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Canada

Parti conservateur du Canada





Dernière mise à jour: 27 novembre 2022

ChefPierre Poilievre
Proportion du suffrage national en 202133.7%
Projection de vote actuelle33,6 % ± 4,1 %
Nombre actuel de députés-es118
Projection de sièges actuelle128 [108-163]



Liste des circonscriptions favorables au Parti conservateur du Canada



Rang Circonscription Province Parti actuel Dernière projection Probabilité de victoire
1. Souris–Moose Mountain PCC solide > 99 %
2. Cypress Hills–Grasslands PCC solide > 99 %
3. Battle River–Crowfoot PCC solide > 99 %
4. Bow River PCC solide > 99 %
5. Fort McMurray–Cold Lake PCC solide > 99 %
6. Lakeland PCC solide > 99 %
7. Yorkton–Melville PCC solide > 99 %
8. Grande Prairie–Mackenzie PCC solide > 99 %
9. Sentier Carlton–Eagle Creek PCC solide > 99 %
10. Foothills PCC solide > 99 %
11. Red Deer–Lacombe PCC solide > 99 %
12. Yellowhead PCC solide > 99 %
13. Red Deer–Mountain View PCC solide > 99 %
14. Medicine Hat–Cardston–Warner PCC solide > 99 %
15. Prince Albert PCC solide > 99 %
16. Mégantic–L’Érable PCC solide > 99 %
17. Battlefords–Lloydminster PCC solide > 99 %
18. Prince George–Peace River–Northern Rockies PCC solide > 99 %
19. Sturgeon River–Parkland PCC solide > 99 %
20. Peace River–Westlock PCC solide > 99 %
21. Regina–Qu’Appelle PCC solide > 99 %
22. Calgary Midnapore PCC solide > 99 %
23. Calgary Shepard PCC solide > 99 %
24. Moose Jaw–Lake Centre–Lanigan PCC solide > 99 %
25. Stormont–Dundas–South Glengarry PCC solide > 99 %
26. Portneuf–Jacques-Cartier PCC solide > 99 %
27. Lévis–Lotbinière PCC solide > 99 %
28. Montmagny–L’Islet–Kamouraska–Rivière-du-Loup PCC solide > 99 %
29. Bellechasse–Les Etchemins–Lévis PCC solide > 99 %
30. Louis-Saint-Laurent PCC solide > 99 %
31. Richmond–Arthabaska PCC solide > 99 %
32. Beauce PCC solide > 99 %
33. Calgary Signal Hill PCC solide > 99 %
34. Cariboo–Prince George PCC solide > 99 %
35. Sherwood Park–Fort Saskatchewan PCC solide > 99 %
36. Haliburton–Kawartha Lakes–Brock PCC solide > 99 %
37. Huron–Bruce PCC solide > 99 %
38. Calgary Heritage PCC solide > 99 %
39. Wellington–Halton Hills PCC solide > 99 %
40. Dauphin–Swan River–Neepawa PCC solide > 99 %
41. Banff–Airdrie PCC solide > 99 %
42. Lethbridge PCC solide > 99 %
43. Edmonton–Wetaskiwin PCC solide > 99 %
44. Calgary Nose Hill PCC solide > 99 %
45. York–Simcoe PCC solide > 99 %
46. Elgin–Middlesex–London PCC solide > 99 %
47. Renfrew–Nipissing–Pembroke PCC solide > 99 %
48. Leeds-Grenville-Thousand Islands et Rideau Lakes PCC solide > 99 %
49. Bruce–Grey–Owen Sound PCC solide > 99 %
50. Portage–Lisgar PCC solide > 99 %
51. Perth–Wellington PCC solide > 99 %
52. Selkirk–Interlake–Eastman PCC solide > 99 %
53. Haldimand–Norfolk PCC solide > 99 %
54. Abbotsford PCC solide > 99 %
55. Lambton–Kent–Middlesex PCC solide > 99 %
56. North Okanagan–Shuswap PCC solide > 99 %
57. Sarnia–Lambton PCC solide > 99 %
58. Oxford PCC solide > 99 %
59. Parry Sound–Muskoka PCC solide > 99 %
60. Charlesbourg–Haute-Saint-Charles PCC solide > 99 %
61. Tobique–Mactaquac PCC solide > 99 %
62. Lanark–Frontenac–Kingston PCC solide > 99 %
63. Nouveau-Brunswick-Sud-Ouest PCC solide > 99 %
