logo
Canada

Parti conservateur du Canada



Dernière mise à jour: 3 décembre 2023

ChefPierre Poilievre
Proportion du suffrage national en 202133.7%
Projection de vote actuelle40,1 % ± 3,9 %
Nombre actuel de députés-es117
Projection de sièges actuelle204 [174-225]

Projection de sièges Projection du vote | 3 décembre 2023 240 230 220 210 200 190 180 170 160 33% 34% 35% 36% 37% 38% 39% 40% 41% 42% 43% 44% 45% 46% 47% 48% Majorité : 170 sièges Efficacité du vote | PCC Qc125 ©2023 6,7 siège/% 204 [174-225] 40% ± 4% 2019 2021
L'efficacité du vote (sièges vs vote) n'est pas une fonction linéaire, mais peut être approximée comme une fonction linéaire sur des intervalles de vote restreints.


× × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × × PCC 204 [174-225] 3 décembre 2023 ✓ Gain net projeté × Perte nette projetée Carré pâle = Pivot TNL 5/7 ÎPE 4/4 NÉ 8/11 NB 6/10 QC 13/78 ON 88/121 MB 7/14 SK 14/14 AB 32/34 CB 25/42 YK TNO NU

Projection du vote | 3 décembre 2023

31% 32% 33% 34% 35% 36% 37% 38% 39% 40% 41% 42% 43% 44% 45% 46% 47% 48% 9% 8% 7% 6% 5% 4% 3% 2% 1% 2021 33,7% Min. 36,2% 40,1% ± 3,9% Max. 44,0% Probabilités % PCC

Projection de sièges | 3 décembre 2023

143 153 163 173 183 193 203 213 223 233 243 253 3.0% 2.5% 2.0% 1.5% 1.0% 0.5% Majorité 170 sièges Min. 174 204 Max. 225 Probabilités % PCC

Liste des circonscriptions favorables | Parti conservateur du Canada



Rang Circonscription Province Parti actuel Dernière projection Probabilité de victoire
1. Souris–Moose Mountain PCC solide > 99 %
2. Bow River PCC solide > 99 %
3. Battle River–Crowfoot PCC solide > 99 %
4. Fort McMurray–Cold Lake PCC solide > 99 %
5. Lakeland PCC solide > 99 %
6. Cypress Hills–Grasslands PCC solide > 99 %
7. Grande Prairie–Mackenzie PCC solide > 99 %
8. Foothills PCC solide > 99 %
9. Yellowhead PCC solide > 99 %
10. Red Deer–Lacombe PCC solide > 99 %
11. Yorkton–Melville PCC solide > 99 %
12. Sentier Carlton–Eagle Creek PCC solide > 99 %
13. Red Deer–Mountain View PCC solide > 99 %
14. Medicine Hat–Cardston–Warner PCC solide > 99 %
15. Mégantic–L’Érable PCC solide > 99 %
16. Portage–Lisgar PCC solide > 99 %
17. Prince Albert PCC solide > 99 %
18. Battlefords–Lloydminster PCC solide > 99 %
19. Stormont–Dundas–South Glengarry PCC solide > 99 %
20. Sturgeon River–Parkland PCC solide > 99 %
21. Peace River–Westlock PCC solide > 99 %
22. Calgary Shepard PCC solide > 99 %
23. Calgary Heritage PCC solide > 99 %
24. Calgary Midnapore PCC solide > 99 %
25. Prince George–Peace River–Northern Rockies PCC solide > 99 %
26. Regina–Qu’Appelle PCC solide > 99 %
27. Huron–Bruce PCC solide > 99 %
28. Moose Jaw–Lake Centre–Lanigan PCC solide > 99 %
29. Calgary Signal Hill PCC solide > 99 %
30. Wellington–Halton Hills PCC solide > 99 %
31. Haliburton–Kawartha Lakes–Brock PCC solide > 99 %
32. Banff–Airdrie PCC solide > 99 %
33. Haldimand–Norfolk PCC solide > 99 %
34. Lethbridge PCC solide > 99 %
35. Thornhill PCC solide > 99 %
36. Tobique–Mactaquac PCC solide > 99 %
