Qc125 Canada | Parti libéral du Canada





Dernière mise à jour : 16 janvier 2022

ChefJustin Trudeau
Proportion du suffrage national en 202132.6%
Projection de vote actuelle32,4 % ± 4,0 %
Nombre actuel de députés-es159
Projection de sièges actuelle150 [114-184]



Projection du vote | Parti libéral du Canada | 16 janvier 2022




Projection de sièges | Parti libéral du Canada | 16 janvier 2022





Liste des circonscriptions favorables au Parti libéral du Canada



Rang Circonscription Province Parti actuel Dernière projection Probabilité de victoire
1. Saint-Léonard–Saint-Michel PLC solide > 99 %
2. Acadie–Bathurst PLC solide > 99 %
3. Scarborough-Nord PLC solide > 99 %
4. Bourassa PLC solide > 99 %
5. Honoré-Mercier PLC solide > 99 %
6. Saint-Laurent PLC solide > 99 %
7. Mont-Royal PLC solide > 99 %
8. Scarborough–Rouge Park PLC solide > 99 %
9. Markham–Thornhill PLC solide > 99 %
10. Scarborough–Guildwood PLC solide > 99 %
11. Pierrefonds–Dollard PLC solide > 99 %
12. Humber River–Black Creek PLC solide > 99 %
13. Lac-Saint-Louis PLC solide > 99 %
14. Brossard–Saint-Lambert PLC solide > 99 %
15. Madawaska–Restigouche PLC solide > 99 %
16. Etobicoke-Nord PLC solide > 99 %
17. Surrey–Newton PLC solide > 99 %
18. Notre-Dame-de-Grâce–Westmount PLC solide > 99 %
19. Don Valley-Est PLC solide > 99 %
20. St. John’s-Sud–Mount Pearl PLC solide > 99 %
21. Ahuntsic-Cartierville PLC solide > 99 %
22. Hull–Aylmer PLC solide > 99 %
23. Dorval–Lachine–LaSalle PLC solide > 99 %
24. Scarborough-Centre PLC solide > 99 %
25. Beauséjour PLC solide > 99 %
26. Gatineau PLC solide > 99 %
27. Scarborough-Sud-Ouest PLC solide > 99 %
28. Alfred-Pellan PLC solide > 99 %
29. Vimy PLC solide > 99 %
30. Ville-Marie–Le Sud-Ouest–Île-des-Soeurs PLC solide > 99 %
31. Laval–Les Îles PLC solide > 99 %
32. Papineau PLC solide > 99 %
33. York-Sud–Weston PLC solide > 99 %
34. Vaudreuil–Soulanges PLC solide > 99 %
35. Winnipeg-Centre-Sud PLC solide > 99 %
36. Moncton–Riverview–Dieppe PLC solide > 99 %
37. Pontiac PLC solide > 99 %
38. LaSalle–Émard–Verdun PLC solide > 99 %
39. Ajax PLC solide > 99 %
40. Winnipeg-Sud PLC solide > 99 %
41. Beaches–East York PLC solide > 99 %
42. Saint-Boniface–Saint-Vital PLC solide > 99 %
43. Vancouver-Sud PLC solide > 99 %
44. Brampton-Ouest PLC solide > 99 %
45. North Vancouver PLC solide > 99 %
46. Winnipeg-Nord PLC solide > 99 %
47. Mississauga-Centre PLC solide > 99 %
48. Scarborough–Agincourt PLC solide > 99 %
49. Vancouver Quadra PLC solide > 99 %
50. Ottawa-Sud PLC solide > 99 %
51. Toronto–St. Paul’s PLC solide > 99 %
52. Brampton-Est PLC solide > 99 %
53. Orléans PLC solide > 99 %
54. Louis-Hébert PLC solide > 99 %
55. Saint-Maurice–Champlain PLC solide > 99 %
56. Marc-Aurèle-Fortin PLC solide > 99 %
57. Fleetwood–Port Kells PLC solide > 99 %
58. Halifax-Ouest PLC solide > 99 %
59. Don Valley-Nord PLC solide > 99 %
60. Brampton-Nord PLC solide > 99 %
61. Outremont PLC solide > 99 %
62. Kings–Hants PLC solide > 99 %
63. Mississauga–Malton PLC solide > 99 %
64. Ottawa–Vanier PLC solide > 99 %
