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Dernière mise à jour: 20 juin 2021
| Chef | Justin Trudeau |
| Proportion du suffrage national en 2019 | 33.1% |
| Projection de vote actuelle | 35.8% ± 4.8% |
| Nombre actuel de députés-es | 155 |
| Projection de sièges actuelle | 165 ± 37 |
Liste des circonscriptions favorables au Parti libéral du Canada
| Rang | Circonscription | Province | Parti actuel | Dernière projection | Probabilité de victoire |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | Scarborough–Rouge Park |  |
 |
PLC solide | >99% |
| 2. | Honoré-Mercier |  |
|
PLC solide | >99% |
| 3. | Etobicoke-Nord | |
|
PLC solide | >99% |
| 4. | Winnipeg-Nord |  |
|
PLC solide | >99% |
| 5. | Scarborough–Guildwood | |
|
PLC solide | >99% |
| 6. | Saint-Léonard–Saint-Michel | |
|
PLC solide | >99% |
| 7. | Humber River–Black Creek | |
|
PLC solide | >99% |
| 8. | Don Valley-Est | |
 |
PLC solide | >99% |
| 9. | Saint-Laurent | |
|
PLC solide | >99% |
| 10. | Bourassa | |
|
PLC solide | >99% |
| 11. | Acadie–Bathurst |  |
|
PLC solide | >99% |
| 12. | Winnipeg-Centre-Sud | |
|
PLC solide | >99% |
| 13. | Madawaska–Restigouche | |
|
PLC solide | >99% |
| 14. | Cardigan |  |
|
PLC solide | >99% |
| 15. | Lac-Saint-Louis | |
|
PLC solide | >99% |
| 16. | Saint-Boniface–Saint-Vital | |
|
PLC solide | >99% |
| 17. | Mississauga–Malton | |
|
PLC solide | >99% |
| 18. | Ajax | |
|
PLC solide | >99% |
| 19. | Winnipeg-Sud | |
|
PLC solide | >99% |
| 20. | Beauséjour | |
|
PLC solide | >99% |
| 21. | York-Sud–Weston | |
|
PLC solide | >99% |
| 22. | Mont-Royal | |
|
PLC solide | >99% |
| 23. | Scarborough-Sud-Ouest | |
|
PLC solide | >99% |
| 24. | Pierrefonds–Dollard | |
|
PLC solide | >99% |
| 25. | Ville-Marie–Le Sud-Ouest–Île-des-Soeurs | |
|
PLC solide | >99% |
| 26. | Orléans | |
|
PLC solide | >99% |
| 27. | Halifax-Ouest |  |
|
PLC solide | >99% |
| 28. | Brossard–Saint-Lambert | |
|
PLC solide | >99% |
| 29. | Notre-Dame-de-Grâce–Westmount | |
|
PLC solide | >99% |
| 30. | Scarborough-Centre | |
|
PLC solide | >99% |
| 31. | Hull–Aylmer | |
|
PLC solide | >99% |
| 32. | Dorval–Lachine–LaSalle | |
|
PLC solide | >99% |
| 33. | Brampton-Ouest | |
|
PLC solide | >99% |
| 34. | Gatineau | |
|
PLC solide | >99% |
| 35. | Toronto–St. Paul`s | |
|
PLC solide | >99% |
| 36. | Ahuntsic-Cartierville | |
|
PLC solide | >99% |
| 37. | Moncton–Riverview–Dieppe | |
|
PLC solide | >99% |
| 38. | Papineau | |
|
PLC solide | >99% |
| 39. | Vancouver Quadra |  |
|
PLC solide | >99% |
| 40. | Ottawa-Sud | |
|
PLC solide | >99% |
| 41. | North Vancouver | |
|
