Qc125 Canada | Parti conservateur du Canada





Dernière mise à jour : 16 janvier 2022

ChefErin O'Toole
Proportion du suffrage national en 202133.7%
Projection de vote actuelle31,1 % ± 3,9 %
Nombre actuel de députés-es119
Projection de sièges actuelle117 [92-148]



Projection du vote | Parti conservateur du Canada | 16 janvier 2022




Projection de sièges | Parti conservateur du Canada | 16 janvier 2022





Liste des circonscriptions favorables au Parti conservateur du Canada



Rang Circonscription Province Parti actuel Dernière projection Probabilité de victoire
1. Souris–Moose Mountain PCC solide > 99 %
2. Cypress Hills–Grasslands PCC solide > 99 %
3. Battle River–Crowfoot PCC solide > 99 %
4. Bow River PCC solide > 99 %
5. Lakeland PCC solide > 99 %
6. Foothills PCC solide > 99 %
7. Yorkton–Melville PCC solide > 99 %
8. Fort McMurray–Cold Lake PCC solide > 99 %
9. Grande Prairie–Mackenzie PCC solide > 99 %
10. Sentier Carlton–Eagle Creek PCC solide > 99 %
11. Yellowhead PCC solide > 99 %
12. Medicine Hat–Cardston–Warner PCC solide > 99 %
13. Red Deer–Lacombe PCC solide > 99 %
14. Battlefords–Lloydminster PCC solide > 99 %
15. Prince Albert PCC solide > 99 %
16. Red Deer–Mountain View PCC solide > 99 %
17. Regina–Qu’Appelle PCC solide > 99 %
18. Sturgeon River–Parkland PCC solide > 99 %
19. Calgary Midnapore PCC solide > 99 %
20. Calgary Shepard PCC solide > 99 %
21. Peace River–Westlock PCC solide > 99 %
22. Stormont–Dundas–South Glengarry PCC solide > 99 %
23. Prince George–Peace River–Northern Rockies PCC solide > 99 %
24. Moose Jaw–Lake Centre–Lanigan PCC solide > 99 %
25. Mégantic–L’Érable PCC solide > 99 %
26. Brandon–Souris PCC solide > 99 %
27. Banff–Airdrie PCC solide > 99 %
28. Calgary Signal Hill PCC solide > 99 %
29. Lethbridge PCC solide > 99 %
30. Sherwood Park–Fort Saskatchewan PCC solide > 99 %
31. Calgary Heritage PCC solide > 99 %
32. Dauphin–Swan River–Neepawa PCC solide > 99 %
33. Haliburton–Kawartha Lakes–Brock PCC solide > 99 %
34. Wellington–Halton Hills PCC solide > 99 %
35. Calgary Nose Hill PCC solide > 99 %
36. Edmonton–Wetaskiwin PCC solide > 99 %
37. Huron–Bruce PCC solide > 99 %
38. Selkirk–Interlake–Eastman PCC solide > 99 %
39. Lévis–Lotbinière PCC solide > 99 %
40. Leeds-Grenville-Thousand Islands et Rideau Lakes PCC solide > 99 %
41. Bellechasse–Les Etchemins–Lévis PCC solide > 99 %
42. Bruce–Grey–Owen Sound PCC solide > 99 %
43. Elgin–Middlesex–London PCC solide > 99 %
44. Louis-Saint-Laurent PCC solide > 99 %
45. Lanark–Frontenac–Kingston PCC solide > 99 %
46. Perth–Wellington PCC solide > 99 %
47. Lambton–Kent–Middlesex PCC solide > 99 %
48. Parry Sound–Muskoka PCC solide > 99 %
49. Beauce PCC solide > 99 %
50. Provencher PCC solide > 99 %
51. North Okanagan–Shuswap PCC solide > 99 %
52. Calgary Rocky Ridge PCC solide > 99 %
53. Portneuf–Jacques-Cartier PCC solide > 99 %
54. Cariboo–Prince George PCC solide > 99 %
55. Oxford PCC solide > 99 %
