Parti conservateur du Canada
Mise à jour : 21 juin 2026
| Chef | Pierre Poilievre |
| Proportion du suffrage national en 2025 | 41.3% |
| Projection de vote actuelle | 35,1 % ± 3,2 % |
| Nombre actuel de députés-es | 140 |
| Projection de sièges actuelle | 107 [75-138] |
Remarque : la fonction de sièges par vote, ou l'efficacité du vote, n'est pas une fonction linéaire, mais peut être approximée comme telle sur des intervalles de vote étroits.
Gains et pertes projetés comparés aux résultats de 2025.
Projection du vote | 21 juin 2026
Projection de sièges | 21 juin 2026
Liste des circonscriptions favorables | Parti conservateur du Canada
| Circonscriptions | Parti actuel | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | Steven Bonk
|
 |
PCC solide | |
| 2. | Jeremy Patzer
|
|
PCC solide | |
| 3. | Chris Warkentin
|
 |
PCC solide | |
| 4. | Shannon Stubbs
|
|
PCC solide | |
| 5. | Laila Goodridge
|
|
PCC solide | |
| 6. | David Bexte
|
|
PCC solide | |
| 7. | Pierre Poilievre
|
|
PCC solide | |
| 8. | Kelly Block
|
|
PCC solide | |
| 9. | Cathay Wagantall
|
|
PCC solide | |
| 10. | Arnold Viersen
|
|
PCC solide | |
| 11. | Rosemarie Falk
|
|
PCC solide | |
| 12. | John Barlow
|
|
PCC solide | |
| 13. | Glen Motz
|
|
PCC solide | |
| 14. | Dane Lloyd
|
|
PCC solide | |
| 15. | Blaine Calkins
|
|
PCC solide | |
| 16. | Mike Lake
|
|
PCC solide | |
| 17. | Fraser Tolmie
|
|
PCC solide | |
| 18. | Randy Hoback
|
|
PCC solide | |
| 19. | Bob Zimmer
|
 |
PCC solide | |
| 20. | Burton Bailey
|
|
PCC solide | |
| 21. | Branden Leslie
|
 |
PCC solide | |
| 22. | Blake Richards
|
|
PCC solide | |
| 23. | Dan Mazier
|
|
PCC solide | |
| 24. | William Stevenson
|
|
PCC solide | |
| 25. | Ted Falk
|
|
PCC solide | |
| 26. | Melissa Lantsman
|
 |
PCC solide | |
| 27. | Tom Kmiec
|
|
PCC solide | |
| 28. | Andrew Scheer
|
|
PCC solide | |
| 29. | Garnett Genuis
|
|
PCC solide | |
| 30. | Jason Groleau
|
 |
PCC solide | |
| 31. | Grant Jackson
|
|
PCC solide | |
| 32. | Luc Berthold
|
|
PCC solide | |
| 33. | Todd Doherty
|
|
PCC solide | |
| 34. | Michael Cooper
|
|
PCC solide | |
| 35. | James Bezan
|
|
PCC solide | |
| 36. | Stephanie Kusie
|
|
PCC solide | |
| 37. | Kyle Seeback
|
|
PCC solide | |
| 38. | Anna Roberts
|
|
PCC probable | |
| 39. | Brad Redekopp
|
|
PCC probable | |
| 40. | Joel Godin
|
|
PCC probable | |
| 41. | Richard Bragdon
|
 |
PCC probable | |
| 42. | Dominique Vien
|
|
PCC probable | |
| 43. | Rachael Thomas
|
|
PCC probable | |
| 44. | Rob Morrison
|
|
PCC probable | |
