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Alberta

Parti conservateur uni





Dernière mise à jour: 25 mars 2023

ChefDanielle Smith
Proportion du suffrage en 201954,9%
Projection de vote actuelle45,9% ± 5,8%
Nombre actuel de députés-es60
Projection de sièges actuelle46 [36-57]

Projection du vote | 25 mars 2023

33% 35% 37% 39% 41% 43% 45% 47% 49% 51% 53% 55% 57% 6% 5% 4% 3% 2% 1% Min. 40,1% 45,9% ± 5,8% Max. 51,7% 2019 54,9% Probabilités % PCU

Projection de sièges | 25 mars 2023

23 28 33 38 43 48 53 58 63 68 6% 5% 4% 3% 2% 1% Min. 36 Majorité 44 sièges 46 Max. 57 2019 63 sièges Probabilités % PCU

Liste des circonscriptions favorables | Parti conservateur uni



Rang Circonscriptions Parti actuel Dernière projection Probabilités de victoire
1. Drumheller-Stettler PCU solide >99%
2. Taber-Warner PCU solide >99%
3. Olds-Didsbury-Three Hills PCU solide >99%
4. Vermillion-Lloydminster-Wainwright PCU solide >99%
5. Cardston-Siksika PCU solide >99%
6. Grande Prairie-Wapiti PCU solide >99%
7. Bonnyville-Cold Lake-St. Paul PCU solide >99%
8. Innisfail-Sylvan Lake PCU solide >99%
9. Athabasca-Barrhead PCU solide >99%
10. Drayton Valley-Devon PCU solide >99%
11. Rimbey-Rocky Mountain House-Sundre PCU solide >99%
12. Chestermere-Strathmore PCU solide >99%
13. Camrose PCU solide >99%
14. Central Peace-Notley PCU solide >99%
15. Highwood PCU solide >99%
16. Fort McMurray-Wood Buffalo PCU solide >99%
17. Livingston-Macleod PCU solide >99%
18. Lacombe-Ponoka PCU solide >99%
19. Airdrie East PCU solide >99%
20. West Yellowhead PCU solide >99%
21. Calgary-South East PCU solide >99%
22. Peace River PCU solide >99%
23. Airdrie-Cochrane PCU probable >99%
24. Cypress-Medicine Hat PCU probable >99%
25. Fort McMurray-Lac La Biche PCU probable 99%
26. Brooks-Medicine Hat PCU probable 99%
27. Grande Prairie PCU probable 99%
28. Leduc-Beaumont PCU probable 99%
29. Calgary-Lougheed PCU probable 99%
30. Calgary-West PCU probable 98%
31. Lac Ste. Anne-Parkland PCU probable 98%
32. Calgary-Hays PCU probable 98%
33. Calgary-Shaw PCU probable 98%
34. Red Deer-North PCU probable 96%
35. Spruce Grove-Stony Plain PCU probable 95%
36. Maskwacis-Wetaskiwin PCU probable 94%
37. Calgary-Fish Creek PCU enclin 87%
38. Morinville-St. Albert PCU enclin 84%
39. Red Deer-South PCU enclin 83%
40. Calgary-Peigan PCU enclin 81%
41. Strathcona-Sherwood Park PCU enclin 76%
42. Lesser Slave Lake PCU enclin 71%
43. Fort Saskatchewan-Vegreville Pivot PCU/NPD 68%
44. Calgary-North Pivot PCU/NPD 59%
45. Calgary-Foothills Pivot PCU/NPD 54%
46. Calgary-North West Pivot PCU/NPD 52%
47. Calgary-Glenmore Pivot PCU/NPD 48%
48. Calgary-Elbow Pivot PCU/NPD 39%
49. Calgary-Bow Pivot PCU/NPD 32%
50. Calgary-East NPD enclin (gain) 27%
51. Calgary-Cross NPD enclin (gain) 26%
52. Calgary-Edgemont NPD enclin (gain) 25%
53. Lethbridge-East NPD enclin (gain) 24%
