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Alberta

Parti conservateur uni





Dernière mise à jour: 7 juillet 2024

ChefDanielle Smith
Proportion du suffrage en 202352,6%
Projection de vote actuelle53,9% ± 4,8%
Nombre actuel de députés-es49
Projection de sièges actuelle59 [42-72]

Projection du vote | 7 juillet 2024

43% 44% 45% 46% 47% 48% 49% 50% 51% 52% 53% 54% 55% 56% 57% 58% 59% 60% 61% 62% 63% 64% 8% 7% 6% 5% 4% 3% 2% 1% Min. 49,1% 2023 52,6% 53,9% ± 4,8% Max. 58,7% Probabilités % PCU

Projection de sièges | 7 juillet 2024

23 28 33 38 43 48 53 58 63 68 73 78 83 5% 4% 3% 2% 1% Min. 42 Majorité 44 sièges 2023 49 sièges 59 Max. 72 Probabilités % PCU

Liste des circonscriptions favorables | Parti conservateur uni



Rang Circonscriptions Parti actuel Dernière projection Probabilités de victoire
1. Drumheller-Stettler PCU solide >99%
2. Central Peace-Notley PCU solide >99%
3. Olds-Didsbury-Three Hills PCU solide >99%
4. Taber-Warner PCU solide >99%
5. Grande Prairie-Wapiti PCU solide >99%
6. Bonnyville-Cold Lake-St. Paul PCU solide >99%
7. Vermillion-Lloydminster-Wainwright PCU solide >99%
8. Athabasca-Barrhead-Westlock PCU solide >99%
9. Drayton Valley-Devon PCU solide >99%
10. Peace River PCU solide >99%
11. Fort McMurray-Lac La Biche PCU solide >99%
12. Chestermere-Strathmore PCU solide >99%
13. West Yellowhead PCU solide >99%
14. Innisfail-Sylvan Lake PCU solide >99%
15. Rimbey-Rocky Mountain House-Sundre PCU solide >99%
16. Cardston-Siksika PCU solide >99%
17. Lac Ste. Anne-Parkland PCU solide >99%
18. Highwood PCU solide >99%
19. Maskwacis-Wetaskiwin PCU solide >99%
20. Fort McMurray-Wood Buffalo PCU solide >99%
21. Livingston-Macleod PCU solide >99%
22. Lacombe-Ponoka PCU solide >99%
23. Spruce Grove-Stony Plain PCU solide >99%
24. Brooks-Medicine Hat PCU solide >99%
25. Leduc-Beaumont PCU solide >99%
26. Airdrie East PCU solide >99%
27. Camrose PCU solide >99%
28. Airdrie-Cochrane PCU solide >99%
29. Grande Prairie PCU solide >99%
30. Calgary-South East PCU solide >99%
31. Strathcona-Sherwood Park PCU solide >99%
32. Cypress-Medicine Hat PCU solide >99%
33. Lesser Slave Lake PCU probable >99%
34. Morinville-St. Albert PCU probable >99%
35. Calgary-West PCU probable >99%
36. Calgary-Lougheed PCU probable >99%
37. Calgary-Shaw PCU probable >99%
38. Calgary-Hays PCU probable >99%
39. Calgary-Peigan PCU probable >99%
40. Fort Saskatchewan-Vegreville PCU probable 99%
41. Red Deer-North PCU probable 98%
42. Calgary-Fish Creek PCU probable 98%
43. Red Deer-South PCU probable 92%
44. Calgary-East PCU enclin 90%
45. Calgary-Cross PCU enclin 85%
46. Sherwood Park PCU enclin (gain) 85%
47. Calgary-North West PCU enclin 77%
48. Calgary-Bow PCU enclin 77%
49. Calgary-North PCU enclin 75%
50. Calgary-Acadia PCU enclin (gain) 74%
51. Calgary-Glenmore PCU enclin (gain) 74%
52. Calgary-Foothills Pivot PCU/NPD 67%
53. Calgary-Edgemont Pivot PCU/NPD 63%
54. Edmonton-Decore Pivot PCU/NPD 61%
55. Edmonton-South West Pivot PCU/NPD 57%
56. Lethbridge-East Pivot PCU/NPD 56%
57. Calgary-Elbow Pivot PCU/NPD 52%
58. Calgary-Klein Pivot PCU/NPD 52%
59. Edmonton-Castle Downs Pivot PCU/NPD 52%
60. Calgary-Beddington Pivot PCU/NPD 48%
61. Edmonton-West Henday Pivot PCU/NPD 30%
62. Edmonton-Beverly-Clareview NPD enclin 29%
63. Edmonton-South NPD enclin 27%
