Parti conservateur du Canada
Mise à jour : 10 mai 2026
| Chef | Pierre Poilievre |
| Proportion du suffrage national en 2025 | 41.3% |
| Projection de vote actuelle | 34,6 % ± 3,3 % |
| Nombre actuel de députés-es | 140 |
| Projection de sièges actuelle | 94 [62-130] |
Remarque : la fonction de sièges par vote, ou l'efficacité du vote, n'est pas une fonction linéaire, mais peut être approximée comme telle sur des intervalles de vote étroits.
Gains et pertes projetés comparés aux résultats de 2025.
Projection du vote | 10 mai 2026
Projection de sièges | 10 mai 2026
Liste des circonscriptions favorables | Parti conservateur du Canada
| Circonscriptions | Parti actuel | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | Steven Bonk
|
 |
PCC solide | |
| 2. | Jeremy Patzer
|
|
PCC solide | |
| 3. | Chris Warkentin
|
 |
PCC solide | |
| 4. | Shannon Stubbs
|
|
PCC solide | |
| 5. | Laila Goodridge
|
|
PCC solide | |
| 6. | Pierre Poilievre
|
|
PCC solide | |
| 7. | David Bexte
|
|
PCC solide | |
| 8. | Arnold Viersen
|
|
PCC solide | |
| 9. | Kelly Block
|
|
PCC solide | |
| 10. | Cathay Wagantall
|
|
PCC solide | |
| 11. | John Barlow
|
|
PCC solide | |
| 12. | Glen Motz
|
|
PCC solide | |
| 13. | Rosemarie Falk
|
|
PCC solide | |
| 14. | Blaine Calkins
|
|
PCC solide | |
| 15. | Dane Lloyd
|
|
PCC solide | |
| 16. | Mike Lake
|
|
PCC solide | |
| 17. | Bob Zimmer
|
 |
PCC solide | |
| 18. | Fraser Tolmie
|
|
PCC solide | |
| 19. | Burton Bailey
|
|
PCC solide | |
| 20. | Randy Hoback
|
|
PCC solide | |
| 21. | Blake Richards
|
|
PCC solide | |
| 22. | Branden Leslie
|
 |
PCC solide | |
| 23. | William Stevenson
|
|
PCC solide | |
| 24. | Dan Mazier
|
|
PCC solide | |
| 25. | Ted Falk
|
|
PCC solide | |
| 26. | Jason Groleau
|
 |
PCC solide | |
| 27. | Grant Jackson
|
|
PCC solide | |
| 28. | Luc Berthold
|
|
PCC solide | |
| 29. | Melissa Lantsman
|
 |
PCC solide | |
| 30. | Andrew Scheer
|
|
PCC solide | |
| 31. | Garnett Genuis
|
|
PCC solide | |
| 32. | Tom Kmiec
|
|
PCC solide | |
| 33. | Todd Doherty
|
|
PCC solide | |
| 34. | Michael Cooper
|
|
PCC solide | |
| 35. | Stephanie Kusie
|
|
PCC solide | |
| 36. | James Bezan
|
|
PCC probable | |
| 37. | Rob Morrison
|
|
PCC probable | |
| 38. | Anna Roberts
|
|
PCC probable | |
| 39. | Kyle Seeback
|
|
PCC probable | |
| 40. | Richard Bragdon
|
 |
PCC probable | |
| 41. | Brad Redekopp
|
|
PCC probable | |
| 42. | Brad Vis
|
|
PCC probable | |
| 43. | Mark Strahl