37. Portneuf–Jacques-Cartier PCC solide > 99 %
38. Beauce PCC solide > 99 %
39. Calgary Nose Hill PCC solide > 99 %
40. Carleton PCC solide > 99 %
41. Sherwood Park–Fort Saskatchewan PCC solide > 99 %
42. Montmagny–L’Islet–Kamouraska–Rivière-du-Loup PCC solide > 99 %
43. Edmonton–Wetaskiwin PCC solide > 99 %
44. Nova-Ouest PCC solide > 99 %
45. Bellechasse–Les Etchemins–Lévis PCC solide > 99 %
46. Barrie–Innisfil PCC solide > 99 %
47. Perth–Wellington PCC solide > 99 %
48. Lévis–Lotbinière PCC solide > 99 %
49. Louis-Saint-Laurent PCC solide > 99 %
50. Richmond–Arthabaska PCC solide > 99 %
51. Coast of Bays–Central–Notre Dame PCC solide > 99 %
52. Elgin–Middlesex–London PCC solide > 99 %
53. Nouveau-Brunswick-Sud-Ouest PCC solide > 99 %
54. Bruce–Grey–Owen Sound PCC solide > 99 %
55. York–Simcoe PCC solide > 99 %
56. Dauphin–Swan River–Neepawa PCC solide > 99 %
57. Leeds-Grenville-Thousand Islands et Rideau Lakes PCC solide > 99 %
58. Renfrew–Nipissing–Pembroke PCC solide > 99 %
59. Cariboo–Prince George PCC solide > 99 %
60. Lambton–Kent–Middlesex PCC solide > 99 %
61. Lanark–Frontenac–Kingston PCC solide > 99 %
62. Calgary Rocky Ridge PCC solide > 99 %
63. Fundy Royal PCC solide > 99 %
64. Simcoe–Grey PCC solide > 99 %
65. Hastings–Lennox and Addington PCC solide > 99 %
66. Barrie–Springwater–Oro-Medonte PCC solide > 99 %
67. Dufferin–Caledon PCC solide > 99 %
68. Sarnia–Lambton PCC solide > 99 %
69. Abbotsford PCC solide > 99 %
70. Cumberland–Colchester PCC solide > 99 %
71. Niagara-Ouest PCC solide > 99 %
72. Durham PCC solide > 99 %
73. Northumberland–Peterborough-Sud PCC solide > 99 %
74. Parry Sound–Muskoka PCC solide > 99 %
75. Langley–Aldergrove PCC solide > 99 %
76. Miramichi–Grand Lake PCC solide > 99 %
77. Selkirk–Interlake–Eastman PCC solide > 99 %
78. Regina–Wascana PCC solide > 99 %
79. Calgary-Centre PCC solide > 99 %
80. Simcoe-Nord PCC solide > 99 %
81. Chatham-Kent–Leamington PCC solide > 99 %
82. Central Okanagan–Similkameen–Nicola PCC solide > 99 %
83. Kelowna–Lake Country PCC solide > 99 %
84. North Okanagan–Shuswap PCC solide > 99 %
85. Oxford PCC solide > 99 %
86. Surrey-Sud–White Rock PCC solide > 99 %
87. Desnethé–Missinippi–Rivière Churchill PCC solide > 99 %
88. Chilliwack–Hope PCC solide > 99 %
89. Charlesbourg–Haute-Saint-Charles PCC solide > 99 %
90. Baie de Quinte PCC solide > 99 %
91. Provencher PCC solide > 99 %
92. Mission–Matsqui–Fraser Canyon PCC solide > 99 %
93. Brantford–Brant PCC solide > 99 %
94. Flamborough–Glanbrook PCC solide > 99 %
95. South Shore–St. Margarets PCC solide > 99 %
96. Calgary Confederation PCC solide > 99 %
97. Peterborough–Kawartha PCC solide > 99 %
98. Calgary Forest Lawn PCC solide > 99 %
99. Niagara Falls PCC solide > 99 %
100. Kitchener–Conestoga PCC solide (gain) > 99 %
101. King–Vaughan PCC solide > 99 %
102. Brandon–Souris PCC solide > 99 %
103. Kitchener-Sud–Hespeler PCC solide (gain) > 99 %
104. Edmonton-Ouest PCC solide > 99 %
105. Edmonton Riverbend PCC solide > 99 %
106. Sault Ste. Marie PCC solide (gain) > 99 %
