Parti conservateur uni

Dernière mise à jour: 25 mars 2023
Chef | Danielle Smith |
Proportion du suffrage en 2019 | 54,9% |
Projection de vote actuelle | 45,9% ± 5,8% |
Nombre actuel de députés-es | 60 |
Projection de sièges actuelle | 46 [36-57] |
Projection du vote | 25 mars 2023
Projection de sièges | 25 mars 2023
Liste des circonscriptions favorables | Parti conservateur uni
Rang | Circonscriptions | Parti actuel | Dernière projection | Probabilités de victoire |
---|---|---|---|---|
1. | Drumheller-Stettler | ![]() |
PCU solide | >99% |
2. | Taber-Warner | ![]() |
PCU solide | >99% |
3. | Olds-Didsbury-Three Hills | ![]() |
PCU solide | >99% |
4. | Vermillion-Lloydminster-Wainwright | ![]() |
PCU solide | >99% |
5. | Cardston-Siksika | ![]() |
PCU solide | >99% |
6. | Grande Prairie-Wapiti | ![]() |
PCU solide | >99% |
7. | Bonnyville-Cold Lake-St. Paul | ![]() |
PCU solide | >99% |
8. | Innisfail-Sylvan Lake | ![]() |
PCU solide | >99% |
9. | Athabasca-Barrhead | ![]() |
PCU solide | >99% |
10. | Drayton Valley-Devon | ![]() |
PCU solide | >99% |
11. | Rimbey-Rocky Mountain House-Sundre | ![]() |
PCU solide | >99% |
12. | Chestermere-Strathmore | ![]() |
PCU solide | >99% |
13. | Camrose | ![]() |
PCU solide | >99% |
14. | Central Peace-Notley | ![]() |
PCU solide | >99% |
15. | Highwood | ![]() |
PCU solide | >99% |
16. | Fort McMurray-Wood Buffalo | ![]() |
PCU solide | >99% |
17. | Livingston-Macleod | ![]() |
PCU solide | >99% |
18. | Lacombe-Ponoka | ![]() |
PCU solide | >99% |
19. | Airdrie East | ![]() |
PCU solide | >99% |
20. | West Yellowhead | ![]() |
PCU solide | >99% |
21. | Calgary-South East | ![]() |
PCU solide | >99% |
22. | Peace River | ![]() |
PCU solide | >99% |
23. | Airdrie-Cochrane | ![]() |
PCU probable | >99% |
24. | Cypress-Medicine Hat | ![]() |
PCU probable | >99% |
25. | Fort McMurray-Lac La Biche | ![]() |
PCU probable | 99% |
26. | Brooks-Medicine Hat | ![]() |
PCU probable | 99% |
27. | Grande Prairie | ![]() |
PCU probable | 99% |
28. | Leduc-Beaumont | ![]() |
PCU probable | 99% |
29. | Calgary-Lougheed | ![]() |
PCU probable | 99% |
30. | Calgary-West | ![]() |
PCU probable | 98% |
31. | Lac Ste. Anne-Parkland | ![]() |
PCU probable | 98% |
32. | Calgary-Hays | ![]() |
PCU probable | 98% |
33. | Calgary-Shaw | ![]() |
PCU probable | 98% |
34. | Red Deer-North | ![]() |
PCU probable | 96% |
35. | Spruce Grove-Stony Plain | ![]() |
PCU probable | 95% |
36. | Maskwacis-Wetaskiwin | ![]() |
PCU probable | 94% |
37. | Calgary-Fish Creek | ![]() |
PCU enclin | 87% |
38. | Morinville-St. Albert | ![]() |
PCU enclin | 84% |
39. | Red Deer-South | ![]() |
PCU enclin | 83% |
40. | Calgary-Peigan | ![]() |
PCU enclin | 81% |
41. | Strathcona-Sherwood Park | ![]() |
PCU enclin | 76% |
42. | Lesser Slave Lake | ![]() |
PCU enclin | 71% |
43. | Fort Saskatchewan-Vegreville | ![]() |
Pivot PCU/NPD | 68% |
44. | Calgary-North | ![]() |
Pivot PCU/NPD | 59% |
45. | Calgary-Foothills | ![]() |
Pivot PCU/NPD | 54% |
46. | Calgary-North West | ![]() |
Pivot PCU/NPD | 52% |
47. | Calgary-Glenmore | ![]() |
Pivot PCU/NPD | 48% |
48. | Calgary-Elbow | ![]() |
Pivot PCU/NPD | 39% |
49. | Calgary-Bow | ![]() |
Pivot PCU/NPD | 32% |
50. | Calgary-East | ![]() |
NPD enclin (gain) | 27% |
51. | Calgary-Cross | ![]() |
NPD enclin (gain) | 26% |
52. | Calgary-Edgemont | ![]() |
NPD enclin (gain) | 25% |
53. | Lethbridge-East | ![]() |
NPD enclin (gain) | 24% |