65. Cardigan PLC solide > 99 %
66. Sherbrooke PLC solide > 99 %
67. Avalon PLC solide > 99 %
68. Brampton-Sud PLC solide > 99 %
69. Nova-Centre PLC solide > 99 %
70. Surrey-Centre PLC solide > 99 %
71. Waterloo PLC probable 99 %
72. Guelph PLC probable 99 %
73. Saint John–Rothesay PLC probable 99 %
74. Milton PLC probable 99 %
75. Delta PLC probable 99 %
76. Ottawa-Ouest–Nepean PLC probable 99 %
77. Toronto-Centre PLC probable 99 %
78. Steveston–Richmond-Est PLC probable 99 %
79. Charlottetown PLC probable 99 %
80. Hochelaga PLC probable 99 %
81. Mississauga-Est–Cooksville PLC probable 99 %
82. Québec PLC probable 99 %
83. Dartmouth–Cole Harbour PLC probable 99 %
84. Egmont PLC probable 99 %
85. Compton–Stanstead PLC probable 99 %
86. University–Rosedale PLC probable 99 %
87. Gaspésie–Les Îles-de-la-Madeleine PLC probable 99 %
88. Cape Breton–Canso PLC probable 98 %
89. Mississauga–Erin Mills PLC probable 98 %
90. Willowdale PLC probable 98 %
91. Don Valley-Ouest PLC probable 98 %
92. Hamilton-Ouest–Ancaster–Dundas PLC probable 98 %
93. Etobicoke–Lakeshore PLC probable 97 %
94. Longueuil–Charles-LeMoyne PLC probable 97 %
95. Coquitlam–Port Coquitlam PLC probable 97 %
96. Brampton-Centre PLC probable 97 %
97. Markham–Stouffville PLC probable 96 %
98. Sackville–Preston–Chezzetcook PLC probable 96 %
99. Mississauga–Streetsville PLC probable 96 %
100. Burnaby-Nord–Seymour PLC probable 95 %
101. Argenteuil–La Petite-Nation PLC probable 95 %
102. Etobicoke-Centre PLC probable 94 %
103. Malpeque PLC probable 94 %
104. Vancouver-Centre PLC probable 93 %
105. Glengarry–Prescott–Russell PLC probable 92 %
106. Eglinton–Lawrence PLC probable 92 %
107. Nepean PLC probable 91 %
108. Cloverdale–Langley City PLC probable 91 %
109. West Vancouver–Sunshine Coast–Sea to Sky Country PLC enclin 90 %
110. Brome–Missisquoi PLC enclin 90 %
111. Bonavista–Burin–Trinity PLC enclin 89 %
112. Labrador PLC enclin 88 %
113. Long Range Mountains PLC enclin 88 %
114. Richmond-Centre PLC enclin 88 %
115. Pickering–Uxbridge PLC enclin 88 %
116. Calgary Skyview PLC enclin 87 %
117. Châteauguay–Lacolle PLC enclin 87 %
118. Charleswood–St. James–Assiniboia–Headingley PLC enclin 86 %
119. York-Centre PLC enclin 82 %
120. Sydney–Victoria PLC enclin 82 %
121. Yukon PLC enclin 81 %
122. Oakville-Nord–Burlington PLC enclin 81 %
123. Richmond Hill PLC enclin 80 %
124. Burlington PLC enclin 80 %
125. Whitby PLC enclin 79 %
126. St. John’s-Est PLC enclin 79 %
127. Thunder Bay–Supérieur-Nord PLC enclin 78 %
128. Fredericton PLC enclin 75 %
129. Laurier–Sainte-Marie PLC enclin 72 %
130. Edmonton-Centre PLC enclin 71 %
131. London-Centre-Nord PLC enclin 71 %
132. Oakville PLC enclin 71 %
133. Kingston et les Îles PLC enclin 70 %
134. Nipissing–Timiskaming Pivot PLC/PCC 70 %
135. Mississauga–Lakeshore Pivot PLC/PCC 69 %
136. Markham–Unionville Pivot PLC/PCC 68 %
137. Surrey-Sud–White Rock Pivot PLC/PCC 66 %
138. Hamilton-Est–Stoney Creek Pivot PLC/NPD 66 %
139. St. Catharines Pivot PLC/PCC 66 %
140. Vaughan–Woodbridge Pivot PLC/PCC 64 %
