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Alberta

Parti conservateur uni





Dernière mise à jour: 20 janvier 2024

ChefDanielle Smith
Proportion du suffrage en 201954,9%
Projection de vote actuelle52,3% ± 4,8%
Nombre actuel de députés-es49
Projection de sièges actuelle52 [41-63]

Projection du vote | 20 janvier 2024

41% 42% 43% 44% 45% 46% 47% 48% 49% 50% 51% 52% 53% 54% 55% 56% 57% 58% 59% 60% 61% 62% 8% 7% 6% 5% 4% 3% 2% 1% Min. 47,5% 52,3% ± 4,8% 2019 54,9% Max. 57,1% Probabilités % PCU

Projection de sièges | 20 janvier 2024

27 32 37 42 47 52 57 62 67 72 7% 6% 5% 4% 3% 2% 1% Min. 41 Majorité 44 sièges 52 Max. 63 2019 63 sièges Probabilités % PCU

Liste des circonscriptions favorables | Parti conservateur uni



Rang Circonscriptions Parti actuel Dernière projection Probabilités de victoire
1. Drumheller-Stettler PCU solide >99%
2. Central Peace-Notley PCU solide >99%
3. Grande Prairie-Wapiti PCU solide >99%
4. Taber-Warner PCU solide >99%
5. Olds-Didsbury-Three Hills PCU solide >99%
6. Bonnyville-Cold Lake-St. Paul PCU solide >99%
7. Vermillion-Lloydminster-Wainwright PCU solide >99%
8. Chestermere-Strathmore PCU solide >99%
9. Athabasca-Barrhead-Westlock PCU solide >99%
10. Drayton Valley-Devon PCU solide >99%
11. Fort McMurray-Lac La Biche PCU solide >99%
12. Peace River PCU solide >99%
13. Innisfail-Sylvan Lake PCU solide >99%
14. West Yellowhead PCU solide >99%
15. Cardston-Siksika PCU solide >99%
16. Rimbey-Rocky Mountain House-Sundre PCU solide >99%
17. Lac Ste. Anne-Parkland PCU solide >99%
18. Highwood PCU solide >99%
19. Fort McMurray-Wood Buffalo PCU solide >99%
20. Maskwacis-Wetaskiwin PCU solide >99%
21. Livingston-Macleod PCU solide >99%
22. Lacombe-Ponoka PCU solide >99%
23. Brooks-Medicine Hat PCU solide >99%
24. Airdrie East PCU solide >99%
25. Airdrie-Cochrane PCU solide >99%
26. Camrose PCU solide >99%
27. Calgary-South East PCU solide >99%
28. Grande Prairie PCU solide >99%
29. Cypress-Medicine Hat PCU probable >99%
30. Spruce Grove-Stony Plain PCU probable >99%
31. Leduc-Beaumont PCU probable >99%
32. Calgary-West PCU probable >99%
33. Lesser Slave Lake PCU probable >99%
34. Calgary-Lougheed PCU probable >99%
35. Calgary-Shaw PCU probable >99%
36. Calgary-Hays PCU probable >99%
37. Calgary-Peigan PCU probable 99%
38. Fort Saskatchewan-Vegreville PCU probable 98%
39. Calgary-Fish Creek PCU probable 97%
40. Strathcona-Sherwood Park PCU probable 95%
41. Red Deer-North PCU probable 95%
42. Morinville-St. Albert PCU probable 91%
43. Calgary-East PCU enclin 88%
44. Red Deer-South PCU enclin 85%
45. Calgary-Cross PCU enclin 83%
46. Calgary-North West PCU enclin 75%
47. Calgary-Bow PCU enclin 74%
48. Calgary-North PCU enclin 74%
49. Calgary-Acadia PCU enclin (gain) 71%
50. Calgary-Glenmore PCU enclin (gain) 71%
51. Calgary-Foothills Pivot PCU/NPD 65%
52. Calgary-Edgemont Pivot PCU/NPD 60%
53. Calgary-Elbow Pivot PCU/NPD 49%
54. Calgary-Klein Pivot PCU/NPD 49%
55. Calgary-Beddington Pivot PCU/NPD 44%
56. Lethbridge-East Pivot PCU/NPD 39%
57. Sherwood Park NPD enclin 29%
58. Calgary-North East NPD enclin 20%
59. Edmonton-Decore NPD enclin 13%
