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Canada

Parti libéral du Canada





Dernière mise à jour: 27 novembre 2022

ChefJustin Trudeau
Proportion du suffrage national en 202132.6%
Projection de vote actuelle32,5 % ± 4,0 %
Nombre actuel de députés-es159
Projection de sièges actuelle156 [114-174]



Liste des circonscriptions favorables au Parti libéral du Canada



Rang Circonscription Province Parti actuel Dernière projection Probabilité de victoire
1. Saint-Léonard–Saint-Michel PLC solide > 99 %
2. Acadie–Bathurst PLC solide > 99 %
3. Scarborough-Nord PLC solide > 99 %
4. Scarborough–Rouge Park PLC solide > 99 %
5. Markham–Thornhill PLC solide > 99 %
6. Scarborough–Guildwood PLC solide > 99 %
7. Humber River–Black Creek PLC solide > 99 %
8. Bourassa PLC solide > 99 %
9. Etobicoke-Nord PLC solide > 99 %
10. Surrey–Newton PLC solide > 99 %
11. Honoré-Mercier PLC solide > 99 %
12. Madawaska–Restigouche PLC solide > 99 %
13. Don Valley-Est PLC solide > 99 %
14. St. John’s-Sud–Mount Pearl PLC solide > 99 %
15. Scarborough-Centre PLC solide > 99 %
16. Beauséjour PLC solide > 99 %
17. Saint-Laurent PLC solide > 99 %
18. Scarborough-Sud-Ouest PLC solide > 99 %
19. Beaches–East York PLC solide > 99 %
20. Vancouver-Sud PLC solide > 99 %
21. York-Sud–Weston PLC solide > 99 %
22. Mont-Royal PLC solide > 99 %
23. Brossard–Saint-Lambert PLC solide > 99 %
24. Pierrefonds–Dollard PLC solide > 99 %
25. Lac-Saint-Louis PLC solide > 99 %
26. Ahuntsic-Cartierville PLC solide > 99 %
27. Gatineau PLC solide > 99 %
28. Dorval–Lachine–LaSalle PLC solide > 99 %
29. Hull–Aylmer PLC solide > 99 %
30. Vimy PLC solide > 99 %
31. Laval–Les Îles PLC solide > 99 %
32. Vaudreuil–Soulanges PLC solide > 99 %
33. Ajax PLC solide > 99 %
34. Moncton–Riverview–Dieppe PLC solide > 99 %
35. Notre-Dame-de-Grâce–Westmount PLC solide > 99 %
36. Surrey-Centre PLC solide > 99 %
37. Alfred-Pellan PLC solide > 99 %
38. Ville-Marie–Le Sud-Ouest–Île-des-Soeurs PLC solide > 99 %
39. Halifax-Ouest PLC solide > 99 %
40. Winnipeg-Centre-Sud PLC solide > 99 %
41. Pontiac PLC solide > 99 %
42. Winnipeg-Nord PLC solide > 99 %
43. Scarborough–Agincourt PLC solide > 99 %
44. Brampton-Ouest PLC solide > 99 %
45. Mississauga-Centre PLC solide > 99 %
46. Saint-Boniface–Saint-Vital PLC solide > 99 %
47. Toronto–St. Paul’s PLC solide > 99 %
48. Brampton-Est PLC solide > 99 %
49. Ottawa-Sud PLC solide > 99 %
50. Ottawa–Vanier PLC solide > 99 %
51. Orléans PLC solide > 99 %
52. Don Valley-Nord PLC solide > 99 %
53. North Vancouver PLC solide > 99 %
54. Winnipeg-Sud PLC solide > 99 %
55. Dartmouth–Cole Harbour PLC solide > 99 %
56. Mississauga–Malton PLC solide > 99 %
57. Toronto-Centre PLC solide > 99 %
58. Brampton-Nord PLC solide > 99 %
59. University–Rosedale PLC solide > 99 %
60. Guelph PLC solide > 99 %
61. Vancouver Quadra PLC solide > 99 %
62. Vancouver-Centre PLC solide > 99 %
63. Burnaby-Nord–Seymour PLC probable 99 %