56. Haldimand–Norfolk PCC solide > 99 %
57. Renfrew–Nipissing–Pembroke PCC solide > 99 %
58. Sarnia–Lambton PCC solide > 99 %
59. Tobique–Mactaquac PCC solide > 99 %
60. Simcoe–Grey PCC solide > 99 %
61. Richmond–Arthabaska PCC solide > 99 %
62. Portage–Lisgar PCC solide > 99 %
63. Barrie–Innisfil PCC solide > 99 %
64. Nouveau-Brunswick-Sud-Ouest PCC solide > 99 %
65. York–Simcoe PCC solide > 99 %
66. Fundy Royal PCC solide > 99 %
67. Dufferin–Caledon PCC solide > 99 %
68. Montmagny–L’Islet–Kamouraska–Rivière-du-Loup PCC solide > 99 %
69. Durham PCC solide > 99 %
70. Central Okanagan–Similkameen–Nicola PCC solide > 99 %
71. Abbotsford PCC solide > 99 %
72. Niagara-Ouest PCC solide > 99 %
73. Charlesbourg–Haute-Saint-Charles PCC solide > 99 %
74. Carleton PCC solide > 99 %
75. Barrie–Springwater–Oro-Medonte PCC solide > 99 %
76. Thornhill PCC solide > 99 %
77. Brantford–Brant PCC solide > 99 %
78. Chatham-Kent–Leamington PCC solide > 99 %
79. Simcoe-Nord PCC solide > 99 %
80. Mission–Matsqui–Fraser Canyon PCC probable 99 %
81. Langley–Aldergrove PCC probable 99 %
82. Northumberland–Peterborough-Sud PCC probable 99 %
83. Kelowna–Lake Country PCC probable 99 %
84. Nova-Ouest PCC probable 99 %
85. Edmonton-Ouest PCC probable 99 %
86. Chilliwack–Hope PCC probable 98 %
87. Hastings–Lennox and Addington PCC probable 98 %
88. Edmonton Riverbend PCC probable 98 %
89. Regina–Wascana PCC probable 98 %
90. St. Albert–Edmonton PCC probable 98 %
91. Calgary-Centre PCC probable 97 %
92. Calgary Confederation PCC probable 93 %
93. Desnethé–Missinippi–Rivière Churchill PCC probable 92 %
94. Calgary Forest Lawn PCC probable 91 %
95. Niagara Falls PCC probable 91 %
96. Baie de Quinte PCC enclin 90 %
97. Cumberland–Colchester PCC enclin 90 %
98. Kamloops–Thompson–Cariboo PCC enclin 90 %
99. Saskatoon–Grasswood PCC enclin 89 %
100. Flamborough–Glanbrook PCC enclin 89 %
101. Peterborough–Kawartha PCC enclin 88 %
102. Oshawa PCC enclin 80 %
103. Kenora PCC enclin 80 %
104. Chicoutimi–Le Fjord PCC enclin 79 %
105. King–Vaughan PCC enclin 77 %
106. Edmonton Manning PCC enclin 73 %
107. Essex Pivot PCC/NPD 65 %
108. Sault Ste. Marie Pivot PLC/PCC 64 %
109. Kitchener–Conestoga Pivot PLC/PCC 62 %
110. Kitchener-Sud–Hespeler Pivot PLC/PCC 56 %
111. Miramichi–Grand Lake Pivot PLC/PCC 55 %
112. Kildonan–St. Paul Pivot PLC/PCC 55 %
113. South Shore–St. Margarets Pivot PLC/PCC 54 %
114. Kootenay–Columbia Pivot PCC/NPD 53 %
115. Regina–Lewvan Pivot PCC/NPD 51 %
116. Saskatoon–University Pivot PCC/NPD 51 %
117. Aurora–Oak Ridges–Richmond Hill Pivot PLC/PCC 50 %
118. Kanata–Carleton Pivot PLC/PCC 49 %
119. Edmonton Mill Woods Pivot PLC/PCC 48 %
120. Cambridge Pivot PLC/PCC 46 %
121. Pitt Meadows–Maple Ridge Pivot PCC/NPD 44 %
122. Coast of Bays–Central–Notre Dame Pivot PLC/PCC 40 %
123. Saskatoon-Ouest Pivot PCC/NPD 40 %
124. Newmarket–Aurora Pivot PLC/PCC 36 %
125. Vaughan–Woodbridge Pivot PLC/PCC 36 %
126. Niagara-Centre Pivot PLC/PCC/NPD 35 %
