC solide > 99 %
10. Ajax PLC solide > 99 %
11. Lac-Saint-Louis PLC solide > 99 %
12. Toronto–St. Paul’s PLC solide > 99 %
13. York-Sud–Weston PLC solide > 99 %
14. Scarborough-Sud-Ouest PLC solide > 99 %
15. Acadie–Bathurst PLC solide > 99 %
16. Scarborough-Centre PLC solide > 99 %
17. Pierrefonds–Dollard PLC solide > 99 %
18. Brossard–Saint-Lambert PLC solide > 99 %
19. Brampton-Ouest PLC solide > 99 %
20. Beaches–East York PLC solide > 99 %
21. Notre-Dame-de-Grâce–Westmount PLC solide > 99 %
22. Ville-Marie–Le Sud-Ouest–Île-des-Soeurs PLC solide > 99 %
23. Dorval–Lachine–LaSalle PLC solide > 99 %
24. Hull–Aylmer PLC solide > 99 %
25. Papineau PLC solide > 99 %
26. Beauséjour PLC solide > 99 %
27. Gatineau PLC solide > 99 %
28. Pontiac PLC solide > 99 %
29. Laval–Les Îles PLC solide > 99 %
30. Guelph PLC solide > 99 %
31. Mississauga–Malton PLC solide > 99 %
32. Orléans PLC solide > 99 %
33. Ottawa-Sud PLC solide > 99 %
34. Ahuntsic-Cartierville PLC solide > 99 %
35. Vaudreuil–Soulanges PLC solide > 99 %
36. Ottawa–Vanier PLC solide > 99 %
37. Waterloo PLC solide > 99 %
38. Mont-Royal PLC solide > 99 %
39. Outremont PLC solide > 99 %
40. Mississauga-Centre PLC solide > 99 %
41. University–Rosedale PLC solide > 99 %
42. Brampton-Nord PLC solide > 99 %
43. Halifax-Ouest PLC solide > 99 %
44. Vimy PLC solide > 99 %
45. Saint-Boniface–Saint-Vital PLC solide > 99 %
46. Etobicoke–Lakeshore PLC solide > 99 %
47. Alfred-Pellan PLC solide > 99 %
48. Don Valley-Ouest PLC solide > 99 %
49. Winnipeg-Centre-Sud PLC solide > 99 %
50. Moncton–Riverview–Dieppe PLC solide > 99 %
51. Pickering–Uxbridge PLC solide > 99 %
52. Scarborough-Nord PLC solide > 99 %
53. Charlottetown PLC solide > 99 %
54. Brampton-Centre PLC solide > 99 %
55. Hamilton-Ouest–Ancaster–Dundas PLC solide > 99 %
56. Toronto-Centre PLC solide > 99 %
57. Brampton-Sud PLC solide > 99 %
58. LaSalle–Émard–Verdun PLC solide > 99 %
59. Madawaska–Restigouche PLC solide > 99 %
60. Mississauga–Erin Mills PLC solide > 99 %
61. Ottawa-Ouest–Nepean PLC solide > 99 %
62. North Vancouver PLC solide > 99 %
63. Kingston et les Îles PLC solide > 99 %
64. Kings–Hants PLC solide > 99 %
65. Eglinton–Lawrence PLC solide > 99 %
66. Vancouver Quadra PLC solide > 99 %
67. Thunder Bay–Supérieur-Nord PLC probable 99 %
68. Mississauga-Est–Cooksville PLC probable 99 %
69. Markham–Thornhill PLC probable 99 %
70. Vancouver-Centre PLC probable 99 %
71. Etobicoke-Centre PLC probable 99 %
72. Long Range Mountains PLC probable 99 %
73. London-Centre-Nord PLC probable 99 %
74. Louis-Hébert PLC probable 99 %
75. Mississauga–Streetsville PLC probable 99 %
76. Brampton-Est PLC probable 99 %
77. Avalon PLC probable 99 %
78. Cardigan PLC probable 98 %
79. Winnipeg-Nord PLC probable 98 %
80. Marc-Aurèle-Fortin PLC probable 98 %
81. Nipissing–Timiskaming PLC probable 97 %
82. Milton PLC probable 97 %
83. Don Valley-Nord PLC probable 96 %
84. Burlington PLC probable 96 %
85. Spadina–Fort York PLC probable 96 %