64. Simcoe–Grey PCC solide > 99 %
65. Barrie–Innisfil PCC solide > 99 %
66. Chilliwack–Hope PCC solide > 99 %
67. Calgary Rocky Ridge PCC solide > 99 %
68. Dufferin–Caledon PCC solide > 99 %
69. Central Okanagan–Similkameen–Nicola PCC solide > 99 %
70. Provencher PCC solide > 99 %
71. Brandon–Souris PCC solide > 99 %
72. Fundy Royal PCC solide > 99 %
73. Durham PCC solide > 99 %
74. Langley–Aldergrove PCC solide > 99 %
75. Kelowna–Lake Country PCC solide > 99 %
76. Mission–Matsqui–Fraser Canyon PCC solide > 99 %
77. Niagara-Ouest PCC solide > 99 %
78. Kamloops–Thompson–Cariboo PCC solide > 99 %
79. Carleton PCC solide > 99 %
80. Barrie–Springwater–Oro-Medonte PCC solide > 99 %
81. Thornhill PCC solide > 99 %
82. Brantford–Brant PCC solide > 99 %
83. Nova-Ouest PCC solide > 99 %
84. Simcoe-Nord PCC solide > 99 %
85. Chatham-Kent–Leamington PCC solide > 99 %
86. Regina–Wascana PCC solide > 99 %
87. Northumberland–Peterborough-Sud PCC solide > 99 %
88. Chicoutimi–Le Fjord PCC probable 99 %
89. Hastings–Lennox and Addington PCC probable 99 %
90. Desnethé–Missinippi–Rivière Churchill PCC probable 99 %
91. Edmonton-Ouest PCC probable 99 %
92. Kootenay–Columbia PCC probable 98 %
93. Edmonton Riverbend PCC probable 98 %
94. Cumberland–Colchester PCC probable 97 %
95. Calgary-Centre PCC probable 96 %
96. St. Albert–Edmonton PCC probable 96 %
97. Pitt Meadows–Maple Ridge PCC probable 95 %
98. Oshawa PCC probable 95 %
99. Kildonan–St. Paul PCC probable 95 %
100. Niagara Falls PCC probable 95 %
101. Baie de Quinte PCC probable 94 %
102. Kenora PCC probable 94 %
103. Flamborough–Glanbrook PCC probable 93 %
104. Peterborough–Kawartha PCC probable 93 %
105. Calgary Forest Lawn PCC probable 92 %
106. Saskatoon–University PCC probable 92 %
107. Calgary Confederation PCC probable 92 %
108. Saskatoon–Grasswood PCC probable 91 %
109. Trois-Rivières PCC enclin (gain) 89 %
110. Essex PCC enclin 88 %
111. King–Vaughan PCC enclin 88 %
112. Regina–Lewvan PCC enclin 87 %
113. Saskatoon-Ouest PCC enclin 80 %
114. Charleswood–St. James–Assiniboia–Headingley PCC enclin 80 %
115. Beauport–Limoilou PCC enclin (gain) 80 %
116. South Shore–St. Margarets PCC enclin 76 %
117. Miramichi–Grand Lake PCC enclin 76 %
118. Sault Ste. Marie PCC enclin (gain) 71 %
119. Surrey-Sud–White Rock Pivot PLC/PCC 70 %
120. Kitchener–Conestoga Pivot PLC/PCC 67 %
121. Kitchener-Sud–Hespeler Pivot PLC/PCC 67 %
122. Edmonton Mill Woods Pivot PLC/PCC 66 %
123. Nanaimo–Ladysmith Pivot PCC/NPD/PVC 66 %
124. Coast of Bays–Central–Notre Dame Pivot PLC/PCC 66 %
125. Edmonton Manning Pivot PCC/NPD 65 %
126. North Island–Powell River Pivot PCC/NPD 65 %
127. Beauport-Côte-de-Beaupré-Île d’Orléans-Charlevoix Pivot PCC/BQ 59 %
128. Newmarket–Aurora Pivot PLC/PCC 50 %
129. Niagara-Centre Pivot PLC/PCC 49 %
130. Okanagan-Sud–Kootenay-Ouest Pivot PCC/NPD 48 %
131. Skeena–Bulkley Valley Pivot PCC/NPD 47 %
132. Kanata–Carleton Pivot PLC/PCC 47 %
133. Markham–Unionville Pivot PLC/PCC 45 %
134. Vaughan–Woodbridge Pivot PLC/PCC 45 %
135. Aurora–Oak Ridges–Richmond Hill Pivot PLC/PCC 44 %
136. St. Catharines Pivot PLC/PCC 44 %
137. Port Moody–Coquitlam Pivot PCC/NPD 43 %
