Qc125 Canada | Parti conservateur du Canada





Dernière mise à jour: 20 septembre 2021

ChefErin O'Toole
Proportion du suffrage national en 201934.3%
Projection de vote actuelle31,4 % ± 4,1 %
Nombre actuel de députés-es119
Projection de sièges actuelle125 ± 36



Projection du vote | Parti conservateur du Canada | 20 septembre 2021




Projection de sièges | Parti conservateur du Canada | 20 septembre 2021





Liste des circonscriptions favorables au Parti conservateur du Canada



Rang Circonscription Province Parti actuel Dernière projection Probabilité de victoire
1. Bow River PCC solide > 99 %
2. Battle River–Crowfoot PCC solide > 99 %
3. Grande Prairie–Mackenzie PCC solide > 99 %
4. Lakeland PCC solide > 99 %
5. Souris–Moose Mountain PCC solide > 99 %
6. Yellowhead PCC solide > 99 %
7. Foothills PCC solide > 99 %
8. Red Deer–Mountain View PCC solide > 99 %
9. Peace River–Westlock PCC solide > 99 %
10. Red Deer–Lacombe PCC solide > 99 %
11. Medicine Hat–Cardston–Warner PCC solide > 99 %
12. Sturgeon River–Parkland PCC solide > 99 %
13. Cypress Hills–Grasslands PCC solide > 99 %
14. Sentier Carlton–Eagle Creek PCC solide > 99 %
15. Prince George–Peace River–Northern Rockies PCC solide > 99 %
16. Edmonton–Wetaskiwin PCC solide > 99 %
17. Battlefords–Lloydminster PCC solide > 99 %
18. Fort McMurray–Cold Lake PCC solide > 99 %
19. Portage–Lisgar PCC solide > 99 %
20. Sherwood Park–Fort Saskatchewan PCC solide > 99 %
21. Yorkton–Melville PCC solide > 99 %
22. Lethbridge PCC solide > 99 %
23. Bellechasse–Les Etchemins–Lévis PCC solide > 99 %
24. Moose Jaw–Lake Centre–Lanigan PCC solide > 99 %
25. Renfrew–Nipissing–Pembroke PCC solide > 99 %
26. Prince Albert PCC solide > 99 %
27. Calgary Shepard PCC solide > 99 %
28. Banff–Airdrie PCC solide > 99 %
29. St. Albert–Edmonton PCC solide > 99 %
30. Brandon–Souris PCC solide > 99 %
31. Calgary Midnapore PCC solide > 99 %
32. Stormont–Dundas–South Glengarry PCC solide > 99 %
33. Provencher PCC solide > 99 %
34. Calgary Signal Hill PCC solide > 99 %
35. Haldimand–Norfolk PCC solide > 99 %
36. Dauphin–Swan River–Neepawa PCC solide > 99 %
37. Calgary Heritage PCC solide > 99 %
38. Cariboo–Prince George PCC solide > 99 %
39. Calgary Nose Hill PCC solide > 99 %
40. Haliburton–Kawartha Lakes–Brock PCC solide > 99 %
41. Lanark–Frontenac–Kingston PCC solide > 99 %
42. Selkirk–Interlake–Eastman PCC solide > 99 %
43. Louis-Saint-Laurent PCC solide > 99 %
44. North Okanagan–Shuswap PCC solide > 99 %
45. Kamloops–Thompson–Cariboo PCC solide > 99 %
46. Tobique–Mactaquac PCC solide > 99 %
47. Leeds-Grenville-Thousand Islands et Rideau Lakes PCC solide > 99 %
48. Portneuf–Jacques-Cartier PCC solide > 99 %
49. Lambton–Kent–Middlesex PCC solide > 99 %
50. Mégantic–L’Érable PCC solide > 99 %
51. Nouveau-Brunswick-Sud-Ouest PCC solide > 99 %
52. Regina–Qu’Appelle PCC solide > 99 %
53. Calgary Rocky Ridge PCC solide > 99 %
54. Lévis–Lotbinière PCC solide > 99 %
55. Richmond-Centre PCC solide > 99 %