86. Nepean PLC probable 96 %
87. Ottawa-Centre PLC probable 96 %
88. Territoires du Nord-Ouest PLC probable 96 %
89. Vaughan–Woodbridge PLC probable 96 %
90. St. John’s-Sud–Mount Pearl PLC probable 95 %
91. Coast of Bays–Central–Notre Dame PLC probable 95 %
92. Scarborough–Agincourt PLC probable 94 %
93. Vancouver-Sud PLC probable 93 %
94. Toronto–Danforth PLC probable 92 %
95. Nova-Centre PLC probable 92 %
96. London-Ouest PLC probable 92 %
97. Willowdale PLC probable 92 %
98. Sackville–Preston–Chezzetcook PLC probable 91 %
99. Sudbury PLC probable 91 %
100. Cambridge PLC probable 91 %
101. Parkdale–High Park PLC probable 90 %
102. Mississauga–Lakeshore PLC probable 90 %
103. Laurier–Sainte-Marie PLC enclin 90 %
104. Malpeque PLC enclin 89 %
105. St. John’s-Est PLC enclin 89 %
106. Davenport PLC enclin 89 %
107. Saint-Maurice–Champlain PLC enclin 88 %
108. Dartmouth–Cole Harbour PLC enclin 87 %
109. Surrey-Centre PLC enclin 86 %
110. Niagara-Centre PLC enclin 85 %
111. Surrey–Newton PLC enclin 85 %
112. Glengarry–Prescott–Russell PLC enclin 84 %
113. York-Centre PLC enclin 83 %
114. Oakville-Nord–Burlington PLC enclin 82 %
115. Kanata–Carleton PLC enclin 81 %
116. Markham–Stouffville PLC enclin 80 %
117. Oakville PLC enclin 79 %
118. St. Catharines PLC enclin 79 %
119. Bonavista–Burin–Trinity PLC enclin 78 %
120. Yukon PLC enclin 77 %
121. Sault Ste. Marie PLC enclin 76 %
122. Compton–Stanstead PLC enclin 76 %
123. Kitchener-Sud–Hespeler PLC enclin 76 %
124. Hamilton-Est–Stoney Creek PLC enclin 74 %
125. Winnipeg-Sud PLC enclin 73 %
126. Cape Breton–Canso PLC enclin 73 %
127. Brome–Missisquoi PLC enclin 72 %
128. Thunder Bay–Rainy River PLC enclin 71 %
129. Calgary Skyview Pivot PLC/PCC 70 %
130. Egmont Pivot PLC/PCC 69 %
131. Halifax Pivot PLC/NPD 69 %
132. Miramichi–Grand Lake Pivot PLC/PCC 68 %
133. Longueuil–Charles-LeMoyne Pivot PLC/BQ 68 %
134. Nickel Belt Pivot PLC/NPD 67 %
135. West Vancouver–Sunshine Coast–Sea to Sky Country Pivot PLC/PCC 66 %
136. Gaspésie–Les Îles-de-la-Madeleine Pivot PLC/BQ 66 %
137. Argenteuil–La Petite-Nation Pivot PLC/BQ 65 %
138. Labrador Pivot PLC/PCC/NPD 65 %
139. Whitby Pivot PLC/PCC 63 %
140. Windsor–Tecumseh Pivot PLC/NPD 63 %
141. Châteauguay–Lacolle Pivot PLC/BQ 63 %
142. King–Vaughan Pivot PLC/PCC 62 %
143. Québec Pivot PLC/BQ 61 %
144. Hochelaga Pivot PLC/BQ 61 %
145. Hastings–Lennox and Addington Pivot PLC/PCC 61 %
146. South Shore–St. Margarets Pivot PLC/PCC 61 %
147. Baie de Quinte Pivot PLC/PCC 59 %
148. Richmond Hill Pivot PLC/PCC 58 %
149. Newmarket–Aurora Pivot PLC/PCC 58 %
150. Shefford Pivot PLC/BQ 57 %
151. Charleswood–St. James–Assiniboia–Headingley Pivot PLC/PCC 55 %
152. Peterborough–Kawartha Pivot PLC/PCC 55 %
153. Aurora–Oak Ridges–Richmond Hill Pivot PLC/PCC 54 %
154. Delta Pivot PLC/PCC 52 %
155. Fleetwood–Port Kells Pivot PLC/PCC 51 %
156. Fredericton Pivot PLC/PCC 48 %
157. Edmonton-Centre Pivot PLC/PCC 46 %
158. Edmonton Mill Woods Pivot PLC/PCC 45 %
