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Dernière mise à jour: 28 février 2021
| Chef | Justin Trudeau |
| Proportion du suffrage national en 2019 | 33.1% |
| Projection de vote actuelle | 34.7% ± 4.7% |
| Nombre actuel de députés-es | 0 |
| Projection de sièges actuelle | 159 ± 38 |
Liste des circonscriptions favorables au Parti libéral du Canada
| Rang | Circonscription | Province | Parti actuel | Dernière projection | Probabilité de victoire |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | Winnipeg-Nord |  |
 |
PLC solide | >99% |
| 2. | Scarborough–Rouge Park |  |
|
PLC solide | >99% |
| 3. | Acadie–Bathurst |  |
|
PLC solide | >99% |
| 4. | Etobicoke-Nord | |
|
PLC solide | >99% |
| 5. | Scarborough–Guildwood | |
|
PLC solide | >99% |
| 6. | Honoré-Mercier |  |
|
PLC solide | >99% |
| 7. | Saint-Léonard–Saint-Michel | |
|
PLC solide | >99% |
| 8. | Humber River–Black Creek | |
|
PLC solide | >99% |
| 9. | Madawaska–Restigouche | |
|
PLC solide | >99% |
| 10. | Don Valley-Est | |
 |
PLC solide | >99% |
| 11. | Winnipeg-Centre-Sud | |
|
PLC solide | >99% |
| 12. | Bourassa | |
|
PLC solide | >99% |
| 13. | Saint-Laurent | |
|
PLC solide | >99% |
| 14. | Saint-Boniface–Saint-Vital | |
|
PLC solide | >99% |
| 15. | Mississauga–Malton | |
|
PLC solide | >99% |
| 16. | York-Sud–Weston | |
|
PLC solide | >99% |
| 17. | Scarborough-Sud-Ouest | |
|
PLC solide | >99% |
| 18. | Scarborough-Centre | |
|
PLC solide | >99% |
| 19. | Lac-Saint-Louis | |
|
PLC solide | >99% |
| 20. | Spadina–Fort York | |
|
PLC solide | >99% |
| 21. | Beauséjour | |
|
PLC solide | >99% |
| 22. | Halifax-Ouest |  |
|
PLC solide | >99% |
| 23. | Toronto–St. Paul's | |
|
PLC solide | >99% |
| 24. | Pierrefonds–Dollard | |
|
PLC solide | >99% |
| 25. | Vancouver Quadra |  |
|
PLC solide | >99% |
| 26. | Brossard–Saint-Lambert | |
|
PLC solide | >99% |
| 27. | North Vancouver | |
|
PLC solide | >99% |
| 28. | Notre-Dame-de-Grâce–Westmount | |
|
PLC solide | >99% |
| 29. | Ottawa-Sud | |
|
PLC solide | >99% |
| 30. | Hull–Aylmer | |
|
PLC solide | >99% |
| 31. | Dorval–Lachine–LaSalle | |
|
PLC solide | >99% |
| 32. | Ahuntsic-Cartierville | |
|
PLC solide | >99% |
| 33. | Moncton–Riverview–Dieppe | |
|
PLC solide | >99% |
| 34. | Gatineau | |
|
PLC solide | >99% |
| 35. | Ville-Marie–Le Sud-Ouest–Île-des-Soeurs | |
|
PLC solide | >99% |
| 36. | Laval–Les Îles | |
|
PLC solide | >99% |
| 37. | Pontiac | |
|
PLC solide | >99% |
| 38. | Winnipeg-Sud | |
|
PLC solide | >99% |
| 39. | Ajax | |
|
PLC solide | >99% |
| 40. | St. John's-Sud–Mount Pearl |  |
|
PLC solide | >99% |
| 41. | Beaches–East York | |
|
PLC solide | >99% |
| 42. | Charlottetown |  |
|
PLC solide | >99% |
| 43. | Papineau | |
|
PLC solide | >99% |
| 44. | Brampton-Ouest | |
|
PLC solide | >99% |
| 45. | Orléans | |
|
PLC solide | >99% |
| 46. | Long Range Mountains | |
|
PLC solide | >99% |
| 47. | Vancouver-Centre | |
|
PLC solide | >99% |
| 48. | Waterloo | |
|
PLC solide | >99% |
| 49. | Mississauga-Centre | |
|
PLC solide | >99% |
| 50. | Cardigan | |
|
PLC solide | >99% |
| 51. | Kings–Hants | |
|
PLC solide | >99% |
| 52. | Vaudreuil–Soulanges | |
|
PLC solide | >99% |
