Parti conservateur du Canada
Mise à jour : 22 mars 2026
| Chef | Pierre Poilievre |
| Proportion du suffrage national en 2025 | 41.3% |
| Projection de vote actuelle | 35,8 % ± 3,1 % |
| Nombre actuel de députés-es | 141 |
| Projection de sièges actuelle | 105 [69-134] |
Remarque : la fonction de sièges par vote, ou l'efficacité du vote, n'est pas une fonction linéaire, mais peut être approximée comme telle sur des intervalles de vote étroits.
Gains et pertes projetés comparés aux résultats de 2025.
Projection du vote | 22 mars 2026
Projection de sièges | 22 mars 2026
Liste des circonscriptions favorables | Parti conservateur du Canada
| Circonscriptions | Parti actuel | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | Steven Bonk
|
 |
PCC solide | |
| 2. | Jeremy Patzer
|
|
PCC solide | |
| 3. | Chris Warkentin
|
 |
PCC solide | |
| 4. | Shannon Stubbs
|
|
PCC solide | |
| 5. | Laila Goodridge
|
|
PCC solide | |
| 6. | David Bexte
|
|
PCC solide | |
| 7. | Pierre Poilievre
|
|
PCC solide | |
| 8. | Arnold Viersen
|
|
PCC solide | |
| 9. | Kelly Block
|
|
PCC solide | |
| 10. | Cathay Wagantall
|
|
PCC solide | |
| 11. | John Barlow
|
|
PCC solide | |
| 12. | Blaine Calkins
|
|
PCC solide | |
| 13. | Rosemarie Falk
|
|
PCC solide | |
| 14. | Glen Motz
|
|
PCC solide | |
| 15. | Dane Lloyd
|
|
PCC solide | |
| 16. | Bob Zimmer
|
 |
PCC solide | |
| 17. | Mike Lake
|
|
PCC solide | |
| 18. | Fraser Tolmie
|
|
PCC solide | |
| 19. | Burton Bailey
|
|
PCC solide | |
| 20. | Randy Hoback
|
|
PCC solide | |
| 21. | Blake Richards
|
|
PCC solide | |
| 22. | Branden Leslie
|
 |
PCC solide | |
| 23. | William Stevenson
|
|
PCC solide | |
| 24. | Dan Mazier
|
|
PCC solide | |
| 25. | Ted Falk
|
|
PCC solide | |
| 26. | Todd Doherty
|
|
PCC solide | |
| 27. | Jason Groleau
|
 |
PCC solide | |
| 28. | Grant Jackson
|
|
PCC solide | |
| 29. | Luc Berthold
|
|
PCC solide | |
| 30. | Melissa Lantsman
|
 |
PCC solide | |
| 31. | Andrew Scheer
|
|
PCC solide | |
| 32. | Garnett Genuis
|
|
PCC solide | |
| 33. | Tom Kmiec
|
|
PCC solide | |
| 34. | Anna Roberts
|
|
PCC solide | |
| 35. | Michael Cooper
|
|
PCC solide | |
| 36. | Stephanie Kusie
|
|
PCC solide | |
| 37. | Kyle Seeback
|
|
PCC solide | |
| 38. | Rob Morrison
|
|
PCC probable | |
| 39. | James Bezan
|
|
PCC probable | |
| 40. | Dave Epp
|
|
PCC probable | |
| 41. | Scot Davidson
|
|
PCC probable | |
| 42. | Leslyn Lewis
|
|
PCC probable | |
| 43. | Michael Guglielmin
|
|
PCC probable | |
| 44. | Chris Lewis
|
|
PCC probable | |
