Parti conservateur du Canada

Dernière mise à jour: 26 juin 2022
Chef | Erin O'Toole |
Proportion du suffrage national en 2021 | 33.7% |
Projection de vote actuelle | 33,4 % ± 3,9 % |
Nombre actuel de députés-es | 119 |
Projection de sièges actuelle | 139 [108-173] |
Liste des circonscriptions favorables au Parti conservateur du Canada
Rang | Circonscription | Province | Parti actuel | Dernière projection | Probabilité de victoire |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1. | Souris–Moose Mountain | ![]() |
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PCC solide | > 99 % |
2. | Battle River–Crowfoot | ![]() |
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PCC solide | > 99 % |
3. | Cypress Hills–Grasslands | ![]() |
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PCC solide | > 99 % |
4. | Bow River | ![]() |
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PCC solide | > 99 % |
5. | Lakeland | ![]() |
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PCC solide | > 99 % |
6. | Fort McMurray–Cold Lake | ![]() |
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PCC solide | > 99 % |
7. | Grande Prairie–Mackenzie | ![]() |
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PCC solide | > 99 % |
8. | Foothills | ![]() |
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PCC solide | > 99 % |
9. | Yorkton–Melville | ![]() |
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PCC solide | > 99 % |
10. | Sentier Carlton–Eagle Creek | ![]() |
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PCC solide | > 99 % |
11. | Red Deer–Lacombe | ![]() |
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PCC solide | > 99 % |
12. | Yellowhead | ![]() |
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PCC solide | > 99 % |
13. | Medicine Hat–Cardston–Warner | ![]() |
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PCC solide | > 99 % |
14. | Red Deer–Mountain View | ![]() |
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PCC solide | > 99 % |
15. | Prince Albert | ![]() |
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PCC solide | > 99 % |
16. | Battlefords–Lloydminster | ![]() |
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PCC solide | > 99 % |
17. | Sturgeon River–Parkland | ![]() |
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PCC solide | > 99 % |
18. | Peace River–Westlock | ![]() |
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PCC solide | > 99 % |
19. | Calgary Shepard | ![]() |
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PCC solide | > 99 % |
20. | Calgary Midnapore | ![]() |
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PCC solide | > 99 % |
21. | Mégantic–L’Érable | ![]() |
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PCC solide | > 99 % |
22. | Regina–Qu’Appelle | ![]() |
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PCC solide | > 99 % |
23. | Prince George–Peace River–Northern Rockies | ![]() |
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PCC solide | > 99 % |
24. | Calgary Signal Hill | ![]() |
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PCC solide | > 99 % |
25. | Moose Jaw–Lake Centre–Lanigan | ![]() |
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PCC solide | > 99 % |
26. | Calgary Heritage | ![]() |
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PCC solide | > 99 % |
27. | Sherwood Park–Fort Saskatchewan | ![]() |
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PCC solide | > 99 % |
28. | Stormont–Dundas–South Glengarry | ![]() |
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PCC solide | > 99 % |
29. | Banff–Airdrie | ![]() |
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PCC solide | > 99 % |
30. | Lethbridge | ![]() |
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PCC solide | > 99 % |
31. | Calgary Nose Hill | ![]() |
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PCC solide | > 99 % |
32. | Edmonton–Wetaskiwin | ![]() |
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PCC solide | > 99 % |
33. | Dauphin–Swan River–Neepawa | ![]() |
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PCC solide | > 99 % |
34. | Lévis–Lotbinière | ![]() |
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PCC solide | > 99 % |
35. | Tobique–Mactaquac | ![]() |
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PCC solide | > 99 % |
36. | Bellechasse–Les Etchemins–Lévis | ![]() |
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PCC solide | > 99 % |
37. | Montmagny–L’Islet–Kamouraska–Rivière-du-Loup | ![]() |
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PCC solide | > 99 % |
38. | Portneuf–Jacques-Cartier | ![]() |
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PCC solide | > 99 % |
39. | Brandon–Souris | ![]() |
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PCC solide | > 99 % |
40. | Louis-Saint-Laurent | ![]() |
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PCC solide | > 99 % |
41. | Haliburton–Kawartha Lakes–Brock | ![]() |
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PCC solide | > 99 % |
42. | Huron–Bruce | ![]() |
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PCC solide | > 99 % |
43. | Wellington–Halton Hills | ![]() |
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PCC solide | > 99 % |
44. | Calgary Rocky Ridge | ![]() |
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PCC solide | > 99 % |
45. | Richmond–Arthabaska | ![]() |
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PCC solide | > 99 % |
46. | Selkirk–Interlake–Eastman | ![]() |