159. Thérèse-De Blainville Pivot PLC/BQ 44 %
160. Kitchener–Conestoga Pivot PLC/PCC 43 %
161. Flamborough–Glanbrook Pivot PLC/PCC 38 %
162. Vancouver Granville Pivot PLC/PCC/NPD 38 %
163. Sherbrooke Pivot PLC/BQ 36 %
164. Calgary-Centre Pivot PLC/PCC 36 %
165. Nova-Ouest Pivot PLC/PCC 35 %
166. Saint John–Rothesay Pivot PLC/PCC 35 %
167. Calgary Confederation Pivot PLC/PCC 34 %
168. Longueuil–Saint-Hubert Pivot PLC/BQ 33 %
169. Cumberland–Colchester Pivot PLC/PCC 32 %
170. Nunavut Pivot PLC/NPD 30 %
171. Sydney–Victoria Pivot PLC/PCC 29 %
172. Windsor-Ouest NPD enclin 29 %
173. Kitchener-Centre Pivot PLC/PCC/PVC 28 %
174. Kenora Pivot PLC/PCC/NPD 28 %
175. Barrie–Springwater–Oro-Medonte PCC enclin 27 %
176. Beauport–Limoilou Pivot PLC/PCC/BQ 25 %
177. La Prairie BQ enclin 23 %
178. Kildonan–St. Paul PCC enclin 21 %
179. Hamilton Mountain NPD enclin 19 %
180. Montarville BQ enclin 19 %
181. Trois-Rivières Pivot PLC/PCC/BQ 18 %
182. Niagara Falls PCC enclin 17 %
183. Rivière-des-Mille-Îles BQ enclin 15 %
184. Northumberland–Peterborough-Sud PCC enclin 13 %
185. Desnethé–Missinippi–Rivière Churchill Pivot PLC/PCC/NPD 11 %
186. Coquitlam–Port Coquitlam Pivot PLC/PCC/NPD 11 %
187. Cloverdale–Langley City PCC probable 8 %
188. Winnipeg-Centre NPD probable 7 %
189. Burnaby-Nord–Seymour NPD enclin 6 %
190. Abitibi–Baie-James–Nunavik–Eeyou BQ probable 5 %
191. Calgary Forest Lawn PCC probable 4 %
192. Markham–Unionville PCC probable 4 %
193. Saint-Jean BQ probable 4 %
194. Avignon–La Mitis–Matane–Matapédia BQ probable 4 %
195. Edmonton Riverbend Pivot PCC/NPD 3 %
196. Dufferin–Caledon PCC probable 2 %
197. Elgin–Middlesex–London PCC probable 2 %
198. Pitt Meadows–Maple Ridge PCC enclin 2 %
199. Regina–Wascana PCC probable 2 %
200. Steveston–Richmond-Est PCC probable 2 %
201. Rimouski-Neigette–Témiscouata–Les Basques BQ probable 2 %
Rang Circonscription Projection
1. Scarborough–Rouge Park PLC solide
2. Scarborough–Guildwood PLC solide
3. Don Valley-Est PLC solide
4. Etobicoke-Nord PLC solide
5. Humber River–Black Creek PLC solide
6. Saint-Léonard–Saint-Michel PLC solide
7. Saint-Laurent PLC solide
8. Honoré-Mercier PLC solide
9. Bourassa PLC solide
10. Ajax PLC solide
11. Lac-Saint-Louis PLC solide
12. Toronto–St. Paul’s PLC solide
13. York-Sud–Weston PLC solide
14. Scarborough-Sud-Ouest PLC solide
15. Acadie–Bathurst PLC solide
16. Scarborough-Centre PLC solide
17. Pierrefonds–Dollard PLC solide
18. Brossard–Saint-Lambert PLC solide
19. Brampton-Ouest PLC solide
20. Beaches–East York PLC solide
21. Notre-Dame-de-Grâce–Westmount PLC solide
22. Ville-Marie–Le Sud-Ouest–Île-des-Soeurs PLC solide
23. Dorval–Lachine–LaSalle PLC solide
24. Hull–Aylmer PLC solide
25. Papineau PLC solide
26. Beauséjour PLC solide
27. Gatineau PLC solide
28. Pontiac PLC solide
29. Laval–Les Îles PLC solide
30. Guelph PLC solide
31. Mississauga–Malton PLC solide
32. Orléans PLC solide
33. Ottawa-Sud PLC solide
34. Ahuntsic-Cartierville PLC solide
35. Vaudreuil–Soulanges PLC solide