127. Surrey-Sud–White Rock Pivot PLC/PCC 34 %
128. St. Catharines Pivot PLC/PCC 34 %
129. London-Ouest Pivot PLC/PCC/NPD 33 %
130. Markham–Unionville Pivot PLC/PCC 32 %
131. Mississauga–Lakeshore Pivot PLC/PCC 31 %
132. Oakville PLC enclin 29 %
133. Nipissing–Timiskaming Pivot PLC/PCC 27 %
134. Fredericton PLC enclin 25 %
135. Whitby PLC enclin 21 %
136. Burlington PLC enclin 20 %
137. Richmond Hill PLC enclin 20 %
138. Oakville-Nord–Burlington PLC enclin 19 %
139. Sydney–Victoria PLC enclin 18 %
140. Thunder Bay–Rainy River Pivot PLC/PCC/NPD 18 %
141. York-Centre PLC enclin 18 %
142. Trois-Rivières Pivot PLC/PCC/BQ 17 %
143. Edmonton-Centre PLC enclin 14 %
144. Charleswood–St. James–Assiniboia–Headingley PLC enclin 14 %
145. Calgary Skyview PLC enclin 13 %
146. Pickering–Uxbridge PLC enclin 12 %
147. Richmond-Centre PLC enclin 12 %
148. Long Range Mountains PLC enclin 12 %
149. Bonavista–Burin–Trinity PLC enclin 11 %
150. Cloverdale–Langley City PLC probable 9 %
151. Beauport–Limoilou Pivot PLC/BQ 9 %
152. Nepean PLC probable 9 %
153. Eglinton–Lawrence PLC probable 8 %
154. Glengarry–Prescott–Russell PLC probable 8 %
155. Yukon PLC enclin 8 %
156. Hamilton-Est–Stoney Creek Pivot PLC/NPD 8 %
157. Malpeque PLC probable 6 %
158. Sudbury Pivot PLC/NPD 6 %
159. Etobicoke-Centre PLC probable 6 %
160. Beauport-Côte-de-Beaupré-Île d’Orléans-Charlevoix BQ probable 6 %
161. Labrador PLC enclin 6 %
162. North Island–Powell River NPD probable 5 %
163. Edmonton Griesbach NPD probable 5 %
164. Nickel Belt Pivot PLC/NPD 5 %
165. Mississauga–Streetsville PLC probable 4 %
166. West Vancouver–Sunshine Coast–Sea to Sky Country PLC enclin 4 %
167. Markham–Stouffville PLC probable 4 %
168. Nanaimo–Ladysmith Pivot NPD/PVC 3 %
169. Brampton-Centre PLC probable 3 %
170. Etobicoke–Lakeshore PLC probable 3 %
171. London-Centre-Nord PLC enclin 2 %
172. Skeena–Bulkley Valley NPD probable 2 %
173. Windsor–Tecumseh Pivot PLC/NPD 2 %
174. Hamilton-Ouest–Ancaster–Dundas PLC probable 2 %
175. Don Valley-Ouest PLC probable 2 %
176. Port Moody–Coquitlam NPD probable 2 %
177. Okanagan-Sud–Kootenay-Ouest NPD probable 2 %
178. Willowdale PLC probable 2 %
179. Mississauga–Erin Mills PLC probable 2 %
180. Cape Breton–Canso PLC probable 2 %
Rang Circonscription Projection
1. Souris–Moose Mountain PCC solide
2. Cypress Hills–Grasslands PCC solide
3. Battle River–Crowfoot PCC solide
4. Bow River PCC solide
5. Lakeland PCC solide
6. Foothills PCC solide
7. Yorkton–Melville PCC solide
8. Fort McMurray–Cold Lake PCC solide
9. Grande Prairie–Mackenzie PCC solide
10. Sentier Carlton–Eagle Creek PCC solide
11. Yellowhead PCC solide
12. Medicine Hat–Cardston–Warner PCC solide
13. Red Deer–Lacombe PCC solide
14. Battlefords–Lloydminster PCC solide
15. Prince Albert PCC solide
16. Red Deer–Mountain View PCC solide
17. Regina–Qu’Appelle PCC solide
18. Sturgeon River–Parkland PCC solide
19. Calgary Midnapore PCC solide
20. Calgary Shepard PCC solide