141. Ottawa-Centre Pivot PLC/NPD 64 %
142. Newmarket–Aurora Pivot PLC/PCC 64 %
143. Coast of Bays–Central–Notre Dame Pivot PLC/PCC 60 %
144. Longueuil–Saint-Hubert Pivot PLC/BQ 57 %
145. Territoires du Nord-Ouest Pivot PLC/NPD 56 %
146. Cambridge Pivot PLC/PCC 54 %
147. London-Ouest Pivot PLC/PCC/NPD 54 %
148. Edmonton Mill Woods Pivot PLC/PCC 51 %
149. Kanata–Carleton Pivot PLC/PCC 51 %
150. Aurora–Oak Ridges–Richmond Hill Pivot PLC/PCC 50 %
151. Niagara-Centre Pivot PLC/PCC/NPD 49 %
152. Vancouver Granville Pivot PLC/NPD 47 %
153. South Shore–St. Margarets Pivot PLC/PCC 46 %
154. Miramichi–Grand Lake Pivot PLC/PCC 45 %
155. Kitchener-Sud–Hespeler Pivot PLC/PCC 44 %
156. Kildonan–St. Paul Pivot PLC/PCC 43 %
157. Spadina–Fort York Pivot PLC/NPD 43 %
158. Windsor–Tecumseh Pivot PLC/NPD 41 %
159. Thérèse-De Blainville Pivot PLC/BQ 41 %
160. Nickel Belt Pivot PLC/NPD 40 %
161. La Prairie Pivot PLC/BQ 40 %
162. Thunder Bay–Rainy River Pivot PLC/PCC/NPD 40 %
163. Hamilton Mountain Pivot PLC/NPD 39 %
164. Halifax Pivot PLC/NPD 39 %
165. Sudbury Pivot PLC/NPD 38 %
166. Kitchener–Conestoga Pivot PLC/PCC 38 %
167. Rivière-des-Mille-Îles Pivot PLC/BQ 36 %
168. Shefford Pivot PLC/BQ 36 %
169. Sault Ste. Marie Pivot PLC/PCC 36 %
170. Beauport–Limoilou Pivot PLC/BQ 34 %
171. Toronto–Danforth Pivot PLC/NPD 33 %
172. Davenport Pivot PLC/NPD 31 %
173. Montarville Pivot PLC/BQ 31 %
174. Parkdale–High Park NPD enclin 29 %
175. Trois-Rivières Pivot PLC/PCC/BQ 28 %
176. King–Vaughan PCC enclin 23 %
177. Terrebonne BQ enclin 19 %
178. Abitibi–Baie-James–Nunavik–Eeyou BQ enclin 15 %
179. La Pointe-de-l’Île BQ enclin 14 %
180. Peterborough–Kawartha PCC enclin 12 %
181. Flamborough–Glanbrook PCC enclin 11 %
182. Cumberland–Colchester PCC enclin 10 %
183. Baie de Quinte PCC enclin 10 %
184. Niagara Falls PCC probable 9 %
185. Calgary Forest Lawn PCC probable 9 %
186. Desnethé–Missinippi–Rivière Churchill PCC probable 8 %
187. Calgary Confederation PCC probable 7 %
188. Nunavut NPD probable 7 %
189. Burnaby-Sud NPD probable 3 %
190. Saint-Jean BQ probable 3 %
191. Calgary-Centre PCC probable 3 %
192. Regina–Wascana PCC probable 2 %
193. Hastings–Lennox and Addington PCC probable 2 %
194. Pitt Meadows–Maple Ridge Pivot PCC/NPD 2 %
195. Port Moody–Coquitlam NPD probable 2 %
Rang Circonscription Projection
1. Saint-Léonard–Saint-Michel PLC solide
2. Acadie–Bathurst PLC solide
3. Scarborough-Nord PLC solide
4. Bourassa PLC solide
5. Honoré-Mercier PLC solide
6. Saint-Laurent PLC solide
7. Mont-Royal PLC solide
8. Scarborough–Rouge Park PLC solide
9. Markham–Thornhill PLC solide
10. Scarborough–Guildwood PLC solide
11. Pierrefonds–Dollard PLC solide
12. Humber River–Black Creek PLC solide
13. Lac-Saint-Louis PLC solide
14. Brossard–Saint-Lambert PLC solide
15. Madawaska–Restigouche PLC solide
16. Etobicoke-Nord PLC solide
17. Surrey–Newton PLC solide
18. Notre-Dame-de-Grâce–Westmount PLC solide
19. Don Valley-Est PLC solide
20. St. John’s-Sud–Mount Pearl PLC solide
21. Ahuntsic-Cartierville PLC solide