PLC solide | >99% |
| 42. | Laval–Les Îles | |
|
PLC solide | >99% |
| 43. | Pontiac | |
|
PLC solide | >99% |
| 44. | Spadina–Fort York | |
|
PLC solide | >99% |
| 45. | Charlottetown | |
|
PLC solide | >99% |
| 46. | Long Range Mountains |  |
|
PLC solide | >99% |
| 47. | Outremont | |
|
PLC solide | >99% |
| 48. | St. John`s-Sud–Mount Pearl | |
|
PLC solide | >99% |
| 49. | Beaches–East York | |
|
PLC solide | >99% |
| 50. | Vaudreuil–Soulanges | |
|
PLC solide | >99% |
| 51. | Mississauga-Centre | |
|
PLC solide | >99% |
| 52. | Waterloo | |
|
PLC solide | >99% |
| 53. | Kings–Hants | |
|
PLC solide | >99% |
| 54. | Vancouver-Centre | |
|
PLC solide | >99% |
| 55. | Brampton-Nord | |
|
PLC solide | >99% |
| 56. | Avalon | |
|
PLC solide | >99% |
| 57. | Don Valley-Ouest | |
|
PLC solide | >99% |
| 58. | Etobicoke–Lakeshore | |
|
PLC solide | >99% |
| 59. | Ottawa–Vanier | |
|
PLC solide | >99% |
| 60. | Scarborough-Nord | |
|
PLC solide | >99% |
| 61. | LaSalle–Émard–Verdun | |
|
PLC solide | >99% |
| 62. | Vimy | |
|
PLC solide | >99% |
| 63. | Malpeque | |
|
PLC solide | >99% |
| 64. | Pickering–Uxbridge | |
|
PLC solide | >99% |
| 65. | Alfred-Pellan | |
|
PLC solide | >99% |
| 66. | Hamilton-Ouest–Ancaster–Dundas | |
|
PLC solide | >99% |
| 67. | University–Rosedale | |
|
PLC solide | >99% |
| 68. | Dartmouth–Cole Harbour | |
|
PLC solide | >99% |
| 69. | Brampton-Sud | |
|
PLC solide | >99% |
| 70. | Surrey–Newton | |
|
PLC solide | >99% |
| 71. | Coast of Bays–Central–Notre Dame | |
|
PLC solide | >99% |
| 72. | South Shore–St. Margarets | |
|
PLC solide | >99% |
| 73. | Delta | |
|
PLC solide | >99% |
| 74. | Mississauga–Erin Mills | |
|
PLC solide | >99% |
| 75. | Ottawa-Ouest–Nepean | |
|
PLC solide | >99% |
| 76. | Brampton-Centre | |
|
PLC solide | >99% |
| 77. | Sackville–Preston–Chezzetcook | |
|
PLC solide | >99% |
| 78. | Vancouver-Sud | |
|
PLC solide | >99% |
| 79. | Eglinton–Lawrence | |
|
PLC solide | >99% |
| 80. | Markham–Thornhill | |
|
PLC solide | >99% |
| 81. | Mississauga-Est–Cooksville | |
|
PLC solide | >99% |
| 82. | Louis-Hébert | |
|
PLC solide | >99% |
| 83. | Mississauga–Streetsville | |
|
PLC solide | >99% |
| 84. | Etobicoke-Centre | |
|
PLC solide | >99% |
| 85. | Guelph | |
|
PLC solide | >99% |
| 86. | Laurier–Sainte-Marie | |
|
PLC solide | >99% |
| 87. | Burlington | |
|
PLC solide | >99% |
| 88. | Fleetwood–Port Kells | |
|
PLC probable | 99% |
| 89. | Bonavista–Burin–Trinity | |
|
PLC probable | 99% |
| 90. | London-Ouest | |
|
PLC probable | 99% |
| 91. | Kingston et les Îles | |
|
PLC probable | 99% |
| 92. | Thunder Bay–Supérieur-Nord | |
