Qc125.com - Canada - Parti conservateur du Canada





Dernière mise à jour: 20 juin 2021

ChefErin O'Toole
Proportion du suffrage national en 201934.3%
Projection de vote actuelle30.1% ± 4.3%
Nombre actuel de députés-es119
Projection de sièges actuelle111 ± 29



Liste des circonscriptions favorables au Parti conservateur du Canada



Rang Circonscription Province Parti actuel Dernière projection Probabilité de victoire
1. Souris–Moose Mountain PCC solide >99%
2. Cypress Hills–Grasslands PCC solide >99%
3. Battle River–Crowfoot PCC solide >99%
4. Battlefords–Lloydminster PCC solide >99%
5. Bow River PCC solide >99%
6. Sentier Carlton–Eagle Creek PCC solide >99%
7. Lakeland PCC solide >99%
8. Grande Prairie–Mackenzie PCC solide >99%
9. Yorkton–Melville PCC solide >99%
10. Yellowhead PCC solide >99%
11. Foothills PCC solide >99%
12. Prince George–Peace River–Northern Rockies PCC solide >99%
13. Portage–Lisgar PCC solide >99%
14. Peace River–Westlock PCC solide >99%
15. Fort McMurray–Cold Lake PCC solide >99%
16. Red Deer–Mountain View PCC solide >99%
17. Red Deer–Lacombe PCC solide >99%
18. Medicine Hat–Cardston–Warner PCC solide >99%
19. Moose Jaw–Lake Centre–Lanigan PCC solide >99%
20. Sturgeon River–Parkland PCC solide >99%
21. Prince Albert PCC solide >99%
22. Calgary Shepard PCC solide >99%
23. Calgary Midnapore PCC solide >99%
24. Sherwood Park–Fort Saskatchewan PCC solide >99%
25. Banff–Airdrie PCC solide >99%
26. Edmonton–Wetaskiwin PCC solide >99%
27. Calgary Heritage PCC solide >99%
28. Calgary Signal Hill PCC solide >99%
29. Calgary Nose Hill PCC solide >99%
30. Provencher PCC solide >99%
31. Renfrew–Nipissing–Pembroke PCC solide >99%
32. Dauphin–Swan River–Neepawa PCC solide >99%
33. Bellechasse–Les Etchemins–Lévis PCC solide >99%
34. Cariboo–Prince George PCC solide >99%
35. Brandon–Souris PCC solide >99%
36. Lethbridge PCC solide >99%
37. Elgin–Middlesex–London PCC solide >99%
38. Calgary Rocky Ridge PCC solide >99%
39. St. Albert–Edmonton PCC solide >99%
40. Stormont–Dundas–South Glengarry PCC solide >99%
41. Louis-Saint-Laurent PCC solide >99%
42. Chilliwack–Hope PCC solide >99%
43. Mégantic–L`Érable PCC solide >99%
44. Haldimand–Norfolk PCC solide >99%
45. Abbotsford PCC solide >99%
46. Regina–Qu`Appelle PCC solide >99%
47. Portneuf–Jacques-Cartier PCC solide >99%
48. Lanark–Frontenac–Kingston PCC solide >99%
49. Selkirk–Interlake–Eastman PCC solide >99%
50. Lévis–Lotbinière PCC solide >99%
51. Oxford PCC solide >99%
52. Lambton–Kent–Middlesex PCC solide >99%
53. Haliburton–Kawartha Lakes–Brock PCC solide >99%
54. North Okanagan–Shuswap PCC solide >99%
55. Leeds-Grenville-Thousand Islands et Rideau Lakes PCC solide >99%
56. Sarnia–Lambton PCC solide >99%
57. Edmonton-Ouest PCC solide >99%
58. Richmond–Arthabaska PCC probable 99%
59. York–Simcoe PCC probable 99%
60. Perth–Wellington PCC probable 99%
61. Wellington–Halton Hills PCC probable 99%
62. Tobique–Mactaquac PCC probable 99%
63. Thornhill PCC probable 98%
64. Calgary Forest Lawn PCC probable 98%
65. Nouveau-Brunswick-Sud-Ouest PCC probable 98%
66. Central Okanagan–Similkameen–Nicola PCC probable 97%
67. Kamloops–Thompson–Cariboo PCC probable 97%
68. Bruce–Grey–Owen Sound PCC probable 97%
69. Edmonton Manning PCC probable 97%