| 45. | Scot Davidson
|
|
PCC probable | |
| 46. | Dave Epp
|
|
PCC probable | |
| 47. | Michael Guglielmin
|
|
PCC probable | |
| 48. | Chris Lewis
|
|
PCC probable | |
| 49. | Leslyn Lewis
|
|
PCC probable | |
| 50. | Jasraj Singh Hallan
|
|
PCC probable | |
| 51. | Jacques Gourde
|
|
PCC probable | |
| 52. | Brad Vis
|
|
PCC probable | |
| 53. | John Brassard
|
|
PCC probable | |
| 54. | Mark Strahl
|
|
PCC probable | |
| 55. | Bernard Genereux
|
|
PCC probable | |
| 56. | Shuv Majumdar
|
|
PCC probable | |
| 57. | Jamie Schmale
|
|
PCC probable | |
| 58. | Cheryl Gallant
|
|
PCC probable | |
| 59. | Marilyn Gladu
|
|
PCC probable | |
| 60. | Eric Duncan
|
|
PCC probable | |
| 61. | Jacob Mantle
|
|
PCC probable | |
| 62. | David McKenzie
|
|
PCC probable | |
| 63. | Rob Moore
|
|
PCC probable | |
| 64. | Arpan Khanna
|
|
PCC probable | |
| 65. | John Williamson
|
|
PCC enclin | |
| 66. | Michelle Rempel Garner
|
|
PCC enclin | |
| 67. | Lianne Rood
|
|
PCC enclin | |
| 68. | Kevin Waugh
|
|
PCC enclin | |
| 69. | Clifford Small
|
 |
PCC enclin | |
| 70. | Shelby Kramp-Neuman
|
|
PCC enclin | |
| 71. | Gérard Deltell
|
|
PCC enclin | |
| 72. | Pierre Paul-Hus
|
|
PCC enclin | |
| 73. | Shuv Majumdar
|
|
PCC enclin | |
| 74. | Alex Ruff
|
|
PCC enclin | |
| 75. | Mel Arnold
|
|
PCC enclin | |
| 76. | John Nater
|
|
PCC enclin | |
| 77. | Tim Uppal
|
|
PCC enclin | |
| 78. | Corey Tochor
|
|
PCC enclin | |
| 79. | Dan Muys
|
|
PCC enclin | |
| 80. | Ben Lobb
|
|
PCC enclin | |
| 81. | Costas Menegakis
|
|
PCC enclin | |
| 82. | Michael Kram
|
|
PCC enclin | |
| 83. | Billy Morin
|
|
PCC enclin | |
| 84. | Amanpreet Singh Gill
|
|
PCC enclin | |
| 85. | Larry Brock
|
|
PCC enclin | |
| 86. | Ziad Aboultaif
|
|
PCC enclin | |
| 87. | Carol Anstey
|
|
PCC enclin | |
| 88. | Warren Steinley
|
|
PCC enclin | |
| 89. | Eric Melillo
|
|
Pivot PLC/PCC | |
| 90. | Frank Caputo
|
|
Pivot PLC/PCC | |
| 91. | Éric Lefebvre
|
|
Pivot PLC/PCC | |
| 92. | Doug Shipley
|
|
Pivot PLC/PCC | |
| 93. | Vincent Neil Ho
|
|
Pivot PLC/PCC | |
| 94. | Terry Dowdall
|
|
Pivot PLC/PCC | |
| 95. | Michael Chong
|
|
Pivot PLC/PCC | |
| 96. | Scott Aitchison
|
|
Pivot PLC/PCC | |
| 97. | Gaetan Malette
|
|
Pivot PLC/PCC | |
| 98. | Sukhman Singh Gill
|
|
Pivot PLC/PCC | |
| 99. | Raquel Dancho
|
|
Pivot PLC/PCC | |
| 100. | Dean Allison
|
|
Pivot PLC/PCC | |
| 101. | Ned Kuruc
|
|
Pivot PLC/PCC | |
| 102. | Jim Belanger
|
|
Pivot PLC/PCC | |
| 103. | Rhonda Kirkland
|
|
Pivot PLC/PCC | |
| 104. | Gabriel Hardy
|
|
Pivot PLC/PCC/BQ | |
