Parti québécois

Dernière mise à jour : 18 mars 2025
Chef | Paul Saint-Pierre-Plamondon |
Proportion du suffrage national en 2022 | 14,6% |
Projection de vote actuelle | 31,8% ± 3,4% |
Nombre actuel de députés-es | 5 |
Projection de sièges actuelle | 65 [49-73] |
L'efficacité du vote (sièges vs vote) n'est pas une fonction linéaire, mais peut être approximée comme une fonction linéaire sur des intervalles de vote restreints.
Projection du vote | 18 mars 2025
Projection de sièges | 18 mars 2025
Liste des circonscriptions favorables | Parti québécois
Dernière mise à jour : 18 mars 2025
Rang | Circonscription | Parti actuel | Projection | Probabilité de victoire |
---|---|---|---|---|
1. | Matane-Matapédia | ![]() |
PQ solide | >99% |
2. | Îles-de-la-Madeleine | ![]() |
PQ solide | >99% |
3. | Camille-Laurin | ![]() |
PQ solide | >99% |
4. | Joliette | ![]() |
PQ solide (gain) | >99% |
5. | Gaspé | ![]() |
PQ solide (gain) | >99% |
6. | Terrebonne | ![]() |
PQ solide (gain) | >99% |
7. | Bonaventure | ![]() |
PQ solide (gain) | >99% |
8. | Bertrand | ![]() |
PQ solide (gain) | >99% |
9. | Labelle | ![]() |
PQ solide (gain) | >99% |
10. | Berthier | ![]() |
PQ solide (gain) | >99% |
11. | Saint-Jérôme | ![]() |
PQ solide (gain) | >99% |
12. | Rimouski | ![]() |
PQ solide (gain) | >99% |
13. | Prévost | ![]() |
PQ solide (gain) | >99% |
14. | Duplessis | ![]() |
PQ solide (gain) | >99% |
15. | Pointe-aux-Trembles | ![]() |
PQ solide (gain) | >99% |
16. | Marie-Victorin | ![]() |
PQ solide (gain) | >99% |
17. | Taillon | ![]() |
PQ solide (gain) | >99% |
18. | Jean-Talon | ![]() |
PQ solide (gain) | >99% |
19. | Verchères | ![]() |
PQ solide (gain) | >99% |
20. | Argenteuil | ![]() |
PQ solide (gain) | >99% |
21. | Saint-Jean | ![]() |
PQ solide (gain) | >99% |
22. | Richelieu | ![]() |
PQ solide (gain) | >99% |
23. | Jonquière | ![]() |
PQ solide (gain) | >99% |
24. | René-Lévesque | ![]() |
PQ solide (gain) | >99% |
25. | Charlevoix–Côte-de-Beaupré | ![]() |
PQ solide (gain) | >99% |
26. | Roberval | ![]() |
PQ solide (gain) | >99% |
27. | Masson | ![]() |
PQ probable (gain) | >99% |
28. | Deux-Montagnes | ![]() |
PQ probable (gain) | >99% |
29. | Les Plaines | ![]() |
PQ probable (gain) | >99% |
30. | Repentigny | ![]() |
PQ probable (gain) | >99% |
31. | Taschereau | ![]() |
PQ probable (gain) | 99% |
32. | Chicoutimi | ![]() |
PQ probable (gain) | 99% |
33. | Abitibi-Ouest | ![]() |
PQ probable (gain) | 99% |
34. | Chambly | ![]() |
PQ probable (gain) | 99% |
35. | Dubuc | ![]() |
PQ probable (gain) | 99% |
36. | Rousseau | ![]() |
PQ probable (gain) | 98% |
37. | Jean-Lesage | ![]() |
PQ probable (gain) | 97% |
38. | Vachon | ![]() |