70. Chatham-Kent–Leamington PCC probable 97%
71. Charlesbourg–Haute-Saint-Charles PCC probable 96%
72. Beauce PCC probable 96%
73. Langley–Aldergrove PCC probable 96%
74. Edmonton Riverbend PCC probable 96%
75. Huron–Bruce PCC probable 96%
76. Barrie–Innisfil PCC probable 95%
77. Regina–Wascana PCC probable 95%
78. Fundy Royal PCC probable 95%
79. Calgary Confederation PCC probable 94%
80. Durham PCC probable 93%
81. Niagara-Ouest PCC probable 93%
82. Montmagny–L`Islet–Kamouraska–Rivière-du-Loup PCC probable 93%
83. Simcoe-Nord PCC probable 92%
84. Simcoe–Grey PCC probable 90%
85. Richmond-Centre PCC enclin 89%
86. Parry Sound–Muskoka PCC enclin 89%
87. Carleton PCC enclin 88%
88. Saskatoon–Grasswood PCC enclin 86%
89. Brantford–Brant PCC enclin 85%
90. Markham–Unionville PCC enclin 82%
91. Kelowna–Lake Country PCC enclin 82%
92. Calgary Skyview PCC enclin 82%
93. Dufferin–Caledon PCC enclin 81%
94. Calgary-Centre PCC enclin 81%
95. Mission–Matsqui–Fraser Canyon PCC enclin 80%
96. Regina–Lewvan PCC enclin 79%
97. Kildonan–St. Paul PCC enclin 79%
98. Steveston–Richmond-Est PCC enclin 78%
99. Barrie–Springwater–Oro-Medonte PCC enclin 77%
100. Kootenay–Columbia PCC enclin 72%
101. Edmonton Griesbach Pivot 70%
102. Chicoutimi–Le Fjord Pivot 69%
103. Pitt Meadows–Maple Ridge Pivot 69%
104. Surrey-Sud–White Rock Pivot 68%
105. Flamborough–Glanbrook Pivot 60%
106. Saskatoon–University Pivot 60%
107. Hastings–Lennox and Addington Pivot 57%
108. Oshawa Pivot 55%
109. Edmonton Mill Woods Pivot 53%
110. Northumberland–Peterborough-Sud Pivot 53%
111. Desnethé–Missinippi–Rivière Churchill Pivot 53%
112. Nova-Ouest Pivot 52%
113. Niagara Falls Pivot 52%
114. Port Moody–Coquitlam Pivot 48%
115. Charleswood–St. James–Assiniboia–Headingley Pivot 45%
116. Aurora–Oak Ridges–Richmond Hill Pivot 45%
117. Essex Pivot 44%
118. Cloverdale–Langley City Pivot 39%
119. Kenora Pivot 35%
120. Richmond Hill Pivot 33%
121. Saskatoon-Ouest Pivot 32%
122. Edmonton-Centre Pivot 32%
123. Kitchener–Conestoga Pivot 31%
124. King–Vaughan PLC enclin 27%
125. Markham–Stouffville PLC enclin 25%
126. Baie de Quinte PLC enclin 23%
127. Kitchener-Sud–Hespeler PLC enclin 19%
128. Trois-Rivières Pivot 18%
129. Beauport-Côte-de-Beaupré-Île d`Orléans-Charlevoix BQ enclin 17%
130. York-Centre PLC enclin 17%
131. Miramichi–Grand Lake PLC enclin 15%
132. Peterborough–Kawartha PLC enclin 14%
133. Beauport–Limoilou Pivot 13%
134. Newmarket–Aurora PLC enclin 13%
135. Kanata–Carleton PLC probable 9%
136. Cumberland–Colchester PLC probable 9%
137. Fredericton PLC enclin 9%
138. Oakville PLC probable 9%
139. Sault Ste. Marie PLC enclin 8%
140. Niagara-Centre Pivot 7%
141. Whitby PLC probable 6%
142. Nova-Centre PLC probable 4%
143. Sydney–Victoria PLC probable 4%
144. St. Catharines PLC probable 4%
145. Oakville-Nord–Burlington PLC probable 4%
146. Cape Breton–Canso PLC probable 3%
147. Mississauga–Lakeshore PLC probable 3%
148. Cambridge PLC probable 3%
149. Glengarry–Prescott–Russell PLC probable 2%
150. Coquitlam–Port Coquitlam PLC probable 2%
151. Thunder Bay–Rainy River Pivot 2%
152. Willowdale PLC probable 2%
153. Scarborough–Agincourt PLC probable 2%
154. Okanagan-Sud–Kootenay-Ouest NPD probable 2%