36. Ottawa–Vanier PLC solide
37. Waterloo PLC solide
38. Mont-Royal PLC solide
39. Outremont PLC solide
40. Mississauga-Centre PLC solide
41. University–Rosedale PLC solide
42. Brampton-Nord PLC solide
43. Halifax-Ouest PLC solide
44. Vimy PLC solide
45. Saint-Boniface–Saint-Vital PLC solide
46. Etobicoke–Lakeshore PLC solide
47. Alfred-Pellan PLC solide
48. Don Valley-Ouest PLC solide
49. Winnipeg-Centre-Sud PLC solide
50. Moncton–Riverview–Dieppe PLC solide
51. Pickering–Uxbridge PLC solide
52. Scarborough-Nord PLC solide
53. Charlottetown PLC solide
54. Brampton-Centre PLC solide
55. Hamilton-Ouest–Ancaster–Dundas PLC solide
56. Toronto-Centre PLC solide
57. Brampton-Sud PLC solide
58. LaSalle–Émard–Verdun PLC solide
59. Madawaska–Restigouche PLC solide
60. Mississauga–Erin Mills PLC solide
61. Ottawa-Ouest–Nepean PLC solide
62. North Vancouver PLC solide
63. Kingston et les Îles PLC solide
64. Kings–Hants PLC solide
65. Eglinton–Lawrence PLC solide
66. Vancouver Quadra PLC solide
67. Thunder Bay–Supérieur-Nord PLC probable
68. Mississauga-Est–Cooksville PLC probable
69. Markham–Thornhill PLC probable
70. Vancouver-Centre PLC probable
71. Etobicoke-Centre PLC probable
72. Long Range Mountains PLC probable
73. London-Centre-Nord PLC probable
74. Louis-Hébert PLC probable
75. Mississauga–Streetsville PLC probable
76. Brampton-Est PLC probable
77. Avalon PLC probable
78. Cardigan PLC probable
79. Winnipeg-Nord PLC probable
80. Marc-Aurèle-Fortin PLC probable
81. Nipissing–Timiskaming PLC probable
82. Milton PLC probable
83. Don Valley-Nord PLC probable
84. Burlington PLC probable
85. Spadina–Fort York PLC probable
86. Nepean PLC probable
87. Ottawa-Centre PLC probable
88. Territoires du Nord-Ouest PLC probable
89. Vaughan–Woodbridge PLC probable
90. St. John’s-Sud–Mount Pearl PLC probable
91. Coast of Bays–Central–Notre Dame PLC probable
92. Scarborough–Agincourt PLC probable
93. Vancouver-Sud PLC probable
94. Toronto–Danforth PLC probable
95. Nova-Centre PLC probable
96. London-Ouest PLC probable
97. Willowdale PLC probable
98. Sackville–Preston–Chezzetcook PLC probable
99. Sudbury PLC probable
100. Cambridge PLC probable
101. Parkdale–High Park PLC probable
102. Mississauga–Lakeshore PLC probable
103. Laurier–Sainte-Marie PLC enclin
104. Malpeque PLC enclin
105. St. John’s-Est PLC enclin
106. Davenport PLC enclin
107. Saint-Maurice–Champlain PLC enclin
108. Dartmouth–Cole Harbour PLC enclin
109. Surrey-Centre PLC enclin
110. Niagara-Centre PLC enclin
111. Surrey–Newton PLC enclin
112. Glengarry–Prescott–Russell PLC enclin
113. York-Centre PLC enclin
114. Oakville-Nord–Burlington PLC enclin
115. Kanata–Carleton PLC enclin
116. Markham–Stouffville PLC enclin
117. Oakville PLC enclin
118. St. Catharines PLC enclin
119. Bonavista–Burin–Trinity PLC enclin
120. Yukon PLC enclin
121. Sault Ste. Marie PLC enclin
122. Compton–Stanstead PLC enclin
123. Kitchener-Sud–Hespeler PLC enclin
124. Hamilton-Est–Stoney Creek PLC enclin