56. Oxford PCC solide > 99 %
57. Langley–Aldergrove PCC solide > 99 %
58. Fundy Royal PCC solide > 99 %
59. Wellington–Halton Hills PCC solide > 99 %
60. Perth–Wellington PCC solide > 99 %
61. York–Simcoe PCC solide > 99 %
62. Chilliwack–Hope PCC solide > 99 %
63. Thornhill PCC solide > 99 %
64. Sarnia–Lambton PCC solide > 99 %
65. Richmond–Arthabaska PCC solide > 99 %
66. Abbotsford PCC solide > 99 %
67. Kelowna–Lake Country PCC solide > 99 %
68. Central Okanagan–Similkameen–Nicola PCC solide > 99 %
69. Bruce–Grey–Owen Sound PCC solide > 99 %
70. Chatham-Kent–Leamington PCC solide > 99 %
71. Huron–Bruce PCC solide > 99 %
72. Barrie–Innisfil PCC solide > 99 %
73. Durham PCC solide > 99 %
74. Mission–Matsqui–Fraser Canyon PCC solide > 99 %
75. Surrey-Sud–White Rock PCC solide > 99 %
76. Niagara-Ouest PCC solide > 99 %
77. Edmonton-Ouest PCC probable 99 %
78. Simcoe-Nord PCC probable 99 %
79. Simcoe–Grey PCC probable 99 %
80. Parry Sound–Muskoka PCC probable 99 %
81. Charlesbourg–Haute-Saint-Charles PCC probable 99 %
82. Saskatoon–Grasswood PCC probable 99 %
83. Brantford–Brant PCC probable 99 %
84. Carleton PCC probable 99 %
85. Steveston–Richmond-Est PCC probable 98 %
86. Regina–Wascana PCC probable 98 %
87. Montmagny–L’Islet–Kamouraska–Rivière-du-Loup PCC probable 98 %
88. Elgin–Middlesex–London PCC probable 98 %
89. Dufferin–Caledon PCC probable 98 %
90. Edmonton Manning PCC probable 97 %
91. Beauce PCC probable 96 %
92. Markham–Unionville PCC probable 96 %
93. Calgary Forest Lawn PCC probable 96 %
94. Cloverdale–Langley City PCC probable 92 %
95. Northumberland–Peterborough-Sud PCC enclin 87 %
96. Saskatoon–University PCC enclin 84 %
97. Niagara Falls PCC enclin 83 %
98. Pitt Meadows–Maple Ridge PCC enclin 82 %
99. Regina–Lewvan PCC enclin 75 %
100. Barrie–Springwater–Oro-Medonte PCC enclin 73 %
101. Oshawa PCC enclin 73 %
102. Kildonan–St. Paul PCC enclin 72 %
103. Sydney–Victoria Pivot PLC/PCC 69 %
104. Cumberland–Colchester Pivot PLC/PCC 68 %
105. Kootenay–Columbia Pivot PCC/NPD 67 %
106. Calgary Confederation Pivot PLC/PCC 66 %
107. Saint John–Rothesay Pivot PLC/PCC 65 %
108. Nova-Ouest Pivot PLC/PCC 65 %
109. Calgary-Centre Pivot PLC/PCC 64 %
110. Flamborough–Glanbrook Pivot PLC/PCC 62 %
111. Edmonton Riverbend Pivot PCC/NPD 62 %
112. Essex Pivot PCC/NPD 61 %
113. Desnethé–Missinippi–Rivière Churchill Pivot PLC/PCC/NPD 60 %
114. Saskatoon-Ouest Pivot PCC/NPD 59 %
115. Kitchener–Conestoga Pivot PLC/PCC 57 %
116. Edmonton Mill Woods Pivot PLC/PCC 55 %
117. Edmonton-Centre Pivot PLC/PCC 54 %
118. Coquitlam–Port Coquitlam Pivot PLC/PCC/NPD 52 %
119. Fredericton Pivot PLC/PCC 52 %
120. Kitchener-Centre Pivot PLC/PCC/PVC 50 %
121. Delta Pivot PLC/PCC 48 %
122. Fleetwood–Port Kells Pivot PLC/PCC 48 %
123. Aurora–Oak Ridges–Richmond Hill Pivot PLC/PCC 46 %
124. Kenora Pivot PLC/PCC/NPD 46 %
125. Port Moody–Coquitlam Pivot PCC/NPD 46 %
126. Peterborough–Kawartha Pivot PLC/PCC 45 %