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PCC solide | > 99 % |
47. | Nouveau-Brunswick-Sud-Ouest | ![]() |
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PCC solide | > 99 % |
48. | York–Simcoe | ![]() |
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PCC solide | > 99 % |
49. | Leeds-Grenville-Thousand Islands et Rideau Lakes | ![]() |
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PCC solide | > 99 % |
50. | Beauce | ![]() |
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PCC solide | > 99 % |
51. | Cariboo–Prince George | ![]() |
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PCC solide | > 99 % |
52. | Fundy Royal | ![]() |
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PCC solide | > 99 % |
53. | Portage–Lisgar | ![]() |
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PCC solide | > 99 % |
54. | Elgin–Middlesex–London | ![]() |
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PCC solide | > 99 % |
55. | Bruce–Grey–Owen Sound | ![]() |
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PCC solide | > 99 % |
56. | Renfrew–Nipissing–Pembroke | ![]() |
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PCC solide | > 99 % |
57. | Perth–Wellington | ![]() |
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PCC solide | > 99 % |
58. | Haldimand–Norfolk | ![]() |
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PCC solide | > 99 % |
59. | Lanark–Frontenac–Kingston | ![]() |
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PCC solide | > 99 % |
60. | Lambton–Kent–Middlesex | ![]() |
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PCC solide | > 99 % |
61. | Durham | ![]() |
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PCC solide | > 99 % |
62. | Sarnia–Lambton | ![]() |
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PCC solide | > 99 % |
63. | Oxford | ![]() |
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PCC solide | > 99 % |
64. | Parry Sound–Muskoka | ![]() |
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PCC solide | > 99 % |
65. | North Okanagan–Shuswap | ![]() |
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PCC solide | > 99 % |
66. | Simcoe–Grey | ![]() |
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PCC solide | > 99 % |
67. | Provencher | ![]() |
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PCC solide | > 99 % |
68. | Charlesbourg–Haute-Saint-Charles | ![]() |
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PCC solide | > 99 % |
69. | Barrie–Innisfil | ![]() |
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PCC solide | > 99 % |
70. | Dufferin–Caledon | ![]() |
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PCC solide | > 99 % |
71. | Abbotsford | ![]() |
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PCC solide | > 99 % |
72. | Nova-Ouest | ![]() |
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PCC solide | > 99 % |
73. | Central Okanagan–Similkameen–Nicola | ![]() |
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PCC solide | > 99 % |
74. | Niagara-Ouest | ![]() |
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PCC solide | > 99 % |
75. | Thornhill | ![]() |
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PCC solide | > 99 % |
76. | Brantford–Brant | ![]() |
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PCC solide | > 99 % |
77. | Barrie–Springwater–Oro-Medonte | ![]() |
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PCC solide | > 99 % |
78. | Carleton | ![]() |
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PCC solide | > 99 % |
79. | Kelowna–Lake Country | ![]() |
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PCC solide | > 99 % |
80. | Edmonton-Ouest | ![]() |
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PCC solide | > 99 % |
81. | Mission–Matsqui–Fraser Canyon | ![]() |
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PCC solide | > 99 % |
82. | Chatham-Kent–Leamington | ![]() |
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PCC solide | > 99 % |
83. | Edmonton Riverbend | ![]() |
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PCC solide | > 99 % |
84. | Simcoe-Nord | ![]() |
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PCC solide | > 99 % |
85. | Langley–Aldergrove | ![]() |
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PCC solide | > 99 % |
86. | Chilliwack–Hope | ![]() |
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PCC solide | > 99 % |
87. | Cumberland–Colchester | ![]() |
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PCC solide | > 99 % |
88. | Northumberland–Peterborough-Sud | ![]() |
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PCC solide | > 99 % |
89. | Calgary-Centre | ![]() |
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PCC solide | > 99 % |
90. | Regina–Wascana | ![]() |
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PCC solide | > 99 % |
91. | Hastings–Lennox and Addington | ![]() |
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PCC solide | > 99 % |
92. | St. Albert–Edmonton | ![]() |
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PCC solide | > 99 % |
93. | Calgary Forest Lawn | ![]() |
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PCC solide | > 99 % |
94. | Calgary Confederation | ![]() |
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PCC solide | > 99 % |
95. | Desnethé–Missinippi–Rivière Churchill | ![]() |
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PCC probable | 99 % |
96. | Kamloops–Thompson–Cariboo | ![]() |
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PCC probable | 99 % |
97. | Chicoutimi–Le Fjord | ![]() |
