Nouveau Parti démocratique
Dernière mise à jour: 19 mars 2024
| Chef | Rachel Notley |
| Proportion du suffrage en 2019 | 32,7% |
| Projection de vote actuelle | 42,8% ± 4,7% |
| Nombre actuel de députés-es | 38 |
| Projection de sièges actuelle | 31 [23-45] |
Projection du vote | 19 mars 2024
Projection de sièges | 19 mars 2024
Liste des circonscriptions favorables | Nouveau Parti démocratique
| Rang | Circonscriptions | Parti actuel | Dernière projection | Probabilités de victoire |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | Edmonton-Strathcona | |
NPD solide | >99% |
| 2. | Edmonton-City Centre | |
NPD solide | >99% |
| 3. | Edmonton-Highlands-Norwood | |
NPD solide | >99% |
| 4. | Edmonton-Gold Bar | |
NPD solide | >99% |
| 5. | Edmonton-Glenora | |
NPD solide | >99% |
| 6. | Edmonton-Riverview | |
NPD solide | >99% |
| 7. | Calgary-Mountain View | |
NPD solide | >99% |
| 8. | Edmonton-Rutherford | |
NPD solide | >99% |
| 9. | Calgary-Buffalo | |
NPD solide | >99% |
| 10. | Edmonton-Meadows | |
NPD probable | >99% |
| 11. | Edmonton-Ellerslie | |
NPD probable | >99% |
| 12. | Edmonton-Whitemud | |
NPD probable | >99% |
| 13. | Edmonton-Mill Woods | |
NPD probable | 99% |
| 14. | Lethbridge-West | |
NPD probable | 99% |
| 15. | Edmonton-McClung | |
NPD probable | 99% |
| 16. | Edmonton-North West | |
NPD probable | 99% |
| 17. | St. Albert | |
NPD probable | 99% |
| 18. | Edmonton-Manning | |
NPD probable | 99% |
| 19. | Edmonton-South | |
NPD probable | 99% |
| 20. | Edmonton-West Henday | |
NPD probable | 98% |
| 21. | Edmonton-Beverly-Clareview | |
NPD probable | 97% |
| 22. | Calgary-Varsity | |
NPD probable | 97% |
| 23. | Calgary-Falconridge | |
NPD probable | 95% |
| 24. | Calgary-Currie | |
NPD probable | 94% |
| 25. | Edmonton-Castle Downs | |
NPD probable | 92% |
| 26. | Edmonton-South West | |
NPD probable | 92% |
| 27. | Calgary-Bhullar-McCall | |
NPD probable | 92% |
| 28. | Edmonton-Decore | |
NPD enclin | 87% |
| 29. | Banff-Kananaskis | |
NPD enclin | 82% |
| 30. | Calgary-North East | |
NPD enclin | 76% |
| 31. | Sherwood Park | |
NPD enclin | 70% |
| 32. | Lethbridge-East |  |
Pivot PCU/NPD | 49% |
| 33. | Calgary-Beddington | |
Pivot PCU/NPD | 49% |
| 34. | Calgary-Klein | |
Pivot PCU/NPD | 46% |
| 35. | Calgary-Elbow | |
Pivot PCU/NPD | 45% |
| 36. | Calgary-Edgemont | |
Pivot PCU/NPD | 35% |
| 37. | Calgary-Foothills | |
PCU enclin (gain) | 30% |
| 38. | Calgary-Glenmore | |
PCU enclin (gain) | 24% |
| 39. | Calgary-Acadia | |
PCU enclin (gain) | 24% |
| 40. | Calgary-North | |
PCU enclin | 22% |
| 41. | Calgary-Bow | |
PCU enclin | 21% |
| 42. | Calgary-North West | |
PCU enclin | 20% |
| 43. | Calgary-Cross | |
PCU enclin | 13% |
| 44. | Red Deer-South | |
PCU probable | 9% |
| 45. | Calgary-East | |
PCU probable | 9% |
| 46. | Morinville-St. Albert | |
PCU probable | 9% |
| 47. | Strathcona-Sherwood Park | |
PCU probable | 5% |
| 48. | Red Deer-North | |
PCU probable | 3% |
| 49. | Calgary-Fish Creek | |
PCU probable | 2% |
| 50. | Fort Saskatchewan-Vegreville | |
PCU probable | 1% |
| Rang | Circonscriptions | Projection |
|---|---|---|
| 1. | Edmonton-Strathcona | NPD solide |
| 2. | Edmonton-City Centre | NPD solide |
| 3. | Edmonton-Highlands-Norwood | NPD solide |
| 4. | Edmonton-Gold Bar | NPD solide |
| 5. | Edmonton-Glenora | NPD solide |
| 6. | Edmonton-Riverview | NPD solide |
| 7. | Calgary-Mountain View | NPD solide |
| 8. | Edmonton-Rutherford | NPD solide |
| 9. | Calgary-Buffalo | NPD solide |
| 10. | Edmonton-Meadows | NPD probable |
| 11. | Edmonton-Ellerslie | NPD probable |
| 12. | Edmonton-Whitemud | NPD probable |
| 13. | Edmonton-Mill Woods | NPD probable |
| 14. | Lethbridge-West | NPD probable |
| 15. | Edmonton-McClung | NPD probable |
| 16. | Edmonton-North West | NPD probable |
| 17. | St. Albert | NPD probable |
| 18. | Edmonton-Manning | NPD probable |
| 19. | Edmonton-South | NPD probable |
| 20. | Edmonton-West Henday | NPD probable |
| 21. | Edmonton-Beverly-Clareview | NPD probable |
| 22. | Calgary-Varsity | NPD probable |
| 23. | Calgary-Falconridge | NPD probable |
| 24. | Calgary-Currie | NPD probable |
| 25. | Edmonton-Castle Downs | NPD probable |
| 26. | Edmonton-South West | NPD probable |
| 27. | Calgary-Bhullar-McCall | NPD probable |
| 28. | Edmonton-Decore | NPD enclin |
| 29. | Banff-Kananaskis | NPD enclin |
| 30. | Calgary-North East | NPD enclin |
| 31. | Sherwood Park | NPD enclin |
| 32. | Lethbridge-East | Pivot PCU/NPD |
| 33. | Calgary-Beddington | Pivot PCU/NPD |
| 34. | Calgary-Klein | Pivot PCU/NPD |
| 35. | Calgary-Elbow | Pivot PCU/NPD |
| 36. | Calgary-Edgemont | Pivot PCU/NPD |
| 37. | Calgary-Foothills | PCU enclin (gain) |
| 38. | Calgary-Glenmore | PCU enclin (gain) |
| 39. | Calgary-Acadia | PCU enclin (gain) |
| 40. | Calgary-North | PCU enclin |
| 41. | Calgary-Bow | PCU enclin |
| 42. | Calgary-North West | PCU enclin |
| 43. | Calgary-Cross | PCU enclin |
| 44. | Red Deer-South | PCU probable |
| 45. | Calgary-East | PCU probable |
| 46. | Morinville-St. Albert | PCU probable |
| 47. | Strathcona-Sherwood Park | PCU probable |
| 48. | Red Deer-North | PCU probable |
| 49. | Calgary-Fish Creek | PCU probable |
| 50. | Fort Saskatchewan-Vegreville | PCU probable |
