Parti conservateur du Canada
Mise à jour : 9 août 2026
| Chef | Pierre Poilievre |
| Proportion du suffrage national en 2025 | 41.3% |
| Projection de vote actuelle | 34,9 % ± 3,7 % |
| Nombre actuel de députés-es | 139 |
| Projection de sièges actuelle | 106 [70-141] |
Remarque : la fonction de sièges par vote, ou l'efficacité du vote, n'est pas une fonction linéaire, mais peut être approximée comme telle sur des intervalles de vote étroits.
Gains et pertes projetés comparés aux résultats de 2025.
Projection du vote | 9 août 2026
Projection de sièges | 9 août 2026
Liste des circonscriptions favorables | Parti conservateur du Canada
| Circonscriptions | Parti actuel | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | Steven Bonk
|
 |
PCC solide | |
| 2. | Chris Warkentin
|
 |
PCC solide | |
| 3. | Jeremy Patzer
|
|
PCC solide | |
| 4. | Shannon Stubbs
|
|
PCC solide | |
| 5. | Laila Goodridge
|
|
PCC solide | |
| 6. | David Bexte
|
|
PCC solide | |
| 7. | Pierre Poilievre
|
|
PCC solide | |
| 8. | Kelly Block
|
|
PCC solide | |
| 9. | Arnold Viersen
|
|
PCC solide | |
| 10. | John Barlow
|
|
PCC solide | |
| 11. | Cathay Wagantall
|
|
PCC solide | |
| 12. | Glen Motz
|
|
PCC solide | |
| 13. | Rosemarie Falk
|
|
PCC solide | |
| 14. | Dane Lloyd
|
|
PCC solide | |
| 15. | Mike Lake
|
|
PCC solide | |
| 16. | Blaine Calkins
|
|
PCC solide | |
| 17. | Fraser Tolmie
|
|
PCC solide | |
| 18. | Burton Bailey
|
|
PCC solide | |
| 19. | Bob Zimmer
|
 |
PCC solide | |
| 20. | Blake Richards
|
|
PCC solide | |
| 21. | Randy Hoback
|
|
PCC solide | |
| 22. | Branden Leslie
|
 |
PCC solide | |
| 23. | William Stevenson
|
|
PCC solide | |
| 24. | Dan Mazier
|
|
PCC solide | |
| 25. | Ted Falk
|
|
PCC solide | |
| 26. | Melissa Lantsman
|
 |
PCC solide | |
| 27. | Tom Kmiec
|
|
PCC solide | |
| 28. | Jason Groleau
|
 |
PCC solide | |
| 29. | Andrew Scheer
|
|
PCC solide | |
| 30. | Garnett Genuis
|
|
PCC solide | |
| 31. | Luc Berthold
|
|
PCC solide | |
| 32. | Grant Jackson
|
|
PCC solide | |
| 33. | Todd Doherty
|
|
PCC solide | |
| 34. | Michael Cooper
|
|
PCC solide | |
| 35. | Stephanie Kusie
|
|
PCC solide | |
| 36. | Joel Godin
|
|
PCC solide | |
| 37. | James Bezan
|
|
PCC solide | |
| 38. | Dominique Vien
|
|
PCC probable | |
| 39. | Anna Roberts
|
|
PCC probable | |
| 40. | Kyle Seeback
|
|
PCC probable | |
| 41. | Jacques Gourde
|
|
PCC probable | |
| 42. | Rachael Thomas
|
|
PCC probable | |
| 43. | Rob Morrison
|
|
PCC probable | |
| 44. | Brad Redekopp
|
|
PCC probable | |
| 45. | Bernard Genereux
