logo
Canada

Parti libéral du Canada





Dernière mise à jour: 26 juin 2022

ChefJustin Trudeau
Proportion du suffrage national en 202132.6%
Projection de vote actuelle31,5 % ± 3,9 %
Nombre actuel de députés-es159
Projection de sièges actuelle138 [95-173]



Liste des circonscriptions favorables au Parti libéral du Canada



Rang Circonscription Province Parti actuel Dernière projection Probabilité de victoire
1. Saint-Léonard–Saint-Michel PLC solide > 99 %
2. Scarborough-Nord PLC solide > 99 %
3. Acadie–Bathurst PLC solide > 99 %
4. Scarborough–Rouge Park PLC solide > 99 %
5. Markham–Thornhill PLC solide > 99 %
6. Bourassa PLC solide > 99 %
7. Honoré-Mercier PLC solide > 99 %
8. Scarborough–Guildwood PLC solide > 99 %
9. Saint-Laurent PLC solide > 99 %
10. Humber River–Black Creek PLC solide > 99 %
11. Etobicoke-Nord PLC solide > 99 %
12. Mont-Royal PLC solide > 99 %
13. Surrey–Newton PLC solide > 99 %
14. Winnipeg-Nord PLC solide > 99 %
15. Brossard–Saint-Lambert PLC solide > 99 %
16. Don Valley-Est PLC solide > 99 %
17. Pierrefonds–Dollard PLC solide > 99 %
18. Scarborough-Centre PLC solide > 99 %
19. Lac-Saint-Louis PLC solide > 99 %
20. Scarborough-Sud-Ouest PLC solide > 99 %
21. Ahuntsic-Cartierville PLC solide > 99 %
22. Gatineau PLC solide > 99 %
23. Dorval–Lachine–LaSalle PLC solide > 99 %
24. Hull–Aylmer PLC solide > 99 %
25. Vancouver-Sud PLC solide > 99 %
26. Notre-Dame-de-Grâce–Westmount PLC solide > 99 %
27. Vimy PLC solide > 99 %
28. York-Sud–Weston PLC solide > 99 %
29. Alfred-Pellan PLC solide > 99 %
30. Beauséjour PLC solide > 99 %
31. Laval–Les Îles PLC solide > 99 %
32. Ville-Marie–Le Sud-Ouest–Île-des-Soeurs PLC solide > 99 %
33. Vaudreuil–Soulanges PLC solide > 99 %
34. Pontiac PLC solide > 99 %
35. Beaches–East York PLC solide > 99 %
36. Ajax PLC solide > 99 %
37. St. John’s-Sud–Mount Pearl PLC solide > 99 %
38. Winnipeg-Centre-Sud PLC solide > 99 %
39. Saint-Boniface–Saint-Vital PLC solide > 99 %
40. Papineau PLC solide > 99 %
41. Saint-Maurice–Champlain PLC solide > 99 %
42. LaSalle–Émard–Verdun PLC solide > 99 %
43. Scarborough–Agincourt PLC solide > 99 %
44. Brampton-Ouest PLC solide > 99 %
45. Mississauga-Centre PLC solide > 99 %
46. Madawaska–Restigouche PLC solide > 99 %
47. Marc-Aurèle-Fortin PLC solide > 99 %
48. North Vancouver PLC solide > 99 %
49. Moncton–Riverview–Dieppe PLC solide > 99 %
50. Brampton-Est PLC solide > 99 %
51. Toronto–St. Paul’s PLC solide > 99 %
52. Ottawa-Sud PLC solide > 99 %
53. Surrey-Centre PLC solide > 99 %
54. Ottawa–Vanier PLC solide > 99 %
55. Don Valley-Nord PLC solide > 99 %
56. Vancouver Quadra PLC solide > 99 %
57. Orléans PLC solide > 99 %
58. Winnipeg-Sud PLC solide > 99 %
59. Louis-Hébert PLC solide > 99 %
60. Halifax-Ouest PLC solide > 99 %
61. Fleetwood–Port Kells PLC solide > 99 %
62. Mississauga–Malton PLC probable 99 %
63. Brampton-Nord PLC probable 99 %
