Nouveau Parti démocratique
Dernière mise à jour: 25 mars 2023
| Chef | Rachel Notley |
| Proportion du suffrage en 2019 | 32,7% |
| Projection de vote actuelle | 45,1% ± 5,7% |
| Nombre actuel de députés-es | 24 |
| Projection de sièges actuelle | 41 [30-51] |
Projection du vote | 25 mars 2023
Projection de sièges | 25 mars 2023
Liste des circonscriptions favorables | Nouveau Parti démocratique
| Rang | Circonscriptions | Parti actuel | Dernière projection | Probabilités de victoire |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | Edmonton-Strathcona | |
NPD solide | >99% |
| 2. | Edmonton-Highlands-Norwood | |
NPD solide | >99% |
| 3. | Edmonton-City Centre | |
NPD solide | >99% |
| 4. | Edmonton-Gold Bar | |
NPD solide | >99% |
| 5. | Edmonton-Glenora | |
NPD solide | >99% |
| 6. | Edmonton-Riverview | |
NPD solide | >99% |
| 7. | Edmonton-Rutherford | |
NPD solide | >99% |
| 8. | Edmonton-North West | |
NPD solide | >99% |
| 9. | Calgary-Buffalo | |
NPD solide | >99% |
| 10. | Edmonton-Beverly-Clareview | |
NPD solide | >99% |
| 11. | Edmonton-Meadows | |
NPD solide | >99% |
| 12. | Calgary-Mountain View | |
NPD solide | >99% |
| 13. | Calgary-Bhullar-McCall | |
NPD solide | >99% |
| 14. | Edmonton-Manning | |
NPD solide | >99% |
| 15. | Edmonton-Ellerslie | |
NPD solide | >99% |
| 16. | Edmonton-Whitemud | |
NPD solide | >99% |
| 17. | Edmonton-Mill Woods | |
NPD solide | >99% |
| 18. | Edmonton-Castle Downs | |
NPD solide | >99% |
| 19. | Edmonton-Decore | |
NPD solide | >99% |
| 20. | Lethbridge-West | |
NPD probable | >99% |
| 21. | Edmonton-McClung | |
NPD probable | >99% |
| 22. | Edmonton-South | |
NPD probable | >99% |
| 23. | Calgary-Falconridge |  |
NPD probable (gain) | 99% |
| 24. | Calgary-Varsity | |
NPD probable (gain) | 99% |
| 25. | Edmonton-West Henday | |
NPD probable | 99% |
| 26. | St. Albert | |
NPD probable | 98% |
| 27. | Calgary-Currie | |
NPD probable (gain) | 98% |
| 28. | Calgary-Klein | |
NPD probable (gain) | 96% |
| 29. | Calgary-Beddington | |
NPD enclin (gain) | 85% |
| 30. | Calgary-North East | |
NPD enclin (gain) | 84% |
| 31. | Banff-Kananaskis | |
NPD enclin (gain) | 81% |
| 32. | Calgary-Acadia | |
NPD enclin (gain) | 81% |
| 33. | Sherwood Park | |
NPD enclin (gain) | 79% |
| 34. | Edmonton-South West | |
NPD enclin (gain) | 79% |
| 35. | Lethbridge-East | |
NPD enclin (gain) | 76% |
| 36. | Calgary-Edgemont | |
NPD enclin (gain) | 75% |
| 37. | Calgary-Cross | |
NPD enclin (gain) | 74% |
| 38. | Calgary-East | |
NPD enclin (gain) | 73% |
| 39. | Calgary-Bow | |
Pivot PCU/NPD | 68% |
| 40. | Calgary-Elbow |  |
Pivot PCU/NPD | 61% |
| 41. | Calgary-Glenmore | |
Pivot PCU/NPD | 52% |
| 42. | Calgary-North West | |
Pivot PCU/NPD | 48% |
| 43. | Calgary-Foothills | |
Pivot PCU/NPD | 46% |
| 44. | Calgary-North | |
Pivot PCU/NPD | 41% |
| 45. | Fort Saskatchewan-Vegreville | |
Pivot PCU/NPD | 32% |
| 46. | Lesser Slave Lake | |
PCU enclin | 29% |
| 47. | Strathcona-Sherwood Park | |
PCU enclin | 24% |
| 48. | Calgary-Peigan | |
PCU enclin | 19% |
| 49. | Red Deer-South | |
PCU enclin | 17% |
| 50. | Morinville-St. Albert | |
PCU enclin | 16% |
| 51. | Calgary-Fish Creek | |
PCU enclin | 13% |
| 52. | Maskwacis-Wetaskiwin | |
PCU probable | 6% |
| 53. | Spruce Grove-Stony Plain | |
PCU probable | 5% |