125. Winnipeg-Sud PLC enclin
126. Cape Breton–Canso PLC enclin
127. Brome–Missisquoi PLC enclin
128. Thunder Bay–Rainy River PLC enclin
129. Calgary Skyview Pivot PLC/PCC
130. Egmont Pivot PLC/PCC
131. Halifax Pivot PLC/NPD
132. Miramichi–Grand Lake Pivot PLC/PCC
133. Longueuil–Charles-LeMoyne Pivot PLC/BQ
134. Nickel Belt Pivot PLC/NPD
135. West Vancouver–Sunshine Coast–Sea to Sky Country Pivot PLC/PCC
136. Gaspésie–Les Îles-de-la-Madeleine Pivot PLC/BQ
137. Argenteuil–La Petite-Nation Pivot PLC/BQ
138. Labrador Pivot PLC/PCC/NPD
139. Whitby Pivot PLC/PCC
140. Windsor–Tecumseh Pivot PLC/NPD
141. Châteauguay–Lacolle Pivot PLC/BQ
142. King–Vaughan Pivot PLC/PCC
143. Québec Pivot PLC/BQ
144. Hochelaga Pivot PLC/BQ
145. Hastings–Lennox and Addington Pivot PLC/PCC
146. South Shore–St. Margarets Pivot PLC/PCC
147. Baie de Quinte Pivot PLC/PCC
148. Richmond Hill Pivot PLC/PCC
149. Newmarket–Aurora Pivot PLC/PCC
150. Shefford Pivot PLC/BQ
151. Charleswood–St. James–Assiniboia–Headingley Pivot PLC/PCC
152. Peterborough–Kawartha Pivot PLC/PCC
153. Aurora–Oak Ridges–Richmond Hill Pivot PLC/PCC
154. Delta Pivot PLC/PCC
155. Fleetwood–Port Kells Pivot PLC/PCC
156. Fredericton Pivot PLC/PCC
157. Edmonton-Centre Pivot PLC/PCC
158. Edmonton Mill Woods Pivot PLC/PCC
159. Thérèse-De Blainville Pivot PLC/BQ
160. Kitchener–Conestoga Pivot PLC/PCC
161. Flamborough–Glanbrook Pivot PLC/PCC
162. Vancouver Granville Pivot PLC/PCC/NPD
163. Sherbrooke Pivot PLC/BQ
164. Calgary-Centre Pivot PLC/PCC
165. Nova-Ouest Pivot PLC/PCC
166. Saint John–Rothesay Pivot PLC/PCC
167. Calgary Confederation Pivot PLC/PCC
168. Longueuil–Saint-Hubert Pivot PLC/BQ
169. Cumberland–Colchester Pivot PLC/PCC
170. Nunavut Pivot PLC/NPD
171. Sydney–Victoria Pivot PLC/PCC
172. Windsor-Ouest NPD enclin
173. Kitchener-Centre Pivot PLC/PCC/PVC
174. Kenora Pivot PLC/PCC/NPD
175. Barrie–Springwater–Oro-Medonte PCC enclin
176. Beauport–Limoilou Pivot PLC/PCC/BQ
177. La Prairie BQ enclin
178. Kildonan–St. Paul PCC enclin
179. Hamilton Mountain NPD enclin
180. Montarville BQ enclin
181. Trois-Rivières Pivot PLC/PCC/BQ
182. Niagara Falls PCC enclin
183. Rivière-des-Mille-Îles BQ enclin
184. Northumberland–Peterborough-Sud PCC enclin
185. Desnethé–Missinippi–Rivière Churchill Pivot PLC/PCC/NPD
186. Coquitlam–Port Coquitlam Pivot PLC/PCC/NPD
187. Cloverdale–Langley City PCC probable
188. Winnipeg-Centre NPD probable
189. Burnaby-Nord–Seymour NPD enclin
190. Abitibi–Baie-James–Nunavik–Eeyou BQ probable
191. Calgary Forest Lawn PCC probable
192. Markham–Unionville PCC probable
193. Saint-Jean BQ probable
194. Avignon–La Mitis–Matane–Matapédia BQ probable
195. Edmonton Riverbend Pivot PCC/NPD
196. Dufferin–Caledon PCC probable
197. Elgin–Middlesex–London PCC probable
198. Pitt Meadows–Maple Ridge PCC enclin
199. Regina–Wascana PCC probable
200. Steveston–Richmond-Est PCC probable
201. Rimouski-Neigette–Témiscouata–Les Basques BQ probable



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