64. Sherbrooke PLC probable 99 %
65. Toronto-Centre PLC probable 99 %
66. Brampton-Sud PLC probable 99 %
67. Guelph PLC probable 99 %
68. University–Rosedale PLC probable 99 %
69. Gaspésie–Les Îles-de-la-Madeleine PLC probable 98 %
70. Québec PLC probable 98 %
71. Compton–Stanstead PLC probable 98 %
72. Waterloo PLC probable 98 %
73. Burnaby-Nord–Seymour PLC probable 97 %
74. Dartmouth–Cole Harbour PLC probable 97 %
75. Milton PLC probable 97 %
76. Ottawa-Ouest–Nepean PLC probable 97 %
77. Hochelaga PLC probable 97 %
78. Longueuil–Charles-LeMoyne PLC probable 96 %
79. Mississauga-Est–Cooksville PLC probable 96 %
80. Vancouver-Centre PLC probable 96 %
81. Outremont PLC probable 96 %
82. Steveston–Richmond-Est PLC probable 96 %
83. Coquitlam–Port Coquitlam PLC probable 95 %
84. Delta PLC probable 95 %
85. Mississauga–Erin Mills PLC probable 95 %
86. Willowdale PLC probable 94 %
87. Hamilton-Ouest–Ancaster–Dundas PLC probable 93 %
88. Argenteuil–La Petite-Nation PLC probable 93 %
89. Don Valley-Ouest PLC probable 93 %
90. Brampton-Centre PLC probable 92 %
91. Etobicoke–Lakeshore PLC probable 91 %
92. Cardigan PLC probable 91 %
93. Kings–Hants PLC enclin 89 %
94. Markham–Stouffville PLC enclin 89 %
95. Mississauga–Streetsville PLC enclin 87 %
96. Brome–Missisquoi PLC enclin 86 %
97. Sackville–Preston–Chezzetcook PLC enclin 85 %
98. Calgary Skyview PLC enclin 85 %
99. Châteauguay–Lacolle PLC enclin 84 %
100. Avalon PLC enclin 84 %
101. Etobicoke-Centre PLC enclin 83 %
102. West Vancouver–Sunshine Coast–Sea to Sky Country PLC enclin 81 %
103. Charlottetown PLC enclin 81 %
104. Egmont PLC enclin 80 %
105. Nova-Centre PLC enclin 80 %
106. Eglinton–Lawrence PLC enclin 79 %
107. Glengarry–Prescott–Russell PLC enclin 78 %
108. Nepean PLC enclin 78 %
109. Saint John–Rothesay PLC enclin 78 %
110. Thunder Bay–Supérieur-Nord PLC enclin 76 %
111. Pickering–Uxbridge PLC enclin 72 %
112. Cloverdale–Langley City PLC enclin 72 %
113. Richmond-Centre PLC enclin 70 %
114. Kingston et les Îles Pivot PLC/NPD 68 %
115. Yukon Pivot PLC/PCC/NPD 67 %
116. London-Centre-Nord Pivot PLC/NPD 66 %
117. St. John’s-Est Pivot PLC/NPD 65 %
118. York-Centre Pivot PLC/PCC 65 %
119. Labrador Pivot PLC/PCC 64 %
120. Cape Breton–Canso Pivot PLC/PCC 64 %
121. Ottawa-Centre Pivot PLC/NPD 61 %
122. Oakville-Nord–Burlington Pivot PLC/PCC 60 %
123. Richmond Hill Pivot PLC/PCC 60 %
124. Whitby Pivot PLC/PCC 60 %
125. Burlington Pivot PLC/PCC 59 %
126. Hamilton-Est–Stoney Creek Pivot PLC/PCC/NPD 58 %
127. Toronto–Danforth Pivot PLC/NPD 57 %
128. Spadina–Fort York Pivot PLC/NPD 57 %
129. Edmonton-Centre Pivot PLC/PCC/NPD 56 %
130. Vancouver Granville Pivot PLC/NPD 56 %
131. Hamilton Mountain Pivot PLC/NPD 55 %
132. Davenport Pivot PLC/NPD 54 %
133. Longueuil–Saint-Hubert Pivot PLC/BQ 53 %
134. Malpeque Pivot PLC/PCC 52 %
135. Nipissing–Timiskaming Pivot PLC/PCC 52 %