127. Chicoutimi–Le Fjord Pivot PCC/BQ 45 %
128. Charleswood–St. James–Assiniboia–Headingley Pivot PLC/PCC 45 %
129. Beauport–Limoilou Pivot PLC/PCC/BQ 44 %
130. Newmarket–Aurora Pivot PLC/PCC 42 %
131. Trois-Rivières Pivot PLC/PCC/BQ 42 %
132. Richmond Hill Pivot PLC/PCC 42 %
133. Edmonton Griesbach Pivot PCC/NPD 41 %
134. Baie de Quinte Pivot PLC/PCC 41 %
135. Hastings–Lennox and Addington Pivot PLC/PCC 39 %
136. South Shore–St. Margarets Pivot PLC/PCC 39 %
137. King–Vaughan Pivot PLC/PCC 38 %
138. Whitby Pivot PLC/PCC 37 %
139. West Vancouver–Sunshine Coast–Sea to Sky Country Pivot PLC/PCC 34 %
140. Okanagan-Sud–Kootenay-Ouest Pivot PCC/NPD 33 %
141. Vancouver Granville Pivot PLC/PCC/NPD 33 %
142. Miramichi–Grand Lake Pivot PLC/PCC 32 %
143. Egmont Pivot PLC/PCC 31 %
144. Calgary Skyview Pivot PLC/PCC 30 %
145. Cape Breton–Canso PLC enclin 27 %
146. Winnipeg-Sud PLC enclin 27 %
147. Nanaimo–Ladysmith Pivot PCC/NPD/PVC 25 %
148. Kitchener-Sud–Hespeler PLC enclin 24 %
149. Labrador Pivot PLC/PCC/NPD 22 %
150. Bonavista–Burin–Trinity PLC enclin 22 %
151. Oakville PLC enclin 21 %
152. St. Catharines PLC enclin 21 %
153. Markham–Stouffville PLC enclin 20 %
154. Beauport-Côte-de-Beaupré-Île d’Orléans-Charlevoix BQ enclin 20 %
155. Sault Ste. Marie PLC enclin 19 %
156. Kanata–Carleton PLC enclin 19 %
157. Oakville-Nord–Burlington PLC enclin 18 %
158. York-Centre PLC enclin 17 %
159. Glengarry–Prescott–Russell PLC enclin 16 %
160. Niagara-Centre PLC enclin 13 %
161. Yukon PLC enclin 12 %
162. Malpeque PLC enclin 11 %
163. Mississauga–Lakeshore PLC probable 10 %
164. Cambridge PLC probable 9 %
165. Willowdale PLC probable 8 %
166. London-Ouest PLC probable 8 %
167. Nova-Centre PLC probable 8 %
168. Burnaby-Nord–Seymour NPD enclin 7 %
169. Vancouver-Sud PLC probable 7 %
170. Thunder Bay–Rainy River PLC enclin 6 %
171. Scarborough–Agincourt PLC probable 6 %
172. Nunavut Pivot PLC/NPD 5 %
173. Coast of Bays–Central–Notre Dame PLC probable 5 %
174. Vaughan–Woodbridge PLC probable 4 %
175. Nepean PLC probable 4 %
176. Burlington PLC probable 4 %
177. Don Valley-Nord PLC probable 4 %
178. Milton PLC probable 3 %
179. Nipissing–Timiskaming PLC probable 2 %
180. Hamilton-Est–Stoney Creek PLC enclin 2 %
181. Cardigan PLC probable 2 %
Rang Circonscription Projection
1. Bow River PCC solide
2. Battle River–Crowfoot PCC solide
3. Grande Prairie–Mackenzie PCC solide
4. Lakeland PCC solide
5. Souris–Moose Mountain PCC solide
6. Yellowhead PCC solide
7. Foothills PCC solide
8. Red Deer–Mountain View PCC solide
9. Peace River–Westlock PCC solide
10. Red Deer–Lacombe PCC solide
11. Medicine Hat–Cardston–Warner PCC solide
12. Sturgeon River–Parkland PCC solide
13. Cypress Hills–Grasslands PCC solide
14. Sentier Carlton–Eagle Creek PCC solide
15. Prince George–Peace River–Northern Rockies PCC solide
16. Edmonton–Wetaskiwin PCC solide
17. Battlefords–Lloydminster PCC solide
18. Fort McMurray–Cold Lake PCC solide
19. Portage–Lisgar PCC solide
