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New Westminster—Burnaby—Maillardville


Député(e) : Jake Sawatzky (PLC)


Dernière mise à jour : 6 juillet 2025
Pivot PLC/PCC/NPD

Historique récent | New Westminster—Burnaby—Maillardville


2019 2021 2025 Proj. PLC 34% ± 7% 23,9% 23,4% 35,1% NPD 33% ± 8% 43,5% 48,0% 31,5% PCC 31% ± 7% 22,0% 21,0% 31,4% PVC 1% ± 2% 8,3% 3,8% 1,2% PPC 0% ± 0% 1,6% 3,7% 0,0%
Les données de 2019 et 2021 sont celles transposées sur la nouvelle carte électorale.





Projection pour New Westminster—Burnaby—Maillardville

New Westminster—Burnaby—Maillardville 34% ± 7% PLC 33% ± 8%▲ NPD 31% ± 7%▼ PCC PLC 2025 35,1% Projection du vote | 6 juillet 2025
Cette projection est calculée à l'aide d'un modèle essentiellement proportionnel, ajusté en fonction des sondages provinciaux et régionaux réalisés par des instituts de sondage professionnels. Il ne s'agit pas d'un sondage, mais d'une projection basée sur des sondages. Le modèle Qc125 tient également compte de l'historique électoral et d'autres données. Pour en savoir plus sur la méthodologie de Qc125, cliquez ici.
50% 100% New Westminster—Burnaby—Maillardville 48%▲ PLC 36%▲ NPD 16%▼ PCC Probabilités de victoire | 6 juillet 2025
Les probabilités de victoire ci-dessus sont celles si une élection avait lieu aujourd'hui. Elles sont calculées par un programme de type Monte-Carlo qui effectue des milliers de simulations d'élections générales. Les circonscriptions sont ensuite étiquettées comme étant solide (probabilités de victoire supérieures à 99,5%), probable (entre 90% et 99,5%), enclin (entre 70% et 90%) ou pivot (probabilités inférieures à 70%).