136. Laurier–Sainte-Marie Pivot PLC/NPD 49 %
137. Oakville Pivot PLC/PCC 47 %
138. Windsor–Tecumseh Pivot PLC/NPD 47 %
139. Nickel Belt Pivot PLC/PCC/NPD 47 %
140. Cambridge Pivot PLC/PCC 46 %
141. Aurora–Oak Ridges–Richmond Hill Pivot PLC/PCC 46 %
142. Vaughan–Woodbridge Pivot PLC/PCC 46 %
143. Markham–Unionville Pivot PLC/PCC 46 %
144. Mississauga–Lakeshore Pivot PLC/PCC 46 %
145. Sudbury Pivot PLC/PCC/NPD 45 %
146. St. Catharines Pivot PLC/PCC 45 %
147. Kanata–Carleton Pivot PLC/PCC 43 %
148. London-Ouest Pivot PLC/PCC 42 %
149. Parkdale–High Park Pivot PLC/NPD 42 %
150. Newmarket–Aurora Pivot PLC/PCC 41 %
151. Thunder Bay–Rainy River Pivot PLC/PCC/NPD 41 %
152. Thérèse-De Blainville Pivot PLC/BQ 37 %
153. Surrey-Sud–White Rock Pivot PLC/PCC 37 %
154. La Prairie Pivot PLC/BQ 36 %
155. Territoires du Nord-Ouest Pivot PLC/NPD 35 %
156. Niagara-Centre Pivot PLC/PCC/NPD 33 %
157. Rivière-des-Mille-Îles Pivot PLC/BQ 32 %
158. Shefford Pivot PLC/BQ 32 %
159. Bonavista–Burin–Trinity Pivot PLC/PCC 30 %
160. Halifax NPD enclin (gain) 28 %
161. Montarville BQ enclin 28 %
162. Long Range Mountains PCC enclin (gain) 27 %
163. Kitchener–Conestoga PCC enclin (gain) 24 %
164. Kitchener-Sud–Hespeler PCC enclin (gain) 24 %
165. Sydney–Victoria PCC enclin (gain) 21 %
166. Sault Ste. Marie PCC enclin (gain) 21 %
167. Edmonton Mill Woods PCC enclin 19 %
168. Terrebonne BQ enclin 17 %
169. Fredericton PCC enclin (gain) 17 %
170. Charleswood–St. James–Assiniboia–Headingley PCC enclin 14 %
171. La Pointe-de-l’Île BQ enclin 12 %
172. Beauport–Limoilou PCC enclin (gain) 10 %
173. Abitibi–Baie-James–Nunavik–Eeyou BQ probable 10 %
174. King–Vaughan PCC probable 8 %
175. Coast of Bays–Central–Notre Dame PCC probable 5 %
176. Burnaby-Sud NPD probable 5 %
177. Trois-Rivières PCC enclin (gain) 4 %
178. Peterborough–Kawartha PCC probable 4 %
179. Flamborough–Glanbrook PCC probable 4 %
180. Miramichi–Grand Lake PCC probable 3 %
181. Baie de Quinte PCC probable 3 %
182. Niagara Falls PCC probable 3 %
183. Saint-Jean BQ probable 3 %
184. South Shore–St. Margarets PCC probable 2 %
185. Port Moody–Coquitlam NPD enclin 2 %
186. Kildonan–St. Paul PCC probable 2 %
Rang Circonscription Projection
1. Saint-Léonard–Saint-Michel PLC solide
2. Scarborough-Nord PLC solide
3. Acadie–Bathurst PLC solide
4. Scarborough–Rouge Park PLC solide
5. Markham–Thornhill PLC solide
6. Bourassa PLC solide
7. Honoré-Mercier PLC solide
8. Scarborough–Guildwood PLC solide
9. Saint-Laurent PLC solide
10. Humber River–Black Creek PLC solide
11. Etobicoke-Nord PLC solide
12. Mont-Royal PLC solide
13. Surrey–Newton PLC solide
14. Winnipeg-Nord PLC solide
15. Brossard–Saint-Lambert PLC solide
16. Don Valley-Est PLC solide
17. Pierrefonds–Dollard PLC solide
18. Scarborough-Centre PLC solide
19. Lac-Saint-Louis PLC solide
20. Scarborough-Sud-Ouest PLC solide
21. Ahuntsic-Cartierville PLC solide
22. Gatineau PLC solide
