Nouveau Parti démocratique

Dernière mise à jour: 26 mars 2023
Chef | Jagmeet Singh |
Proportion du suffrage national en 2021 | 17.8% |
Projection de vote actuelle | 19,9 % ± 3,4 % |
Nombre actuel de députés-es | 25 |
Projection de sièges actuelle | 23 [13-47] |
* L'efficacité du vote (sièges vs vote) n'est pas une fonction linéaire,
mais peut être approximée comme une fonction linéaire sur des intervalles de vote restreints.
Projection du vote | 26 mars 2023
Projection de sièges | 26 mars 2023
Liste des circonscriptions favorables | Nouveau Parti démocratique
Rang | Circonscription | Province | Parti actuel | Dernière projection | Probabilité de victoire |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1. | Edmonton Strathcona | ![]() |
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NPD solide | > 99 % |
2. | Elmwood–Transcona | ![]() |
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NPD solide | > 99 % |
3. | Hamilton-Centre | ![]() |
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NPD solide | > 99 % |
4. | Vancouver-Est | ![]() |
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NPD solide | > 99 % |
5. | Windsor-Ouest | ![]() |
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NPD solide | > 99 % |
6. | Rosemont–La Petite-Patrie | ![]() |
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NPD solide | > 99 % |
7. | London–Fanshawe | ![]() |
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NPD solide | > 99 % |
8. | New Westminster–Burnaby | ![]() |
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NPD solide | > 99 % |
9. | Winnipeg-Centre | ![]() |
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NPD solide | > 99 % |
10. | Vancouver Kingsway | ![]() |
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NPD solide | > 99 % |
11. | Churchill–Keewatinook Aski | ![]() |
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NPD solide | > 99 % |
12. | Esquimalt–Saanich–Sooke | ![]() |
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NPD solide | > 99 % |
13. | Algoma–Manitoulin–Kapuskasing | ![]() |
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NPD solide | > 99 % |
14. | Victoria | ![]() |
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NPD solide | > 99 % |
15. | Timmins–Baie James | ![]() |
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NPD probable | 99 % |
16. | Nunavut | ![]() |
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NPD probable | 92 % |
17. | Burnaby-Sud | ![]() |
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NPD probable | 91 % |
18. | Edmonton Griesbach | ![]() |
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NPD enclin | 89 % |
19. | Cowichan–Malahat–Langford | ![]() |
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NPD enclin | 88 % |
20. | Courtenay–Alberni | ![]() |
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NPD enclin | 78 % |
21. | Windsor–Tecumseh | ![]() |
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Pivot PLC/NPD | 61 % |
22. | Hamilton Mountain | ![]() |
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Pivot PLC/NPD | 57 % |
23. | Davenport | ![]() |
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Pivot PLC/NPD | 49 % |
24. | Halifax | ![]() |
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Pivot PLC/NPD | 48 % |
25. | Parkdale–High Park | ![]() |
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Pivot PLC/NPD | 44 % |
26. | Thunder Bay–Rainy River | ![]() |
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Pivot PLC/PCC/NPD | 41 % |
27. | Skeena–Bulkley Valley | ![]() |
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Pivot PCC/NPD | 41 % |
28. | Okanagan-Sud–Kootenay-Ouest | ![]() |
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Pivot PCC/NPD | 40 % |
29. | St. John’s-Est | ![]() |
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Pivot PLC/NPD | 39 % |
30. | Toronto–Danforth | ![]() |
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Pivot PLC/NPD | 35 % |
31. | North Island–Powell River | ![]() |
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Pivot PCC/NPD | 35 % |
32. | London-Centre-Nord | ![]() |
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Pivot PLC/PCC/NPD | 34 % |
33. | Sudbury | ![]() |
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Pivot PLC/PCC/NPD | 33 % |
34. | Thunder Bay–Supérieur-Nord | ![]() |
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Pivot PLC/NPD | 33 % |
35. | Spadina–Fort York | ![]() |
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Pivot PLC/NPD | 32 % |
36. | Nanaimo–Ladysmith | ![]() |
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Pivot PCC/NPD/PVC | 31 % |
37. | Ottawa-Centre | ![]() |
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Pivot PLC/NPD | 31 % |
38. | Port Moody–Coquitlam | ![]() |
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Pivot PCC/NPD | 31 % |
39. | Nickel Belt | ![]() |
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Pivot PLC/PCC/NPD | 29 % |
40. | Vancouver Granville | ![]() |
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Pivot PLC/PCC/NPD | 26 % |
41. | Hamilton-Est–Stoney Creek | ![]() |
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Pivot PLC/PCC/NPD | 25 % |
42. | Territoires du Nord-Ouest | ![]() |
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PLC enclin | 24 % |
43. | Essex | ![]() |
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PCC enclin | 24 % |
44. | Oshawa | ![]() |
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PCC enclin | 21 % |
45. | Kingston et les Îles | ![]() |
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PLC enclin | 18 % |
46. | Edmonton Manning | ![]() |