107. Chicoutimi–Le Fjord PCC solide > 99 %
108. Kamloops–Thompson–Cariboo PCC solide > 99 %
109. Edmonton Mill Woods PCC solide > 99 %
110. Cambridge PCC solide (gain) > 99 %
111. Kanata–Carleton PCC solide (gain) > 99 %
112. St. Catharines PCC solide (gain) > 99 %
113. Markham–Unionville PCC solide (gain) > 99 %
114. Charleswood–St. James–Assiniboia–Headingley PCC solide > 99 %
115. Sydney–Victoria PCC solide (gain) > 99 %
116. Bonavista–Burin–Trinity PCC solide (gain) > 99 %
117. Fredericton PCC solide (gain) > 99 %
118. Aurora–Oak Ridges–Richmond Hill PCC solide (gain) > 99 %
119. St. Albert–Edmonton PCC solide > 99 %
120. Newmarket–Aurora PCC solide (gain) > 99 %
121. Vaughan–Woodbridge PCC solide (gain) > 99 %
122. Long Range Mountains PCC solide (gain) > 99 %
123. Oakville PCC solide (gain) > 99 %
124. Nipissing–Timiskaming PCC solide (gain) > 99 %
125. Cloverdale–Langley City PCC solide (gain) > 99 %
126. Glengarry–Prescott–Russell PCC solide (gain) > 99 %
127. Oakville-Nord–Burlington PCC solide (gain) > 99 %
128. Burlington PCC solide (gain) > 99 %
129. Kenora PCC probable 99 %
130. Oshawa PCC probable 99 %
131. Richmond Hill PCC probable (gain) 99 %
132. Kootenay–Columbia PCC probable 99 %
133. London-Ouest PCC probable (gain) 99 %
134. Whitby PCC probable (gain) 99 %
135. Richmond-Centre PCC probable (gain) 99 %
136. Essex PCC probable 99 %
137. York-Centre PCC probable (gain) 99 %
138. Niagara-Centre PCC probable (gain) 99 %
139. Pickering–Uxbridge PCC probable (gain) 99 %
140. Kildonan–St. Paul PCC probable 99 %
141. Mississauga–Lakeshore PCC probable (gain) 98 %
142. Eglinton–Lawrence PCC probable (gain) 98 %
143. Nepean PCC probable (gain) 98 %
144. Etobicoke-Centre PCC probable (gain) 98 %
145. Hamilton-Ouest–Ancaster–Dundas PCC probable (gain) 97 %
146. Edmonton Manning PCC probable 97 %
147. Pitt Meadows–Maple Ridge PCC probable 97 %
148. Ottawa-Ouest–Nepean PCC probable (gain) 97 %
149. Saskatoon–Grasswood PCC probable 97 %
150. Cape Breton–Canso PCC probable (gain) 96 %
151. Calgary Skyview PCC probable (gain) 96 %
152. Malpeque PCC probable (gain) 95 %
153. Etobicoke–Lakeshore PCC probable (gain) 95 %
154. Mississauga–Streetsville PCC probable (gain) 95 %
155. Avalon PCC probable (gain) 95 %
156. Nova-Centre PCC probable (gain) 94 %
157. Markham–Stouffville PCC probable (gain) 94 %
158. Saint John–Rothesay PCC probable (gain) 94 %
159. Waterloo PCC probable (gain) 94 %
160. Don Valley-Ouest PCC probable (gain) 94 %
161. Delta PCC probable (gain) 92 %
162. Willowdale PCC probable (gain) 92 %
163. Edmonton-Centre PCC probable (gain) 91 %
164. Brampton-Centre PCC probable (gain) 91 %
165. Coquitlam–Port Coquitlam PCC enclin (gain) 89 %
166. Hamilton-Est–Stoney Creek PCC enclin (gain) 89 %
167. Thunder Bay–Rainy River PCC enclin (gain) 89 %
168. Trois-Rivières PCC enclin (gain) 89 %
169. Kings–Hants PCC enclin (gain) 88 %
170. Sudbury PCC enclin (gain) 88 %
171. Mississauga–Erin Mills PCC enclin (gain) 88 %
172. Saskatoon–University PCC enclin 87 %