|
PLC probable | 99% |
| 93. | Marc-Aurèle-Fortin | |
|
PLC probable | 99% |
| 94. | Milton | |
|
PLC probable | 99% |
| 95. | Don Valley-Nord | |
|
PLC probable | 99% |
| 96. | West Vancouver–Sunshine Coast–Sea to Sky Country | |
|
PLC probable | 99% |
| 97. | Vaughan–Woodbridge | |
|
PLC probable | 99% |
| 98. | Saint John–Rothesay | |
|
PLC probable | 99% |
| 99. | Nipissing–Timiskaming | |
|
PLC probable | 99% |
| 100. | Nepean | |
|
PLC probable | 99% |
| 101. | Labrador | |
|
PLC probable | 98% |
| 102. | Surrey-Centre | |
|
PLC probable | 98% |
| 103. | Egmont | |
|
PLC probable | 98% |
| 104. | Kitchener-Centre | |
|
PLC probable | 98% |
| 105. | London-Centre-Nord | |
|
PLC probable | 98% |
| 106. | Scarborough–Agincourt | |
|
PLC probable | 98% |
| 107. | Willowdale | |
|
PLC probable | 98% |
| 108. | Glengarry–Prescott–Russell | |
|
PLC probable | 98% |
| 109. | Coquitlam–Port Coquitlam | |
|
PLC probable | 97% |
| 110. | Brampton-Est | |
|
PLC probable | 97% |
| 111. | Mississauga–Lakeshore | |
|
PLC probable | 97% |
| 112. | Cambridge | |
|
PLC probable | 97% |
| 113. | Cape Breton–Canso | |
|
PLC probable | 97% |
| 114. | Oakville-Nord–Burlington | |
|
PLC probable | 96% |
| 115. | Nova-Centre | |
|
PLC probable | 96% |
| 116. | Sydney–Victoria | |
|
PLC probable | 95% |
| 117. | St. Catharines | |
|
PLC probable | 95% |
| 118. | Halifax | |
|
PLC probable | 95% |
| 119. | Saint-Maurice–Champlain | |
|
PLC probable | 95% |
| 120. | Ottawa-Centre | |
|
PLC probable | 94% |
| 121. | Whitby | |
|
PLC probable | 94% |
| 122. | Toronto-Centre | |
|
PLC probable | 94% |
| 123. | Compton–Stanstead | |
|
PLC probable | 94% |
| 124. | Brome–Missisquoi | |
|
PLC probable | 92% |
| 125. | Oakville | |
|
PLC probable | 91% |
| 126. | Cumberland–Colchester | |
|
PLC probable | 91% |
| 127. | Kanata–Carleton | |
|
PLC probable | 91% |
| 128. | Sault Ste. Marie | |
|
PLC enclin | 89% |
| 129. | Sherbrooke | |
|
PLC enclin | 88% |
| 130. | Newmarket–Aurora | |
|
PLC enclin | 87% |
| 131. | Longueuil–Charles-LeMoyne | |
|
PLC enclin | 87% |
| 132. | Peterborough–Kawartha | |
|
PLC enclin | 86% |
| 133. | Gaspésie–Les Îles-de-la-Madeleine | |
|
PLC enclin | 85% |
| 134. | Burnaby-Nord–Seymour | |
|
PLC enclin | 85% |
| 135. | Miramichi–Grand Lake | |
|
PLC enclin | 85% |
| 136. | Argenteuil–La Petite-Nation | |
|
PLC enclin | 84% |
| 137. | York-Centre | |
|
PLC enclin | 83% |
| 138. | Parkdale–High Park | |
|
PLC enclin | 83% |
| 139. | Châteauguay–Lacolle | |
|
PLC enclin | 83% |
| 140. | Hochelaga | |
|
PLC enclin | 83% |
| 141. | Territoires du Nord-Ouest |  |