|
|
PCC probable | |
| 44. | Joel Godin
|
|
PCC probable | |
| 45. | Rachael Thomas
|
|
PCC probable | |
| 46. | Scot Davidson
|
|
PCC probable | |
| 47. | Dave Epp
|
|
PCC probable | |
| 48. | Michael Guglielmin
|
|
PCC probable | |
| 49. | Leslyn Lewis
|
|
PCC probable | |
| 50. | Chris Lewis
|
|
PCC probable | |
| 51. | Dominique Vien
|
|
PCC probable | |
| 52. | Jasraj Singh Hallan
|
|
PCC probable | |
| 53. | John Brassard
|
|
PCC probable | |
| 54. | Shuv Majumdar
|
|
PCC probable | |
| 55. | Jacques Gourde
|
|
PCC probable | |
| 56. | Jamie Schmale
|
|
PCC enclin | |
| 57. | Cheryl Gallant
|
|
PCC enclin | |
| 58. | Bernard Genereux
|
|
PCC enclin | |
| 59. | Marilyn Gladu
|
|
PCC enclin | |
| 60. | Mel Arnold
|
|
PCC enclin | |
| 61. | Rob Moore
|
|
PCC enclin | |
| 62. | Eric Duncan
|
|
PCC enclin | |
| 63. | John Williamson
|
|
PCC enclin | |
| 64. | Jacob Mantle
|
|
PCC enclin | |
| 65. | Clifford Small
|
 |
PCC enclin | |
| 66. | David McKenzie
|
|
PCC enclin | |
| 67. | Arpan Khanna
|
|
PCC enclin | |
| 68. | Michelle Rempel Garner
|
|
PCC enclin | |
| 69. | Lianne Rood
|
|
PCC enclin | |
| 70. | Frank Caputo
|
|
PCC enclin | |
| 71. | Shelby Kramp-Neuman
|
|
PCC enclin | |
| 72. | Ellis Ross
|
|
Pivot PCC/NPD | |
| 73. | Shuv Majumdar
|
|
Pivot PLC/PCC | |
| 74. | Alex Ruff
|
|
Pivot PLC/PCC | |
| 75. | Sukhman Singh Gill
|
|
Pivot PLC/PCC | |
| 76. | John Nater
|
|
Pivot PLC/PCC | |
| 77. | Tim Uppal
|
|
Pivot PLC/PCC | |
| 78. | Kevin Waugh
|
|
Pivot PLC/PCC | |
| 79. | Carol Anstey
|
|
Pivot PLC/PCC | |
| 80. | Gérard Deltell
|
|
Pivot PLC/PCC | |
| 81. | Costas Menegakis
|
|
Pivot PLC/PCC | |
| 82. | Dan Muys
|
|
Pivot PLC/PCC | |
| 83. | Amanpreet Singh Gill
|
|
Pivot PLC/PCC | |
| 84. | Ben Lobb
|
|
Pivot PLC/PCC | |
| 85. | Billy Morin
|
|
Pivot PLC/PCC | |
| 86. | Tako van Popta
|
|
Pivot PLC/PCC | |
| 87. | Ziad Aboultaif
|
|
Pivot PLC/PCC | |
| 88. | Pierre Paul-Hus
|
|
Pivot PLC/PCC | |
| 89. | Colin Reynolds
|
|
Pivot PCC/NPD | |
| 90. | Larry Brock
|
|
Pivot PLC/PCC | |
| 91. | Kerry Diotte
|
|
Pivot PCC/NPD | |
| 92. | Eric Melillo
|
|
Pivot PLC/PCC | |
| 93. | Aaron Gunn
|
|
Pivot PLC/PCC/NPD | |
| 94. | Scott Anderson
|
|
Pivot PLC/PCC | |
| 95. | Doug Shipley
|
|
Pivot PLC/PCC | |
| 96. | Dan Albas
|
|
Pivot PLC/PCC | |
| 97. | Vincent Neil Ho
|
|
Pivot PLC/PCC | |
| 98. | Terry Dowdall
|
|
Pivot PLC/PCC | |
| 99. | Michael Chong
|
|
Pivot PLC/PCC | |
| 100. | Gaetan Malette
|
|