| 53. | Mont-Royal | |
|
PLC solide | >99% |
| 54. | Ottawa–Vanier | |
|
PLC solide | >99% |
| 55. | Avalon | |
|
PLC solide | >99% |
| 56. | Brampton-Nord | |
|
PLC solide | >99% |
| 57. | Etobicoke–Lakeshore | |
|
PLC solide | >99% |
| 58. | Surrey–Newton | |
|
PLC solide | >99% |
| 59. | Dartmouth–Cole Harbour | |
|
PLC solide | >99% |
| 60. | Outremont | |
|
PLC solide | >99% |
| 61. | Don Valley-Ouest | |
|
PLC solide | >99% |
| 62. | Scarborough-Nord | |
|
PLC solide | >99% |
| 63. | West Vancouver–Sunshine Coast–Sea to Sky Country | |
|
PLC solide | >99% |
| 64. | University–Rosedale | |
|
PLC solide | >99% |
| 65. | Delta | |
|
PLC solide | >99% |
| 66. | Pickering–Uxbridge | |
|
PLC solide | >99% |
| 67. | Malpeque | |
|
PLC solide | >99% |
| 68. | Hamilton-Ouest–Ancaster–Dundas | |
|
PLC solide | >99% |
| 69. | Coast of Bays–Central–Notre Dame | |
|
PLC solide | >99% |
| 70. | Vancouver-Sud | |
|
PLC solide | >99% |
| 71. | Sackville–Preston–Chezzetcook | |
|
PLC solide | >99% |
| 72. | South Shore–St. Margarets | |
|
PLC solide | >99% |
| 73. | Brampton-Sud | |
|
PLC solide | >99% |
| 74. | LaSalle–Émard–Verdun | |
|
PLC solide | >99% |
| 75. | Mississauga–Erin Mills | |
|
PLC solide | >99% |
| 76. | Vimy | |
|
PLC solide | >99% |
| 77. | Ottawa-Ouest–Nepean | |
|
PLC solide | >99% |
| 78. | Brampton-Centre | |
|
PLC solide | >99% |
| 79. | Alfred-Pellan | |
|
PLC solide | >99% |
| 80. | Eglinton–Lawrence | |
|
PLC solide | >99% |
| 81. | Markham–Thornhill | |
|
PLC solide | >99% |
| 82. | Mississauga-Est–Cooksville | |
|
PLC solide | >99% |
| 83. | Fleetwood–Port Kells | |
|
PLC solide | >99% |
| 84. | Mississauga–Streetsville | |
|
PLC solide | >99% |
| 85. | Etobicoke-Centre | |
|
PLC probable | 99% |
| 86. | Kingston et les Îles | |
|
PLC probable | 99% |
| 87. | London-Ouest | |
|
PLC probable | 99% |
| 88. | Bonavista–Burin–Trinity | |
|
PLC probable | 99% |
| 89. | Thunder Bay–Supérieur-Nord | |
|
PLC probable | 99% |
| 90. | Burlington | |
|
PLC probable | 99% |
| 91. | Surrey-Centre | |
|
PLC probable | 99% |
| 92. | Louis-Hébert | |
|
PLC probable | 99% |
| 93. | Saint John–Rothesay | |
|
PLC probable | 99% |
| 94. | Labrador | |
|
PLC probable | 99% |
| 95. | Milton | |
|
PLC probable | 99% |
| 96. | Don Valley-Nord | |
|
PLC probable | 98% |
| 97. | Vaughan–Woodbridge | |
|
PLC probable | 98% |
| 98. | Nipissing–Timiskaming | |
|
PLC probable | 98% |
| 99. | London-Centre-Nord | |
|
PLC probable | 98% |
| 100. | Coquitlam–Port Coquitlam | |
|
PLC probable | 98% |
| 101. | Egmont | |
|
PLC probable | 98% |
| 102. | Nepean | |
|
PLC probable | 98% |
| 103. | Marc-Aurèle-Fortin | |
|
PLC probable | 98% |
| 104. | Guelph | |
|
PLC probable | 97% |
| 105. | Brampton-Est | |
|
PLC probable | 97% |
| 106. | Scarborough–Agincourt | |
|
PLC probable | 97% |
| 107. | Willowdale | |
|
PLC probable | 97% |
| 108. | Laurier–Sainte-Marie | |
|
PLC probable | 96% |
| 109. | Glengarry–Prescott–Russell | |
|
PLC probable | 96% |
| 110. | Cape Breton–Canso | |
|
PLC probable | 96% |
| 111. | Halifax | |
|
PLC probable | 96% |
| 112. | Miramichi–Grand Lake | |
|
PLC probable | 96% |
| 113. | Cambridge | |
|
PLC probable | 95% |