|
PLC enclin | 82% |
| 142. | Kitchener-Sud–Hespeler | |
|
PLC enclin | 81% |
| 143. | Québec | |
|
PLC enclin | 81% |
| 144. | Fredericton | |
|
PLC enclin | 80% |
| 145. | Baie de Quinte | |
|
PLC enclin | 77% |
| 146. | Toronto–Danforth | |
|
PLC enclin | 76% |
| 147. | Markham–Stouffville | |
|
PLC enclin | 75% |
| 148. | Sudbury | |
|
PLC enclin | 75% |
| 149. | King–Vaughan | |
|
PLC enclin | 73% |
| 150. | Kitchener–Conestoga | |
|
Pivot | 69% |
| 151. | Richmond Hill | |
|
Pivot | 67% |
| 152. | Shefford | |
 |
Pivot | 65% |
| 153. | Edmonton-Centre |  |
 |
Pivot | 61% |
| 154. | Cloverdale–Langley City | |
|
Pivot | 61% |
| 155. | Niagara-Centre | |
|
Pivot | 58% |
| 156. | La Prairie | |
|
Pivot | 56% |
| 157. | Aurora–Oak Ridges–Richmond Hill | |
|
Pivot | 55% |
| 158. | Charleswood–St. James–Assiniboia–Headingley | |
|
Pivot | 55% |
| 159. | Yukon |  |
|
Pivot | 54% |
| 160. | Hamilton-Est–Stoney Creek | |
|
Pivot | 53% |
| 161. | Thérèse-De Blainville | |
|
Pivot | 52% |
| 162. | Nickel Belt | |
|
Pivot | 52% |
| 163. | Rosemont–La Petite-Patrie | |
 |
Pivot | 51% |
| 164. | Rivière-des-Mille-Îles | |
|
Pivot | 51% |
| 165. | Thunder Bay–Rainy River | |
|
Pivot | 50% |
| 166. | Beauport–Limoilou | |
|
Pivot | 49% |
| 167. | Niagara Falls | |
|
Pivot | 48% |
| 168. | Davenport | |
|
Pivot | 48% |
| 169. | Nova-Ouest | |
|
Pivot | 48% |
| 170. | Northumberland–Peterborough-Sud | |
|
Pivot | 47% |
| 171. | Edmonton Mill Woods | |
|
Pivot | 47% |
| 172. | Longueuil–Saint-Hubert | |
|
Pivot | 43% |
| 173. | Windsor–Tecumseh | |
|
Pivot | 43% |
| 174. | Hastings–Lennox and Addington | |
|
Pivot | 43% |
| 175. | Abitibi–Baie-James–Nunavik–Eeyou | |
|
Pivot | 41% |
| 176. | Trois-Rivières | |
|
Pivot | 40% |
| 177. | Flamborough–Glanbrook | |
|
Pivot | 40% |
| 178. | Vancouver Granville | |
|
Pivot | 38% |
| 179. | Montarville | |
|
Pivot | 36% |
| 180. | Port Moody–Coquitlam | |
|
Pivot | 35% |
| 181. | Surrey-Sud–White Rock | |
|
Pivot | 32% |
| 182. | Nunavut |  |
|
NPD enclin | 27% |
| 183. | Pitt Meadows–Maple Ridge | |
|
Pivot | 25% |
| 184. | Kenora | |
|
Pivot | 24% |
| 185. | Barrie–Springwater–Oro-Medonte | |
|
PCC enclin | 23% |
| 186. | Steveston–Richmond-Est | |
|
PCC enclin | 22% |
| 187. | Laurentides–Labelle | |
|
BQ enclin | 21% |
| 188. | Kildonan–St. Paul | |
|
PCC enclin | 20% |
| 189. | Mission–Matsqui–Fraser Canyon | |
|
PCC enclin | 20% |
| 190. | Calgary-Centre | |
|
PCC enclin | 19% |
| 191. | Dufferin–Caledon | |
|
PCC enclin | 19% |
| 192. | Calgary Skyview | |
|
PCC enclin | 18% |
| 193. | Kelowna–Lake Country | |