21. Peace River–Westlock PCC solide
22. Stormont–Dundas–South Glengarry PCC solide
23. Prince George–Peace River–Northern Rockies PCC solide
24. Moose Jaw–Lake Centre–Lanigan PCC solide
25. Mégantic–L’Érable PCC solide
26. Brandon–Souris PCC solide
27. Banff–Airdrie PCC solide
28. Calgary Signal Hill PCC solide
29. Lethbridge PCC solide
30. Sherwood Park–Fort Saskatchewan PCC solide
31. Calgary Heritage PCC solide
32. Dauphin–Swan River–Neepawa PCC solide
33. Haliburton–Kawartha Lakes–Brock PCC solide
34. Wellington–Halton Hills PCC solide
35. Calgary Nose Hill PCC solide
36. Edmonton–Wetaskiwin PCC solide
37. Huron–Bruce PCC solide
38. Selkirk–Interlake–Eastman PCC solide
39. Lévis–Lotbinière PCC solide
40. Leeds-Grenville-Thousand Islands et Rideau Lakes PCC solide
41. Bellechasse–Les Etchemins–Lévis PCC solide
42. Bruce–Grey–Owen Sound PCC solide
43. Elgin–Middlesex–London PCC solide
44. Louis-Saint-Laurent PCC solide
45. Lanark–Frontenac–Kingston PCC solide
46. Perth–Wellington PCC solide
47. Lambton–Kent–Middlesex PCC solide
48. Parry Sound–Muskoka PCC solide
49. Beauce PCC solide
50. Provencher PCC solide
51. North Okanagan–Shuswap PCC solide
52. Calgary Rocky Ridge PCC solide
53. Portneuf–Jacques-Cartier PCC solide
54. Cariboo–Prince George PCC solide
55. Oxford PCC solide
56. Haldimand–Norfolk PCC solide
57. Renfrew–Nipissing–Pembroke PCC solide
58. Sarnia–Lambton PCC solide
59. Tobique–Mactaquac PCC solide
60. Simcoe–Grey PCC solide
61. Richmond–Arthabaska PCC solide
62. Portage–Lisgar PCC solide
63. Barrie–Innisfil PCC solide
64. Nouveau-Brunswick-Sud-Ouest PCC solide
65. York–Simcoe PCC solide
66. Fundy Royal PCC solide
67. Dufferin–Caledon PCC solide
68. Montmagny–L’Islet–Kamouraska–Rivière-du-Loup PCC solide
69. Durham PCC solide
70. Central Okanagan–Similkameen–Nicola PCC solide
71. Abbotsford PCC solide
72. Niagara-Ouest PCC solide
73. Charlesbourg–Haute-Saint-Charles PCC solide
74. Carleton PCC solide
75. Barrie–Springwater–Oro-Medonte PCC solide
76. Thornhill PCC solide
77. Brantford–Brant PCC solide
78. Chatham-Kent–Leamington PCC solide
79. Simcoe-Nord PCC solide
80. Mission–Matsqui–Fraser Canyon PCC probable
81. Langley–Aldergrove PCC probable
82. Northumberland–Peterborough-Sud PCC probable
83. Kelowna–Lake Country PCC probable
84. Nova-Ouest PCC probable
85. Edmonton-Ouest PCC probable
86. Chilliwack–Hope PCC probable
87. Hastings–Lennox and Addington PCC probable
88. Edmonton Riverbend PCC probable
89. Regina–Wascana PCC probable
90. St. Albert–Edmonton PCC probable
91. Calgary-Centre PCC probable
92. Calgary Confederation PCC probable
93. Desnethé–Missinippi–Rivière Churchill PCC probable
94. Calgary Forest Lawn PCC probable
95. Niagara Falls PCC probable
96. Baie de Quinte PCC enclin
97. Cumberland–Colchester PCC enclin
98. Kamloops–Thompson–Cariboo PCC enclin
99. Saskatoon–Grasswood PCC enclin
100. Flamborough–Glanbrook PCC enclin
101. Peterborough–Kawartha PCC enclin
102. Oshawa PCC enclin