Projection du vote | New Westminster—Burnaby—Maillardville

PLC 34% ± 7% PCC 31% ± 7% NPD 33% ± 8% Projection du vote % | New Westminster—Burnaby—Maillardville 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-02-01 2025-03-01 2025-04-01 2025-05-01 2025-06-01 2025-07-01 2025-08-01 2025-09-01 2025-10-01 Élection 2025 PLC PCC NPD 6 juillet 2025 2025-01-12 NPD 42% PCC 36% PLC 15% 2025-01-12 2025-01-19 NPD 41% PCC 37% PLC 16% 2025-01-19 2025-01-26 NPD 40% PCC 37% PLC 16% 2025-01-26 2025-02-02 NPD 40% PCC 36% PLC 17% 2025-02-02 2025-02-09 NPD 38% PCC 35% PLC 20% 2025-02-09 2025-02-16 NPD 36% PCC 34% PLC 23% 2025-02-16 2025-02-23 NPD 34% PCC 33% PLC 25% 2025-02-23 2025-03-02 NPD 36% PCC 30% PLC 27% 2025-03-02 2025-03-09 NPD 35% PCC 30% PLC 28% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 NPD 35% PCC 30% PLC 29% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 PLC 34% PCC 31% NPD 30% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 PLC 34% PCC 30% NPD 30% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 PLC 35% PCC 30% NPD 30% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 PLC 35% PCC 30% NPD 29% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 PLC 35% PCC 30% NPD 29% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 PLC 36% PCC 30% NPD 28% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 PLC 37% PCC 29% NPD 29% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 PLC 37% PCC 29% NPD 29% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 PLC 37% PCC 29% NPD 29% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 PLC 37% PCC 29% NPD 29% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 PLC 38% PCC 29% NPD 29% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 PLC 38% NPD 29% PCC 29% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 PLC 38% PCC 29% NPD 29% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 PLC 39% NPD 29% PCC 28% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 PLC 40% NPD 30% PCC 27% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 PLC 40% NPD 29% PCC 27% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 PLC 40% NPD 29% PCC 27% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 PLC 40% NPD 29% PCC 27% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 PLC 39% NPD 30% PCC 27% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 PLC 41% PCC 28% NPD 28% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 PLC 41% PCC 28% NPD 27% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 PLC 42% PCC 28% NPD 27% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 PLC 43% PCC 27% NPD 26% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 PLC 41% NPD 28% PCC 27% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 PLC 40% NPD 29% PCC 27% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 PLC 40% NPD 29% PCC 27% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 PLC 40% NPD 30% PCC 26% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 PLC 39% NPD 31% PCC 26% 2025-04-15 2025-04-16 PLC 39% NPD 30% PCC 26% 2025-04-16 2025-04-17 PLC 37% NPD 32% PCC 27% 2025-04-17 2025-04-18 PLC 36% NPD 34% PCC 27% 2025-04-18 2025-04-19 PLC 36% NPD 33% PCC 27% 2025-04-19 2025-04-20 PLC 35% NPD 34% PCC 28% 2025-04-20 2025-04-21 NPD 34% PLC 33% PCC 29% 2025-04-21 2025-04-22 NPD 34% PLC 34% PCC 29% 2025-04-22 2025-04-23 NPD 34% PLC 34% PCC 29% 2025-04-23 2025-04-24 PLC 34% NPD 33% PCC 29% 2025-04-24 2025-04-25 PLC 34% NPD 33% PCC 29% 2025-04-25 2025-04-26 PLC 35% NPD 32% PCC 29% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 PLC 35% NPD 32% PCC 29% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 PLC 35% NPD 33% PCC 29% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 PLC 35% NPD 32% PCC 31% 2025-04-30 2025-05-11 PLC 35% NPD 32% PCC 31% 2025-05-11 2025-05-18 PLC 35% NPD 32% PCC 31% 2025-05-18 2025-05-25 PLC 35% NPD 32% PCC 31% 2025-05-25 2025-06-01 PLC 35% NPD 32% PCC 31% 2025-06-01 2025-06-08 PLC 35% NPD 32% PCC 32% 2025-06-08 2025-06-15 PLC 34% NPD 32% PCC 32% 2025-06-15 2025-06-22 PLC 34% NPD 33% PCC 32% 2025-06-22 2025-06-29 PLC 34% NPD 32% PCC 32% 2025-06-29 2025-07-06 PLC 34% NPD 33% PCC 31% 2025-07-06 Démission J.Trudeau Carney chef PLC