|
PCC enclin | 18% |
| 194. | Markham–Unionville | |
|
PCC enclin | 18% |
| 195. | Saint-Jean | |
|
BQ enclin | 17% |
| 196. | Abitibi–Témiscamingue | |
|
BQ enclin | 17% |
| 197. | Brantford–Brant | |
|
PCC enclin | 15% |
| 198. | Avignon–La Mitis–Matane–Matapédia | |
|
BQ enclin | 14% |
| 199. | La Pointe-de-l`Île | |
|
BQ enclin | 12% |
| 200. | St. John`s-Est | |
|
NPD enclin | 12% |
| 201. | Carleton | |
|
PCC enclin | 12% |
| 202. | Parry Sound–Muskoka | |
|
PCC enclin | 11% |
| 203. | Richmond-Centre | |
|
PCC enclin | 11% |
| 204. | Simcoe–Grey | |
|
PCC probable | 10% |
| 205. | Salaberry–Suroît | |
|
BQ probable | 9% |
| 206. | Simcoe-Nord | |
|
PCC probable | 8% |
| 207. | Niagara-Ouest | |
|
PCC probable | 7% |
| 208. | Durham | |
|
PCC probable | 7% |
| 209. | Calgary Confederation | |
|
PCC probable | 6% |
| 210. | Windsor-Ouest | |
|
NPD probable | 6% |
| 211. | Fundy Royal | |
|
PCC probable | 5% |
| 212. | Regina–Wascana |  |
|
PCC probable | 5% |
| 213. | Terrebonne | |
|
BQ probable | 5% |
| 214. | Barrie–Innisfil | |
|
PCC probable | 5% |
| 215. | Huron–Bruce | |
|
PCC probable | 4% |
| 216. | Edmonton Riverbend | |
|
PCC probable | 4% |
| 217. | Langley–Aldergrove | |
|
PCC probable | 4% |
| 218. | Rimouski-Neigette–Témiscouata–Les Basques | |
|
BQ enclin | 4% |
| 219. | Lac-Saint-Jean | |
|
BQ probable | 4% |
| 220. | Chatham-Kent–Leamington | |
|
PCC probable | 3% |
| 221. | Hamilton Mountain | |
|
NPD probable | 3% |
| 222. | Pierre-Boucher–Les Patriotes–Verchères | |
|
BQ probable | 3% |
| 223. | Bruce–Grey–Owen Sound | |
|
PCC probable | 3% |
| 224. | Kamloops–Thompson–Cariboo | |
|
PCC probable | 3% |
| 225. | Desnethé–Missinippi–Rivière Churchill | |
|
Pivot | 3% |
| 226. | Edmonton Manning | |
|
PCC probable | 3% |
| 227. | Central Okanagan–Similkameen–Nicola | |
|
PCC probable | 3% |
| 228. | Nouveau-Brunswick-Sud-Ouest | |
|
PCC probable | 2% |
| 229. | Winnipeg-Centre | |
|
NPD probable | 2% |
| 230. | Calgary Forest Lawn | |
|
PCC probable | 2% |
| 231. | Thornhill | |
|
PCC probable | 2% |
| 232. | Saint-Hyacinthe–Bagot | |
|
BQ probable | 2% |
| 233. | Victoria | |
|
NPD probable | 1% |
| 234. | Tobique–Mactaquac | |
|
PCC probable | 1% |
| 235. | Repentigny | |
|
BQ probable | 1% |
| 236. | Churchill–Keewatinook Aski | |
|
NPD probable | 1% |
| 237. | Burnaby-Sud | |
|
NPD probable | <1% |
| 238. | Wellington–Halton Hills | |
|
PCC probable | <1% |
| 239. | Oshawa | |
|
Pivot | <1% |
| 240. | Mirabel | |
|
BQ probable | <1% |
| 241. | Perth–Wellington | |
|
PCC probable | <1% |
| 242. | York–Simcoe | |
|
PCC probable | <1% |