| 114. | Mississauga–Lakeshore | |
|
PLC probable | 95% |
| 115. | Nova-Centre | |
|
PLC probable | 95% |
| 116. | Ottawa-Centre | |
|
PLC probable | 95% |
| 117. | Sydney–Victoria | |
|
PLC probable | 95% |
| 118. | Oakville-Nord–Burlington | |
|
PLC probable | 94% |
| 119. | St. Catharines | |
|
PLC probable | 93% |
| 120. | Whitby | |
|
PLC probable | 91% |
| 121. | Kitchener-Centre | |
|
PLC probable | 91% |
| 122. | Cumberland–Colchester | |
|
PLC enclin | 89% |
| 123. | Burnaby-Nord–Seymour | |
|
PLC enclin | 89% |
| 124. | Saint-Maurice–Champlain | |
|
PLC enclin | 88% |
| 125. | Oakville | |
|
PLC enclin | 88% |
| 126. | Kanata–Carleton | |
|
PLC enclin | 87% |
| 127. | Compton–Stanstead | |
|
PLC enclin | 87% |
| 128. | Sault Ste. Marie | |
|
PLC enclin | 86% |
| 129. | Territoires du Nord-Ouest |  |
|
PLC enclin | 86% |
| 130. | Parkdale–High Park | |
|
PLC enclin | 83% |
| 131. | Brome–Missisquoi | |
|
PLC enclin | 83% |
| 132. | Newmarket–Aurora | |
|
PLC enclin | 82% |
| 133. | Peterborough–Kawartha | |
|
PLC enclin | 80% |
| 134. | York-Centre | |
|
PLC enclin | 78% |
| 135. | Sherbrooke | |
|
PLC enclin | 77% |
| 136. | Toronto–Danforth | |
|
PLC enclin | 76% |
| 137. | Longueuil–Charles-LeMoyne | |
|
PLC enclin | 76% |
| 138. | Kitchener-Sud–Hespeler | |
|
PLC enclin | 75% |
| 139. | Cloverdale–Langley City | |
 |
PLC enclin | 75% |
| 140. | Sudbury | |
|
PLC enclin | 75% |
| 141. | Gaspésie–Les Îles-de-la-Madeleine | |
|
PLC enclin | 73% |
| 142. | Argenteuil–La Petite-Nation | |
|
PLC enclin | 72% |
| 143. | Baie de Quinte | |
|
PLC enclin | 70% |
| 144. | Châteauguay–Lacolle | |
|
PLC enclin | 70% |
| 145. | Hochelaga | |
|
Pivot | 68% |
| 146. | Markham–Stouffville | |
|
Pivot | 68% |
| 147. | Québec | |
|
Pivot | 67% |
| 148. | King–Vaughan | |
|
Pivot | 65% |
| 149. | Toronto-Centre | |
|
Pivot | 64% |
| 150. | Charleswood–St. James–Assiniboia–Headingley | |
|
Pivot | 63% |
| 151. | Hamilton-Est–Stoney Creek | |
|
Pivot | 62% |
| 152. | Yukon |  |
|
Pivot | 61% |
| 153. | Kitchener–Conestoga | |
|
Pivot | 61% |
| 154. | Richmond Hill | |
|
Pivot | 59% |
| 155. | Niagara-Centre | |
|
Pivot | 56% |
| 156. | Vancouver Granville | |
|
Pivot | 52% |
| 157. | Shefford | |
 |
Pivot | 48% |
| 158. | Davenport | |
|
Pivot | 47% |
| 159. | Aurora–Oak Ridges–Richmond Hill | |
|
Pivot | 46% |
| 160. | Nickel Belt | |
|
Pivot | 45% |
| 161. | Thunder Bay–Rainy River | |
|
Pivot | 44% |
| 162. | Nova-Ouest | |
|
Pivot | 43% |
| 163. | Windsor–Tecumseh | |
|
Pivot | 42% |
| 164. | La Prairie | |
|
Pivot | 40% |
| 165. | Port Moody–Coquitlam | |
|
Pivot | 40% |
| 166. | Niagara Falls | |
|
Pivot | 39% |
| 167. | Northumberland–Peterborough-Sud | |
|
Pivot | 38% |
| 168. | Regina–Wascana |  |
|
Pivot | 37% |
| 169. | Thérèse-De Blainville | |
|
Pivot | 36% |
| 170. | Surrey-Sud–White Rock | |
|
Pivot | 35% |
| 171. | Longueuil–Saint-Hubert | |
|
Pivot | 35% |
| 172. | Hastings–Lennox and Addington | |
|
Pivot | 34% |
| 173. | Rivière-des-Mille-Îles | |
|
Pivot | 33% |
| 174. | Flamborough–Glanbrook | |
|
Pivot | 31% |
| 175. | Montarville | |
|
BQ enclin | 29% |
| 176. | Pitt Meadows–Maple Ridge | |
|
Pivot | 28% |