22. Hull–Aylmer PLC solide
23. Dorval–Lachine–LaSalle PLC solide
24. Scarborough-Centre PLC solide
25. Beauséjour PLC solide
26. Gatineau PLC solide
27. Scarborough-Sud-Ouest PLC solide
28. Alfred-Pellan PLC solide
29. Vimy PLC solide
30. Ville-Marie–Le Sud-Ouest–Île-des-Soeurs PLC solide
31. Laval–Les Îles PLC solide
32. Papineau PLC solide
33. York-Sud–Weston PLC solide
34. Vaudreuil–Soulanges PLC solide
35. Winnipeg-Centre-Sud PLC solide
36. Moncton–Riverview–Dieppe PLC solide
37. Pontiac PLC solide
38. LaSalle–Émard–Verdun PLC solide
39. Ajax PLC solide
40. Winnipeg-Sud PLC solide
41. Beaches–East York PLC solide
42. Saint-Boniface–Saint-Vital PLC solide
43. Vancouver-Sud PLC solide
44. Brampton-Ouest PLC solide
45. North Vancouver PLC solide
46. Winnipeg-Nord PLC solide
47. Mississauga-Centre PLC solide
48. Scarborough–Agincourt PLC solide
49. Vancouver Quadra PLC solide
50. Ottawa-Sud PLC solide
51. Toronto–St. Paul’s PLC solide
52. Brampton-Est PLC solide
53. Orléans PLC solide
54. Louis-Hébert PLC solide
55. Saint-Maurice–Champlain PLC solide
56. Marc-Aurèle-Fortin PLC solide
57. Fleetwood–Port Kells PLC solide
58. Halifax-Ouest PLC solide
59. Don Valley-Nord PLC solide
60. Brampton-Nord PLC solide
61. Outremont PLC solide
62. Kings–Hants PLC solide
63. Mississauga–Malton PLC solide
64. Ottawa–Vanier PLC solide
65. Cardigan PLC solide
66. Sherbrooke PLC solide
67. Avalon PLC solide
68. Brampton-Sud PLC solide
69. Nova-Centre PLC solide
70. Surrey-Centre PLC solide
71. Waterloo PLC probable
72. Guelph PLC probable
73. Saint John–Rothesay PLC probable
74. Milton PLC probable
75. Delta PLC probable
76. Ottawa-Ouest–Nepean PLC probable
77. Toronto-Centre PLC probable
78. Steveston–Richmond-Est PLC probable
79. Charlottetown PLC probable
80. Hochelaga PLC probable
81. Mississauga-Est–Cooksville PLC probable
82. Québec PLC probable
83. Dartmouth–Cole Harbour PLC probable
84. Egmont PLC probable
85. Compton–Stanstead PLC probable
86. University–Rosedale PLC probable
87. Gaspésie–Les Îles-de-la-Madeleine PLC probable
88. Cape Breton–Canso PLC probable
89. Mississauga–Erin Mills PLC probable
90. Willowdale PLC probable
91. Don Valley-Ouest PLC probable
92. Hamilton-Ouest–Ancaster–Dundas PLC probable
93. Etobicoke–Lakeshore PLC probable
94. Longueuil–Charles-LeMoyne PLC probable
95. Coquitlam–Port Coquitlam PLC probable
96. Brampton-Centre PLC probable
97. Markham–Stouffville PLC probable
98. Sackville–Preston–Chezzetcook PLC probable
99. Mississauga–Streetsville PLC probable
100. Burnaby-Nord–Seymour PLC probable
101. Argenteuil–La Petite-Nation PLC probable
102. Etobicoke-Centre PLC probable
103. Malpeque PLC probable
104. Vancouver-Centre PLC probable
105. Glengarry–Prescott–Russell PLC probable
106. Eglinton–Lawrence PLC probable
107. Nepean PLC probable
108. Cloverdale–Langley City PLC probable
109. West Vancouver–Sunshine Coast–Sea to Sky Country PLC enclin
110. Brome–Missisquoi PLC enclin
111. Bonavista–Burin–Trinity PLC enclin
112. Labrador PLC enclin
113. Long Range Mountains PLC enclin
