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Canada

Parti conservateur du Canada





Dernière mise à jour: 26 juin 2022

ChefErin O'Toole
Proportion du suffrage national en 202133.7%
Projection de vote actuelle33,4 % ± 3,9 %
Nombre actuel de députés-es119
Projection de sièges actuelle139 [108-173]



Liste des circonscriptions favorables au Parti conservateur du Canada



Rang Circonscription Province Parti actuel Dernière projection Probabilité de victoire
1. Souris–Moose Mountain PCC solide > 99 %
2. Battle River–Crowfoot PCC solide > 99 %
3. Cypress Hills–Grasslands PCC solide > 99 %
4. Bow River PCC solide > 99 %
5. Lakeland PCC solide > 99 %
6. Fort McMurray–Cold Lake PCC solide > 99 %
7. Grande Prairie–Mackenzie PCC solide > 99 %
8. Foothills PCC solide > 99 %
9. Yorkton–Melville PCC solide > 99 %
10. Sentier Carlton–Eagle Creek PCC solide > 99 %
11. Red Deer–Lacombe PCC solide > 99 %
12. Yellowhead PCC solide > 99 %
13. Medicine Hat–Cardston–Warner PCC solide > 99 %
14. Red Deer–Mountain View PCC solide > 99 %
15. Prince Albert PCC solide > 99 %
16. Battlefords–Lloydminster PCC solide > 99 %
17. Sturgeon River–Parkland PCC solide > 99 %
18. Peace River–Westlock PCC solide > 99 %
19. Calgary Shepard PCC solide > 99 %
20. Calgary Midnapore PCC solide > 99 %
21. Mégantic–L’Érable PCC solide > 99 %
22. Regina–Qu’Appelle PCC solide > 99 %
23. Prince George–Peace River–Northern Rockies PCC solide > 99 %
24. Calgary Signal Hill PCC solide > 99 %
25. Moose Jaw–Lake Centre–Lanigan PCC solide > 99 %
26. Calgary Heritage PCC solide > 99 %
27. Sherwood Park–Fort Saskatchewan PCC solide > 99 %
28. Stormont–Dundas–South Glengarry PCC solide > 99 %
29. Banff–Airdrie PCC solide > 99 %
30. Lethbridge PCC solide > 99 %
31. Calgary Nose Hill PCC solide > 99 %
32. Edmonton–Wetaskiwin PCC solide > 99 %
33. Dauphin–Swan River–Neepawa PCC solide > 99 %
34. Lévis–Lotbinière PCC solide > 99 %
35. Tobique–Mactaquac PCC solide > 99 %
36. Bellechasse–Les Etchemins–Lévis PCC solide > 99 %
37. Montmagny–L’Islet–Kamouraska–Rivière-du-Loup PCC solide > 99 %
38. Portneuf–Jacques-Cartier PCC solide > 99 %
39. Brandon–Souris PCC solide > 99 %
40. Louis-Saint-Laurent PCC solide > 99 %
41. Haliburton–Kawartha Lakes–Brock PCC solide > 99 %
42. Huron–Bruce PCC solide > 99 %
43. Wellington–Halton Hills PCC solide > 99 %
44. Calgary Rocky Ridge PCC solide > 99 %
45. Richmond–Arthabaska PCC solide > 99 %
46. Selkirk–Interlake–Eastman PCC solide > 99 %
47. Nouveau-Brunswick-Sud-Ouest PCC solide > 99 %
48. York–Simcoe PCC solide > 99 %
49. Leeds-Grenville-Thousand Islands et Rideau Lakes PCC solide > 99 %
50. Beauce PCC solide > 99 %
51. Cariboo–Prince George PCC solide > 99 %
52. Fundy Royal PCC solide > 99 %
53. Portage–Lisgar PCC solide > 99 %
54. Elgin–Middlesex–London PCC solide > 99 %
55. Bruce–Grey–Owen Sound PCC solide > 99 %
56. Renfrew–Nipissing–Pembroke PCC solide > 99 %
57. Perth–Wellington PCC solide > 99 %
58. Haldimand–Norfolk PCC solide > 99 %
59. Lanark–Frontenac–Kingston PCC solide > 99 %
60. Lambton–Kent–Middlesex PCC solide > 99 %
61. Durham PCC solide > 99 %
62. Sarnia–Lambton PCC solide > 99 %
63. Oxford PCC solide > 99 %
64. Parry Sound–Muskoka PCC solide > 99 %