| 54. | Red Deer-North | |
PCU probable | 4% |
| 55. | Calgary-Shaw | |
PCU probable | 2% |
| 56. | Calgary-Hays | |
PCU probable | 2% |
| 57. | Lac Ste. Anne-Parkland | |
PCU probable | 2% |
| 58. | Calgary-West | |
PCU probable | 2% |
| 59. | Calgary-Lougheed | |
PCU probable | 1% |
| 60. | Leduc-Beaumont | |
PCU probable | 1% |
| 61. | Grande Prairie | |
PCU probable | 1% |
| 62. | Brooks-Medicine Hat | |
PCU probable | 1% |
| 63. | Fort McMurray-Lac La Biche | |
PCU probable | 1% |
| Rang | Circonscriptions | Projection |
|---|---|---|
| 1. | Edmonton-Strathcona | NPD solide |
| 2. | Edmonton-Highlands-Norwood | NPD solide |
| 3. | Edmonton-City Centre | NPD solide |
| 4. | Edmonton-Gold Bar | NPD solide |
| 5. | Edmonton-Glenora | NPD solide |
| 6. | Edmonton-Riverview | NPD solide |
| 7. | Edmonton-Rutherford | NPD solide |
| 8. | Edmonton-North West | NPD solide |
| 9. | Calgary-Buffalo | NPD solide |
| 10. | Edmonton-Beverly-Clareview | NPD solide |
| 11. | Edmonton-Meadows | NPD solide |
| 12. | Calgary-Mountain View | NPD solide |
| 13. | Calgary-Bhullar-McCall | NPD solide |
| 14. | Edmonton-Manning | NPD solide |
| 15. | Edmonton-Ellerslie | NPD solide |
| 16. | Edmonton-Whitemud | NPD solide |
| 17. | Edmonton-Mill Woods | NPD solide |
| 18. | Edmonton-Castle Downs | NPD solide |
| 19. | Edmonton-Decore | NPD solide |
| 20. | Lethbridge-West | NPD probable |
| 21. | Edmonton-McClung | NPD probable |
| 22. | Edmonton-South | NPD probable |
| 23. | Calgary-Falconridge | NPD probable (gain) |
| 24. | Calgary-Varsity | NPD probable (gain) |
| 25. | Edmonton-West Henday | NPD probable |
| 26. | St. Albert | NPD probable |
| 27. | Calgary-Currie | NPD probable (gain) |
| 28. | Calgary-Klein | NPD probable (gain) |
| 29. | Calgary-Beddington | NPD enclin (gain) |
| 30. | Calgary-North East | NPD enclin (gain) |
| 31. | Banff-Kananaskis | NPD enclin (gain) |
| 32. | Calgary-Acadia | NPD enclin (gain) |
| 33. | Sherwood Park | NPD enclin (gain) |
| 34. | Edmonton-South West | NPD enclin (gain) |
| 35. | Lethbridge-East | NPD enclin (gain) |
| 36. | Calgary-Edgemont | NPD enclin (gain) |
| 37. | Calgary-Cross | NPD enclin (gain) |
| 38. | Calgary-East | NPD enclin (gain) |
| 39. | Calgary-Bow | Pivot PCU/NPD |
| 40. | Calgary-Elbow | Pivot PCU/NPD |
| 41. | Calgary-Glenmore | Pivot PCU/NPD |
| 42. | Calgary-North West | Pivot PCU/NPD |
| 43. | Calgary-Foothills | Pivot PCU/NPD |
| 44. | Calgary-North | Pivot PCU/NPD |
| 45. | Fort Saskatchewan-Vegreville | Pivot PCU/NPD |
| 46. | Lesser Slave Lake | PCU enclin |
| 47. | Strathcona-Sherwood Park | PCU enclin |
| 48. | Calgary-Peigan | PCU enclin |
| 49. | Red Deer-South | PCU enclin |
| 50. | Morinville-St. Albert | PCU enclin |
| 51. | Calgary-Fish Creek | PCU enclin |
| 52. | Maskwacis-Wetaskiwin | PCU probable |
| 53. | Spruce Grove-Stony Plain | PCU probable |
| 54. | Red Deer-North | PCU probable |
| 55. | Calgary-Shaw | PCU probable |
| 56. | Calgary-Hays | PCU probable |
| 57. | Lac Ste. Anne-Parkland | PCU probable |
| 58. | Calgary-West | PCU probable |
| 59. | Calgary-Lougheed | PCU probable |
| 60. | Leduc-Beaumont | PCU probable |
| 61. | Grande Prairie | PCU probable |
| 62. | Brooks-Medicine Hat | PCU probable |
| 63. | Fort McMurray-Lac La Biche | PCU probable |