64. St. Albert NPD enclin 22%
65. Banff-Kananaskis NPD enclin 22%
66. Calgary-North East NPD enclin 21%
67. Edmonton-Manning NPD enclin 19%
68. Edmonton-North West NPD enclin 17%
69. Edmonton-McClung NPD enclin 16%
70. Edmonton-Mill Woods NPD enclin 16%
71. Edmonton-Ellerslie NPD probable 9%
72. Edmonton-Whitemud NPD probable 8%
73. Calgary-Bhullar-McCall NPD probable 8%
74. Edmonton-Meadows NPD probable 6%
75. Calgary-Currie NPD probable 5%
76. Calgary-Falconridge NPD probable 5%
77. Calgary-Varsity NPD probable 2%
78. Lethbridge-West NPD probable 1%
Rang Circonscriptions Projection
1. Drumheller-Stettler PCU solide
2. Central Peace-Notley PCU solide
3. Olds-Didsbury-Three Hills PCU solide
4. Taber-Warner PCU solide
5. Grande Prairie-Wapiti PCU solide
6. Bonnyville-Cold Lake-St. Paul PCU solide
7. Vermillion-Lloydminster-Wainwright PCU solide
8. Athabasca-Barrhead-Westlock PCU solide
9. Drayton Valley-Devon PCU solide
10. Peace River PCU solide
11. Fort McMurray-Lac La Biche PCU solide
12. Chestermere-Strathmore PCU solide
13. West Yellowhead PCU solide
14. Innisfail-Sylvan Lake PCU solide
15. Rimbey-Rocky Mountain House-Sundre PCU solide
16. Cardston-Siksika PCU solide
17. Lac Ste. Anne-Parkland PCU solide
18. Highwood PCU solide
19. Maskwacis-Wetaskiwin PCU solide
20. Fort McMurray-Wood Buffalo PCU solide
21. Livingston-Macleod PCU solide
22. Lacombe-Ponoka PCU solide
23. Spruce Grove-Stony Plain PCU solide
24. Brooks-Medicine Hat PCU solide
25. Leduc-Beaumont PCU solide
26. Airdrie East PCU solide
27. Camrose PCU solide
28. Airdrie-Cochrane PCU solide
29. Grande Prairie PCU solide
30. Calgary-South East PCU solide
31. Strathcona-Sherwood Park PCU solide
32. Cypress-Medicine Hat PCU solide
33. Lesser Slave Lake PCU probable
34. Morinville-St. Albert PCU probable
35. Calgary-West PCU probable
36. Calgary-Lougheed PCU probable
37. Calgary-Shaw PCU probable
38. Calgary-Hays PCU probable
39. Calgary-Peigan PCU probable
40. Fort Saskatchewan-Vegreville PCU probable
41. Red Deer-North PCU probable
42. Calgary-Fish Creek PCU probable
43. Red Deer-South PCU probable
44. Calgary-East PCU enclin
45. Calgary-Cross PCU enclin
46. Sherwood Park PCU enclin (gain)
47. Calgary-North West PCU enclin
48. Calgary-Bow PCU enclin
49. Calgary-North PCU enclin
50. Calgary-Acadia PCU enclin (gain)
51. Calgary-Glenmore PCU enclin (gain)
52. Calgary-Foothills Pivot PCU/NPD
53. Calgary-Edgemont Pivot PCU/NPD
54. Edmonton-Decore Pivot PCU/NPD
55. Edmonton-South West Pivot PCU/NPD
56. Lethbridge-East Pivot PCU/NPD
57. Calgary-Elbow Pivot PCU/NPD
58. Calgary-Klein Pivot PCU/NPD
59. Edmonton-Castle Downs Pivot PCU/NPD
60. Calgary-Beddington Pivot PCU/NPD
61. Edmonton-West Henday Pivot PCU/NPD
62. Edmonton-Beverly-Clareview NPD enclin
63. Edmonton-South NPD enclin
64. St. Albert NPD enclin
65. Banff-Kananaskis NPD enclin
66. Calgary-North East NPD enclin
67. Edmonton-Manning NPD enclin
68. Edmonton-North West NPD enclin
69. Edmonton-McClung NPD enclin
70. Edmonton-Mill Woods NPD enclin
71. Edmonton-Ellerslie NPD probable
72. Edmonton-Whitemud NPD probable
73. Calgary-Bhullar-McCall NPD probable
74. Edmonton-Meadows NPD probable
75. Calgary-Currie NPD probable
76. Calgary-Falconridge NPD probable
77. Calgary-Varsity NPD probable
78. Lethbridge-West NPD probable