173. Steveston–Richmond-Est PCC enclin (gain) 86 %
174. Regina–Lewvan PCC enclin 86 %
175. West Vancouver–Sunshine Coast–Sea to Sky Country PCC enclin (gain) 86 %
176. Orléans PCC enclin (gain) 85 %
177. London-Centre-Nord PCC enclin (gain) 85 %
178. Beauport–Limoilou PCC enclin (gain) 85 %
179. Mississauga-Est–Cooksville PCC enclin (gain) 84 %
180. Guelph PCC enclin (gain) 83 %
181. Nickel Belt PCC enclin (gain) 82 %
182. Labrador PCC enclin (gain) 82 %
183. Egmont PCC enclin (gain) 81 %
184. Fleetwood–Port Kells PCC enclin (gain) 81 %
185. Charlottetown PCC enclin (gain) 80 %
186. Saskatoon-Ouest PCC enclin 79 %
187. Ottawa-Sud PCC enclin (gain) 77 %
188. Milton PCC enclin (gain) 77 %
189. North Vancouver PCC enclin (gain) 74 %
190. Vancouver Quadra PCC enclin (gain) 72 %
191. Sackville–Preston–Chezzetcook Pivot PLC/PCC/NPD 67 %
192. Brampton-Sud Pivot PLC/PCC 65 %
193. Windsor–Tecumseh Pivot PCC/NPD 65 %
194. Cardigan Pivot PLC/PCC 60 %
195. Louis-Hébert Pivot PLC/PCC 59 %
196. Brampton-Nord Pivot PLC/PCC 57 %
197. Mississauga–Malton Pivot PLC/PCC 56 %
198. Nanaimo–Ladysmith Pivot PCC/NPD/PVC 56 %
199. Okanagan-Sud–Kootenay-Ouest Pivot PCC/NPD 56 %
200. Skeena–Bulkley Valley Pivot PCC/NPD 55 %
201. Thunder Bay–Supérieur-Nord Pivot PCC/NPD 54 %
202. Yukon Pivot PCC/NPD 52 %
203. Don Valley-Nord Pivot PLC/PCC 52 %
204. Beauport-Côte-de-Beaupré-Île d’Orléans-Charlevoix Pivot PCC/BQ 50 %
205. Port Moody–Coquitlam Pivot PCC/NPD 49 %
206. Scarborough–Agincourt Pivot PLC/PCC 46 %
207. Hamilton Mountain Pivot PCC/NPD 45 %
208. Kingston et les Îles Pivot PCC/NPD 44 %
209. Toronto–St. Paul’s Pivot PLC/PCC 39 %
210. Burnaby-Nord–Seymour Pivot PLC/PCC/NPD 37 %
211. Jonquière Pivot PCC/BQ 37 %
212. North Island–Powell River Pivot PCC/NPD 34 %
213. Brampton-Ouest Pivot PLC/PCC 34 %
214. Madawaska–Restigouche Pivot PLC/PCC 32 %
215. Moncton–Riverview–Dieppe Pivot PLC/PCC 32 %
216. Brampton-Est Pivot PLC/PCC 31 %
217. Mississauga-Centre PLC enclin 28 %
218. Edmonton Griesbach NPD enclin 28 %
219. Timmins–Baie James NPD enclin 21 %
220. Vancouver Granville NPD enclin (gain) 18 %
221. Winnipeg-Sud PLC enclin 18 %
222. Courtenay–Alberni NPD enclin 17 %
223. Ajax PLC enclin 15 %
224. Québec Pivot PLC/PCC/BQ 12 %
225. Ottawa–Vanier Pivot PLC/PCC/NPD 10 %
226. Compton–Stanstead Pivot PLC/BQ 10 %
227. Halifax-Ouest PLC enclin 9 %
228. Vancouver-Centre Pivot PLC/NPD 9 %
229. Vancouver-Sud PLC enclin 9 %
230. Scarborough-Centre PLC probable 8 %
231. Pontiac PLC probable 7 %
232. Etobicoke-Nord PLC probable 6 %
233. Algoma–Manitoulin–Kapuskasing NPD probable 6 %
234. Surrey-Centre Pivot PLC/NPD 5 %
235. Cowichan–Malahat–Langford NPD probable 5 %
236. Saint-Boniface–Saint-Vital PLC enclin 4 %
237. Lac-Saint-Jean BQ probable 4 %
238. Kitchener-Centre PVC probable 4 %
239. Beauséjour PLC probable 3 %
240. University–Rosedale Pivot PLC/NPD 2 %
241. Don Valley-Est PLC probable 1 %
242. Spadina–Fort York NPD probable (gain) 1 %
Rang Circonscription Projection
1. Souris–Moose Mountain PCC solide