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PCC probable | 99 % |
98. | Kildonan–St. Paul | ![]() |
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PCC probable | 98 % |
99. | South Shore–St. Margarets | ![]() |
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PCC probable | 98 % |
100. | Niagara Falls | ![]() |
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PCC probable | 97 % |
101. | Baie de Quinte | ![]() |
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PCC probable | 97 % |
102. | Saskatoon–University | ![]() |
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PCC probable | 97 % |
103. | Miramichi–Grand Lake | ![]() |
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PCC probable | 97 % |
104. | Flamborough–Glanbrook | ![]() |
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PCC probable | 96 % |
105. | Peterborough–Kawartha | ![]() |
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PCC probable | 96 % |
106. | Saskatoon–Grasswood | ![]() |
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PCC probable | 96 % |
107. | Coast of Bays–Central–Notre Dame | ![]() |
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PCC probable | 95 % |
108. | Regina–Lewvan | ![]() |
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PCC probable | 94 % |
109. | King–Vaughan | ![]() |
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PCC probable | 92 % |
110. | Oshawa | ![]() |
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PCC probable | 92 % |
111. | Kenora | ![]() |
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PCC probable | 90 % |
112. | Saskatoon-Ouest | ![]() |
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PCC enclin | 90 % |
113. | Edmonton Manning | ![]() |
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PCC enclin | 89 % |
114. | Kootenay–Columbia | ![]() |
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PCC enclin | 86 % |
115. | Charleswood–St. James–Assiniboia–Headingley | ![]() |
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PCC enclin | 86 % |
116. | Fredericton | ![]() |
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PCC enclin (gain) | 83 % |
117. | Essex | ![]() |
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PCC enclin | 82 % |
118. | Edmonton Mill Woods | ![]() |
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PCC enclin | 81 % |
119. | Pitt Meadows–Maple Ridge | ![]() |
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PCC enclin | 79 % |
120. | Sault Ste. Marie | ![]() |
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PCC enclin (gain) | 79 % |
121. | Sydney–Victoria | ![]() |
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PCC enclin (gain) | 79 % |
122. | Trois-Rivières | ![]() |
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PCC enclin (gain) | 78 % |
123. | Kitchener-Sud–Hespeler | ![]() |
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PCC enclin (gain) | 76 % |
124. | Kitchener–Conestoga | ![]() |
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PCC enclin (gain) | 76 % |
125. | Long Range Mountains | ![]() |
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PCC enclin (gain) | 73 % |
126. | Beauport–Limoilou | ![]() |
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PCC enclin (gain) | 71 % |
127. | Bonavista–Burin–Trinity | ![]() |
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Pivot PLC/PCC | 70 % |
128. | Surrey-Sud–White Rock | ![]() |
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Pivot PLC/PCC | 63 % |
129. | Newmarket–Aurora | ![]() |
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Pivot PLC/PCC | 59 % |
130. | Kanata–Carleton | ![]() |
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Pivot PLC/PCC | 57 % |
131. | Niagara-Centre | ![]() |
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Pivot PLC/PCC/NPD | 56 % |
132. | St. Catharines | ![]() |
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Pivot PLC/PCC | 55 % |
133. | Mississauga–Lakeshore | ![]() |
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Pivot PLC/PCC | 54 % |
134. | Markham–Unionville | ![]() |
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Pivot PLC/PCC | 54 % |
135. | Vaughan–Woodbridge | ![]() |
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Pivot PLC/PCC | 54 % |
136. | Aurora–Oak Ridges–Richmond Hill | ![]() |
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Pivot PLC/PCC | 54 % |
137. | Cambridge | ![]() |
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Pivot PLC/PCC | 54 % |
138. | Oakville | ![]() |
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Pivot PLC/PCC | 53 % |
139. | London-Ouest | ![]() |
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Pivot PLC/PCC | 51 % |
140. | Malpeque | ![]() |
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Pivot PLC/PCC | 48 % |
141. | Nipissing–Timiskaming | ![]() |
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Pivot PLC/PCC | 46 % |
142. | Beauport-Côte-de-Beaupré-Île d’Orléans-Charlevoix | ![]() |
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Pivot PCC/BQ | 43 % |
143. | Burlington | ![]() |
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Pivot PLC/PCC | 41 % |
144. | Whitby | ![]() |
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Pivot PLC/PCC | 40 % |
145. | Richmond Hill | ![]() |
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Pivot PLC/PCC | 40 % |
146. | Oakville-Nord–Burlington | ![]() |
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Pivot PLC/PCC | 40 % |
147. | Cape Breton–Canso | ![]() |