Pivot PLC/PCC | |
| 101. | Tamara Kronis
|
|
Pivot PLC/PCC | |
| 102. | Scott Aitchison
|
|
Pivot PLC/PCC | |
| 103. | Corey Tochor
|
|
Pivot PLC/PCC | |
| 104. | Michael Kram
|
|
Pivot PLC/PCC | |
| 105. | Jim Belanger
|
|
Pivot PLC/PCC | |
| 106. | Dean Allison
|
|
Pivot PLC/PCC | |
| 107. | Ned Kuruc
|
|
Pivot PLC/PCC | |
| 108. | Rhonda Kirkland
|
|
Pivot PLC/PCC | |
| 109. | Jagsharan Singh Mahal
|
|
Pivot PLC/PCC | |
| 110. | Kurt Holman
|
|
Pivot PLC/PCC/NPD | |
| 111. | Warren Steinley
|
|
Pivot PLC/PCC | |
| 112. | Éric Lefebvre
|
|
Pivot PLC/PCC | |
| 113. | Chak Au
|
|
Pivot PLC/PCC | |
| 114. | Roman Baber
|
|
Pivot PLC/PCC | |
| 115. | Kelly DeRidder
|
|
Pivot PLC/PCC/PVC | |
| 116. | Scott Reid
|
|
Pivot PLC/PCC | |
| 117. | Jamil Jivani
|
|
Pivot PLC/PCC | |
| 118. | Helena Konanz
|
|
Pivot PLC/PCC | |
| 119. | Andrew Lawton
|
|
PLC enclin | |
| 120. | Jeff Kibble
|
|
Pivot PLC/PCC/NPD | |
| 121. | Connie Cody
|
|
PLC enclin | |
| 122. | Harbinder Gill
|
|
Pivot PLC/PCC/NPD | |
| 123. | Adam Chambers
|
|
PLC enclin | |
| 124. | Amarjeet Gill
|
|
PLC enclin | |
| 125. | Michael Barrett
|
|
PLC enclin | |
| 126. | Mike Dawson
|
|
PLC enclin | |
| 127. | Gabriel Hardy
|
|
Pivot PLC/PCC/BQ | |
| 128. | Raquel Dancho
|
|
PLC enclin | |
| 129. | Greg McLean
|
|
PLC enclin | |
| 130. | Tony Baldinelli
|
|
PLC enclin | |
| 131. | Jonathan Rowe
|
|
PLC enclin | |
| 132. | Tamara Jansen
|
|
PLC enclin | |
| 133. | Kelly McCauley
|
|
PLC enclin | |
| 134. | Marc Dalton
|
|
PLC enclin | |
| 135. | Fred Davies
|
|
PLC enclin | |
| 136. | Richard Martel
|
|
Pivot PLC/PCC/BQ | |
| 137. | Sandra Cobena
|
|
PLC enclin | |
| 138. | Philip Lawrence
|
|
PLC enclin | |
| 139. | Alana Hirtle
|
 |
PLC enclin | |
| 140. | Matt Jeneroux [Élu avec le PCC]
|
|
PLC probable | |
| 141. | Michael Ma [Élu avec le PCC]
|
|
PLC probable | |
| 142. | Chris d’Entremont [Élu avec le PCC]
|
|
PLC probable | |
| 143. | Matt Strauss
|
|
PLC probable | |
| 144. | Philip Earle
|
|
PLC probable | |
| 145. | Gord Johns
|
|
NPD enclin | |
| 146. | Stephen Fuhr
|
|
PLC probable | |
| 147. | Dalwinder Gill
|
|
PLC probable | |
| 148. | Parm Bains
|
|
PLC probable | |
| 149. | Amandeep Sodhi
|
|
PLC probable | |
| 150. | Bobby Morrissey
|
 |
PLC probable | |
| 151. | Kristina Tesser Derksen
|
|
PLC probable | |
| 152. | Sonia Sidhu
|
|
PLC probable | |
| 153. | Ruby Sahota
|
|
PLC probable | |
| 154. | Tim Louis
|
|
PLC probable | |