138. Oakville Pivot PLC/PCC 43 %
139. Cambridge Pivot PLC/PCC 43 %
140. London-Ouest Pivot PLC/PCC 42 %
141. Fredericton Pivot PLC/PCC 40 %
142. Nipissing–Timiskaming Pivot PLC/PCC 37 %
143. Sydney–Victoria Pivot PLC/PCC 36 %
144. Richmond-Centre Pivot PLC/PCC 35 %
145. Cloverdale–Langley City Pivot PLC/PCC 33 %
146. Burlington Pivot PLC/PCC 32 %
147. Richmond Hill Pivot PLC/PCC 31 %
148. Whitby Pivot PLC/PCC 31 %
149. Oakville-Nord–Burlington Pivot PLC/PCC 31 %
150. Mississauga–Lakeshore PLC enclin 28 %
151. Long Range Mountains PLC enclin 27 %
152. York-Centre PLC enclin 27 %
153. Bonavista–Burin–Trinity PLC enclin 25 %
154. Edmonton-Centre Pivot PLC/PCC/NPD 23 %
155. Thunder Bay–Rainy River Pivot PLC/PCC/NPD 23 %
156. Jonquière BQ enclin 23 %
157. Pickering–Uxbridge PLC enclin 20 %
158. West Vancouver–Sunshine Coast–Sea to Sky Country PLC enclin 20 %
159. Malpeque PLC enclin 16 %
160. Nepean PLC enclin 15 %
161. Glengarry–Prescott–Russell PLC enclin 15 %
162. Eglinton–Lawrence PLC enclin 15 %
163. Yukon Pivot PLC/PCC/NPD 14 %
164. Hamilton-Est–Stoney Creek PLC enclin 14 %
165. Courtenay–Alberni NPD enclin 14 %
166. Calgary Skyview PLC enclin 13 %
167. Sudbury PLC enclin 13 %
168. Etobicoke-Centre PLC enclin 12 %
169. Nickel Belt PLC enclin 10 %
170. Labrador PLC enclin 9 %
171. Mississauga–Streetsville PLC probable 8 %
172. Markham–Stouffville PLC probable 7 %
173. Delta PLC probable 7 %
174. Cowichan–Malahat–Langford NPD probable 7 %
175. London-Centre-Nord PLC enclin 6 %
176. Cape Breton–Canso PLC probable 6 %
177. Steveston–Richmond-Est PLC probable 6 %
178. Coquitlam–Port Coquitlam PLC probable 6 %
179. Brampton-Centre PLC probable 5 %
180. Etobicoke–Lakeshore PLC probable 5 %
181. Don Valley-Ouest PLC probable 5 %
182. Windsor–Tecumseh Pivot PLC/NPD 4 %
183. Hamilton-Ouest–Ancaster–Dundas PLC probable 4 %
184. Egmont PLC probable 4 %
185. Vancouver Granville PLC enclin 4 %
186. Charlottetown PLC probable 3 %
187. Willowdale PLC probable 3 %
188. Timmins–Baie James NPD probable 3 %
189. Mississauga–Erin Mills PLC probable 3 %
190. Louis-Hébert PLC probable 3 %
191. Saint John–Rothesay PLC probable 2 %
192. Nova-Centre PLC probable 2 %
193. Mississauga-Est–Cooksville PLC probable 2 %
194. Milton PLC probable 2 %
195. Ottawa-Ouest–Nepean PLC probable 2 %
196. Edmonton Griesbach NPD probable 1 %
197. Avalon PLC probable 1 %
198. Waterloo PLC probable 1 %
Rang Circonscription Projection
1. Souris–Moose Mountain PCC solide
2. Cypress Hills–Grasslands PCC solide
3. Battle River–Crowfoot PCC solide
4. Bow River PCC solide
5. Fort McMurray–Cold Lake PCC solide
6. Lakeland PCC solide
7. Yorkton–Melville PCC solide
8. Grande Prairie–Mackenzie PCC solide
9. Sentier Carlton–Eagle Creek PCC solide
10. Foothills PCC solide
11. Red Deer–Lacombe PCC solide
12. Yellowhead PCC solide
13. Red Deer–Mountain View PCC solide
14. Medicine Hat–Cardston–Warner PCC solide
15. Prince Albert PCC solide
16. Mégantic–L’Érable PCC solide
17. Battlefords–Lloydminster PCC solide
18. Prince George–Peace River–Northern Rockies PCC solide
19. Sturgeon River–Parkland PCC solide
20. Peace River–Westlock PCC solide
21. Regina–Qu’Appelle PCC solide
22. Calgary Midnapore PCC solide