20. Sherwood Park–Fort Saskatchewan PCC solide
21. Yorkton–Melville PCC solide
22. Lethbridge PCC solide
23. Bellechasse–Les Etchemins–Lévis PCC solide
24. Moose Jaw–Lake Centre–Lanigan PCC solide
25. Renfrew–Nipissing–Pembroke PCC solide
26. Prince Albert PCC solide
27. Calgary Shepard PCC solide
28. Banff–Airdrie PCC solide
29. St. Albert–Edmonton PCC solide
30. Brandon–Souris PCC solide
31. Calgary Midnapore PCC solide
32. Stormont–Dundas–South Glengarry PCC solide
33. Provencher PCC solide
34. Calgary Signal Hill PCC solide
35. Haldimand–Norfolk PCC solide
36. Dauphin–Swan River–Neepawa PCC solide
37. Calgary Heritage PCC solide
38. Cariboo–Prince George PCC solide
39. Calgary Nose Hill PCC solide
40. Haliburton–Kawartha Lakes–Brock PCC solide
41. Lanark–Frontenac–Kingston PCC solide
42. Selkirk–Interlake–Eastman PCC solide
43. Louis-Saint-Laurent PCC solide
44. North Okanagan–Shuswap PCC solide
45. Kamloops–Thompson–Cariboo PCC solide
46. Tobique–Mactaquac PCC solide
47. Leeds-Grenville-Thousand Islands et Rideau Lakes PCC solide
48. Portneuf–Jacques-Cartier PCC solide
49. Lambton–Kent–Middlesex PCC solide
50. Mégantic–L’Érable PCC solide
51. Nouveau-Brunswick-Sud-Ouest PCC solide
52. Regina–Qu’Appelle PCC solide
53. Calgary Rocky Ridge PCC solide
54. Lévis–Lotbinière PCC solide
55. Richmond-Centre PCC solide
56. Oxford PCC solide
57. Langley–Aldergrove PCC solide
58. Fundy Royal PCC solide
59. Wellington–Halton Hills PCC solide
60. Perth–Wellington PCC solide
61. York–Simcoe PCC solide
62. Chilliwack–Hope PCC solide
63. Thornhill PCC solide
64. Sarnia–Lambton PCC solide
65. Richmond–Arthabaska PCC solide
66. Abbotsford PCC solide
67. Kelowna–Lake Country PCC solide
68. Central Okanagan–Similkameen–Nicola PCC solide
69. Bruce–Grey–Owen Sound PCC solide
70. Chatham-Kent–Leamington PCC solide
71. Huron–Bruce PCC solide
72. Barrie–Innisfil PCC solide
73. Durham PCC solide
74. Mission–Matsqui–Fraser Canyon PCC solide
75. Surrey-Sud–White Rock PCC solide
76. Niagara-Ouest PCC solide
77. Edmonton-Ouest PCC probable
78. Simcoe-Nord PCC probable
79. Simcoe–Grey PCC probable
80. Parry Sound–Muskoka PCC probable
81. Charlesbourg–Haute-Saint-Charles PCC probable
82. Saskatoon–Grasswood PCC probable
83. Brantford–Brant PCC probable
84. Carleton PCC probable
85. Steveston–Richmond-Est PCC probable
86. Regina–Wascana PCC probable
87. Montmagny–L’Islet–Kamouraska–Rivière-du-Loup PCC probable
88. Elgin–Middlesex–London PCC probable
89. Dufferin–Caledon PCC probable
90. Edmonton Manning PCC probable
91. Beauce PCC probable
92. Markham–Unionville PCC probable
93. Calgary Forest Lawn PCC probable
94. Cloverdale–Langley City PCC probable
95. Northumberland–Peterborough-Sud PCC enclin
96. Saskatoon–University PCC enclin
97. Niagara Falls PCC enclin
98. Pitt Meadows–Maple Ridge PCC enclin
99. Regina–Lewvan PCC enclin
100. Barrie–Springwater–Oro-Medonte PCC enclin
101. Oshawa PCC enclin
102. Kildonan–St. Paul PCC enclin