| 105. | Colin Reynolds
|
|
Pivot PCC/NPD | |
| 106. | Jagsharan Singh Mahal
|
|
Pivot PLC/PCC | |
| 107. | Tako van Popta
|
|
Pivot PLC/PCC | |
| 108. | Roman Baber
|
|
Pivot PLC/PCC | |
| 109. | Scott Reid
|
|
Pivot PLC/PCC | |
| 110. | Kerry Diotte
|
|
Pivot PCC/NPD | |
| 111. | Jamil Jivani
|
|
Pivot PLC/PCC | |
| 112. | Andrew Lawton
|
|
Pivot PLC/PCC | |
| 113. | Scott Anderson
|
|
Pivot PLC/PCC | |
| 114. | Connie Cody
|
|
Pivot PLC/PCC | |
| 115. | Dan Albas
|
|
Pivot PLC/PCC | |
| 116. | Adam Chambers
|
|
Pivot PLC/PCC | |
| 117. | Tamara Kronis
|
|
Pivot PLC/PCC | |
| 118. | Michael Barrett
|
|
Pivot PLC/PCC | |
| 119. | Ellis Ross
|
|
Pivot PCC/NPD | |
| 120. | Amarjeet Gill
|
|
Pivot PLC/PCC | |
| 121. | Richard Martel
|
|
Pivot PLC/PCC/BQ | |
| 122. | Greg McLean
|
|
Pivot PLC/PCC | |
| 123. | Tony Baldinelli
|
|
Pivot PLC/PCC | |
| 124. | Mike Dawson
|
|
Pivot PLC/PCC | |
| 125. | Chak Au
|
|
PLC enclin | |
| 126. | Jonathan Rowe
|
|
PLC enclin | |
| 127. | Kelly McCauley
|
|
PLC enclin | |
| 128. | Helena Konanz
|
|
PLC enclin | |
| 129. | Fred Davies
|
|
PLC enclin | |
| 130. | Aaron Gunn
|
|
Pivot PLC/PCC/NPD | |
| 131. | Sandra Cobena
|
|
PLC enclin | |
| 132. | Kelly DeRidder
|
|
Pivot PCC/PVC | |
| 133. | Philip Lawrence
|
|
PLC enclin | |
| 134. | Kurt Holman
|
|
Pivot PCC/NPD | |
| 135. | Matt Jeneroux [Élu avec le PCC]
|
|
PLC enclin | |
| 136. | Michael Ma [Élu avec le PCC]
|
|
PLC enclin | |
| 137. | Matt Strauss
|
|
PLC enclin | |
| 138. | Alana Hirtle
|
 |
PLC enclin | |
| 139. | Harbinder Gill
|
|
NPD enclin | |
| 140. | Chris d’Entremont [Élu avec le PCC]
|
|
PLC enclin | |
| 141. | Tamara Jansen
|
|
PLC enclin | |
| 142. | Dalwinder Gill
|
|
PLC enclin | |
| 143. | Jeff Kibble
|
|
Pivot PLC/PCC/NPD | |
| 144. | Marc Dalton
|
|
PLC enclin | |
| 145. | Philip Earle
|
|
PLC enclin | |
| 146. | Amandeep Sodhi
|
|
PLC enclin | |
| 147. | Kristina Tesser Derksen
|
|
PLC probable | |
| 148. | Ruby Sahota
|
|
PLC probable | |
| 149. | Tim Louis
|
|
PLC probable | |
| 150. | Sonia Sidhu
|
|
PLC probable | |
| 151. | Kathy Borrelli
|
|
PLC probable | |
| 152. | Bobby Morrissey
|
 |
PLC probable | |
| 153. | Stephen Fuhr
|
|
PLC probable | |
| 154. | Parm Bains
|
|
PLC probable | |
| 155. | Shafqat Ali
|
|
PLC probable | |
| 156. | Pauline Rochefort
|
|
PLC probable | |
| 157. | Maninder Sidhu
|
|
PLC probable | |
| 158. | Terry Sheehan
|
|
PLC probable | |
| 159. | Jaime Battiste
|
|
PLC probable | |
| 160. | Sean Fraser
|
|
PLC probable | |
| 161. | Gurbux Saini
