Parti conservateur uni
Dernière mise à jour: 25 mars 2023
| Chef | Danielle Smith |
| Proportion du suffrage en 2019 | 54,9% |
| Projection de vote actuelle | 45,9% ± 5,8% |
| Nombre actuel de députés-es | 60 |
| Projection de sièges actuelle | 46 [36-57] |
Projection du vote | 25 mars 2023
Projection de sièges | 25 mars 2023
Liste des circonscriptions favorables | Parti conservateur uni
| Rang | Circonscriptions | Parti actuel | Dernière projection | Probabilités de victoire |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | Drumheller-Stettler | |
PCU solide | >99% |
| 2. | Taber-Warner | |
PCU solide | >99% |
| 3. | Olds-Didsbury-Three Hills | |
PCU solide | >99% |
| 4. | Vermillion-Lloydminster-Wainwright | |
PCU solide | >99% |
| 5. | Cardston-Siksika | |
PCU solide | >99% |
| 6. | Grande Prairie-Wapiti | |
PCU solide | >99% |
| 7. | Bonnyville-Cold Lake-St. Paul | |
PCU solide | >99% |
| 8. | Innisfail-Sylvan Lake | |
PCU solide | >99% |
| 9. | Athabasca-Barrhead | |
PCU solide | >99% |
| 10. | Drayton Valley-Devon | |
PCU solide | >99% |
| 11. | Rimbey-Rocky Mountain House-Sundre | |
PCU solide | >99% |
| 12. | Chestermere-Strathmore | |
PCU solide | >99% |
| 13. | Camrose | |
PCU solide | >99% |
| 14. | Central Peace-Notley | |
PCU solide | >99% |
| 15. | Highwood | |
PCU solide | >99% |
| 16. | Fort McMurray-Wood Buffalo | |
PCU solide | >99% |
| 17. | Livingston-Macleod | |
PCU solide | >99% |
| 18. | Lacombe-Ponoka | |
PCU solide | >99% |
| 19. | Airdrie East | |
PCU solide | >99% |
| 20. | West Yellowhead | |
PCU solide | >99% |
| 21. | Calgary-South East | |
PCU solide | >99% |
| 22. | Peace River | |
PCU solide | >99% |
| 23. | Airdrie-Cochrane | |
PCU probable | >99% |
| 24. | Cypress-Medicine Hat |  |
PCU probable | >99% |
| 25. | Fort McMurray-Lac La Biche | |
PCU probable | 99% |
| 26. | Brooks-Medicine Hat | |
PCU probable | 99% |
| 27. | Grande Prairie | |
PCU probable | 99% |
| 28. | Leduc-Beaumont | |
PCU probable | 99% |
| 29. | Calgary-Lougheed |  |
PCU probable | 99% |
| 30. | Calgary-West | |
PCU probable | 98% |
| 31. | Lac Ste. Anne-Parkland | |
PCU probable | 98% |
| 32. | Calgary-Hays | |
PCU probable | 98% |
| 33. | Calgary-Shaw | |
PCU probable | 98% |
| 34. | Red Deer-North | |
PCU probable | 96% |
| 35. | Spruce Grove-Stony Plain | |
PCU probable | 95% |
| 36. | Maskwacis-Wetaskiwin | |
PCU probable | 94% |
| 37. | Calgary-Fish Creek | |
PCU enclin | 87% |
| 38. | Morinville-St. Albert | |
PCU enclin | 84% |
| 39. | Red Deer-South | |
PCU enclin | 83% |
| 40. | Calgary-Peigan | |
PCU enclin | 81% |
| 41. | Strathcona-Sherwood Park | |
PCU enclin | 76% |
| 42. | Lesser Slave Lake | |
PCU enclin | 71% |
| 43. | Fort Saskatchewan-Vegreville | |
Pivot PCU/NPD | 68% |
| 44. | Calgary-North | |
Pivot PCU/NPD | 59% |
| 45. | Calgary-Foothills | |
Pivot PCU/NPD | 54% |
| 46. | Calgary-North West | |
Pivot PCU/NPD | 52% |
| 47. | Calgary-Glenmore | |
Pivot PCU/NPD | 48% |
| 48. | Calgary-Elbow | |
Pivot PCU/NPD | 39% |
| 49. | Calgary-Bow | |
Pivot PCU/NPD | 32% |
| 50. | Calgary-East | |
NPD enclin (gain) | 27% |
| 51. | Calgary-Cross | |
NPD enclin (gain) | 26% |
| 52. | Calgary-Edgemont | |
NPD enclin (gain) | 25% |
| 53. | Lethbridge-East | |
NPD enclin (gain) | 24% |
| 54. | Edmonton-South West | |
NPD enclin (gain) | 21% |
| 55. | Sherwood Park | |
NPD enclin (gain) | 21% |
| 56. | Calgary-Acadia | |