| 45. | Dominique Vien
|
|
PCC probable | |
| 46. | Brad Redekopp
|
|
PCC probable | |
| 47. | Brad Vis
|
|
PCC probable | |
| 48. | Joel Godin
|
|
PCC probable | |
| 49. | Mark Strahl
|
|
PCC probable | |
| 50. | John Brassard
|
|
PCC probable | |
| 51. | Jacques Gourde
|
|
PCC probable | |
| 52. | Rachael Thomas
|
|
PCC probable | |
| 53. | Jamie Schmale
|
|
PCC probable | |
| 54. | Cheryl Gallant
|
|
PCC probable | |
| 55. | Richard Bragdon
|
 |
PCC probable | |
| 56. | Jasraj Singh Hallan
|
|
PCC probable | |
| 57. | Eric Duncan
|
|
PCC probable | |
| 58. | Bernard Genereux
|
|
PCC probable | |
| 59. | Jacob Mantle
|
|
PCC probable | |
| 60. | Marilyn Gladu
|
|
PCC probable | |
| 61. | Arpan Khanna
|
|
PCC probable | |
| 62. | Shuv Majumdar
|
|
PCC probable | |
| 63. | Mel Arnold
|
|
PCC probable | |
| 64. | Shelby Kramp-Neuman
|
|
PCC enclin | |
| 65. | Alex Ruff
|
|
PCC enclin | |
| 66. | Ellis Ross
|
|
PCC enclin | |
| 67. | Frank Caputo
|
|
PCC enclin | |
| 68. | John Nater
|
|
PCC enclin | |
| 69. | Costas Menegakis
|
|
PCC enclin | |
| 70. | Ben Lobb
|
|
PCC enclin | |
| 71. | David McKenzie
|
|
PCC enclin | |
| 72. | Larry Brock
|
|
PCC enclin | |
| 73. | Gérard Deltell
|
|
PCC enclin | |
| 74. | Sukhman Singh Gill
|
|
PCC enclin | |
| 75. | Michelle Rempel Garner
|
|
PCC enclin | |
| 76. | Eric Melillo
|
|
PCC enclin | |
| 77. | Aaron Gunn
|
|
Pivot PLC/PCC/NPD | |
| 78. | Lianne Rood
|
|
Pivot PLC/PCC | |
| 79. | Tako van Popta
|
|
Pivot PLC/PCC | |
| 80. | Scott Aitchison
|
|
Pivot PLC/PCC | |
| 81. | Gaetan Malette
|
|
Pivot PLC/PCC | |
| 82. | Dan Muys
|
|
Pivot PLC/PCC | |
| 83. | Kurt Holman
|
|
Pivot PLC/PCC/NPD | |
| 84. | Rob Moore
|
|
Pivot PLC/PCC | |
| 85. | Shuv Majumdar
|
|
Pivot PLC/PCC | |
| 86. | Colin Reynolds
|
|
Pivot PCC/NPD | |
| 87. | Scott Anderson
|
|
Pivot PLC/PCC | |
| 88. | Terry Dowdall
|
|
Pivot PLC/PCC | |
| 89. | Dean Allison
|
|
Pivot PLC/PCC | |
| 90. | Pierre Paul-Hus
|
|
Pivot PLC/PCC | |
| 91. | Harbinder Gill
|
|
Pivot PLC/PCC/NPD | |
| 92. | Tamara Kronis
|
|
Pivot PLC/PCC | |
| 93. | Kerry Diotte
|
|
Pivot PCC/NPD | |
| 94. | Dan Albas
|
|
Pivot PLC/PCC | |
| 95. | Vincent Neil Ho
|
|
Pivot PLC/PCC | |
| 96. | Billy Morin
|
|
Pivot PLC/PCC | |
| 97. | Ziad Aboultaif
|
|
Pivot PLC/PCC | |
| 98. | Roman Baber
|
|
Pivot PLC/PCC | |
| 99. | Kevin Waugh
|
|
Pivot PLC/PCC | |
| 100. | Amanpreet Singh Gill
|
|
Pivot PLC/PCC | |
| 101. | Clifford Small
|
 |
Pivot PLC/PCC | |
| 102. | Doug Shipley
|
|
Pivot PLC/PCC | |
| 103. | Jim Belanger