155. Jonquière BQ probable 2%
156. Egmont PLC probable 2%
157. Nepean PLC probable 1%
158. Nanaimo–Ladysmith Pivot 1%
159. Saint John–Rothesay PLC probable 1%
160. Vaughan–Woodbridge PLC probable 1%
161. West Vancouver–Sunshine Coast–Sea to Sky Country PLC probable 1%
162. Don Valley-Nord PLC probable <1%
163. Milton PLC probable <1%
164. Windsor–Tecumseh Pivot <1%
165. Nipissing–Timiskaming PLC probable <1%
166. Bonavista–Burin–Trinity PLC probable <1%
167. Labrador PLC probable <1%
168. Fleetwood–Port Kells PLC probable <1%
Rang Circonscription Projection
1. Souris–Moose Mountain PCC solide
2. Cypress Hills–Grasslands PCC solide
3. Battle River–Crowfoot PCC solide
4. Battlefords–Lloydminster PCC solide
5. Bow River PCC solide
6. Sentier Carlton–Eagle Creek PCC solide
7. Lakeland PCC solide
8. Grande Prairie–Mackenzie PCC solide
9. Yorkton–Melville PCC solide
10. Yellowhead PCC solide
11. Foothills PCC solide
12. Prince George–Peace River–Northern Rockies PCC solide
13. Portage–Lisgar PCC solide
14. Peace River–Westlock PCC solide
15. Fort McMurray–Cold Lake PCC solide
16. Red Deer–Mountain View PCC solide
17. Red Deer–Lacombe PCC solide
18. Medicine Hat–Cardston–Warner PCC solide
19. Moose Jaw–Lake Centre–Lanigan PCC solide
20. Sturgeon River–Parkland PCC solide
21. Prince Albert PCC solide
22. Calgary Shepard PCC solide
23. Calgary Midnapore PCC solide
24. Sherwood Park–Fort Saskatchewan PCC solide
25. Banff–Airdrie PCC solide
26. Edmonton–Wetaskiwin PCC solide
27. Calgary Heritage PCC solide
28. Calgary Signal Hill PCC solide
29. Calgary Nose Hill PCC solide
30. Provencher PCC solide
31. Renfrew–Nipissing–Pembroke PCC solide
32. Dauphin–Swan River–Neepawa PCC solide
33. Bellechasse–Les Etchemins–Lévis PCC solide
34. Cariboo–Prince George PCC solide
35. Brandon–Souris PCC solide
36. Lethbridge PCC solide
37. Elgin–Middlesex–London PCC solide
38. Calgary Rocky Ridge PCC solide
39. St. Albert–Edmonton PCC solide
40. Stormont–Dundas–South Glengarry PCC solide
41. Louis-Saint-Laurent PCC solide
42. Chilliwack–Hope PCC solide
43. Mégantic–L`Érable PCC solide
44. Haldimand–Norfolk PCC solide
45. Abbotsford PCC solide
46. Regina–Qu`Appelle PCC solide
47. Portneuf–Jacques-Cartier PCC solide
48. Lanark–Frontenac–Kingston PCC solide
49. Selkirk–Interlake–Eastman PCC solide
50. Lévis–Lotbinière PCC solide
51. Oxford PCC solide
52. Lambton–Kent–Middlesex PCC solide
53. Haliburton–Kawartha Lakes–Brock PCC solide
54. North Okanagan–Shuswap PCC solide
55. Leeds-Grenville-Thousand Islands et Rideau Lakes PCC solide
56. Sarnia–Lambton PCC solide
57. Edmonton-Ouest PCC solide
58. Richmond–Arthabaska PCC probable
59. York–Simcoe PCC probable
60. Perth–Wellington PCC probable
61. Wellington–Halton Hills PCC probable
62. Tobique–Mactaquac PCC probable
63. Thornhill PCC probable
64. Calgary Forest Lawn PCC probable
65. Nouveau-Brunswick-Sud-Ouest PCC probable
66. Central Okanagan–Similkameen–Nicola PCC probable
67. Kamloops–Thompson–Cariboo PCC probable
68. Bruce–Grey–Owen Sound PCC probable
69. Edmonton Manning PCC probable
70. Chatham-Kent–Leamington PCC probable
71. Charlesbourg–Haute-Saint-Charles PCC probable
72. Beauce PCC probable
73. Langley–Aldergrove PCC probable
74. Edmonton Riverbend PCC probable
