Alberta

Parti conservateur uni





Dernière mise à jour: 2 novembre 2025

ChefDanielle Smith
Proportion du suffrage en 202352,6%
Projection de vote actuelle52,1% ± 4,9%
Nombre actuel de députés-es48
Projection de sièges actuelle59 [44-72]

Projection du vote | 2 novembre 2025

41% 42% 43% 44% 45% 46% 47% 48% 49% 50% 51% 52% 53% 54% 55% 56% 57% 58% 59% 60% 61% 62% 8% 7% 6% 5% 4% 3% 2% 1% Min. 47,2% 52,1% ± 4,9% 2023 52,6% Max. 57,0% Probabilités % PCU

Projection de sièges | 2 novembre 2025

27 32 37 42 47 52 57 62 67 72 77 82 5% 4% 3% 2% 1% Min. 44 Majorité 44 sièges 2023 49 sièges 59 Max. 72 Probabilités % PCU

Liste des circonscriptions favorables | Parti conservateur uni



Rang Circonscriptions Parti actuel Dernière projection Probabilités de victoire
1. Drumheller-Stettler PCU solide >99%
2. Central Peace-Notley PCU solide >99%
3. Chestermere-Strathmore PCU solide >99%
4. Rimbey-Rocky Mountain House-Sundre PCU solide >99%
5. Cardston-Siksika PCU solide >99%
6. Grande Prairie-Wapiti PCU solide >99%
7. Olds-Didsbury-Three Hills PCU solide >99%
8. Bonnyville-Cold Lake-St. Paul PCU solide >99%
9. Vermillion-Lloydminster-Wainwright PCU solide >99%
10. Drayton Valley-Devon PCU solide >99%
11. Peace River PCU solide >99%
12. Athabasca-Barrhead-Westlock PCU solide >99%
13. Fort McMurray-Lac La Biche PCU solide >99%
14. Innisfail-Sylvan Lake PCU solide >99%
15. Taber-Warner PCU solide >99%
16. Fort McMurray-Wood Buffalo PCU solide >99%
17. West Yellowhead PCU solide >99%
18. Maskwacis-Wetaskiwin PCU solide >99%
19. Airdrie East PCU solide >99%
20. Lac Ste. Anne-Parkland PCU solide >99%
21. Highwood PCU solide >99%
22. Airdrie-Cochrane PCU solide >99%
23. Spruce Grove-Stony Plain PCU solide >99%
24. Calgary-South East PCU solide >99%
25. Livingston-Macleod PCU solide >99%
26. Camrose PCU solide >99%
27. Brooks-Medicine Hat PCU solide >99%
28. Lacombe-Ponoka PCU solide >99%
29. Leduc-Beaumont PCU solide >99%
30. Grande Prairie PCU solide >99%
31. Strathcona-Sherwood Park PCU solide >99%
32. Calgary-Shaw PCU solide >99%
33. Calgary-Lougheed PCU solide >99%
34. Calgary-West PCU solide >99%
35. Calgary-Hays PCU solide >99%
36. Calgary-Peigan PCU solide >99%
37. Cypress-Medicine Hat PCU probable >99%
38. Morinville-St. Albert PCU probable >99%
39. Lesser Slave Lake PCU probable >99%
40. Calgary-Fish Creek PCU probable 99%
41. Fort Saskatchewan-Vegreville PCU probable 99%
42. Red Deer-North PCU probable 96%
43. Calgary-East PCU probable 95%
44. Calgary-Cross PCU probable 93%
45. Red Deer-South PCU enclin 88%
46. Calgary-North West PCU enclin 87%
47. Calgary-North PCU enclin 87%
48. Calgary-Bow PCU enclin 87%
49. Calgary-Glenmore PCU enclin (gain) 86%
50. Calgary-Acadia PCU enclin (gain) 86%
51. Sherwood Park PCU enclin (gain) 84%
52. Calgary-Foothills PCU enclin (gain) 82%
53. Calgary-Edgemont PCU enclin (gain) 76%
54. Calgary-Klein Pivot PCU/NPD 68%
55. Calgary-Elbow Pivot PCU/NPD 63%
56. Calgary-Beddington Pivot PCU/NPD 62%
57. Edmonton-Decore Pivot PCU/NPD 60%
58. Edmonton-South West Pivot PCU/NPD 57%
59. Edmonton-Castle Downs Pivot PCU/NPD 51%
60. Lethbridge-East Pivot PCU/NPD 46%
61. Calgary-North East Pivot PCU/NPD 36%
62. Edmonton-West Henday NPD enclin 29%
63. Edmonton-Beverly-Clareview NPD enclin 28%