|
|
Pivot PLC/PCC | |
| 104. | Andrew Lawton
|
|
Pivot PLC/PCC | |
| 105. | John Williamson
|
|
Pivot PLC/PCC | |
| 106. | Rhonda Kirkland
|
|
Pivot PLC/PCC | |
| 107. | Michael Chong
|
|
Pivot PLC/PCC | |
| 108. | Chak Au
|
|
Pivot PLC/PCC | |
| 109. | Helena Konanz
|
|
Pivot PLC/PCC | |
| 110. | Éric Lefebvre
|
|
Pivot PLC/PCC | |
| 111. | Jeff Kibble
|
|
Pivot PLC/PCC/NPD | |
| 112. | Michael Barrett
|
|
Pivot PLC/PCC | |
| 113. | Scott Reid
|
|
Pivot PLC/PCC | |
| 114. | Adam Chambers
|
|
Pivot PLC/PCC | |
| 115. | Corey Tochor
|
|
Pivot PLC/PCC | |
| 116. | Ned Kuruc
|
|
Pivot PLC/PCC | |
| 117. | Tony Baldinelli
|
|
Pivot PLC/PCC | |
| 118. | Kelly DeRidder
|
|
Pivot PLC/PCC/PVC | |
| 119. | Michael Kram
|
|
Pivot PLC/PCC | |
| 120. | Connie Cody
|
|
Pivot PLC/PCC | |
| 121. | Warren Steinley
|
|
Pivot PLC/PCC | |
| 122. | Carol Anstey
|
|
Pivot PLC/PCC | |
| 123. | Jagsharan Singh Mahal
|
|
Pivot PLC/PCC | |
| 124. | Tim Uppal
|
|
PLC enclin | |
| 125. | Fred Davies
|
|
PLC enclin | |
| 126. | Philip Lawrence
|
|
PLC enclin | |
| 127. | Tamara Jansen
|
|
PLC enclin | |
| 128. | Amarjeet Gill
|
|
PLC enclin | |
| 129. | Marc Dalton
|
|
PLC enclin | |
| 130. | Sandra Cobena
|
|
PLC enclin | |
| 131. | Jamil Jivani
|
|
PLC enclin | |
| 132. | Matt Strauss
|
|
PLC enclin | |
| 133. | Raquel Dancho
|
|
PLC enclin | |
| 134. | Michael Ma [Élu avec le PCC]
|
|
PLC enclin | |
| 135. | Greg McLean
|
|
PLC enclin | |
| 136. | Gabriel Hardy
|
|
Pivot PLC/PCC/BQ | |
| 137. | Gord Johns
|
|
NPD enclin | |
| 138. | Richard Martel
|
|
Pivot PLC/PCC/BQ | |
| 139. | Kelly McCauley
|
|
PLC enclin | |
| 140. | Kristina Tesser Derksen
|
|
PLC enclin | |
| 141. | Amandeep Sodhi
|
|
PLC enclin | |
| 142. | Stephen Fuhr
|
|
PLC enclin | |
| 143. | Tim Louis
|
|
PLC enclin | |
| 144. | Kathy Borrelli
|
|
PLC enclin | |
| 145. | Ruby Sahota
|
|
PLC probable | |
| 146. | Sonia Sidhu
|
|
PLC probable | |
| 147. | Parm Bains
|
|
PLC probable | |
| 148. | Matt Jeneroux [Élu avec le PCC]
|
|
PLC probable | |
| 149. | Mike Dawson
|
|
PLC probable | |
| 150. | Jonathan Rowe
|
|
PLC probable | |
| 151. | Gurbux Saini
|
|
PLC probable | |
| 152. | Dalwinder Gill
|
|
PLC probable | |
| 153. | Pauline Rochefort
|
|
PLC probable | |
| 154. | Maninder Sidhu
|
|
PLC probable | |
| 155. | Shafqat Ali
|
|
PLC probable | |
| 156. | Terry Sheehan
|
|
PLC probable | |
| 157. | Randeep Sarai
|
|
PLC probable | |
| 158. | Zoe Royer
|
|
PLC probable | |
| 159. | Ernie Klassen
|
|
PLC probable | |
| 160. | Sukh Dhaliwal