65. North Okanagan–Shuswap PCC solide > 99 %
66. Simcoe–Grey PCC solide > 99 %
67. Provencher PCC solide > 99 %
68. Charlesbourg–Haute-Saint-Charles PCC solide > 99 %
69. Barrie–Innisfil PCC solide > 99 %
70. Dufferin–Caledon PCC solide > 99 %
71. Abbotsford PCC solide > 99 %
72. Nova-Ouest PCC solide > 99 %
73. Central Okanagan–Similkameen–Nicola PCC solide > 99 %
74. Niagara-Ouest PCC solide > 99 %
75. Thornhill PCC solide > 99 %
76. Brantford–Brant PCC solide > 99 %
77. Barrie–Springwater–Oro-Medonte PCC solide > 99 %
78. Carleton PCC solide > 99 %
79. Kelowna–Lake Country PCC solide > 99 %
80. Edmonton-Ouest PCC solide > 99 %
81. Mission–Matsqui–Fraser Canyon PCC solide > 99 %
82. Chatham-Kent–Leamington PCC solide > 99 %
83. Edmonton Riverbend PCC solide > 99 %
84. Simcoe-Nord PCC solide > 99 %
85. Langley–Aldergrove PCC solide > 99 %
86. Chilliwack–Hope PCC solide > 99 %
87. Cumberland–Colchester PCC solide > 99 %
88. Northumberland–Peterborough-Sud PCC solide > 99 %
89. Calgary-Centre PCC solide > 99 %
90. Regina–Wascana PCC solide > 99 %
91. Hastings–Lennox and Addington PCC solide > 99 %
92. St. Albert–Edmonton PCC solide > 99 %
93. Calgary Forest Lawn PCC solide > 99 %
94. Calgary Confederation PCC solide > 99 %
95. Desnethé–Missinippi–Rivière Churchill PCC probable 99 %
96. Kamloops–Thompson–Cariboo PCC probable 99 %
97. Chicoutimi–Le Fjord PCC probable 99 %
98. Kildonan–St. Paul PCC probable 98 %
99. South Shore–St. Margarets PCC probable 98 %
100. Niagara Falls PCC probable 97 %
101. Baie de Quinte PCC probable 97 %
102. Saskatoon–University PCC probable 97 %
103. Miramichi–Grand Lake PCC probable 97 %
104. Flamborough–Glanbrook PCC probable 96 %
105. Peterborough–Kawartha PCC probable 96 %
106. Saskatoon–Grasswood PCC probable 96 %
107. Coast of Bays–Central–Notre Dame PCC probable 95 %
108. Regina–Lewvan PCC probable 94 %
109. King–Vaughan PCC probable 92 %
110. Oshawa PCC probable 92 %
111. Kenora PCC probable 90 %
112. Saskatoon-Ouest PCC enclin 90 %
113. Edmonton Manning PCC enclin 89 %
114. Kootenay–Columbia PCC enclin 86 %
115. Charleswood–St. James–Assiniboia–Headingley PCC enclin 86 %
116. Fredericton PCC enclin (gain) 83 %
117. Essex PCC enclin 82 %
118. Edmonton Mill Woods PCC enclin 81 %
119. Pitt Meadows–Maple Ridge PCC enclin 79 %
120. Sault Ste. Marie PCC enclin (gain) 79 %
121. Sydney–Victoria PCC enclin (gain) 79 %
122. Trois-Rivières PCC enclin (gain) 78 %
123. Kitchener-Sud–Hespeler PCC enclin (gain) 76 %
124. Kitchener–Conestoga PCC enclin (gain) 76 %
125. Long Range Mountains PCC enclin (gain) 73 %
126. Beauport–Limoilou PCC enclin (gain) 71 %
127. Bonavista–Burin–Trinity Pivot PLC/PCC 70 %
128. Surrey-Sud–White Rock Pivot PLC/PCC 63 %
129. Newmarket–Aurora Pivot PLC/PCC 59 %
130. Kanata–Carleton Pivot PLC/PCC 57 %
131. Niagara-Centre Pivot PLC/PCC/NPD 56 %
132. St. Catharines Pivot PLC/PCC 55 %
133. Mississauga–Lakeshore Pivot PLC/PCC 54 %
134. Markham–Unionville Pivot PLC/PCC 54 %
135. Vaughan–Woodbridge Pivot PLC/PCC 54 %
136. Aurora–Oak Ridges–Richmond Hill Pivot PLC/PCC 54 %
137. Cambridge Pivot PLC/PCC 54 %
138. Oakville Pivot PLC/PCC 53 %
139. London-Ouest Pivot PLC/PCC 51 %