64. Papineau PLC probable 99 %
65. Saint-Maurice–Champlain PLC probable 99 %
66. Brampton-Sud PLC probable 99 %
67. LaSalle–Émard–Verdun PLC probable 99 %
68. Fleetwood–Port Kells PLC probable 99 %
69. Kings–Hants PLC probable 99 %
70. Marc-Aurèle-Fortin PLC probable 99 %
71. Cardigan PLC probable 99 %
72. Waterloo PLC probable 99 %
73. Sackville–Preston–Chezzetcook PLC probable 99 %
74. Avalon PLC probable 99 %
75. Ottawa-Ouest–Nepean PLC probable 98 %
76. Milton PLC probable 98 %
77. Mississauga-Est–Cooksville PLC probable 98 %
78. Nova-Centre PLC probable 98 %
79. Saint John–Rothesay PLC probable 98 %
80. Mississauga–Erin Mills PLC probable 97 %
81. Willowdale PLC probable 97 %
82. Charlottetown PLC probable 97 %
83. Egmont PLC probable 96 %
84. Louis-Hébert PLC probable 96 %
85. Hamilton-Ouest–Ancaster–Dundas PLC probable 96 %
86. Sherbrooke PLC probable 96 %
87. Don Valley-Ouest PLC probable 95 %
88. Etobicoke–Lakeshore PLC probable 95 %
89. Brampton-Centre PLC probable 95 %
90. Coquitlam–Port Coquitlam PLC probable 94 %
91. Steveston–Richmond-Est PLC probable 94 %
92. Cape Breton–Canso PLC probable 94 %
93. Delta PLC probable 93 %
94. Markham–Stouffville PLC probable 93 %
95. Kingston et les Îles PLC probable 92 %
96. Gaspésie–Les Îles-de-la-Madeleine PLC probable 92 %
97. Ottawa-Centre PLC probable 92 %
98. Mississauga–Streetsville PLC probable 92 %
99. St. John’s-Est PLC probable 91 %
100. Québec PLC probable 91 %
101. Compton–Stanstead PLC probable 90 %
102. Labrador PLC enclin 89 %
103. Etobicoke-Centre PLC enclin 88 %
104. Thunder Bay–Supérieur-Nord PLC enclin 88 %
105. London-Centre-Nord PLC enclin 88 %
106. Calgary Skyview PLC enclin 87 %
107. Longueuil–Charles-LeMoyne PLC enclin 86 %
108. Hochelaga PLC enclin 86 %
109. Eglinton–Lawrence PLC enclin 85 %
110. Glengarry–Prescott–Russell PLC enclin 85 %
111. Nepean PLC enclin 85 %
112. Spadina–Fort York PLC enclin 85 %
113. Outremont PLC enclin 84 %
114. Laurier–Sainte-Marie PLC enclin 84 %
115. Malpeque PLC enclin 84 %
116. Toronto–Danforth PLC enclin 83 %
117. Vancouver Granville PLC enclin 82 %
118. Pickering–Uxbridge PLC enclin 80 %
119. West Vancouver–Sunshine Coast–Sea to Sky Country PLC enclin 80 %
120. Nickel Belt PLC enclin 80 %
121. Argenteuil–La Petite-Nation PLC enclin 78 %
122. Parkdale–High Park PLC enclin 78 %
123. Bonavista–Burin–Trinity PLC enclin 75 %
124. Hamilton-Est–Stoney Creek PLC enclin 75 %
125. Hamilton Mountain PLC enclin 74 %
126. Davenport PLC enclin 74 %
127. Sudbury PLC enclin 74 %
128. York-Centre PLC enclin 73 %
129. Long Range Mountains PLC enclin 73 %
130. Mississauga–Lakeshore PLC enclin 72 %
131. Oakville-Nord–Burlington Pivot PLC/PCC 69 %
132. Whitby Pivot PLC/PCC 69 %
133. Richmond Hill Pivot PLC/PCC 69 %
134. Burlington Pivot PLC/PCC 68 %
135. Windsor–Tecumseh Pivot PLC/NPD 68 %
136. Halifax Pivot PLC/NPD 68 %
137. Cloverdale–Langley City Pivot PLC/PCC 67 %
138. Yukon Pivot PLC/PCC/NPD 66 %