23. Calgary Shepard PCC solide
24. Moose Jaw–Lake Centre–Lanigan PCC solide
25. Stormont–Dundas–South Glengarry PCC solide
26. Portneuf–Jacques-Cartier PCC solide
27. Lévis–Lotbinière PCC solide
28. Montmagny–L’Islet–Kamouraska–Rivière-du-Loup PCC solide
29. Bellechasse–Les Etchemins–Lévis PCC solide
30. Louis-Saint-Laurent PCC solide
31. Richmond–Arthabaska PCC solide
32. Beauce PCC solide
33. Calgary Signal Hill PCC solide
34. Cariboo–Prince George PCC solide
35. Sherwood Park–Fort Saskatchewan PCC solide
36. Haliburton–Kawartha Lakes–Brock PCC solide
37. Huron–Bruce PCC solide
38. Calgary Heritage PCC solide
39. Wellington–Halton Hills PCC solide
40. Dauphin–Swan River–Neepawa PCC solide
41. Banff–Airdrie PCC solide
42. Lethbridge PCC solide
43. Edmonton–Wetaskiwin PCC solide
44. Calgary Nose Hill PCC solide
45. York–Simcoe PCC solide
46. Elgin–Middlesex–London PCC solide
47. Renfrew–Nipissing–Pembroke PCC solide
48. Leeds-Grenville-Thousand Islands et Rideau Lakes PCC solide
49. Bruce–Grey–Owen Sound PCC solide
50. Portage–Lisgar PCC solide
51. Perth–Wellington PCC solide
52. Selkirk–Interlake–Eastman PCC solide
53. Haldimand–Norfolk PCC solide
54. Abbotsford PCC solide
55. Lambton–Kent–Middlesex PCC solide
56. North Okanagan–Shuswap PCC solide
57. Sarnia–Lambton PCC solide
58. Oxford PCC solide
59. Parry Sound–Muskoka PCC solide
60. Charlesbourg–Haute-Saint-Charles PCC solide
61. Tobique–Mactaquac PCC solide
62. Lanark–Frontenac–Kingston PCC solide
63. Nouveau-Brunswick-Sud-Ouest PCC solide
64. Simcoe–Grey PCC solide
65. Barrie–Innisfil PCC solide
66. Chilliwack–Hope PCC solide
67. Calgary Rocky Ridge PCC solide
68. Dufferin–Caledon PCC solide
69. Central Okanagan–Similkameen–Nicola PCC solide
70. Provencher PCC solide
71. Brandon–Souris PCC solide
72. Fundy Royal PCC solide
73. Durham PCC solide
74. Langley–Aldergrove PCC solide
75. Kelowna–Lake Country PCC solide
76. Mission–Matsqui–Fraser Canyon PCC solide
77. Niagara-Ouest PCC solide
78. Kamloops–Thompson–Cariboo PCC solide
79. Carleton PCC solide
80. Barrie–Springwater–Oro-Medonte PCC solide
81. Thornhill PCC solide
82. Brantford–Brant PCC solide
83. Nova-Ouest PCC solide
84. Simcoe-Nord PCC solide
85. Chatham-Kent–Leamington PCC solide
86. Regina–Wascana PCC solide
87. Northumberland–Peterborough-Sud PCC solide
88. Chicoutimi–Le Fjord PCC probable
89. Hastings–Lennox and Addington PCC probable
90. Desnethé–Missinippi–Rivière Churchill PCC probable
91. Edmonton-Ouest PCC probable
92. Kootenay–Columbia PCC probable
93. Edmonton Riverbend PCC probable
94. Cumberland–Colchester PCC probable
95. Calgary-Centre PCC probable
96. St. Albert–Edmonton PCC probable
97. Pitt Meadows–Maple Ridge PCC probable
98. Oshawa PCC probable
99. Kildonan–St. Paul PCC probable
100. Niagara Falls PCC probable
101. Baie de Quinte PCC probable
102. Kenora PCC probable
103. Flamborough–Glanbrook PCC probable
104. Peterborough–Kawartha PCC probable
105. Calgary Forest Lawn PCC probable
106. Saskatoon–University PCC probable
107. Calgary Confederation PCC probable
108. Saskatoon–Grasswood PCC probable
109. Trois-Rivières PCC enclin (gain)
110. Essex PCC enclin
111. King–Vaughan PCC enclin