54. | Edmonton-South West | ![]() |
NPD enclin (gain) | 21% |
55. | Sherwood Park | ![]() |
NPD enclin (gain) | 21% |
56. | Calgary-Acadia | ![]() |
NPD enclin (gain) | 19% |
57. | Banff-Kananaskis | ![]() |
NPD enclin (gain) | 19% |
58. | Calgary-North East | ![]() |
NPD enclin (gain) | 16% |
59. | Calgary-Beddington | ![]() |
NPD enclin (gain) | 15% |
60. | Calgary-Klein | ![]() |
NPD probable (gain) | 4% |
61. | Calgary-Currie | ![]() |
NPD probable (gain) | 2% |
62. | St. Albert | NPD probable | 2% | |
63. | Edmonton-West Henday | NPD probable | 1% | |
64. | Calgary-Varsity | ![]() |
NPD probable (gain) | 1% |
65. | Calgary-Falconridge | ![]() |
NPD probable (gain) | 1% |
Rang | Circonscriptions | Projection |
---|---|---|
1. | Drumheller-Stettler | PCU solide |
2. | Taber-Warner | PCU solide |
3. | Olds-Didsbury-Three Hills | PCU solide |
4. | Vermillion-Lloydminster-Wainwright | PCU solide |
5. | Cardston-Siksika | PCU solide |
6. | Grande Prairie-Wapiti | PCU solide |
7. | Bonnyville-Cold Lake-St. Paul | PCU solide |
8. | Innisfail-Sylvan Lake | PCU solide |
9. | Athabasca-Barrhead | PCU solide |
10. | Drayton Valley-Devon | PCU solide |
11. | Rimbey-Rocky Mountain House-Sundre | PCU solide |
12. | Chestermere-Strathmore | PCU solide |
13. | Camrose | PCU solide |
14. | Central Peace-Notley | PCU solide |
15. | Highwood | PCU solide |
16. | Fort McMurray-Wood Buffalo | PCU solide |
17. | Livingston-Macleod | PCU solide |
18. | Lacombe-Ponoka | PCU solide |
19. | Airdrie East | PCU solide |
20. | West Yellowhead | PCU solide |
21. | Calgary-South East | PCU solide |
22. | Peace River | PCU solide |
23. | Airdrie-Cochrane | PCU probable |
24. | Cypress-Medicine Hat | PCU probable |
25. | Fort McMurray-Lac La Biche | PCU probable |
26. | Brooks-Medicine Hat | PCU probable |
27. | Grande Prairie | PCU probable |
28. | Leduc-Beaumont | PCU probable |
29. | Calgary-Lougheed | PCU probable |
30. | Calgary-West | PCU probable |
31. | Lac Ste. Anne-Parkland | PCU probable |
32. | Calgary-Hays | PCU probable |
33. | Calgary-Shaw | PCU probable |
34. | Red Deer-North | PCU probable |
35. | Spruce Grove-Stony Plain | PCU probable |
36. | Maskwacis-Wetaskiwin | PCU probable |
37. | Calgary-Fish Creek | PCU enclin |
38. | Morinville-St. Albert | PCU enclin |
39. | Red Deer-South | PCU enclin |
40. | Calgary-Peigan | PCU enclin |
41. | Strathcona-Sherwood Park | PCU enclin |
42. | Lesser Slave Lake | PCU enclin |
43. | Fort Saskatchewan-Vegreville | Pivot PCU/NPD |
44. | Calgary-North | Pivot PCU/NPD |
45. | Calgary-Foothills | Pivot PCU/NPD |
46. | Calgary-North West | Pivot PCU/NPD |
47. | Calgary-Glenmore | Pivot PCU/NPD |
48. | Calgary-Elbow | Pivot PCU/NPD |
49. | Calgary-Bow | Pivot PCU/NPD |
50. | Calgary-East | NPD enclin (gain) |
51. | Calgary-Cross | NPD enclin (gain) |
52. | Calgary-Edgemont | NPD enclin (gain) |
53. | Lethbridge-East | NPD enclin (gain) |
54. | Edmonton-South West | NPD enclin (gain) |
55. | Sherwood Park | NPD enclin (gain) |
56. | Calgary-Acadia | NPD enclin (gain) |
57. | Banff-Kananaskis | NPD enclin (gain) |
58. | Calgary-North East | NPD enclin (gain) |
59. | Calgary-Beddington | NPD enclin (gain) |
60. | Calgary-Klein | NPD probable (gain) |
61. | Calgary-Currie | NPD probable (gain) |
62. | St. Albert | NPD probable |
63. | Edmonton-West Henday | NPD probable |
64. | Calgary-Varsity | NPD probable (gain) |
65. | Calgary-Falconridge | NPD probable (gain) |