140. Malpeque Pivot PLC/PCC 48 %
141. Nipissing–Timiskaming Pivot PLC/PCC 46 %
142. Beauport-Côte-de-Beaupré-Île d’Orléans-Charlevoix Pivot PCC/BQ 43 %
143. Burlington Pivot PLC/PCC 41 %
144. Whitby Pivot PLC/PCC 40 %
145. Richmond Hill Pivot PLC/PCC 40 %
146. Oakville-Nord–Burlington Pivot PLC/PCC 40 %
147. Cape Breton–Canso Pivot PLC/PCC 36 %
148. York-Centre Pivot PLC/PCC 35 %
149. Nanaimo–Ladysmith Pivot PCC/NPD/PVC 32 %
150. Thunder Bay–Rainy River Pivot PLC/PCC/NPD 32 %
151. Labrador Pivot PLC/PCC 31 %
152. Richmond-Centre PLC enclin 30 %
153. Cloverdale–Langley City PLC enclin 28 %
154. Pickering–Uxbridge PLC enclin 28 %
155. North Island–Powell River NPD enclin 27 %
156. Edmonton-Centre Pivot PLC/PCC/NPD 25 %
157. Saint John–Rothesay PLC enclin 22 %
158. Nepean PLC enclin 22 %
159. Glengarry–Prescott–Russell PLC enclin 22 %
160. Eglinton–Lawrence PLC enclin 21 %
161. Nova-Centre PLC enclin 20 %
162. Egmont PLC enclin 20 %
163. Charlottetown PLC enclin 19 %
164. Hamilton-Est–Stoney Creek Pivot PLC/PCC/NPD 18 %
165. Etobicoke-Centre PLC enclin 17 %
166. West Vancouver–Sunshine Coast–Sea to Sky Country PLC enclin 17 %
167. Avalon PLC enclin 16 %
168. Calgary Skyview PLC enclin 15 %
169. Nickel Belt Pivot PLC/PCC/NPD 15 %
170. Okanagan-Sud–Kootenay-Ouest NPD enclin 14 %
171. Skeena–Bulkley Valley NPD enclin 14 %
172. Port Moody–Coquitlam NPD enclin 14 %
173. Jonquière BQ enclin 13 %
174. Mississauga–Streetsville PLC enclin 13 %
175. Sudbury Pivot PLC/PCC/NPD 12 %
176. Markham–Stouffville PLC enclin 11 %
177. Kings–Hants PLC enclin 11 %
178. Yukon Pivot PLC/PCC/NPD 10 %
179. Cardigan PLC probable 9 %
180. Etobicoke–Lakeshore PLC probable 9 %
181. Brampton-Centre PLC probable 8 %
182. Edmonton Griesbach NPD probable 8 %
183. London-Centre-Nord Pivot PLC/NPD 7 %
184. Sackville–Preston–Chezzetcook PLC enclin 7 %
185. Don Valley-Ouest PLC probable 7 %
186. Hamilton-Ouest–Ancaster–Dundas PLC probable 7 %
187. Willowdale PLC probable 6 %
188. Mississauga–Erin Mills PLC probable 5 %
189. Delta PLC probable 5 %
190. Windsor–Tecumseh Pivot PLC/NPD 5 %
191. Steveston–Richmond-Est PLC probable 4 %
192. Coquitlam–Port Coquitlam PLC probable 4 %
193. Mississauga-Est–Cooksville PLC probable 4 %
194. Ottawa-Ouest–Nepean PLC probable 3 %
195. Milton PLC probable 3 %
196. Waterloo PLC probable 2 %
197. Timmins–Baie James NPD probable 2 %
198. Courtenay–Alberni NPD probable 2 %
Rang Circonscription Projection
1. Souris–Moose Mountain PCC solide
2. Battle River–Crowfoot PCC solide
3. Cypress Hills–Grasslands PCC solide
4. Bow River PCC solide
5. Lakeland PCC solide
6. Fort McMurray–Cold Lake PCC solide
7. Grande Prairie–Mackenzie PCC solide
8. Foothills PCC solide
9. Yorkton–Melville PCC solide
10. Sentier Carlton–Eagle Creek PCC solide
11. Red Deer–Lacombe PCC solide
12. Yellowhead PCC solide
13. Medicine Hat–Cardston–Warner PCC solide
14. Red Deer–Mountain View PCC solide
15. Prince Albert PCC solide
16. Battlefords–Lloydminster PCC solide
17. Sturgeon River–Parkland PCC solide
18. Peace River–Westlock PCC solide
19. Calgary Shepard PCC solide
20. Calgary Midnapore PCC solide
21. Mégantic–L’Érable PCC solide
22. Regina–Qu’Appelle PCC solide