Probabilités de victoire | New Westminster—Burnaby—Maillardville

PLC 48% PCC 16% NPD 36% Probabilité de victoire 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-02-01 2025-03-01 2025-04-01 2025-05-01 2025-06-01 2025-07-01 2025-08-01 2025-09-01 2025-10-01 Élection 2025 PLC PCC NPD 6 juillet 2025 2025-01-12 NPD 84% PCC 16% PLC <1% 2025-01-12 2025-01-19 NPD 72% PCC 28% PLC <1% 2025-01-19 2025-01-26 NPD 71% PCC 29% PLC <1% 2025-01-26 2025-02-02 NPD 71% PCC 29% PLC <1% 2025-02-02 2025-02-09 NPD 65% PCC 35% PLC <1% 2025-02-09 2025-02-16 NPD 67% PCC 33% PLC <1% 2025-02-16 2025-02-23 NPD 57% PCC 42% PLC 1% 2025-02-23 2025-03-02 NPD 80% PCC 16% PLC 4% 2025-03-02 2025-03-09 NPD 79% PCC 15% PLC 6% 2025-03-09 2025-03-16 NPD 71% PCC 19% PLC 10% 2025-03-16 2025-03-18 PLC 63% PCC 22% NPD 15% 2025-03-18 2025-03-20 PLC 68% PCC 18% NPD 15% 2025-03-20 2025-03-21 PLC 70% PCC 17% NPD 13% 2025-03-21 2025-03-22 PLC 72% PCC 17% NPD 11% 2025-03-22 2025-03-23 PLC 75% PCC 15% NPD 9% 2025-03-23 2025-03-24 PLC 79% PCC 14% NPD 7% 2025-03-24 2025-03-25 PLC 84% PCC 8% NPD 8% 2025-03-25 2025-03-26 PLC 86% PCC 8% NPD 6% 2025-03-26 2025-03-27 PLC 87% PCC 7% NPD 6% 2025-03-27 2025-03-28 PLC 86% PCC 7% NPD 7% 2025-03-28 2025-03-29 PLC 90% NPD 5% PCC 5% 2025-03-29 2025-03-30 PLC 91% NPD 5% PCC 4% 2025-03-30 2025-03-31 PLC 92% NPD 4% PCC 4% 2025-03-31 2025-04-01 PLC 94% NPD 5% PCC 2% 2025-04-01 2025-04-02 PLC 95% NPD 4% PCC 1% 2025-04-02 2025-04-03 PLC 97% NPD 3% PCC 1% 2025-04-03 2025-04-04 PLC 96% NPD 3% PCC 1% 2025-04-04 2025-04-05 PLC 96% NPD 3% PCC 1% 2025-04-05 2025-04-06 PLC 91% NPD 8% PCC 1% 2025-04-06 2025-04-07 PLC 97% PCC 1% NPD 1% 2025-04-07 2025-04-08 PLC 98% PCC 1% NPD 1% 2025-04-08 2025-04-09 PLC 99% PCC 1% NPD <1% 2025-04-09 2025-04-10 PLC >99% PCC <1% NPD <1% 2025-04-10 2025-04-11 PLC 99% NPD 1% PCC <1% 2025-04-11 2025-04-12 PLC 96% NPD 3% PCC 1% 2025-04-12 2025-04-13 PLC 96% NPD 3% PCC 1% 2025-04-13 2025-04-14 PLC 95% NPD 4% PCC 1% 2025-04-14 2025-04-15 PLC 90% NPD 9% PCC 1% 2025-04-15 2025-04-16 PLC 92% NPD 7% PCC 1% 2025-04-16 2025-04-17 PLC 79% NPD 20% PCC 1% 2025-04-17 2025-04-18 PLC 63% NPD 36% PCC 2% 2025-04-18 2025-04-19 PLC 65% NPD 33% PCC 2% 2025-04-19 2025-04-20 PLC 54% NPD 42% PCC 4% 2025-04-20 2025-04-21 NPD 52% PLC 41% PCC 7% 2025-04-21 2025-04-22 NPD 48% PLC 45% PCC 7% 2025-04-22 2025-04-23 NPD 49% PLC 45% PCC 7% 2025-04-23 2025-04-24 PLC 52% NPD 40% PCC 7% 2025-04-24 2025-04-25 PLC 56% NPD 36% PCC 8% 2025-04-25 2025-04-26 PLC 59% NPD 32% PCC 9% 2025-04-26 2025-04-27 PLC 63% NPD 27% PCC 9% 2025-04-27 2025-04-28 PLC 59% NPD 33% PCC 8% 2025-04-28 2025-04-30 PLC 74% NPD 14% PCC 12% 2025-04-30 2025-05-11 PLC 75% NPD 14% PCC 11% 2025-05-11 2025-05-18 PLC 70% NPD 16% PCC 13% 2025-05-18 2025-05-25 PLC 67% NPD 17% PCC 16% 2025-05-25 2025-06-01 PLC 60% NPD 21% PCC 18% 2025-06-01 2025-06-08 PLC 55% NPD 24% PCC 21% 2025-06-08 2025-06-15 PLC 45% NPD 29% PCC 26% 2025-06-15 2025-06-22 PLC 42% NPD 34% PCC 24% 2025-06-22 2025-06-29 PLC 46% NPD 31% PCC 22% 2025-06-29 2025-07-06 PLC 48% NPD 36% PCC 16% 2025-07-06 Démission J.Trudeau Carney chef PLC