54. Edmonton-South West NPD enclin (gain) 21%
55. Sherwood Park NPD enclin (gain) 21%
56. Calgary-Acadia NPD enclin (gain) 19%
57. Banff-Kananaskis NPD enclin (gain) 19%
58. Calgary-North East NPD enclin (gain) 16%
59. Calgary-Beddington NPD enclin (gain) 15%
60. Calgary-Klein NPD probable (gain) 4%
61. Calgary-Currie NPD probable (gain) 2%
62. St. Albert NPD probable 2%
63. Edmonton-West Henday NPD probable 1%
64. Calgary-Varsity NPD probable (gain) 1%
65. Calgary-Falconridge NPD probable (gain) 1%
Rang Circonscriptions Projection
1. Drumheller-Stettler PCU solide
2. Taber-Warner PCU solide
3. Olds-Didsbury-Three Hills PCU solide
4. Vermillion-Lloydminster-Wainwright PCU solide
5. Cardston-Siksika PCU solide
6. Grande Prairie-Wapiti PCU solide
7. Bonnyville-Cold Lake-St. Paul PCU solide
8. Innisfail-Sylvan Lake PCU solide
9. Athabasca-Barrhead PCU solide
10. Drayton Valley-Devon PCU solide
11. Rimbey-Rocky Mountain House-Sundre PCU solide
12. Chestermere-Strathmore PCU solide
13. Camrose PCU solide
14. Central Peace-Notley PCU solide
15. Highwood PCU solide
16. Fort McMurray-Wood Buffalo PCU solide
17. Livingston-Macleod PCU solide
18. Lacombe-Ponoka PCU solide
19. Airdrie East PCU solide
20. West Yellowhead PCU solide
21. Calgary-South East PCU solide
22. Peace River PCU solide
23. Airdrie-Cochrane PCU probable
24. Cypress-Medicine Hat PCU probable
25. Fort McMurray-Lac La Biche PCU probable
26. Brooks-Medicine Hat PCU probable
27. Grande Prairie PCU probable
28. Leduc-Beaumont PCU probable
29. Calgary-Lougheed PCU probable
30. Calgary-West PCU probable
31. Lac Ste. Anne-Parkland PCU probable
32. Calgary-Hays PCU probable
33. Calgary-Shaw PCU probable
34. Red Deer-North PCU probable
35. Spruce Grove-Stony Plain PCU probable
36. Maskwacis-Wetaskiwin PCU probable
37. Calgary-Fish Creek PCU enclin
38. Morinville-St. Albert PCU enclin
39. Red Deer-South PCU enclin
40. Calgary-Peigan PCU enclin
41. Strathcona-Sherwood Park PCU enclin
42. Lesser Slave Lake PCU enclin
43. Fort Saskatchewan-Vegreville Pivot PCU/NPD
44. Calgary-North Pivot PCU/NPD
45. Calgary-Foothills Pivot PCU/NPD
46. Calgary-North West Pivot PCU/NPD
47. Calgary-Glenmore Pivot PCU/NPD
48. Calgary-Elbow Pivot PCU/NPD
49. Calgary-Bow Pivot PCU/NPD
50. Calgary-East NPD enclin (gain)
51. Calgary-Cross NPD enclin (gain)
52. Calgary-Edgemont NPD enclin (gain)
53. Lethbridge-East NPD enclin (gain)
54. Edmonton-South West NPD enclin (gain)
55. Sherwood Park NPD enclin (gain)
56. Calgary-Acadia NPD enclin (gain)
57. Banff-Kananaskis NPD enclin (gain)
58. Calgary-North East NPD enclin (gain)
59. Calgary-Beddington NPD enclin (gain)
60. Calgary-Klein NPD probable (gain)
61. Calgary-Currie NPD probable (gain)
62. St. Albert NPD probable
63. Edmonton-West Henday NPD probable
64. Calgary-Varsity NPD probable (gain)
65. Calgary-Falconridge NPD probable (gain)