NPD enclin (gain) | 19% |
| 57. | Banff-Kananaskis | |
NPD enclin (gain) | 19% |
| 58. | Calgary-North East | |
NPD enclin (gain) | 16% |
| 59. | Calgary-Beddington | |
NPD enclin (gain) | 15% |
| 60. | Calgary-Klein | |
NPD probable (gain) | 4% |
| 61. | Calgary-Currie | |
NPD probable (gain) | 2% |
| 62. | St. Albert |  |
NPD probable | 2% |
| 63. | Edmonton-West Henday | |
NPD probable | 1% |
| 64. | Calgary-Varsity | |
NPD probable (gain) | 1% |
| 65. | Calgary-Falconridge | |
NPD probable (gain) | 1% |
| Rang | Circonscriptions | Projection |
|---|---|---|
| 1. | Drumheller-Stettler | PCU solide |
| 2. | Taber-Warner | PCU solide |
| 3. | Olds-Didsbury-Three Hills | PCU solide |
| 4. | Vermillion-Lloydminster-Wainwright | PCU solide |
| 5. | Cardston-Siksika | PCU solide |
| 6. | Grande Prairie-Wapiti | PCU solide |
| 7. | Bonnyville-Cold Lake-St. Paul | PCU solide |
| 8. | Innisfail-Sylvan Lake | PCU solide |
| 9. | Athabasca-Barrhead | PCU solide |
| 10. | Drayton Valley-Devon | PCU solide |
| 11. | Rimbey-Rocky Mountain House-Sundre | PCU solide |
| 12. | Chestermere-Strathmore | PCU solide |
| 13. | Camrose | PCU solide |
| 14. | Central Peace-Notley | PCU solide |
| 15. | Highwood | PCU solide |
| 16. | Fort McMurray-Wood Buffalo | PCU solide |
| 17. | Livingston-Macleod | PCU solide |
| 18. | Lacombe-Ponoka | PCU solide |
| 19. | Airdrie East | PCU solide |
| 20. | West Yellowhead | PCU solide |
| 21. | Calgary-South East | PCU solide |
| 22. | Peace River | PCU solide |
| 23. | Airdrie-Cochrane | PCU probable |
| 24. | Cypress-Medicine Hat | PCU probable |
| 25. | Fort McMurray-Lac La Biche | PCU probable |
| 26. | Brooks-Medicine Hat | PCU probable |
| 27. | Grande Prairie | PCU probable |
| 28. | Leduc-Beaumont | PCU probable |
| 29. | Calgary-Lougheed | PCU probable |
| 30. | Calgary-West | PCU probable |
| 31. | Lac Ste. Anne-Parkland | PCU probable |
| 32. | Calgary-Hays | PCU probable |
| 33. | Calgary-Shaw | PCU probable |
| 34. | Red Deer-North | PCU probable |
| 35. | Spruce Grove-Stony Plain | PCU probable |
| 36. | Maskwacis-Wetaskiwin | PCU probable |
| 37. | Calgary-Fish Creek | PCU enclin |
| 38. | Morinville-St. Albert | PCU enclin |
| 39. | Red Deer-South | PCU enclin |
| 40. | Calgary-Peigan | PCU enclin |
| 41. | Strathcona-Sherwood Park | PCU enclin |
| 42. | Lesser Slave Lake | PCU enclin |
| 43. | Fort Saskatchewan-Vegreville | Pivot PCU/NPD |
| 44. | Calgary-North | Pivot PCU/NPD |
| 45. | Calgary-Foothills | Pivot PCU/NPD |
| 46. | Calgary-North West | Pivot PCU/NPD |
| 47. | Calgary-Glenmore | Pivot PCU/NPD |
| 48. | Calgary-Elbow | Pivot PCU/NPD |
| 49. | Calgary-Bow | Pivot PCU/NPD |
| 50. | Calgary-East | NPD enclin (gain) |
| 51. | Calgary-Cross | NPD enclin (gain) |
| 52. | Calgary-Edgemont | NPD enclin (gain) |
| 53. | Lethbridge-East | NPD enclin (gain) |
| 54. | Edmonton-South West | NPD enclin (gain) |
| 55. | Sherwood Park | NPD enclin (gain) |
| 56. | Calgary-Acadia | NPD enclin (gain) |
| 57. | Banff-Kananaskis | NPD enclin (gain) |
| 58. | Calgary-North East | NPD enclin (gain) |
| 59. | Calgary-Beddington | NPD enclin (gain) |
| 60. | Calgary-Klein | NPD probable (gain) |
| 61. | Calgary-Currie | NPD probable (gain) |
| 62. | St. Albert | NPD probable |
| 63. | Edmonton-West Henday | NPD probable |
| 64. | Calgary-Varsity | NPD probable (gain) |
| 65. | Calgary-Falconridge | NPD probable (gain) |