|
|
PLC probable | |
| 162. | Marcus Powlowski
|
|
PLC probable | |
| 163. | Peter Fonseca
|
|
PLC probable | |
| 164. | Corey Hogan
|
|
PLC probable | |
| 165. | Sukh Dhaliwal
|
|
PLC probable | |
| 166. | Vince Gasparro
|
|
PLC probable | |
| 167. | Zoe Royer
|
|
PLC probable | |
| 168. | Christopher Malette
|
|
PLC probable | |
| 169. | Randeep Sarai
|
|
PLC probable | |
| 170. | Ernie Klassen
|
|
PLC probable | |
| 171. | Helena Jaczek
|
|
PLC probable | |
| 172. | Anita Anand
|
|
PLC probable | |
| 173. | Ron McKinnon
|
|
PLC probable | |
| 174. | Bruce Fanjoy
|
|
PLC probable | |
| 175. | Lisa Hepfner
|
|
PLC probable | |
| 176. | Rechie Valdez
|
|
PLC probable | |
| 177. | Gord Johns
|
|
NPD probable | |
| 178. | Charles Sousa
|
|
PLC probable | |
| 179. | Sima Acan
|
|
PLC probable | |
| 180. | Wade Wei Lin Chang
|
|
PLC probable | |
| 181. | Lori Idlout [Élu avec le NPD]
|
 |
Pivot PLC/NPD | |
| 182. | Adam van Koeverden
|
|
PLC probable | |
| 183. | Ryan Turnbull
|
|
PLC probable | |
| 184. | Kent McDonald
|
|
PLC probable | |
| 185. | Iqwinder Gaheer
|
|
PLC probable | |
| 186. | Mario Simard
|
|
BQ probable | |
| 187. | Rebecca Alty
|
 |
PLC probable | |
| 188. | Guillaume Deschenes-Theriault
|
|
PLC probable | |
| 189. | Jill McKnight
|
|
PLC probable | |
| 190. | Brendan Hanley
|
 |
PLC probable | |
| 191. | Jessica Fancy-Landry
|
|
PLC probable | |
| 192. | Heath MacDonald
|
|
PLC probable | |
| 193. | Tim Hodgson
|
|
PLC solide | |
| 194. | Fares Al Soud
|
|
PLC solide | |
| 195. | Steeve Lavoie
|
|
PLC probable | |
| 196. | Viviane Lapointe
|
|
PLC solide | |
| 197. | Mike Kelloway
|
|
PLC solide | |
| 198. | Eleanor Olszewski
|
|
PLC solide | |
| 199. | Jake Sawatzky
|
|
PLC enclin | |
| 200. | Ali Ehsassi
|
|
PLC solide | |
| 201. | Chris Bittle
|
|
PLC solide | |
| 202. | John Zerucelli
|
|
PLC solide | |
| 203. | Emma Harrison
|
|
PLC solide | |
| 204. | Jean Yip
|
|
PLC solide | |
| 205. | Juanita Nathan
|
|
PLC solide | |
| 206. | Anthony Housefather
|
|
PLC solide | |
| 207. | Doug Eyolfson
|
|
PLC solide | |
| 208. | Buckley Belanger
|
|
PLC solide | |
| 209. | Maggie Chi
|
|
PLC solide | |
| 210. | Wayne Long
|
|
PLC solide | |
| 211. | Giovanna Mingarelli
|
|
PLC solide | |
| 212. | Iqra Khalid
|
|
PLC solide | |
| 213. | Yvan Baker
|
|
PLC solide | |
| 214. | Jennifer McKelvie
|
|
PLC solide | |
| 215. | Heather McPherson
|
|
NPD solide | |
| 216. | Aslam Rana
|
|
Pivot PLC/NPD | |
| 217. | Karina Gould
|
|
PLC solide | |
| 218. | Marilene Gill
|
|
BQ probable |