23. Prince George–Peace River–Northern Rockies PCC solide
24. Calgary Signal Hill PCC solide
25. Moose Jaw–Lake Centre–Lanigan PCC solide
26. Calgary Heritage PCC solide
27. Sherwood Park–Fort Saskatchewan PCC solide
28. Stormont–Dundas–South Glengarry PCC solide
29. Banff–Airdrie PCC solide
30. Lethbridge PCC solide
31. Calgary Nose Hill PCC solide
32. Edmonton–Wetaskiwin PCC solide
33. Dauphin–Swan River–Neepawa PCC solide
34. Lévis–Lotbinière PCC solide
35. Tobique–Mactaquac PCC solide
36. Bellechasse–Les Etchemins–Lévis PCC solide
37. Montmagny–L’Islet–Kamouraska–Rivière-du-Loup PCC solide
38. Portneuf–Jacques-Cartier PCC solide
39. Brandon–Souris PCC solide
40. Louis-Saint-Laurent PCC solide
41. Haliburton–Kawartha Lakes–Brock PCC solide
42. Huron–Bruce PCC solide
43. Wellington–Halton Hills PCC solide
44. Calgary Rocky Ridge PCC solide
45. Richmond–Arthabaska PCC solide
46. Selkirk–Interlake–Eastman PCC solide
47. Nouveau-Brunswick-Sud-Ouest PCC solide
48. York–Simcoe PCC solide
49. Leeds-Grenville-Thousand Islands et Rideau Lakes PCC solide
50. Beauce PCC solide
51. Cariboo–Prince George PCC solide
52. Fundy Royal PCC solide
53. Portage–Lisgar PCC solide
54. Elgin–Middlesex–London PCC solide
55. Bruce–Grey–Owen Sound PCC solide
56. Renfrew–Nipissing–Pembroke PCC solide
57. Perth–Wellington PCC solide
58. Haldimand–Norfolk PCC solide
59. Lanark–Frontenac–Kingston PCC solide
60. Lambton–Kent–Middlesex PCC solide
61. Durham PCC solide
62. Sarnia–Lambton PCC solide
63. Oxford PCC solide
64. Parry Sound–Muskoka PCC solide
65. North Okanagan–Shuswap PCC solide
66. Simcoe–Grey PCC solide
67. Provencher PCC solide
68. Charlesbourg–Haute-Saint-Charles PCC solide
69. Barrie–Innisfil PCC solide
70. Dufferin–Caledon PCC solide
71. Abbotsford PCC solide
72. Nova-Ouest PCC solide
73. Central Okanagan–Similkameen–Nicola PCC solide
74. Niagara-Ouest PCC solide
75. Thornhill PCC solide
76. Brantford–Brant PCC solide
77. Barrie–Springwater–Oro-Medonte PCC solide
78. Carleton PCC solide
79. Kelowna–Lake Country PCC solide
80. Edmonton-Ouest PCC solide
81. Mission–Matsqui–Fraser Canyon PCC solide
82. Chatham-Kent–Leamington PCC solide
83. Edmonton Riverbend PCC solide
84. Simcoe-Nord PCC solide
85. Langley–Aldergrove PCC solide
86. Chilliwack–Hope PCC solide
87. Cumberland–Colchester PCC solide
88. Northumberland–Peterborough-Sud PCC solide
89. Calgary-Centre PCC solide
90. Regina–Wascana PCC solide
91. Hastings–Lennox and Addington PCC solide
92. St. Albert–Edmonton PCC solide
93. Calgary Forest Lawn PCC solide
94. Calgary Confederation PCC solide
95. Desnethé–Missinippi–Rivière Churchill PCC probable
96. Kamloops–Thompson–Cariboo PCC probable
97. Chicoutimi–Le Fjord PCC probable
98. Kildonan–St. Paul PCC probable
99. South Shore–St. Margarets PCC probable
100. Niagara Falls PCC probable
101. Baie de Quinte PCC probable
102. Saskatoon–University PCC probable
103. Miramichi–Grand Lake PCC probable
104. Flamborough–Glanbrook PCC probable
105. Peterborough–Kawartha PCC probable
106. Saskatoon–Grasswood PCC probable
107. Coast of Bays–Central–Notre Dame PCC probable
108. Regina–Lewvan PCC probable
109. King–Vaughan PCC probable
110. Oshawa PCC probable
111. Kenora PCC probable