112. Regina–Lewvan PCC enclin
113. Saskatoon-Ouest PCC enclin
114. Charleswood–St. James–Assiniboia–Headingley PCC enclin
115. Beauport–Limoilou PCC enclin (gain)
116. South Shore–St. Margarets PCC enclin
117. Miramichi–Grand Lake PCC enclin
118. Sault Ste. Marie PCC enclin (gain)
119. Surrey-Sud–White Rock Pivot PLC/PCC
120. Kitchener–Conestoga Pivot PLC/PCC
121. Kitchener-Sud–Hespeler Pivot PLC/PCC
122. Edmonton Mill Woods Pivot PLC/PCC
123. Nanaimo–Ladysmith Pivot PCC/NPD/PVC
124. Coast of Bays–Central–Notre Dame Pivot PLC/PCC
125. Edmonton Manning Pivot PCC/NPD
126. North Island–Powell River Pivot PCC/NPD
127. Beauport-Côte-de-Beaupré-Île d’Orléans-Charlevoix Pivot PCC/BQ
128. Newmarket–Aurora Pivot PLC/PCC
129. Niagara-Centre Pivot PLC/PCC
130. Okanagan-Sud–Kootenay-Ouest Pivot PCC/NPD
131. Skeena–Bulkley Valley Pivot PCC/NPD
132. Kanata–Carleton Pivot PLC/PCC
133. Markham–Unionville Pivot PLC/PCC
134. Vaughan–Woodbridge Pivot PLC/PCC
135. Aurora–Oak Ridges–Richmond Hill Pivot PLC/PCC
136. St. Catharines Pivot PLC/PCC
137. Port Moody–Coquitlam Pivot PCC/NPD
138. Oakville Pivot PLC/PCC
139. Cambridge Pivot PLC/PCC
140. London-Ouest Pivot PLC/PCC
141. Fredericton Pivot PLC/PCC
142. Nipissing–Timiskaming Pivot PLC/PCC
143. Sydney–Victoria Pivot PLC/PCC
144. Richmond-Centre Pivot PLC/PCC
145. Cloverdale–Langley City Pivot PLC/PCC
146. Burlington Pivot PLC/PCC
147. Richmond Hill Pivot PLC/PCC
148. Whitby Pivot PLC/PCC
149. Oakville-Nord–Burlington Pivot PLC/PCC
150. Mississauga–Lakeshore PLC enclin
151. Long Range Mountains PLC enclin
152. York-Centre PLC enclin
153. Bonavista–Burin–Trinity PLC enclin
154. Edmonton-Centre Pivot PLC/PCC/NPD
155. Thunder Bay–Rainy River Pivot PLC/PCC/NPD
156. Jonquière BQ enclin
157. Pickering–Uxbridge PLC enclin
158. West Vancouver–Sunshine Coast–Sea to Sky Country PLC enclin
159. Malpeque PLC enclin
160. Nepean PLC enclin
161. Glengarry–Prescott–Russell PLC enclin
162. Eglinton–Lawrence PLC enclin
163. Yukon Pivot PLC/PCC/NPD
164. Hamilton-Est–Stoney Creek PLC enclin
165. Courtenay–Alberni NPD enclin
166. Calgary Skyview PLC enclin
167. Sudbury PLC enclin
168. Etobicoke-Centre PLC enclin
169. Nickel Belt PLC enclin
170. Labrador PLC enclin
171. Mississauga–Streetsville PLC probable
172. Markham–Stouffville PLC probable
173. Delta PLC probable
174. Cowichan–Malahat–Langford NPD probable
175. London-Centre-Nord PLC enclin
176. Cape Breton–Canso PLC probable
177. Steveston–Richmond-Est PLC probable
178. Coquitlam–Port Coquitlam PLC probable
179. Brampton-Centre PLC probable
180. Etobicoke–Lakeshore PLC probable
181. Don Valley-Ouest PLC probable
182. Windsor–Tecumseh Pivot PLC/NPD
183. Hamilton-Ouest–Ancaster–Dundas PLC probable
184. Egmont PLC probable
185. Vancouver Granville PLC enclin
186. Charlottetown PLC probable
187. Willowdale PLC probable
188. Timmins–Baie James NPD probable
189. Mississauga–Erin Mills PLC probable
190. Louis-Hébert PLC probable
191. Saint John–Rothesay PLC probable
192. Nova-Centre PLC probable
193. Mississauga-Est–Cooksville PLC probable
194. Milton PLC probable
195. Ottawa-Ouest–Nepean PLC probable
196. Edmonton Griesbach NPD probable
197. Avalon PLC probable
198. Waterloo PLC probable