|
|
PCC probable | |
| 46. | Dave Epp
|
|
PCC probable | |
| 47. | Scot Davidson
|
|
PCC probable | |
| 48. | Jasraj Singh Hallan
|
|
PCC probable | |
| 49. | Michael Guglielmin
|
|
PCC probable | |
| 50. | Leslyn Lewis
|
|
PCC probable | |
| 51. | Chris Lewis
|
|
PCC probable | |
| 52. | Brad Vis
|
|
PCC probable | |
| 53. | Shuv Majumdar
|
|
PCC probable | |
| 54. | Mark Strahl
|
|
PCC probable | |
| 55. | John Brassard
|
|
PCC probable | |
| 56. | Richard Bragdon
|
 |
PCC probable | |
| 57. | Gérard Deltell
|
|
PCC probable | |
| 58. | Pierre Paul-Hus
|
|
PCC probable | |
| 59. | Jamie Schmale
|
|
PCC probable | |
| 60. | Cheryl Gallant
|
|
PCC probable | |
| 61. | David McKenzie
|
|
PCC probable | |
| 62. | Marilyn Gladu
|
|
PCC probable | |
| 63. | Eric Duncan
|
|
PCC probable | |
| 64. | Michelle Rempel Garner
|
|
PCC probable | |
| 65. | Jacob Mantle
|
|
PCC probable | |
| 66. | Arpan Khanna
|
|
PCC enclin | |
| 67. | Lianne Rood
|
|
PCC enclin | |
| 68. | Pat Kelly
|
|
PCC enclin | |
| 69. | Éric Lefebvre
|
|
PCC enclin | |
| 70. | Shelby Kramp-Neuman
|
|
PCC enclin | |
| 71. | Mel Arnold
|
|
PCC enclin | |
| 72. | Kevin Waugh
|
|
PCC enclin | |
| 73. | Tim Uppal
|
|
PCC enclin | |
| 74. | Alex Ruff
|
|
PCC enclin | |
| 75. | Billy Morin
|
|
PCC enclin | |
| 76. | Amanpreet Singh Gill
|
|
PCC enclin | |
| 77. | Ziad Aboultaif
|
|
PCC enclin | |
| 78. | John Nater
|
|
PCC enclin | |
| 79. | Ben Lobb
|
|
PCC enclin | |
| 80. | Dan Muys
|
|
PCC enclin | |
| 81. | Frank Caputo
|
|
PCC enclin | |
| 82. | Costas Menegakis
|
|
PCC enclin | |
| 83. | Larry Brock
|
|
PCC enclin | |
| 84. | Rob Moore
|
|
Pivot PLC/PCC | |
| 85. | Corey Tochor
|
|
Pivot PLC/PCC | |
| 86. | John Williamson
|
|
Pivot PLC/PCC | |
| 87. | Eric Melillo
|
|
Pivot PLC/PCC | |
| 88. | Michael Kram
|
|
Pivot PLC/PCC | |
| 89. | Sukhman Singh Gill
|
|
Pivot PLC/PCC | |
| 90. | Doug Shipley
|
|
Pivot PLC/PCC | |
| 91. | Clifford Small
|
 |
Pivot PLC/PCC | |
| 92. | Gabriel Hardy
|
|
Pivot PCC/BQ | |
| 93. | Vincent Neil Ho
|
|
Pivot PLC/PCC | |
| 94. | Terry Dowdall
|
|
Pivot PLC/PCC | |
| 95. | Michael Chong
|
|
Pivot PLC/PCC | |
| 96. | Warren Steinley
|
|
Pivot PLC/PCC | |
| 97. | Scott Aitchison
|
|
Pivot PLC/PCC | |
| 98. | Gaetan Malette
|
|
Pivot PLC/PCC | |
| 99. | Jagsharan Singh Mahal
|
|
Pivot PLC/PCC | |
| 100. | Kerry Diotte
|
|
Pivot PCC/NPD | |
| 101. | Tako van Popta
|
|
Pivot PLC/PCC | |
| 102. | Dean Allison
|
|
Pivot PLC/PCC | |
| 103. | Jim Belanger
|
|
Pivot PLC/PCC | |
| 104. | Ned Kuruc
|
|
Pivot PLC/PCC | |