| 177. | Calgary Skyview |  |
|
PCC enclin | 27% |
| 178. | Edmonton-Centre | |
|
Pivot | 27% |
| 179. | Kildonan–St. Paul | |
|
PCC enclin | 26% |
| 180. | Steveston–Richmond-Est | |
|
PCC enclin | 25% |
| 181. | Abitibi–Baie-James–Nunavik–Eeyou | |
|
BQ enclin | 24% |
| 182. | Edmonton Mill Woods | |
|
PCC enclin | 23% |
| 183. | Mission–Matsqui–Fraser Canyon | |
|
PCC enclin | 23% |
| 184. | Kenora | |
|
Pivot | 21% |
| 185. | Kelowna–Lake Country | |
|
PCC enclin | 20% |
| 186. | Calgary Confederation | |
|
PCC enclin | 18% |
| 187. | Barrie–Springwater–Oro-Medonte | |
|
PCC enclin | 17% |
| 188. | Edmonton Riverbend | |
|
PCC enclin | 16% |
| 189. | Winnipeg-Centre | |
 |
NPD enclin | 16% |
| 190. | Fredericton | |
 |
PVC enclin | 15% |
| 191. | Kamloops–Thompson–Cariboo | |
|
PCC enclin | 15% |
| 192. | Desnethé–Missinippi–Rivière Churchill | |
|
Pivot | 15% |
| 193. | St. John's-Est | |
|
NPD enclin | 14% |
| 194. | Nunavut |  |
|
NPD enclin | 13% |
| 195. | Dufferin–Caledon | |
|
PCC enclin | 13% |
| 196. | Markham–Unionville | |
|
PCC enclin | 12% |
| 197. | Calgary-Centre | |
|
PCC enclin | 12% |
| 198. | Richmond-Centre | |
|
PCC enclin | 12% |
| 199. | Edmonton Manning | |
|
PCC enclin | 11% |
| 200. | Trois-Rivières | |
|
Pivot | 11% |
| 201. | Laurentides–Labelle | |
|
BQ probable | 10% |
| 202. | Brantford–Brant | |
|
PCC probable | 10% |
| 203. | Saint-Jean | |
|
BQ probable | 8% |
| 204. | Carleton | |
|
PCC probable | 8% |
| 205. | Parry Sound–Muskoka | |
|
PCC probable | 7% |
| 206. | Calgary Forest Lawn | |
|
PCC probable | 7% |
| 207. | Avignon–La Mitis–Matane–Matapédia | |
|
BQ probable | 6% |
| 208. | Beauport–Limoilou | |
|
Pivot | 6% |
| 209. | Simcoe–Grey | |
|
PCC probable | 6% |
| 210. | Windsor-Ouest | |
|
NPD probable | 5% |
| 211. | La Pointe-de-l'Île | |
|
BQ probable | 5% |
| 212. | Langley–Aldergrove | |
|
PCC probable | 5% |
| 213. | Simcoe-Nord | |
|
PCC probable | 5% |
| 214. | Niagara-Ouest | |
|
PCC probable | 4% |
| 215. | Durham | |
|
PCC probable | 4% |
| 216. | Fundy Royal | |
|
PCC probable | 4% |
| 217. | Salaberry–Suroît | |
|
BQ probable | 4% |
| 218. | Hamilton Mountain | |
|
NPD probable | 3% |
| 219. | Churchill–Keewatinook Aski | |
|
NPD probable | 3% |
| 220. | Central Okanagan–Similkameen–Nicola | |
|
PCC probable | 3% |
| 221. | Barrie–Innisfil | |
|
PCC probable | 3% |
| 222. | Huron–Bruce | |
|
PCC probable | 2% |
| 223. | Victoria | |
|
NPD probable | 2% |
| 224. | Chatham-Kent–Leamington | |
|
PCC probable | 2% |
| 225. | Edmonton-Ouest | |
|
PCC probable | 2% |
| 226. | Nouveau-Brunswick-Sud-Ouest | |
|
PCC probable | 2% |
| 227. | Terrebonne | |
|
BQ probable | 2% |
| 228. | Bruce–Grey–Owen Sound | |
|
PCC probable | 1% |
| 229. | Burnaby-Sud | |
|
NPD probable | 1% |
| 230. | Rimouski-Neigette–Témiscouata–Les Basques | |
|
BQ enclin | 1% |
| 231. | Lac-Saint-Jean | |
|
BQ probable | <1% |
| 232. | Tobique–Mactaquac | |
|
PCC probable | <1% |
| 233. | Pierre-Boucher–Les Patriotes–Verchères | |
|
BQ probable | <1% |
| 234. | Abitibi–Témiscamingue | |
|
BQ probable | <1% |
| 235. | St. Albert–Edmonton | |
|
PCC probable | <1% |
| 236. | Thornhill | |
|
PCC probable | <1% |