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Pivot PLC/PCC | 36 % |
148. | York-Centre | ![]() |
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Pivot PLC/PCC | 35 % |
149. | Nanaimo–Ladysmith | ![]() |
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Pivot PCC/NPD/PVC | 32 % |
150. | Thunder Bay–Rainy River | ![]() |
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Pivot PLC/PCC/NPD | 32 % |
151. | Labrador | ![]() |
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Pivot PLC/PCC | 31 % |
152. | Richmond-Centre | ![]() |
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PLC enclin | 30 % |
153. | Cloverdale–Langley City | ![]() |
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PLC enclin | 28 % |
154. | Pickering–Uxbridge | ![]() |
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PLC enclin | 28 % |
155. | North Island–Powell River | ![]() |
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NPD enclin | 27 % |
156. | Edmonton-Centre | ![]() |
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Pivot PLC/PCC/NPD | 25 % |
157. | Saint John–Rothesay | ![]() |
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PLC enclin | 22 % |
158. | Nepean | ![]() |
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PLC enclin | 22 % |
159. | Glengarry–Prescott–Russell | ![]() |
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PLC enclin | 22 % |
160. | Eglinton–Lawrence | ![]() |
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PLC enclin | 21 % |
161. | Nova-Centre | ![]() |
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PLC enclin | 20 % |
162. | Egmont | ![]() |
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PLC enclin | 20 % |
163. | Charlottetown | ![]() |
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PLC enclin | 19 % |
164. | Hamilton-Est–Stoney Creek | ![]() |
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Pivot PLC/PCC/NPD | 18 % |
165. | Etobicoke-Centre | ![]() |
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PLC enclin | 17 % |
166. | West Vancouver–Sunshine Coast–Sea to Sky Country | ![]() |
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PLC enclin | 17 % |
167. | Avalon | ![]() |
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PLC enclin | 16 % |
168. | Calgary Skyview | ![]() |
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PLC enclin | 15 % |
169. | Nickel Belt | ![]() |
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Pivot PLC/PCC/NPD | 15 % |
170. | Okanagan-Sud–Kootenay-Ouest | ![]() |
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NPD enclin | 14 % |
171. | Skeena–Bulkley Valley | ![]() |
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NPD enclin | 14 % |
172. | Port Moody–Coquitlam | ![]() |
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NPD enclin | 14 % |
173. | Jonquière | ![]() |
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BQ enclin | 13 % |
174. | Mississauga–Streetsville | ![]() |
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PLC enclin | 13 % |
175. | Sudbury | ![]() |
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Pivot PLC/PCC/NPD | 12 % |
176. | Markham–Stouffville | ![]() |
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PLC enclin | 11 % |
177. | Kings–Hants | ![]() |
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PLC enclin | 11 % |
178. | Yukon | ![]() |
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Pivot PLC/PCC/NPD | 10 % |
179. | Cardigan | ![]() |
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PLC probable | 9 % |
180. | Etobicoke–Lakeshore | ![]() |
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PLC probable | 9 % |
181. | Brampton-Centre | ![]() |
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PLC probable | 8 % |
182. | Edmonton Griesbach | ![]() |
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NPD probable | 8 % |
183. | London-Centre-Nord | ![]() |
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Pivot PLC/NPD | 7 % |
184. | Sackville–Preston–Chezzetcook | ![]() |
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PLC enclin | 7 % |
185. | Don Valley-Ouest | ![]() |
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PLC probable | 7 % |
186. | Hamilton-Ouest–Ancaster–Dundas | ![]() |
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PLC probable | 7 % |
187. | Willowdale | ![]() |
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PLC probable | 6 % |
188. | Mississauga–Erin Mills | ![]() |
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PLC probable | 5 % |
189. | Delta | ![]() |
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PLC probable | 5 % |
190. | Windsor–Tecumseh | ![]() |
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Pivot PLC/NPD | 5 % |
191. | Steveston–Richmond-Est | ![]() |
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PLC probable | 4 % |
192. | Coquitlam–Port Coquitlam | ![]() |
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PLC probable | 4 % |
193. | Mississauga-Est–Cooksville | ![]() |
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PLC probable | 4 % |
194. | Ottawa-Ouest–Nepean | ![]() |
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PLC probable | 3 % |
195. | Milton | ![]() |
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PLC probable | 3 % |
196. | Waterloo | ![]() |
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PLC probable | 2 % |
197. | Timmins–Baie James | ![]() |
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NPD probable | 2 % |
198. | Courtenay–Alberni | ![]() |
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NPD probable | 2 % |