23. Dorval–Lachine–LaSalle PLC solide
24. Hull–Aylmer PLC solide
25. Vancouver-Sud PLC solide
26. Notre-Dame-de-Grâce–Westmount PLC solide
27. Vimy PLC solide
28. York-Sud–Weston PLC solide
29. Alfred-Pellan PLC solide
30. Beauséjour PLC solide
31. Laval–Les Îles PLC solide
32. Ville-Marie–Le Sud-Ouest–Île-des-Soeurs PLC solide
33. Vaudreuil–Soulanges PLC solide
34. Pontiac PLC solide
35. Beaches–East York PLC solide
36. Ajax PLC solide
37. St. John’s-Sud–Mount Pearl PLC solide
38. Winnipeg-Centre-Sud PLC solide
39. Saint-Boniface–Saint-Vital PLC solide
40. Papineau PLC solide
41. Saint-Maurice–Champlain PLC solide
42. LaSalle–Émard–Verdun PLC solide
43. Scarborough–Agincourt PLC solide
44. Brampton-Ouest PLC solide
45. Mississauga-Centre PLC solide
46. Madawaska–Restigouche PLC solide
47. Marc-Aurèle-Fortin PLC solide
48. North Vancouver PLC solide
49. Moncton–Riverview–Dieppe PLC solide
50. Brampton-Est PLC solide
51. Toronto–St. Paul’s PLC solide
52. Ottawa-Sud PLC solide
53. Surrey-Centre PLC solide
54. Ottawa–Vanier PLC solide
55. Don Valley-Nord PLC solide
56. Vancouver Quadra PLC solide
57. Orléans PLC solide
58. Winnipeg-Sud PLC solide
59. Louis-Hébert PLC solide
60. Halifax-Ouest PLC solide
61. Fleetwood–Port Kells PLC solide
62. Mississauga–Malton PLC probable
63. Brampton-Nord PLC probable
64. Sherbrooke PLC probable
65. Toronto-Centre PLC probable
66. Brampton-Sud PLC probable
67. Guelph PLC probable
68. University–Rosedale PLC probable
69. Gaspésie–Les Îles-de-la-Madeleine PLC probable
70. Québec PLC probable
71. Compton–Stanstead PLC probable
72. Waterloo PLC probable
73. Burnaby-Nord–Seymour PLC probable
74. Dartmouth–Cole Harbour PLC probable
75. Milton PLC probable
76. Ottawa-Ouest–Nepean PLC probable
77. Hochelaga PLC probable
78. Longueuil–Charles-LeMoyne PLC probable
79. Mississauga-Est–Cooksville PLC probable
80. Vancouver-Centre PLC probable
81. Outremont PLC probable
82. Steveston–Richmond-Est PLC probable
83. Coquitlam–Port Coquitlam PLC probable
84. Delta PLC probable
85. Mississauga–Erin Mills PLC probable
86. Willowdale PLC probable
87. Hamilton-Ouest–Ancaster–Dundas PLC probable
88. Argenteuil–La Petite-Nation PLC probable
89. Don Valley-Ouest PLC probable
90. Brampton-Centre PLC probable
91. Etobicoke–Lakeshore PLC probable
92. Cardigan PLC probable
93. Kings–Hants PLC enclin
94. Markham–Stouffville PLC enclin
95. Mississauga–Streetsville PLC enclin
96. Brome–Missisquoi PLC enclin
97. Sackville–Preston–Chezzetcook PLC enclin
98. Calgary Skyview PLC enclin
99. Châteauguay–Lacolle PLC enclin
100. Avalon PLC enclin
101. Etobicoke-Centre PLC enclin
102. West Vancouver–Sunshine Coast–Sea to Sky Country PLC enclin
103. Charlottetown PLC enclin
104. Egmont PLC enclin
105. Nova-Centre PLC enclin
106. Eglinton–Lawrence PLC enclin
107. Glengarry–Prescott–Russell PLC enclin
108. Nepean PLC enclin