|
|
PLC probable | |
| 161. | Ron McKinnon
|
|
PLC probable | |
| 162. | Philip Earle
|
|
PLC probable | |
| 163. | Marcus Powlowski
|
|
PLC probable | |
| 164. | Peter Fonseca
|
|
PLC probable | |
| 165. | Vince Gasparro
|
|
PLC probable | |
| 166. | Christopher Malette
|
|
PLC probable | |
| 167. | Anita Anand
|
|
PLC probable | |
| 168. | Alana Hirtle
|
 |
PLC probable | |
| 169. | Helena Jaczek
|
|
PLC probable | |
| 170. | Bruce Fanjoy
|
|
PLC probable | |
| 171. | Lori Idlout [Élu avec le NPD]
|
 |
Pivot PLC/NPD | |
| 172. | Lisa Hepfner
|
|
PLC probable | |
| 173. | Chris d’Entremont [Élu avec le PCC]
|
|
PLC probable | |
| 174. | Rechie Valdez
|
|
PLC probable | |
| 175. | Wade Wei Lin Chang
|
|
PLC probable | |
| 176. | Bobby Morrissey
|
 |
PLC probable | |
| 177. | Sima Acan
|
|
PLC probable | |
| 178. | Jill McKnight
|
|
PLC probable | |
| 179. | Charles Sousa
|
|
PLC probable | |
| 180. | Rebecca Alty
|
 |
PLC probable | |
| 181. | Adam van Koeverden
|
|
PLC probable | |
| 182. | Brendan Hanley
|
 |
PLC probable | |
| 183. | Ryan Turnbull
|
|
PLC probable | |
| 184. | Jake Sawatzky
|
|
PLC probable | |
| 185. | Corey Hogan
|
|
PLC probable | |
| 186. | Iqwinder Gaheer
|
|
PLC probable | |
| 187. | Jaime Battiste
|
|
PLC probable | |
| 188. | Fares Al Soud
|
|
PLC probable | |
| 189. | Tim Hodgson
|
|
PLC probable | |
| 190. | Sean Fraser
|
|
PLC solide | |
| 191. | Viviane Lapointe
|
|
PLC solide | |
| 192. | Ali Ehsassi
|
|
PLC solide | |
| 193. | Aslam Rana
|
|
PLC probable | |
| 194. | John Zerucelli
|
|
PLC solide | |
| 195. | Steeve Lavoie
|
|
PLC probable | |
| 196. | Maggie Chi
|
|
PLC solide | |
| 197. | Mario Simard
|
|
BQ probable | |
| 198. | Chris Bittle
|
|
PLC solide | |
| 199. | Anthony Housefather
|
|
PLC solide | |
| 200. | Heather McPherson
|
|
NPD solide | |
| 201. | Juanita Nathan
|
|
PLC solide | |
| 202. | Emma Harrison
|
|
PLC solide | |
| 203. | Jean Yip
|
|
PLC solide | |
| 204. | Yvan Baker
|
|
PLC solide | |
| 205. | Giovanna Mingarelli
|
|
PLC solide | |
| 206. | Iqra Khalid
|
|
PLC solide | |
| 207. | Eleanor Olszewski
|
|
PLC solide | |
| 208. | Gregor Robertson
|
|
PLC solide | |
| 209. | Kent McDonald
|
|
PLC solide | |
| 210. | Buckley Belanger
|
|
PLC solide | |
| 211. | Guillaume Deschenes-Theriault
|
|
PLC solide | |
| 212. | Ahmed Hussen
|
|
PLC solide | |
| 213. | Heath MacDonald
|
|
PLC solide | |
| 214. | Karina Gould
|
|
PLC solide | |
| 215. | Jennifer McKelvie
|
|
PLC solide | |
| 216. | Jessica Fancy-Landry
|
|
PLC solide |