60. Banff-Kananaskis NPD enclin 11%
61. Edmonton-South West NPD probable 8%
62. Edmonton-Castle Downs NPD probable 7%
63. Calgary-Bhullar-McCall NPD probable 7%
64. Calgary-Falconridge NPD probable 4%
65. Calgary-Currie NPD probable 4%
66. Edmonton-Beverly-Clareview NPD probable 3%
67. Edmonton-West Henday NPD probable 2%
68. Calgary-Varsity NPD probable 2%
69. Edmonton-South NPD probable 1%
70. St. Albert NPD probable 1%
71. Edmonton-Manning NPD probable 1%
72. Edmonton-McClung NPD probable 1%
73. Edmonton-North West NPD probable 1%
Rang Circonscriptions Projection
1. Drumheller-Stettler PCU solide
2. Central Peace-Notley PCU solide
3. Grande Prairie-Wapiti PCU solide
4. Taber-Warner PCU solide
5. Olds-Didsbury-Three Hills PCU solide
6. Bonnyville-Cold Lake-St. Paul PCU solide
7. Vermillion-Lloydminster-Wainwright PCU solide
8. Chestermere-Strathmore PCU solide
9. Athabasca-Barrhead-Westlock PCU solide
10. Drayton Valley-Devon PCU solide
11. Fort McMurray-Lac La Biche PCU solide
12. Peace River PCU solide
13. Innisfail-Sylvan Lake PCU solide
14. West Yellowhead PCU solide
15. Cardston-Siksika PCU solide
16. Rimbey-Rocky Mountain House-Sundre PCU solide
17. Lac Ste. Anne-Parkland PCU solide
18. Highwood PCU solide
19. Fort McMurray-Wood Buffalo PCU solide
20. Maskwacis-Wetaskiwin PCU solide
21. Livingston-Macleod PCU solide
22. Lacombe-Ponoka PCU solide
23. Brooks-Medicine Hat PCU solide
24. Airdrie East PCU solide
25. Airdrie-Cochrane PCU solide
26. Camrose PCU solide
27. Calgary-South East PCU solide
28. Grande Prairie PCU solide
29. Cypress-Medicine Hat PCU probable
30. Spruce Grove-Stony Plain PCU probable
31. Leduc-Beaumont PCU probable
32. Calgary-West PCU probable
33. Lesser Slave Lake PCU probable
34. Calgary-Lougheed PCU probable
35. Calgary-Shaw PCU probable
36. Calgary-Hays PCU probable
37. Calgary-Peigan PCU probable
38. Fort Saskatchewan-Vegreville PCU probable
39. Calgary-Fish Creek PCU probable
40. Strathcona-Sherwood Park PCU probable
41. Red Deer-North PCU probable
42. Morinville-St. Albert PCU probable
43. Calgary-East PCU enclin
44. Red Deer-South PCU enclin
45. Calgary-Cross PCU enclin
46. Calgary-North West PCU enclin
47. Calgary-Bow PCU enclin
48. Calgary-North PCU enclin
49. Calgary-Acadia PCU enclin (gain)
50. Calgary-Glenmore PCU enclin (gain)
51. Calgary-Foothills Pivot PCU/NPD
52. Calgary-Edgemont Pivot PCU/NPD
53. Calgary-Elbow Pivot PCU/NPD
54. Calgary-Klein Pivot PCU/NPD
55. Calgary-Beddington Pivot PCU/NPD
56. Lethbridge-East Pivot PCU/NPD
57. Sherwood Park NPD enclin
58. Calgary-North East NPD enclin
59. Edmonton-Decore NPD enclin
60. Banff-Kananaskis NPD enclin
61. Edmonton-South West NPD probable
62. Edmonton-Castle Downs NPD probable
63. Calgary-Bhullar-McCall NPD probable
64. Calgary-Falconridge NPD probable
65. Calgary-Currie NPD probable
66. Edmonton-Beverly-Clareview NPD probable
67. Edmonton-West Henday NPD probable
68. Calgary-Varsity NPD probable
69. Edmonton-South NPD probable
70. St. Albert NPD probable
71. Edmonton-Manning NPD probable
72. Edmonton-McClung NPD probable
73. Edmonton-North West NPD probable