| 105. | Rhonda Kirkland
|
|
Pivot PLC/PCC | |
| 106. | Scott Anderson
|
|
Pivot PLC/PCC | |
| 107. | Roman Baber
|
|
Pivot PLC/PCC | |
| 108. | Scott Reid
|
|
Pivot PLC/PCC | |
| 109. | Jamil Jivani
|
|
Pivot PLC/PCC | |
| 110. | Raquel Dancho
|
|
Pivot PLC/PCC | |
| 111. | Dan Albas
|
|
Pivot PLC/PCC | |
| 112. | Andrew Lawton
|
|
Pivot PLC/PCC | |
| 113. | Tamara Kronis
|
|
Pivot PLC/PCC | |
| 114. | Greg McLean
|
|
Pivot PLC/PCC | |
| 115. | Connie Cody
|
|
Pivot PLC/PCC | |
| 116. | Adam Chambers
|
|
Pivot PLC/PCC | |
| 117. | Carol Anstey
|
|
Pivot PLC/PCC | |
| 118. | Michael Barrett
|
|
Pivot PLC/PCC | |
| 119. | Amarjeet Gill
|
|
Pivot PLC/PCC | |
| 120. | Kelly McCauley
|
|
Pivot PLC/PCC | |
| 121. | Tony Baldinelli
|
|
Pivot PLC/PCC | |
| 122. | Chak Au
|
|
Pivot PLC/PCC | |
| 123. | Colin Reynolds
|
|
Pivot PCC/NPD | |
| 124. | Helena Konanz
|
|
Pivot PLC/PCC | |
| 125. | Ellis Ross
|
|
Pivot PCC/NPD | |
| 126. | Matt Jeneroux [Élu avec le PCC]
|
|
PLC enclin | |
| 127. | Fred Davies
|
|
PLC enclin | |
| 128. | Sandra Cobena
|
|
PLC enclin | |
| 129. | Philip Lawrence
|
|
PLC enclin | |
| 130. | Kelly DeRidder
|
|
Pivot PCC/PVC | |
| 131. | Aaron Gunn
|
|
Pivot PCC/NPD | |
| 132. | Michael Ma [Élu avec le PCC]
|
|
PLC enclin | |
| 133. | Dalwinder Gill
|
|
PLC enclin | |
| 134. | Tamara Jansen
|
|
PLC enclin | |
| 135. | Matt Strauss
|
|
PLC enclin | |
| 136. | Marc Dalton
|
|
PLC enclin | |
| 137. | Vacant
|
|
Pivot PLC/PCC/BQ | |
| 138. | Mike Dawson
|
|
PLC enclin | |
| 139. | Amandeep Sodhi
|
|
PLC enclin | |
| 140. | Jeff Kibble
|
|
Pivot PLC/PCC/NPD | |
| 141. | Kristina Tesser Derksen
|
|
PLC enclin | |
| 142. | Tim Louis
|
|
PLC enclin | |
| 143. | Jonathan Rowe
|
|
PLC enclin | |
| 144. | Ruby Sahota
|
|
PLC enclin | |
| 145. | Sonia Sidhu
|
|
PLC enclin | |
| 146. | Kathy Borrelli
|
|
PLC probable | |
| 147. | Stephen Fuhr
|
|
PLC probable | |
| 148. | Kurt Holman
|
|
NPD enclin | |
| 149. | Parm Bains
|
|
PLC probable | |
| 150. | Harbinder Gill
|
|
NPD probable | |
| 151. | Maninder Sidhu
|
|
PLC probable | |
| 152. | Pauline Rochefort
|
|
PLC probable | |
| 153. | Terry Sheehan
|
|
PLC probable | |
| 154. | Shafqat Ali
|
|
PLC probable | |
| 155. | Philip Earle
|
|
PLC probable | |
| 156. | Gurbux Saini
|
|
PLC probable | |
| 157. | Alana Hirtle
|
 |
PLC probable | |
| 158. | Corey Hogan
|
|
PLC probable | |
| 159. | Chris d’Entremont [Élu avec le PCC]
|
|
PLC probable | |
| 160. | Ernie Klassen
|
|
PLC probable | |
| 161. | Sukh Dhaliwal
|
|
PLC probable | |
| 162. | Zoe Royer
