338Canada.com - Bloc Québécois





Last update: June 20, 2021

LeaderYves-François Blanchet
National popular vote in 20197.6% (QC: 32.5%)
Current vote projection6.9% ± 1.0% (QC: 29.6% ± 4.3%)
Current number of MP's32
Current seat projection28 ± 12



Ranked list of electoral districts favourable to the Bloc Québécois



Rank Electoral districts Province Current party Last projection Odds of winning
1. Bécancour–Nicolet–Saurel BQ safe >99%
2. Montcalm BQ safe >99%
3. Joliette BQ safe >99%
4. Manicouagan BQ safe >99%
5. Drummond BQ safe >99%
6. Berthier–Maskinongé BQ safe >99%
7. Rivière-du-Nord BQ safe >99%
8. Beloeil–Chambly BQ safe >99%
9. Mirabel BQ likely 99%
10. Repentigny BQ likely 99%
11. Saint-Hyacinthe–Bagot BQ likely 99%
12. Jonquière BQ likely 98%
13. Pierre-Boucher–Les Patriotes–Verchères BQ likely 97%
14. Lac-Saint-Jean BQ likely 96%
15. Terrebonne BQ likely 95%
16. Salaberry–Suroît BQ likely 91%
17. La Pointe-de-l`Île BQ leaning 88%
18. Rimouski-Neigette–Témiscouata–Les Basques BQ leaning 87%
19. Avignon–La Mitis–Matane–Matapédia BQ leaning 86%
20. Abitibi–Témiscamingue BQ leaning 83%
21. Saint-Jean BQ leaning 82%
22. Beauport-Côte-de-Beaupré-Île d`Orléans-Charlevoix BQ leaning 82%
23. Laurentides–Labelle BQ leaning 79%
24. Montarville Toss up 64%
25. Abitibi–Baie-James–Nunavik–Eeyou Toss up 59%
26. Longueuil–Saint-Hubert Toss up 57%
27. Rivière-des-Mille-Îles Toss up 50%
28. Thérèse-De Blainville Toss up 48%
29. La Prairie Toss up 44%
30. Trois-Rivières Toss up 42%
31. Beauport–Limoilou Toss up 38%
32. Shefford Toss up 35%
33. Chicoutimi–Le Fjord Toss up 31%
34. Québec LPC leaning 19%
35. Hochelaga LPC leaning 18%
36. Châteauguay–Lacolle LPC leaning 17%
37. Argenteuil–La Petite-Nation LPC leaning 17%
38. Gaspésie–Les Îles-de-la-Madeleine LPC leaning 15%
39. Longueuil–Charles-LeMoyne LPC leaning 13%
40. Sherbrooke LPC leaning 13%
41. Brome–Missisquoi LPC likely 8%
42. Montmagny–L`Islet–Kamouraska–Rivière-du-Loup CPC likely 7%
43. Compton–Stanstead LPC likely 6%
44. Saint-Maurice–Champlain LPC likely 5%
45. Charlesbourg–Haute-Saint-Charles CPC likely 4%
46. Rosemont–La Petite-Patrie Toss up 2%
47. Marc-Aurèle-Fortin LPC likely <1%
Rank Electoral districts Projection
1. Bécancour–Nicolet–Saurel BQ safe
2. Montcalm BQ safe
3. Joliette BQ safe
4. Manicouagan BQ safe
5. Drummond BQ safe
6. Berthier–Maskinongé BQ safe
7. Rivière-du-Nord BQ safe
8. Beloeil–Chambly BQ safe
9. Mirabel BQ likely
10. Repentigny BQ likely
11. Saint-Hyacinthe–Bagot BQ likely
12. Jonquière BQ likely
13. Pierre-Boucher–Les Patriotes–Verchères BQ likely
14. Lac-Saint-Jean BQ likely
15. Terrebonne BQ likely
16. Salaberry–Suroît BQ likely
17. La Pointe-de-l`Île BQ leaning
18. Rimouski-Neigette–Témiscouata–Les Basques BQ leaning
19. Avignon–La Mitis–Matane–Matapédia BQ leaning
20. Abitibi–Témiscamingue BQ leaning
21. Saint-Jean BQ leaning
22. Beauport-Côte-de-Beaupré-Île d`Orléans-Charlevoix BQ leaning
23. Laurentides–Labelle BQ leaning
24. Montarville Toss up
25. Abitibi–Baie-James–Nunavik–Eeyou Toss up
26. Longueuil–Saint-Hubert Toss up
27. Rivière-des-Mille-Îles Toss up
28. Thérèse-De Blainville Toss up
29. La Prairie Toss up
30. Trois-Rivières Toss up
31. Beauport–Limoilou Toss up
32. Shefford Toss up
33. Chicoutimi–Le Fjord Toss up
34. Québec LPC leaning
35. Hochelaga LPC leaning
36. Châteauguay–Lacolle LPC leaning
37. Argenteuil–La Petite-Nation LPC leaning
38. Gaspésie–Les Îles-de-la-Madeleine LPC leaning
39. Longueuil–Charles-LeMoyne LPC leaning
40. Sherbrooke LPC leaning
41. Brome–Missisquoi LPC likely
42. Montmagny–L`Islet–Kamouraska–Rivière-du-Loup CPC likely
43. Compton–Stanstead LPC likely
44. Saint-Maurice–Champlain LPC likely
45. Charlesbourg–Haute-Saint-Charles CPC likely
46. Rosemont–La Petite-Patrie Toss up
47. Marc-Aurèle-Fortin LPC likely



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