114. Richmond-Centre PLC enclin
115. Pickering–Uxbridge PLC enclin
116. Calgary Skyview PLC enclin
117. Châteauguay–Lacolle PLC enclin
118. Charleswood–St. James–Assiniboia–Headingley PLC enclin
119. York-Centre PLC enclin
120. Sydney–Victoria PLC enclin
121. Yukon PLC enclin
122. Oakville-Nord–Burlington PLC enclin
123. Richmond Hill PLC enclin
124. Burlington PLC enclin
125. Whitby PLC enclin
126. St. John’s-Est PLC enclin
127. Thunder Bay–Supérieur-Nord PLC enclin
128. Fredericton PLC enclin
129. Laurier–Sainte-Marie PLC enclin
130. Edmonton-Centre PLC enclin
131. London-Centre-Nord PLC enclin
132. Oakville PLC enclin
133. Kingston et les Îles PLC enclin
134. Nipissing–Timiskaming Pivot PLC/PCC
135. Mississauga–Lakeshore Pivot PLC/PCC
136. Markham–Unionville Pivot PLC/PCC
137. Surrey-Sud–White Rock Pivot PLC/PCC
138. Hamilton-Est–Stoney Creek Pivot PLC/NPD
139. St. Catharines Pivot PLC/PCC
140. Vaughan–Woodbridge Pivot PLC/PCC
141. Ottawa-Centre Pivot PLC/NPD
142. Newmarket–Aurora Pivot PLC/PCC
143. Coast of Bays–Central–Notre Dame Pivot PLC/PCC
144. Longueuil–Saint-Hubert Pivot PLC/BQ
145. Territoires du Nord-Ouest Pivot PLC/NPD
146. Cambridge Pivot PLC/PCC
147. London-Ouest Pivot PLC/PCC/NPD
148. Edmonton Mill Woods Pivot PLC/PCC
149. Kanata–Carleton Pivot PLC/PCC
150. Aurora–Oak Ridges–Richmond Hill Pivot PLC/PCC
151. Niagara-Centre Pivot PLC/PCC/NPD
152. Vancouver Granville Pivot PLC/NPD
153. South Shore–St. Margarets Pivot PLC/PCC
154. Miramichi–Grand Lake Pivot PLC/PCC
155. Kitchener-Sud–Hespeler Pivot PLC/PCC
156. Kildonan–St. Paul Pivot PLC/PCC
157. Spadina–Fort York Pivot PLC/NPD
158. Windsor–Tecumseh Pivot PLC/NPD
159. Thérèse-De Blainville Pivot PLC/BQ
160. Nickel Belt Pivot PLC/NPD
161. La Prairie Pivot PLC/BQ
162. Thunder Bay–Rainy River Pivot PLC/PCC/NPD
163. Hamilton Mountain Pivot PLC/NPD
164. Halifax Pivot PLC/NPD
165. Sudbury Pivot PLC/NPD
166. Kitchener–Conestoga Pivot PLC/PCC
167. Rivière-des-Mille-Îles Pivot PLC/BQ
168. Shefford Pivot PLC/BQ
169. Sault Ste. Marie Pivot PLC/PCC
170. Beauport–Limoilou Pivot PLC/BQ
171. Toronto–Danforth Pivot PLC/NPD
172. Davenport Pivot PLC/NPD
173. Montarville Pivot PLC/BQ
174. Parkdale–High Park NPD enclin
175. Trois-Rivières Pivot PLC/PCC/BQ
176. King–Vaughan PCC enclin
177. Terrebonne BQ enclin
178. Abitibi–Baie-James–Nunavik–Eeyou BQ enclin
179. La Pointe-de-l’Île BQ enclin
180. Peterborough–Kawartha PCC enclin
181. Flamborough–Glanbrook PCC enclin
182. Cumberland–Colchester PCC enclin
183. Baie de Quinte PCC enclin
184. Niagara Falls PCC probable
185. Calgary Forest Lawn PCC probable
186. Desnethé–Missinippi–Rivière Churchill PCC probable
187. Calgary Confederation PCC probable
188. Nunavut NPD probable
189. Burnaby-Sud NPD probable
190. Saint-Jean BQ probable
191. Calgary-Centre PCC probable
192. Regina–Wascana PCC probable
193. Hastings–Lennox and Addington PCC probable
194. Pitt Meadows–Maple Ridge Pivot PCC/NPD
195. Port Moody–Coquitlam NPD probable



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