109. Saint John–Rothesay PLC enclin
110. Thunder Bay–Supérieur-Nord PLC enclin
111. Pickering–Uxbridge PLC enclin
112. Cloverdale–Langley City PLC enclin
113. Richmond-Centre PLC enclin
114. Kingston et les Îles Pivot PLC/NPD
115. Yukon Pivot PLC/PCC/NPD
116. London-Centre-Nord Pivot PLC/NPD
117. St. John’s-Est Pivot PLC/NPD
118. York-Centre Pivot PLC/PCC
119. Labrador Pivot PLC/PCC
120. Cape Breton–Canso Pivot PLC/PCC
121. Ottawa-Centre Pivot PLC/NPD
122. Oakville-Nord–Burlington Pivot PLC/PCC
123. Richmond Hill Pivot PLC/PCC
124. Whitby Pivot PLC/PCC
125. Burlington Pivot PLC/PCC
126. Hamilton-Est–Stoney Creek Pivot PLC/PCC/NPD
127. Toronto–Danforth Pivot PLC/NPD
128. Spadina–Fort York Pivot PLC/NPD
129. Edmonton-Centre Pivot PLC/PCC/NPD
130. Vancouver Granville Pivot PLC/NPD
131. Hamilton Mountain Pivot PLC/NPD
132. Davenport Pivot PLC/NPD
133. Longueuil–Saint-Hubert Pivot PLC/BQ
134. Malpeque Pivot PLC/PCC
135. Nipissing–Timiskaming Pivot PLC/PCC
136. Laurier–Sainte-Marie Pivot PLC/NPD
137. Oakville Pivot PLC/PCC
138. Windsor–Tecumseh Pivot PLC/NPD
139. Nickel Belt Pivot PLC/PCC/NPD
140. Cambridge Pivot PLC/PCC
141. Aurora–Oak Ridges–Richmond Hill Pivot PLC/PCC
142. Vaughan–Woodbridge Pivot PLC/PCC
143. Markham–Unionville Pivot PLC/PCC
144. Mississauga–Lakeshore Pivot PLC/PCC
145. Sudbury Pivot PLC/PCC/NPD
146. St. Catharines Pivot PLC/PCC
147. Kanata–Carleton Pivot PLC/PCC
148. London-Ouest Pivot PLC/PCC
149. Parkdale–High Park Pivot PLC/NPD
150. Newmarket–Aurora Pivot PLC/PCC
151. Thunder Bay–Rainy River Pivot PLC/PCC/NPD
152. Thérèse-De Blainville Pivot PLC/BQ
153. Surrey-Sud–White Rock Pivot PLC/PCC
154. La Prairie Pivot PLC/BQ
155. Territoires du Nord-Ouest Pivot PLC/NPD
156. Niagara-Centre Pivot PLC/PCC/NPD
157. Rivière-des-Mille-Îles Pivot PLC/BQ
158. Shefford Pivot PLC/BQ
159. Bonavista–Burin–Trinity Pivot PLC/PCC
160. Halifax NPD enclin (gain)
161. Montarville BQ enclin
162. Long Range Mountains PCC enclin (gain)
163. Kitchener–Conestoga PCC enclin (gain)
164. Kitchener-Sud–Hespeler PCC enclin (gain)
165. Sydney–Victoria PCC enclin (gain)
166. Sault Ste. Marie PCC enclin (gain)
167. Edmonton Mill Woods PCC enclin
168. Terrebonne BQ enclin
169. Fredericton PCC enclin (gain)
170. Charleswood–St. James–Assiniboia–Headingley PCC enclin
171. La Pointe-de-l’Île BQ enclin
172. Beauport–Limoilou PCC enclin (gain)
173. Abitibi–Baie-James–Nunavik–Eeyou BQ probable
174. King–Vaughan PCC probable
175. Coast of Bays–Central–Notre Dame PCC probable
176. Burnaby-Sud NPD probable
177. Trois-Rivières PCC enclin (gain)
178. Peterborough–Kawartha PCC probable
179. Flamborough–Glanbrook PCC probable
180. Miramichi–Grand Lake PCC probable
181. Baie de Quinte PCC probable
182. Niagara Falls PCC probable
183. Saint-Jean BQ probable
184. South Shore–St. Margarets PCC probable
185. Port Moody–Coquitlam NPD enclin
186. Kildonan–St. Paul PCC probable