103. Sydney–Victoria Pivot PLC/PCC
104. Cumberland–Colchester Pivot PLC/PCC
105. Kootenay–Columbia Pivot PCC/NPD
106. Calgary Confederation Pivot PLC/PCC
107. Saint John–Rothesay Pivot PLC/PCC
108. Nova-Ouest Pivot PLC/PCC
109. Calgary-Centre Pivot PLC/PCC
110. Flamborough–Glanbrook Pivot PLC/PCC
111. Edmonton Riverbend Pivot PCC/NPD
112. Essex Pivot PCC/NPD
113. Desnethé–Missinippi–Rivière Churchill Pivot PLC/PCC/NPD
114. Saskatoon-Ouest Pivot PCC/NPD
115. Kitchener–Conestoga Pivot PLC/PCC
116. Edmonton Mill Woods Pivot PLC/PCC
117. Edmonton-Centre Pivot PLC/PCC
118. Coquitlam–Port Coquitlam Pivot PLC/PCC/NPD
119. Fredericton Pivot PLC/PCC
120. Kitchener-Centre Pivot PLC/PCC/PVC
121. Delta Pivot PLC/PCC
122. Fleetwood–Port Kells Pivot PLC/PCC
123. Aurora–Oak Ridges–Richmond Hill Pivot PLC/PCC
124. Kenora Pivot PLC/PCC/NPD
125. Port Moody–Coquitlam Pivot PCC/NPD
126. Peterborough–Kawartha Pivot PLC/PCC
127. Chicoutimi–Le Fjord Pivot PCC/BQ
128. Charleswood–St. James–Assiniboia–Headingley Pivot PLC/PCC
129. Beauport–Limoilou Pivot PLC/PCC/BQ
130. Newmarket–Aurora Pivot PLC/PCC
131. Trois-Rivières Pivot PLC/PCC/BQ
132. Richmond Hill Pivot PLC/PCC
133. Edmonton Griesbach Pivot PCC/NPD
134. Baie de Quinte Pivot PLC/PCC
135. Hastings–Lennox and Addington Pivot PLC/PCC
136. South Shore–St. Margarets Pivot PLC/PCC
137. King–Vaughan Pivot PLC/PCC
138. Whitby Pivot PLC/PCC
139. West Vancouver–Sunshine Coast–Sea to Sky Country Pivot PLC/PCC
140. Okanagan-Sud–Kootenay-Ouest Pivot PCC/NPD
141. Vancouver Granville Pivot PLC/PCC/NPD
142. Miramichi–Grand Lake Pivot PLC/PCC
143. Egmont Pivot PLC/PCC
144. Calgary Skyview Pivot PLC/PCC
145. Cape Breton–Canso PLC enclin
146. Winnipeg-Sud PLC enclin
147. Nanaimo–Ladysmith Pivot PCC/NPD/PVC
148. Kitchener-Sud–Hespeler PLC enclin
149. Labrador Pivot PLC/PCC/NPD
150. Bonavista–Burin–Trinity PLC enclin
151. Oakville PLC enclin
152. St. Catharines PLC enclin
153. Markham–Stouffville PLC enclin
154. Beauport-Côte-de-Beaupré-Île d’Orléans-Charlevoix BQ enclin
155. Sault Ste. Marie PLC enclin
156. Kanata–Carleton PLC enclin
157. Oakville-Nord–Burlington PLC enclin
158. York-Centre PLC enclin
159. Glengarry–Prescott–Russell PLC enclin
160. Niagara-Centre PLC enclin
161. Yukon PLC enclin
162. Malpeque PLC enclin
163. Mississauga–Lakeshore PLC probable
164. Cambridge PLC probable
165. Willowdale PLC probable
166. London-Ouest PLC probable
167. Nova-Centre PLC probable
168. Burnaby-Nord–Seymour NPD enclin
169. Vancouver-Sud PLC probable
170. Thunder Bay–Rainy River PLC enclin
171. Scarborough–Agincourt PLC probable
172. Nunavut Pivot PLC/NPD
173. Coast of Bays–Central–Notre Dame PLC probable
174. Vaughan–Woodbridge PLC probable
175. Nepean PLC probable
176. Burlington PLC probable
177. Don Valley-Nord PLC probable
178. Milton PLC probable
179. Nipissing–Timiskaming PLC probable
180. Hamilton-Est–Stoney Creek PLC enclin
181. Cardigan PLC probable



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