2. Bow River PCC solide
3. Battle River–Crowfoot PCC solide
4. Fort McMurray–Cold Lake PCC solide
5. Lakeland PCC solide
6. Cypress Hills–Grasslands PCC solide
7. Grande Prairie–Mackenzie PCC solide
8. Foothills PCC solide
9. Yellowhead PCC solide
10. Red Deer–Lacombe PCC solide
11. Yorkton–Melville PCC solide
12. Sentier Carlton–Eagle Creek PCC solide
13. Red Deer–Mountain View PCC solide
14. Medicine Hat–Cardston–Warner PCC solide
15. Mégantic–L’Érable PCC solide
16. Portage–Lisgar PCC solide
17. Prince Albert PCC solide
18. Battlefords–Lloydminster PCC solide
19. Stormont–Dundas–South Glengarry PCC solide
20. Sturgeon River–Parkland PCC solide
21. Peace River–Westlock PCC solide
22. Calgary Shepard PCC solide
23. Calgary Heritage PCC solide
24. Calgary Midnapore PCC solide
25. Prince George–Peace River–Northern Rockies PCC solide
26. Regina–Qu’Appelle PCC solide
27. Huron–Bruce PCC solide
28. Moose Jaw–Lake Centre–Lanigan PCC solide
29. Calgary Signal Hill PCC solide
30. Wellington–Halton Hills PCC solide
31. Haliburton–Kawartha Lakes–Brock PCC solide
32. Banff–Airdrie PCC solide
33. Haldimand–Norfolk PCC solide
34. Lethbridge PCC solide
35. Thornhill PCC solide
36. Tobique–Mactaquac PCC solide
37. Portneuf–Jacques-Cartier PCC solide
38. Beauce PCC solide
39. Calgary Nose Hill PCC solide
40. Carleton PCC solide
41. Sherwood Park–Fort Saskatchewan PCC solide
42. Montmagny–L’Islet–Kamouraska–Rivière-du-Loup PCC solide
43. Edmonton–Wetaskiwin PCC solide
44. Nova-Ouest PCC solide
45. Bellechasse–Les Etchemins–Lévis PCC solide
46. Barrie–Innisfil PCC solide
47. Perth–Wellington PCC solide
48. Lévis–Lotbinière PCC solide
49. Louis-Saint-Laurent PCC solide
50. Richmond–Arthabaska PCC solide
51. Coast of Bays–Central–Notre Dame PCC solide
52. Elgin–Middlesex–London PCC solide
53. Nouveau-Brunswick-Sud-Ouest PCC solide
54. Bruce–Grey–Owen Sound PCC solide
55. York–Simcoe PCC solide
56. Dauphin–Swan River–Neepawa PCC solide
57. Leeds-Grenville-Thousand Islands et Rideau Lakes PCC solide
58. Renfrew–Nipissing–Pembroke PCC solide
59. Cariboo–Prince George PCC solide
60. Lambton–Kent–Middlesex PCC solide
61. Lanark–Frontenac–Kingston PCC solide
62. Calgary Rocky Ridge PCC solide
63. Fundy Royal PCC solide
64. Simcoe–Grey PCC solide
65. Hastings–Lennox and Addington PCC solide
66. Barrie–Springwater–Oro-Medonte PCC solide
67. Dufferin–Caledon PCC solide
68. Sarnia–Lambton PCC solide
69. Abbotsford PCC solide
70. Cumberland–Colchester PCC solide
71. Niagara-Ouest PCC solide
72. Durham PCC solide
73. Northumberland–Peterborough-Sud PCC solide
74. Parry Sound–Muskoka PCC solide
75. Langley–Aldergrove PCC solide
76. Miramichi–Grand Lake PCC solide
77. Selkirk–Interlake–Eastman PCC solide
78. Regina–Wascana PCC solide
79. Calgary-Centre PCC solide
80. Simcoe-Nord PCC solide
81. Chatham-Kent–Leamington PCC solide
82. Central Okanagan–Similkameen–Nicola PCC solide
83. Kelowna–Lake Country PCC solide
84. North Okanagan–Shuswap PCC solide
85. Oxford PCC solide