75. Huron–Bruce PCC probable
76. Barrie–Innisfil PCC probable
77. Regina–Wascana PCC probable
78. Fundy Royal PCC probable
79. Calgary Confederation PCC probable
80. Durham PCC probable
81. Niagara-Ouest PCC probable
82. Montmagny–L`Islet–Kamouraska–Rivière-du-Loup PCC probable
83. Simcoe-Nord PCC probable
84. Simcoe–Grey PCC probable
85. Richmond-Centre PCC enclin
86. Parry Sound–Muskoka PCC enclin
87. Carleton PCC enclin
88. Saskatoon–Grasswood PCC enclin
89. Brantford–Brant PCC enclin
90. Markham–Unionville PCC enclin
91. Kelowna–Lake Country PCC enclin
92. Calgary Skyview PCC enclin
93. Dufferin–Caledon PCC enclin
94. Calgary-Centre PCC enclin
95. Mission–Matsqui–Fraser Canyon PCC enclin
96. Regina–Lewvan PCC enclin
97. Kildonan–St. Paul PCC enclin
98. Steveston–Richmond-Est PCC enclin
99. Barrie–Springwater–Oro-Medonte PCC enclin
100. Kootenay–Columbia PCC enclin
101. Edmonton Griesbach Pivot
102. Chicoutimi–Le Fjord Pivot
103. Pitt Meadows–Maple Ridge Pivot
104. Surrey-Sud–White Rock Pivot
105. Flamborough–Glanbrook Pivot
106. Saskatoon–University Pivot
107. Hastings–Lennox and Addington Pivot
108. Oshawa Pivot
109. Edmonton Mill Woods Pivot
110. Northumberland–Peterborough-Sud Pivot
111. Desnethé–Missinippi–Rivière Churchill Pivot
112. Nova-Ouest Pivot
113. Niagara Falls Pivot
114. Port Moody–Coquitlam Pivot
115. Charleswood–St. James–Assiniboia–Headingley Pivot
116. Aurora–Oak Ridges–Richmond Hill Pivot
117. Essex Pivot
118. Cloverdale–Langley City Pivot
119. Kenora Pivot
120. Richmond Hill Pivot
121. Saskatoon-Ouest Pivot
122. Edmonton-Centre Pivot
123. Kitchener–Conestoga Pivot
124. King–Vaughan PLC enclin
125. Markham–Stouffville PLC enclin
126. Baie de Quinte PLC enclin
127. Kitchener-Sud–Hespeler PLC enclin
128. Trois-Rivières Pivot
129. Beauport-Côte-de-Beaupré-Île d`Orléans-Charlevoix BQ enclin
130. York-Centre PLC enclin
131. Miramichi–Grand Lake PLC enclin
132. Peterborough–Kawartha PLC enclin
133. Beauport–Limoilou Pivot
134. Newmarket–Aurora PLC enclin
135. Kanata–Carleton PLC probable
136. Cumberland–Colchester PLC probable
137. Fredericton PLC enclin
138. Oakville PLC probable
139. Sault Ste. Marie PLC enclin
140. Niagara-Centre Pivot
141. Whitby PLC probable
142. Nova-Centre PLC probable
143. Sydney–Victoria PLC probable
144. St. Catharines PLC probable
145. Oakville-Nord–Burlington PLC probable
146. Cape Breton–Canso PLC probable
147. Mississauga–Lakeshore PLC probable
148. Cambridge PLC probable
149. Glengarry–Prescott–Russell PLC probable
150. Coquitlam–Port Coquitlam PLC probable
151. Thunder Bay–Rainy River Pivot
152. Willowdale PLC probable
153. Scarborough–Agincourt PLC probable
154. Okanagan-Sud–Kootenay-Ouest NPD probable
155. Jonquière BQ probable
156. Egmont PLC probable
157. Nepean PLC probable
158. Nanaimo–Ladysmith Pivot
159. Saint John–Rothesay PLC probable
160. Vaughan–Woodbridge PLC probable
161. West Vancouver–Sunshine Coast–Sea to Sky Country PLC probable
162. Don Valley-Nord PLC probable
163. Milton PLC probable
164. Windsor–Tecumseh Pivot
165. Nipissing–Timiskaming PLC probable
166. Bonavista–Burin–Trinity PLC probable
167. Labrador PLC probable
168. Fleetwood–Port Kells PLC probable



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