103. Kenora PCC enclin
104. Chicoutimi–Le Fjord PCC enclin
105. King–Vaughan PCC enclin
106. Edmonton Manning PCC enclin
107. Essex Pivot PCC/NPD
108. Sault Ste. Marie Pivot PLC/PCC
109. Kitchener–Conestoga Pivot PLC/PCC
110. Kitchener-Sud–Hespeler Pivot PLC/PCC
111. Miramichi–Grand Lake Pivot PLC/PCC
112. Kildonan–St. Paul Pivot PLC/PCC
113. South Shore–St. Margarets Pivot PLC/PCC
114. Kootenay–Columbia Pivot PCC/NPD
115. Regina–Lewvan Pivot PCC/NPD
116. Saskatoon–University Pivot PCC/NPD
117. Aurora–Oak Ridges–Richmond Hill Pivot PLC/PCC
118. Kanata–Carleton Pivot PLC/PCC
119. Edmonton Mill Woods Pivot PLC/PCC
120. Cambridge Pivot PLC/PCC
121. Pitt Meadows–Maple Ridge Pivot PCC/NPD
122. Coast of Bays–Central–Notre Dame Pivot PLC/PCC
123. Saskatoon-Ouest Pivot PCC/NPD
124. Newmarket–Aurora Pivot PLC/PCC
125. Vaughan–Woodbridge Pivot PLC/PCC
126. Niagara-Centre Pivot PLC/PCC/NPD
127. Surrey-Sud–White Rock Pivot PLC/PCC
128. St. Catharines Pivot PLC/PCC
129. London-Ouest Pivot PLC/PCC/NPD
130. Markham–Unionville Pivot PLC/PCC
131. Mississauga–Lakeshore Pivot PLC/PCC
132. Oakville PLC enclin
133. Nipissing–Timiskaming Pivot PLC/PCC
134. Fredericton PLC enclin
135. Whitby PLC enclin
136. Burlington PLC enclin
137. Richmond Hill PLC enclin
138. Oakville-Nord–Burlington PLC enclin
139. Sydney–Victoria PLC enclin
140. Thunder Bay–Rainy River Pivot PLC/PCC/NPD
141. York-Centre PLC enclin
142. Trois-Rivières Pivot PLC/PCC/BQ
143. Edmonton-Centre PLC enclin
144. Charleswood–St. James–Assiniboia–Headingley PLC enclin
145. Calgary Skyview PLC enclin
146. Pickering–Uxbridge PLC enclin
147. Richmond-Centre PLC enclin
148. Long Range Mountains PLC enclin
149. Bonavista–Burin–Trinity PLC enclin
150. Cloverdale–Langley City PLC probable
151. Beauport–Limoilou Pivot PLC/BQ
152. Nepean PLC probable
153. Eglinton–Lawrence PLC probable
154. Glengarry–Prescott–Russell PLC probable
155. Yukon PLC enclin
156. Hamilton-Est–Stoney Creek Pivot PLC/NPD
157. Malpeque PLC probable
158. Sudbury Pivot PLC/NPD
159. Etobicoke-Centre PLC probable
160. Beauport-Côte-de-Beaupré-Île d’Orléans-Charlevoix BQ probable
161. Labrador PLC enclin
162. North Island–Powell River NPD probable
163. Edmonton Griesbach NPD probable
164. Nickel Belt Pivot PLC/NPD
165. Mississauga–Streetsville PLC probable
166. West Vancouver–Sunshine Coast–Sea to Sky Country PLC enclin
167. Markham–Stouffville PLC probable
168. Nanaimo–Ladysmith Pivot NPD/PVC
169. Brampton-Centre PLC probable
170. Etobicoke–Lakeshore PLC probable
171. London-Centre-Nord PLC enclin
172. Skeena–Bulkley Valley NPD probable
173. Windsor–Tecumseh Pivot PLC/NPD
174. Hamilton-Ouest–Ancaster–Dundas PLC probable
175. Don Valley-Ouest PLC probable
176. Port Moody–Coquitlam NPD probable
177. Okanagan-Sud–Kootenay-Ouest NPD probable
178. Willowdale PLC probable
179. Mississauga–Erin Mills PLC probable
180. Cape Breton–Canso PLC probable



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