| 155. | Gurbux Saini
|
|
PLC probable | |
| 156. | Kathy Borrelli
|
|
PLC probable | |
| 157. | Sukh Dhaliwal
|
|
PLC probable | |
| 158. | Randeep Sarai
|
|
PLC probable | |
| 159. | Ernie Klassen
|
|
PLC probable | |
| 160. | Zoe Royer
|
|
PLC probable | |
| 161. | Ron McKinnon
|
|
PLC probable | |
| 162. | Jaime Battiste
|
|
PLC probable | |
| 163. | Shafqat Ali
|
|
PLC probable | |
| 164. | Pauline Rochefort
|
|
PLC probable | |
| 165. | Maninder Sidhu
|
|
PLC probable | |
| 166. | Sean Fraser
|
|
PLC probable | |
| 167. | Terry Sheehan
|
|
PLC probable | |
| 168. | Marcus Powlowski
|
|
PLC probable | |
| 169. | Peter Fonseca
|
|
PLC probable | |
| 170. | Lori Idlout [Élu avec le NPD]
|
 |
Pivot PLC/NPD | |
| 171. | Wade Wei Lin Chang
|
|
PLC probable | |
| 172. | Corey Hogan
|
|
PLC probable | |
| 173. | Christopher Malette
|
|
PLC probable | |
| 174. | Vince Gasparro
|
|
PLC probable | |
| 175. | Helena Jaczek
|
|
PLC probable | |
| 176. | Anita Anand
|
|
PLC probable | |
| 177. | Rechie Valdez
|
|
PLC probable | |
| 178. | Lisa Hepfner
|
|
PLC probable | |
| 179. | Bruce Fanjoy
|
|
PLC probable | |
| 180. | Jill McKnight
|
|
PLC probable | |
| 181. | Rebecca Alty
|
 |
PLC probable | |
| 182. | Kent McDonald
|
|
PLC probable | |
| 183. | Jake Sawatzky
|
|
PLC probable | |
| 184. | Adam van Koeverden
|
|
PLC probable | |
| 185. | Brendan Hanley
|
 |
PLC probable | |
| 186. | Sima Acan
|
|
PLC solide | |
| 187. | Charles Sousa
|
|
PLC solide | |
| 188. | Ryan Turnbull
|
|
PLC solide | |
| 189. | Guillaume Deschenes-Theriault
|
|
PLC solide | |
| 190. | Jessica Fancy-Landry
|
|
PLC solide | |
| 191. | Heath MacDonald
|
|
PLC solide | |
| 192. | Iqwinder Gaheer
|
|
PLC solide | |
| 193. | Mike Kelloway
|
|
PLC solide | |
| 194. | Fares Al Soud
|
|
PLC solide | |
| 195. | Mario Simard
|
|
BQ probable | |
| 196. | Heather McPherson
|
|
NPD solide | |
| 197. | Tim Hodgson
|
|
PLC solide | |
| 198. | Ali Ehsassi
|
|
PLC solide | |
| 199. | Aslam Rana
|
|
PLC enclin | |
| 200. | Gregor Robertson
|
|
PLC solide | |
| 201. | Eleanor Olszewski
|
|
PLC solide | |
| 202. | Chris Bittle
|
|
PLC solide | |
| 203. | Steeve Lavoie
|
|
PLC probable | |
| 204. | Juanita Nathan
|
|
PLC solide | |
| 205. | Emma Harrison
|
|
PLC solide | |
| 206. | Jean Yip
|
|
PLC solide | |
| 207. | Maggie Chi
|
|
PLC solide | |
| 208. | Doug Eyolfson
|
|
PLC solide | |
| 209. | Viviane Lapointe
|
|
PLC solide | |
| 210. | John Zerucelli
|
|
PLC solide |