86. Surrey-Sud–White Rock PCC solide
87. Desnethé–Missinippi–Rivière Churchill PCC solide
88. Chilliwack–Hope PCC solide
89. Charlesbourg–Haute-Saint-Charles PCC solide
90. Baie de Quinte PCC solide
91. Provencher PCC solide
92. Mission–Matsqui–Fraser Canyon PCC solide
93. Brantford–Brant PCC solide
94. Flamborough–Glanbrook PCC solide
95. South Shore–St. Margarets PCC solide
96. Calgary Confederation PCC solide
97. Peterborough–Kawartha PCC solide
98. Calgary Forest Lawn PCC solide
99. Niagara Falls PCC solide
100. Kitchener–Conestoga PCC solide (gain)
101. King–Vaughan PCC solide
102. Brandon–Souris PCC solide
103. Kitchener-Sud–Hespeler PCC solide (gain)
104. Edmonton-Ouest PCC solide
105. Edmonton Riverbend PCC solide
106. Sault Ste. Marie PCC solide (gain)
107. Chicoutimi–Le Fjord PCC solide
108. Kamloops–Thompson–Cariboo PCC solide
109. Edmonton Mill Woods PCC solide
110. Cambridge PCC solide (gain)
111. Kanata–Carleton PCC solide (gain)
112. St. Catharines PCC solide (gain)
113. Markham–Unionville PCC solide (gain)
114. Charleswood–St. James–Assiniboia–Headingley PCC solide
115. Sydney–Victoria PCC solide (gain)
116. Bonavista–Burin–Trinity PCC solide (gain)
117. Fredericton PCC solide (gain)
118. Aurora–Oak Ridges–Richmond Hill PCC solide (gain)
119. St. Albert–Edmonton PCC solide
120. Newmarket–Aurora PCC solide (gain)
121. Vaughan–Woodbridge PCC solide (gain)
122. Long Range Mountains PCC solide (gain)
123. Oakville PCC solide (gain)
124. Nipissing–Timiskaming PCC solide (gain)
125. Cloverdale–Langley City PCC solide (gain)
126. Glengarry–Prescott–Russell PCC solide (gain)
127. Oakville-Nord–Burlington PCC solide (gain)
128. Burlington PCC solide (gain)
129. Kenora PCC probable
130. Oshawa PCC probable
131. Richmond Hill PCC probable (gain)
132. Kootenay–Columbia PCC probable
133. London-Ouest PCC probable (gain)
134. Whitby PCC probable (gain)
135. Richmond-Centre PCC probable (gain)
136. Essex PCC probable
137. York-Centre PCC probable (gain)
138. Niagara-Centre PCC probable (gain)
139. Pickering–Uxbridge PCC probable (gain)
140. Kildonan–St. Paul PCC probable
141. Mississauga–Lakeshore PCC probable (gain)
142. Eglinton–Lawrence PCC probable (gain)
143. Nepean PCC probable (gain)
144. Etobicoke-Centre PCC probable (gain)
145. Hamilton-Ouest–Ancaster–Dundas PCC probable (gain)
146. Edmonton Manning PCC probable
147. Pitt Meadows–Maple Ridge PCC probable
148. Ottawa-Ouest–Nepean PCC probable (gain)
149. Saskatoon–Grasswood PCC probable
150. Cape Breton–Canso PCC probable (gain)
151. Calgary Skyview PCC probable (gain)
152. Malpeque PCC probable (gain)
153. Etobicoke–Lakeshore PCC probable (gain)
154. Mississauga–Streetsville PCC probable (gain)
155. Avalon PCC probable (gain)
156. Nova-Centre PCC probable (gain)
157. Markham–Stouffville PCC probable (gain)
158. Saint John–Rothesay PCC probable (gain)
159. Waterloo PCC probable (gain)
160. Don Valley-Ouest PCC probable (gain)
161. Delta PCC probable (gain)
162. Willowdale PCC probable (gain)