64. Edmonton-South NPD enclin 25%
65. St. Albert NPD enclin 22%
66. Edmonton-Manning NPD enclin 18%
67. Edmonton-North West NPD enclin 16%
68. Edmonton-McClung NPD enclin 15%
69. Edmonton-Mill Woods NPD enclin 15%
70. Calgary-Bhullar-McCall NPD enclin 15%
71. Banff-Kananaskis NPD enclin 14%
72. Calgary-Currie NPD probable 10%
73. Calgary-Falconridge NPD probable 10%
74. Edmonton-Ellerslie NPD probable 8%
75. Edmonton-Whitemud NPD probable 8%
76. Calgary-Varsity NPD probable 6%
77. Edmonton-Meadows NPD probable 6%
78. Lethbridge-West NPD probable 3%
Rang Circonscriptions Projection
1. Drumheller-Stettler PCU solide
2. Central Peace-Notley PCU solide
3. Chestermere-Strathmore PCU solide
4. Rimbey-Rocky Mountain House-Sundre PCU solide
5. Cardston-Siksika PCU solide
6. Grande Prairie-Wapiti PCU solide
7. Olds-Didsbury-Three Hills PCU solide
8. Bonnyville-Cold Lake-St. Paul PCU solide
9. Vermillion-Lloydminster-Wainwright PCU solide
10. Drayton Valley-Devon PCU solide
11. Peace River PCU solide
12. Athabasca-Barrhead-Westlock PCU solide
13. Fort McMurray-Lac La Biche PCU solide
14. Innisfail-Sylvan Lake PCU solide
15. Taber-Warner PCU solide
16. Fort McMurray-Wood Buffalo PCU solide
17. West Yellowhead PCU solide
18. Maskwacis-Wetaskiwin PCU solide
19. Airdrie East PCU solide
20. Lac Ste. Anne-Parkland PCU solide
21. Highwood PCU solide
22. Airdrie-Cochrane PCU solide
23. Spruce Grove-Stony Plain PCU solide
24. Calgary-South East PCU solide
25. Livingston-Macleod PCU solide
26. Camrose PCU solide
27. Brooks-Medicine Hat PCU solide
28. Lacombe-Ponoka PCU solide
29. Leduc-Beaumont PCU solide
30. Grande Prairie PCU solide
31. Strathcona-Sherwood Park PCU solide
32. Calgary-Shaw PCU solide
33. Calgary-Lougheed PCU solide
34. Calgary-West PCU solide
35. Calgary-Hays PCU solide
36. Calgary-Peigan PCU solide
37. Cypress-Medicine Hat PCU probable
38. Morinville-St. Albert PCU probable
39. Lesser Slave Lake PCU probable
40. Calgary-Fish Creek PCU probable
41. Fort Saskatchewan-Vegreville PCU probable
42. Red Deer-North PCU probable
43. Calgary-East PCU probable
44. Calgary-Cross PCU probable
45. Red Deer-South PCU enclin
46. Calgary-North West PCU enclin
47. Calgary-North PCU enclin
48. Calgary-Bow PCU enclin
49. Calgary-Glenmore PCU enclin (gain)
50. Calgary-Acadia PCU enclin (gain)
51. Sherwood Park PCU enclin (gain)
52. Calgary-Foothills PCU enclin (gain)
53. Calgary-Edgemont PCU enclin (gain)
54. Calgary-Klein Pivot PCU/NPD
55. Calgary-Elbow Pivot PCU/NPD
56. Calgary-Beddington Pivot PCU/NPD
57. Edmonton-Decore Pivot PCU/NPD
58. Edmonton-South West Pivot PCU/NPD
59. Edmonton-Castle Downs Pivot PCU/NPD
60. Lethbridge-East Pivot PCU/NPD
61. Calgary-North East Pivot PCU/NPD
62. Edmonton-West Henday NPD enclin
63. Edmonton-Beverly-Clareview NPD enclin
64. Edmonton-South NPD enclin
65. St. Albert NPD enclin
66. Edmonton-Manning NPD enclin
67. Edmonton-North West NPD enclin
68. Edmonton-McClung NPD enclin
69. Edmonton-Mill Woods NPD enclin
70. Calgary-Bhullar-McCall NPD enclin
71. Banff-Kananaskis NPD enclin
72. Calgary-Currie NPD probable
73. Calgary-Falconridge NPD probable
74. Edmonton-Ellerslie NPD probable
75. Edmonton-Whitemud NPD probable
76. Calgary-Varsity NPD probable
77. Edmonton-Meadows NPD probable
78. Lethbridge-West NPD probable