|
|
PLC probable | |
| 163. | Randeep Sarai
|
|
PLC probable | |
| 164. | Marcus Powlowski
|
|
PLC probable | |
| 165. | Ron McKinnon
|
|
PLC probable | |
| 166. | Peter Fonseca
|
|
PLC probable | |
| 167. | Christopher Malette
|
|
PLC probable | |
| 168. | Vince Gasparro
|
|
PLC probable | |
| 169. | Bobby Morrissey
|
 |
PLC probable | |
| 170. | Helena Jaczek
|
|
PLC probable | |
| 171. | Bruce Fanjoy
|
|
PLC probable | |
| 172. | Anita Anand
|
|
PLC probable | |
| 173. | Lisa Hepfner
|
|
PLC probable | |
| 174. | Rechie Valdez
|
|
PLC probable | |
| 175. | Wade Wei Lin Chang
|
|
PLC probable | |
| 176. | Sima Acan
|
|
PLC probable | |
| 177. | Charles Sousa
|
|
PLC probable | |
| 178. | Adam van Koeverden
|
|
PLC probable | |
| 179. | Steeve Lavoie
|
|
PLC probable | |
| 180. | Ryan Turnbull
|
|
PLC probable | |
| 181. | Gord Johns
|
|
NPD probable | |
| 182. | Jaime Battiste
|
|
PLC probable | |
| 183. | Anthony Housefather
|
|
PLC probable | |
| 184. | Sean Fraser
|
|
PLC probable | |
| 185. | Jill McKnight
|
|
PLC probable | |
| 186. | Iqwinder Gaheer
|
|
PLC probable | |
| 187. | Mario Simard
|
|
BQ probable | |
| 188. | Lori Idlout [Élu avec le NPD]
|
 |
Pivot PLC/NPD | |
| 189. | Fares Al Soud
|
|
PLC probable | |
| 190. | Rebecca Alty
|
 |
PLC probable | |
| 191. | Brendan Hanley
|
 |
PLC probable | |
| 192. | Eleanor Olszewski
|
|
PLC probable | |
| 193. | Tim Hodgson
|
|
PLC probable | |
| 194. | Viviane Lapointe
|
|
PLC probable | |
| 195. | Ali Ehsassi
|
|
PLC probable | |
| 196. | Juanita Nathan
|
|
PLC solide | |
| 197. | Chris Bittle
|
|
PLC solide | |
| 198. | Jake Sawatzky
|
|
Pivot PLC/NPD | |
| 199. | Yvan Baker
|
|
PLC solide | |
| 200. | Maggie Chi
|
|
PLC solide | |
| 201. | John Zerucelli
|
|
PLC solide | |
| 202. | Emma Harrison
|
|
PLC solide | |
| 203. | Kent McDonald
|
|
PLC solide | |
| 204. | Doug Eyolfson
|
|
PLC solide | |
| 205. | Jean Yip
|
|
PLC solide | |
| 206. | Giovanna Mingarelli
|
|
PLC solide | |
| 207. | Karina Gould
|
|
PLC solide | |
| 208. | Iqra Khalid
|
|
PLC solide | |
| 209. | Heath MacDonald
|
|
PLC solide | |
| 210. | Buckley Belanger
|
|
PLC solide | |
| 211. | Guillaume Deschenes-Theriault
|
|
PLC solide | |
| 212. | Ahmed Hussen
|
|
PLC solide | |
| 213. | Jessica Fancy-Landry
|
|
PLC solide | |
| 214. | Jennifer McKelvie
|
|
PLC solide | |
| 215. | Caroline Desrochers
|
|
PLC probable | |
| 216. | Aslam Rana
|
|
NPD enclin | |
| 217. | Marilene Gill
|
|
BQ probable | |
| 218. | Sean Casey
|
|
PLC solide | |
| 219. | Mandy Gull
|
|
PLC probable |