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PCC enclin | 17 % |
47. | London-Ouest | ![]() |
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Pivot PLC/PCC/NPD | 16 % |
48. | Niagara-Centre | ![]() |
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Pivot PLC/PCC/NPD | 16 % |
49. | Saskatoon-Ouest | ![]() |
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PCC enclin | 15 % |
50. | Regina–Lewvan | ![]() |
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PCC enclin | 14 % |
51. | Saskatoon–Grasswood | ![]() |
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PCC enclin | 14 % |
52. | Kenora | ![]() |
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PCC enclin | 13 % |
53. | Saskatoon–University | ![]() |
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PCC enclin | 12 % |
54. | Yukon | ![]() |
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Pivot PLC/PCC/NPD | 11 % |
55. | Edmonton-Centre | ![]() |
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Pivot PLC/PCC/NPD | 11 % |
56. | Sackville–Preston–Chezzetcook | ![]() |
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PLC enclin | 10 % |
57. | Labrador | ![]() |
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PLC enclin | 7 % |
58. | Nipissing–Timiskaming | ![]() |
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Pivot PLC/PCC | 6 % |
59. | Outremont | ![]() |
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PLC probable | 4 % |
60. | Laurier–Sainte-Marie | ![]() |
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PLC probable | 4 % |
61. | Dartmouth–Cole Harbour | ![]() |
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PLC probable | 4 % |
62. | Kildonan–St. Paul | ![]() |
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PCC probable | 4 % |
63. | Guelph | ![]() |
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PLC probable | 4 % |
64. | St. Catharines | ![]() |
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Pivot PLC/PCC | 3 % |
65. | Vancouver-Centre | ![]() |
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PLC probable | 3 % |
66. | St. Albert–Edmonton | ![]() |
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PCC probable | 2 % |
67. | Ottawa–Vanier | ![]() |
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PLC probable | 2 % |
68. | Pitt Meadows–Maple Ridge | ![]() |
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PCC probable | 2 % |
69. | University–Rosedale | ![]() |
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PLC probable | 2 % |
70. | Burnaby-Nord–Seymour | ![]() |
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PLC probable | 1 % |
71. | Toronto-Centre | ![]() |
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PLC probable | 1 % |
Rang | Circonscription | Projection |
---|---|---|
1. | Edmonton Strathcona | NPD solide |
2. | Elmwood–Transcona | NPD solide |
3. | Hamilton-Centre | NPD solide |
4. | Vancouver-Est | NPD solide |
5. | Windsor-Ouest | NPD solide |
6. | Rosemont–La Petite-Patrie | NPD solide |
7. | London–Fanshawe | NPD solide |
8. | New Westminster–Burnaby | NPD solide |
9. | Winnipeg-Centre | NPD solide |
10. | Vancouver Kingsway | NPD solide |
11. | Churchill–Keewatinook Aski | NPD solide |
12. | Esquimalt–Saanich–Sooke | NPD solide |
13. | Algoma–Manitoulin–Kapuskasing | NPD solide |
14. | Victoria | NPD solide |
15. | Timmins–Baie James | NPD probable |
16. | Nunavut | NPD probable |
17. | Burnaby-Sud | NPD probable |
18. | Edmonton Griesbach | NPD enclin |
19. | Cowichan–Malahat–Langford | NPD enclin |
20. | Courtenay–Alberni | NPD enclin |
21. | Windsor–Tecumseh | Pivot PLC/NPD |
22. | Hamilton Mountain | Pivot PLC/NPD |
23. | Davenport | Pivot PLC/NPD |
24. | Halifax | Pivot PLC/NPD |
25. | Parkdale–High Park | Pivot PLC/NPD |
26. | Thunder Bay–Rainy River | Pivot PLC/PCC/NPD |
27. | Skeena–Bulkley Valley | Pivot PCC/NPD |
28. | Okanagan-Sud–Kootenay-Ouest | Pivot PCC/NPD |
29. | St. John’s-Est | Pivot PLC/NPD |
30. | Toronto–Danforth | Pivot PLC/NPD |
31. | North Island–Powell River | Pivot PCC/NPD |
32. | London-Centre-Nord | Pivot PLC/PCC/NPD |
33. | Sudbury | Pivot PLC/PCC/NPD |
34. | Thunder Bay–Supérieur-Nord | Pivot PLC/NPD |
35. | Spadina–Fort York | Pivot PLC/NPD |
36. | Nanaimo–Ladysmith | Pivot PCC/NPD/PVC |
37. | Ottawa-Centre | Pivot PLC/NPD |
38. | Port Moody–Coquitlam | Pivot PCC/NPD |
39. | Nickel Belt | Pivot PLC/PCC/NPD |
40. | Vancouver Granville | Pivot PLC/PCC/NPD |
41. | Hamilton-Est–Stoney Creek | Pivot PLC/PCC/NPD |
42. | Territoires du Nord-Ouest | PLC enclin |
43. | Essex | PCC enclin |
44. | Oshawa | PCC enclin |
45. | Kingston et les Îles | PLC enclin |
46. | Edmonton Manning | PCC enclin |
47. | London-Ouest | Pivot PLC/PCC/NPD |
48. | Niagara-Centre | Pivot PLC/PCC/NPD |
49. | Saskatoon-Ouest | PCC enclin |
50. | Regina–Lewvan | PCC enclin |
51. | Saskatoon–Grasswood | PCC enclin |
52. | Kenora | PCC enclin |
53. | Saskatoon–University | PCC enclin |
54. | Yukon | Pivot PLC/PCC/NPD |
55. | Edmonton-Centre | Pivot PLC/PCC/NPD |
56. | Sackville–Preston–Chezzetcook | PLC enclin |
57. | Labrador | PLC enclin |
58. | Nipissing–Timiskaming | Pivot PLC/PCC |
59. | Outremont | PLC probable |
60. | Laurier–Sainte-Marie | PLC probable |
61. | Dartmouth–Cole Harbour | PLC probable |
62. | Kildonan–St. Paul | PCC probable |
63. | Guelph | PLC probable |
64. | St. Catharines | Pivot PLC/PCC |
65. | Vancouver-Centre | PLC probable |
66. | St. Albert–Edmonton | PCC probable |
67. | Ottawa–Vanier | PLC probable |
68. | Pitt Meadows–Maple Ridge | PCC probable |
69. | University–Rosedale | PLC probable |
70. | Burnaby-Nord–Seymour | PLC probable |
71. | Toronto-Centre | PLC probable |