139. Thunder Bay–Rainy River Pivot PLC/PCC/NPD 66 %
140. Richmond-Centre Pivot PLC/PCC 65 %
141. Sydney–Victoria Pivot PLC/PCC 64 %
142. Brome–Missisquoi Pivot PLC/BQ 64 %
143. Edmonton-Centre Pivot PLC/PCC/NPD 63 %
144. Nipissing–Timiskaming Pivot PLC/PCC 63 %
145. Châteauguay–Lacolle Pivot PLC/BQ 63 %
146. Fredericton Pivot PLC/PCC 60 %
147. Territoires du Nord-Ouest Pivot PLC/NPD 58 %
148. Cambridge Pivot PLC/PCC 57 %
149. Oakville Pivot PLC/PCC 57 %
150. St. Catharines Pivot PLC/PCC 56 %
151. Aurora–Oak Ridges–Richmond Hill Pivot PLC/PCC 56 %
152. London-Ouest Pivot PLC/PCC 56 %
153. Vaughan–Woodbridge Pivot PLC/PCC 55 %
154. Markham–Unionville Pivot PLC/PCC 55 %
155. Kanata–Carleton Pivot PLC/PCC 53 %
156. Newmarket–Aurora Pivot PLC/PCC 50 %
157. Niagara-Centre Pivot PLC/PCC 46 %
158. Coast of Bays–Central–Notre Dame Pivot PLC/PCC 34 %
159. Edmonton Mill Woods Pivot PLC/PCC 34 %
160. Kitchener-Sud–Hespeler Pivot PLC/PCC 33 %
161. Kitchener–Conestoga Pivot PLC/PCC 33 %
162. Surrey-Sud–White Rock Pivot PLC/PCC 30 %
163. Sault Ste. Marie PCC enclin (gain) 29 %
164. Longueuil–Saint-Hubert BQ enclin 28 %
165. Miramichi–Grand Lake PCC enclin 24 %
166. South Shore–St. Margarets PCC enclin 24 %
167. Burnaby-Sud NPD enclin 22 %
168. Charleswood–St. James–Assiniboia–Headingley PCC enclin 20 %
169. Thérèse-De Blainville BQ enclin 17 %
170. La Prairie BQ enclin 15 %
171. Rivière-des-Mille-Îles BQ enclin 13 %
172. Shefford BQ enclin 13 %
173. King–Vaughan PCC enclin 12 %
174. Montarville BQ enclin 11 %
175. Calgary Confederation PCC probable 8 %
176. Calgary Forest Lawn PCC probable 8 %
177. Port Moody–Coquitlam Pivot PCC/NPD 7 %
178. Peterborough–Kawartha PCC probable 7 %
179. Flamborough–Glanbrook PCC probable 7 %
180. Terrebonne BQ probable 6 %
181. Baie de Quinte PCC probable 6 %
182. Niagara Falls PCC probable 5 %
183. Calgary-Centre PCC probable 4 %
184. La Pointe-de-l’Île BQ probable 3 %
185. Nunavut NPD probable 3 %
186. Abitibi–Baie-James–Nunavik–Eeyou BQ probable 3 %
187. Kildonan–St. Paul PCC probable 3 %
188. Cumberland–Colchester PCC probable 3 %
189. Victoria NPD probable 1 %
190. Beauport–Limoilou PCC enclin (gain) 1 %
191. Kitchener-Centre PVC probable 1 %
Rang Circonscription Projection
1. Saint-Léonard–Saint-Michel PLC solide
2. Acadie–Bathurst PLC solide
3. Scarborough-Nord PLC solide
4. Scarborough–Rouge Park PLC solide
5. Markham–Thornhill PLC solide
6. Scarborough–Guildwood PLC solide
7. Humber River–Black Creek PLC solide
8. Bourassa PLC solide
9. Etobicoke-Nord PLC solide
10. Surrey–Newton PLC solide
11. Honoré-Mercier PLC solide
12. Madawaska–Restigouche PLC solide
13. Don Valley-Est PLC solide
14. St. John’s-Sud–Mount Pearl PLC solide
15. Scarborough-Centre PLC solide
16. Beauséjour PLC solide
17. Saint-Laurent PLC solide
18. Scarborough-Sud-Ouest PLC solide
19. Beaches–East York PLC solide
20. Vancouver-Sud PLC solide
21. York-Sud–Weston PLC solide