112. Saskatoon-Ouest PCC enclin
113. Edmonton Manning PCC enclin
114. Kootenay–Columbia PCC enclin
115. Charleswood–St. James–Assiniboia–Headingley PCC enclin
116. Fredericton PCC enclin (gain)
117. Essex PCC enclin
118. Edmonton Mill Woods PCC enclin
119. Pitt Meadows–Maple Ridge PCC enclin
120. Sault Ste. Marie PCC enclin (gain)
121. Sydney–Victoria PCC enclin (gain)
122. Trois-Rivières PCC enclin (gain)
123. Kitchener-Sud–Hespeler PCC enclin (gain)
124. Kitchener–Conestoga PCC enclin (gain)
125. Long Range Mountains PCC enclin (gain)
126. Beauport–Limoilou PCC enclin (gain)
127. Bonavista–Burin–Trinity Pivot PLC/PCC
128. Surrey-Sud–White Rock Pivot PLC/PCC
129. Newmarket–Aurora Pivot PLC/PCC
130. Kanata–Carleton Pivot PLC/PCC
131. Niagara-Centre Pivot PLC/PCC/NPD
132. St. Catharines Pivot PLC/PCC
133. Mississauga–Lakeshore Pivot PLC/PCC
134. Markham–Unionville Pivot PLC/PCC
135. Vaughan–Woodbridge Pivot PLC/PCC
136. Aurora–Oak Ridges–Richmond Hill Pivot PLC/PCC
137. Cambridge Pivot PLC/PCC
138. Oakville Pivot PLC/PCC
139. London-Ouest Pivot PLC/PCC
140. Malpeque Pivot PLC/PCC
141. Nipissing–Timiskaming Pivot PLC/PCC
142. Beauport-Côte-de-Beaupré-Île d’Orléans-Charlevoix Pivot PCC/BQ
143. Burlington Pivot PLC/PCC
144. Whitby Pivot PLC/PCC
145. Richmond Hill Pivot PLC/PCC
146. Oakville-Nord–Burlington Pivot PLC/PCC
147. Cape Breton–Canso Pivot PLC/PCC
148. York-Centre Pivot PLC/PCC
149. Nanaimo–Ladysmith Pivot PCC/NPD/PVC
150. Thunder Bay–Rainy River Pivot PLC/PCC/NPD
151. Labrador Pivot PLC/PCC
152. Richmond-Centre PLC enclin
153. Cloverdale–Langley City PLC enclin
154. Pickering–Uxbridge PLC enclin
155. North Island–Powell River NPD enclin
156. Edmonton-Centre Pivot PLC/PCC/NPD
157. Saint John–Rothesay PLC enclin
158. Nepean PLC enclin
159. Glengarry–Prescott–Russell PLC enclin
160. Eglinton–Lawrence PLC enclin
161. Nova-Centre PLC enclin
162. Egmont PLC enclin
163. Charlottetown PLC enclin
164. Hamilton-Est–Stoney Creek Pivot PLC/PCC/NPD
165. Etobicoke-Centre PLC enclin
166. West Vancouver–Sunshine Coast–Sea to Sky Country PLC enclin
167. Avalon PLC enclin
168. Calgary Skyview PLC enclin
169. Nickel Belt Pivot PLC/PCC/NPD
170. Okanagan-Sud–Kootenay-Ouest NPD enclin
171. Skeena–Bulkley Valley NPD enclin
172. Port Moody–Coquitlam NPD enclin
173. Jonquière BQ enclin
174. Mississauga–Streetsville PLC enclin
175. Sudbury Pivot PLC/PCC/NPD
176. Markham–Stouffville PLC enclin
177. Kings–Hants PLC enclin
178. Yukon Pivot PLC/PCC/NPD
179. Cardigan PLC probable
180. Etobicoke–Lakeshore PLC probable
181. Brampton-Centre PLC probable
182. Edmonton Griesbach NPD probable
183. London-Centre-Nord Pivot PLC/NPD
184. Sackville–Preston–Chezzetcook PLC enclin
185. Don Valley-Ouest PLC probable
186. Hamilton-Ouest–Ancaster–Dundas PLC probable
187. Willowdale PLC probable
188. Mississauga–Erin Mills PLC probable
189. Delta PLC probable
190. Windsor–Tecumseh Pivot PLC/NPD
191. Steveston–Richmond-Est PLC probable
192. Coquitlam–Port Coquitlam PLC probable
193. Mississauga-Est–Cooksville PLC probable
194. Ottawa-Ouest–Nepean PLC probable
195. Milton PLC probable
196. Waterloo PLC probable
197. Timmins–Baie James NPD probable
198. Courtenay–Alberni NPD probable