163. Edmonton-Centre PCC probable (gain)
164. Brampton-Centre PCC probable (gain)
165. Coquitlam–Port Coquitlam PCC enclin (gain)
166. Hamilton-Est–Stoney Creek PCC enclin (gain)
167. Thunder Bay–Rainy River PCC enclin (gain)
168. Trois-Rivières PCC enclin (gain)
169. Kings–Hants PCC enclin (gain)
170. Sudbury PCC enclin (gain)
171. Mississauga–Erin Mills PCC enclin (gain)
172. Saskatoon–University PCC enclin
173. Steveston–Richmond-Est PCC enclin (gain)
174. Regina–Lewvan PCC enclin
175. West Vancouver–Sunshine Coast–Sea to Sky Country PCC enclin (gain)
176. Orléans PCC enclin (gain)
177. London-Centre-Nord PCC enclin (gain)
178. Beauport–Limoilou PCC enclin (gain)
179. Mississauga-Est–Cooksville PCC enclin (gain)
180. Guelph PCC enclin (gain)
181. Nickel Belt PCC enclin (gain)
182. Labrador PCC enclin (gain)
183. Egmont PCC enclin (gain)
184. Fleetwood–Port Kells PCC enclin (gain)
185. Charlottetown PCC enclin (gain)
186. Saskatoon-Ouest PCC enclin
187. Ottawa-Sud PCC enclin (gain)
188. Milton PCC enclin (gain)
189. North Vancouver PCC enclin (gain)
190. Vancouver Quadra PCC enclin (gain)
191. Sackville–Preston–Chezzetcook Pivot PLC/PCC/NPD
192. Brampton-Sud Pivot PLC/PCC
193. Windsor–Tecumseh Pivot PCC/NPD
194. Cardigan Pivot PLC/PCC
195. Louis-Hébert Pivot PLC/PCC
196. Brampton-Nord Pivot PLC/PCC
197. Mississauga–Malton Pivot PLC/PCC
198. Nanaimo–Ladysmith Pivot PCC/NPD/PVC
199. Okanagan-Sud–Kootenay-Ouest Pivot PCC/NPD
200. Skeena–Bulkley Valley Pivot PCC/NPD
201. Thunder Bay–Supérieur-Nord Pivot PCC/NPD
202. Yukon Pivot PCC/NPD
203. Don Valley-Nord Pivot PLC/PCC
204. Beauport-Côte-de-Beaupré-Île d’Orléans-Charlevoix Pivot PCC/BQ
205. Port Moody–Coquitlam Pivot PCC/NPD
206. Scarborough–Agincourt Pivot PLC/PCC
207. Hamilton Mountain Pivot PCC/NPD
208. Kingston et les Îles Pivot PCC/NPD
209. Toronto–St. Paul’s Pivot PLC/PCC
210. Burnaby-Nord–Seymour Pivot PLC/PCC/NPD
211. Jonquière Pivot PCC/BQ
212. North Island–Powell River Pivot PCC/NPD
213. Brampton-Ouest Pivot PLC/PCC
214. Madawaska–Restigouche Pivot PLC/PCC
215. Moncton–Riverview–Dieppe Pivot PLC/PCC
216. Brampton-Est Pivot PLC/PCC
217. Mississauga-Centre PLC enclin
218. Edmonton Griesbach NPD enclin
219. Timmins–Baie James NPD enclin
220. Vancouver Granville NPD enclin (gain)
221. Winnipeg-Sud PLC enclin
222. Courtenay–Alberni NPD enclin
223. Ajax PLC enclin
224. Québec Pivot PLC/PCC/BQ
225. Ottawa–Vanier Pivot PLC/PCC/NPD
226. Compton–Stanstead Pivot PLC/BQ
227. Halifax-Ouest PLC enclin
228. Vancouver-Centre Pivot PLC/NPD
229. Vancouver-Sud PLC enclin
230. Scarborough-Centre PLC probable
231. Pontiac PLC probable
232. Etobicoke-Nord PLC probable
233. Algoma–Manitoulin–Kapuskasing NPD probable
234. Surrey-Centre Pivot PLC/NPD
235. Cowichan–Malahat–Langford NPD probable
236. Saint-Boniface–Saint-Vital PLC enclin
237. Lac-Saint-Jean BQ probable
238. Kitchener-Centre PVC probable
239. Beauséjour PLC probable
240. University–Rosedale Pivot PLC/NPD
241. Don Valley-Est PLC probable
242. Spadina–Fort York NPD probable (gain)