22. Mont-Royal PLC solide
23. Brossard–Saint-Lambert PLC solide
24. Pierrefonds–Dollard PLC solide
25. Lac-Saint-Louis PLC solide
26. Ahuntsic-Cartierville PLC solide
27. Gatineau PLC solide
28. Dorval–Lachine–LaSalle PLC solide
29. Hull–Aylmer PLC solide
30. Vimy PLC solide
31. Laval–Les Îles PLC solide
32. Vaudreuil–Soulanges PLC solide
33. Ajax PLC solide
34. Moncton–Riverview–Dieppe PLC solide
35. Notre-Dame-de-Grâce–Westmount PLC solide
36. Surrey-Centre PLC solide
37. Alfred-Pellan PLC solide
38. Ville-Marie–Le Sud-Ouest–Île-des-Soeurs PLC solide
39. Halifax-Ouest PLC solide
40. Winnipeg-Centre-Sud PLC solide
41. Pontiac PLC solide
42. Winnipeg-Nord PLC solide
43. Scarborough–Agincourt PLC solide
44. Brampton-Ouest PLC solide
45. Mississauga-Centre PLC solide
46. Saint-Boniface–Saint-Vital PLC solide
47. Toronto–St. Paul’s PLC solide
48. Brampton-Est PLC solide
49. Ottawa-Sud PLC solide
50. Ottawa–Vanier PLC solide
51. Orléans PLC solide
52. Don Valley-Nord PLC solide
53. North Vancouver PLC solide
54. Winnipeg-Sud PLC solide
55. Dartmouth–Cole Harbour PLC solide
56. Mississauga–Malton PLC solide
57. Toronto-Centre PLC solide
58. Brampton-Nord PLC solide
59. University–Rosedale PLC solide
60. Guelph PLC solide
61. Vancouver Quadra PLC solide
62. Vancouver-Centre PLC solide
63. Burnaby-Nord–Seymour PLC probable
64. Papineau PLC probable
65. Saint-Maurice–Champlain PLC probable
66. Brampton-Sud PLC probable
67. LaSalle–Émard–Verdun PLC probable
68. Fleetwood–Port Kells PLC probable
69. Kings–Hants PLC probable
70. Marc-Aurèle-Fortin PLC probable
71. Cardigan PLC probable
72. Waterloo PLC probable
73. Sackville–Preston–Chezzetcook PLC probable
74. Avalon PLC probable
75. Ottawa-Ouest–Nepean PLC probable
76. Milton PLC probable
77. Mississauga-Est–Cooksville PLC probable
78. Nova-Centre PLC probable
79. Saint John–Rothesay PLC probable
80. Mississauga–Erin Mills PLC probable
81. Willowdale PLC probable
82. Charlottetown PLC probable
83. Egmont PLC probable
84. Louis-Hébert PLC probable
85. Hamilton-Ouest–Ancaster–Dundas PLC probable
86. Sherbrooke PLC probable
87. Don Valley-Ouest PLC probable
88. Etobicoke–Lakeshore PLC probable
89. Brampton-Centre PLC probable
90. Coquitlam–Port Coquitlam PLC probable
91. Steveston–Richmond-Est PLC probable
92. Cape Breton–Canso PLC probable
93. Delta PLC probable
94. Markham–Stouffville PLC probable
95. Kingston et les Îles PLC probable
96. Gaspésie–Les Îles-de-la-Madeleine PLC probable
97. Ottawa-Centre PLC probable
98. Mississauga–Streetsville PLC probable
99. St. John’s-Est PLC probable
100. Québec PLC probable
101. Compton–Stanstead PLC probable
102. Labrador PLC enclin
103. Etobicoke-Centre PLC enclin
104. Thunder Bay–Supérieur-Nord PLC enclin
105. London-Centre-Nord PLC enclin
106. Calgary Skyview PLC enclin
107. Longueuil–Charles-LeMoyne PLC enclin
108. Hochelaga PLC enclin
109. Eglinton–Lawrence PLC enclin
110. Glengarry–Prescott–Russell PLC enclin
111. Nepean PLC enclin
112. Spadina–Fort York PLC enclin
113. Outremont PLC enclin
114. Laurier–Sainte-Marie PLC enclin
115. Malpeque PLC enclin
116. Toronto–Danforth PLC enclin
117. Vancouver Granville PLC enclin
118. Pickering–Uxbridge PLC enclin
119. West Vancouver–Sunshine Coast–Sea to Sky Country PLC enclin
120. Nickel Belt PLC enclin
121. Argenteuil–La Petite-Nation PLC enclin
122. Parkdale–High Park PLC enclin
123. Bonavista–Burin–Trinity PLC enclin
124. Hamilton-Est–Stoney Creek PLC enclin
125. Hamilton Mountain PLC enclin
126. Davenport PLC enclin
127. Sudbury PLC enclin
128. York-Centre PLC enclin
129. Long Range Mountains PLC enclin
130. Mississauga–Lakeshore PLC enclin
131. Oakville-Nord–Burlington Pivot PLC/PCC
132. Whitby Pivot PLC/PCC
133. Richmond Hill Pivot PLC/PCC
134. Burlington Pivot PLC/PCC
135. Windsor–Tecumseh Pivot PLC/NPD
136. Halifax Pivot PLC/NPD
137. Cloverdale–Langley City Pivot PLC/PCC
138. Yukon Pivot PLC/PCC/NPD
139. Thunder Bay–Rainy River Pivot PLC/PCC/NPD
140. Richmond-Centre Pivot PLC/PCC
141. Sydney–Victoria Pivot PLC/PCC
142. Brome–Missisquoi Pivot PLC/BQ
143. Edmonton-Centre Pivot PLC/PCC/NPD
144. Nipissing–Timiskaming Pivot PLC/PCC
145. Châteauguay–Lacolle Pivot PLC/BQ
146. Fredericton Pivot PLC/PCC
147. Territoires du Nord-Ouest Pivot PLC/NPD
148. Cambridge Pivot PLC/PCC
149. Oakville Pivot PLC/PCC
150. St. Catharines Pivot PLC/PCC
151. Aurora–Oak Ridges–Richmond Hill Pivot PLC/PCC
152. London-Ouest Pivot PLC/PCC
153. Vaughan–Woodbridge Pivot PLC/PCC
154. Markham–Unionville Pivot PLC/PCC
155. Kanata–Carleton Pivot PLC/PCC
156. Newmarket–Aurora Pivot PLC/PCC
157. Niagara-Centre Pivot PLC/PCC
158. Coast of Bays–Central–Notre Dame Pivot PLC/PCC
159. Edmonton Mill Woods Pivot PLC/PCC
160. Kitchener-Sud–Hespeler Pivot PLC/PCC
161. Kitchener–Conestoga Pivot PLC/PCC
162. Surrey-Sud–White Rock Pivot PLC/PCC
163. Sault Ste. Marie PCC enclin (gain)
164. Longueuil–Saint-Hubert BQ enclin
165. Miramichi–Grand Lake PCC enclin
166. South Shore–St. Margarets PCC enclin
167. Burnaby-Sud NPD enclin
168. Charleswood–St. James–Assiniboia–Headingley PCC enclin
169. Thérèse-De Blainville BQ enclin
170. La Prairie BQ enclin
171. Rivière-des-Mille-Îles BQ enclin
172. Shefford BQ enclin
173. King–Vaughan PCC enclin
174. Montarville BQ enclin
175. Calgary Confederation PCC probable
176. Calgary Forest Lawn PCC probable
177. Port Moody–Coquitlam Pivot PCC/NPD
178. Peterborough–Kawartha PCC probable
179. Flamborough–Glanbrook PCC probable
180. Terrebonne BQ probable
181. Baie de Quinte PCC probable
182. Niagara Falls PCC probable
183. Calgary-Centre PCC probable
184. La Pointe-de-l’Île BQ probable
185. Nunavut NPD probable
186. Abitibi–Baie-James–Nunavik–Eeyou BQ probable
187. Kildonan–St. Paul PCC probable
188. Cumberland–Colchester PCC probable
189. Victoria NPD probable
190. Beauport–Limoilou PCC enclin (gain)
191. Kitchener-Centre PVC probable