PQ probable (gain) | 97% |
39. | Lac-Saint-Jean | ![]() |
PQ probable (gain) | 96% |
40. | Sanguinet | ![]() |
PQ probable (gain) | 96% |
41. | Borduas | ![]() |
PQ probable (gain) | 95% |
42. | Louis-Hébert | ![]() |
PQ probable (gain) | 95% |
43. | Mirabel | ![]() |
PQ probable (gain) | 91% |
44. | Maurice-Richard | ![]() |
PQ enclin (gain) | 89% |
45. | Beauharnois | ![]() |
PQ enclin (gain) | 88% |
46. | Laviolette-Saint-Maurice | ![]() |
PQ enclin (gain) | 85% |
47. | Rouyn-Noranda–Témiscamingue | ![]() |
PQ enclin (gain) | 84% |
48. | Blainville | ![]() |
PQ enclin (gain) | 82% |
49. | Abitibi-Est | ![]() |
PQ enclin (gain) | 80% |
50. | Groulx | ![]() |
PQ enclin (gain) | 80% |
51. | Charlesbourg | ![]() |
PQ enclin (gain) | 80% |
52. | Rivière-du-Loup–Témiscouata | ![]() |
PQ enclin (gain) | 77% |
53. | Saint-Hyacinthe | ![]() |
PQ enclin (gain) | 74% |
54. | Maskinongé | ![]() |
PQ enclin (gain) | 72% |
55. | Drummond–Bois-Francs | ![]() |
PQ enclin (gain) | 72% |
56. | Rosemont | ![]() |
Pivot PQ/QS | 68% |
57. | Nicolet-Bécancour | ![]() |
Pivot PQ/CAQ | 61% |
58. | Vanier-Les Rivières | ![]() |
Pivot PQ/PCQ | 61% |
59. | Saint-François | ![]() |
Pivot PQ/CAQ | 60% |
60. | Côte-du-Sud | ![]() |
Pivot PQ/CAQ | 59% |
61. | Trois-Rivières | ![]() |
Pivot PQ/CAQ | 56% |
62. | Lévis | ![]() |
Pivot PQ/CAQ/PCQ | 54% |
63. | Iberville | ![]() |
Pivot PQ/CAQ | 53% |
64. | Ungava | ![]() |
Pivot PLQ/PQ | 50% |
65. | Granby | ![]() |
Pivot PQ/CAQ | 50% |
66. | Montarville | ![]() |
Pivot PQ/CAQ | 50% |
67. | Mégantic | ![]() |
Pivot PQ/CAQ | 33% |
68. | Arthabaska | ![]() |
Pivot PQ/CAQ/PCQ | 33% |
69. | L’Assomption | ![]() |
CAQ enclin | 26% |
70. | Richmond | ![]() |
CAQ enclin | 26% |
71. | Orford | ![]() |
Pivot PLQ/PQ/CAQ | 20% |
72. | Brome-Missisquoi | ![]() |
Pivot PLQ/PQ/CAQ | 20% |
73. | Johnson | ![]() |
CAQ enclin | 18% |
74. | Huntingdon | ![]() |
Pivot PLQ/PQ/CAQ | 18% |
75. | Hochelaga-Maisonneuve | ![]() |
QS enclin | 17% |
76. | Gatineau | ![]() |
Pivot PLQ/PQ/CAQ | 13% |
77. | Champlain | ![]() |
CAQ probable | 8% |
78. | Chutes-de-la-Chaudière | ![]() |
PCQ enclin (gain) | 7% |
79. | Sherbrooke | ![]() |
QS probable | 6% |
80. | Anjou–Louis-Riel | ![]() |
PLQ probable (gain) | 6% |
81. | La Prairie | ![]() |
CAQ probable | 5% |
82. | Montmorency | ![]() |
PCQ probable (gain) | 4% |
83. | Sainte-Marie–Saint-Jacques | ![]() |
QS probable | 2% |
84. | Chapleau | ![]() |
Pivot PLQ/CAQ | 1% |
85. | Portneuf | ![]() |
PCQ probable (gain) | 1% |
86. | Papineau | ![]() |
CAQ probable | 1% |
87. | Laporte | ![]() |
PLQ probable (gain) | 1% |
88. | Soulanges | ![]() |
Pivot PLQ/CAQ | 1% |
89. | Lotbinière-Frontenac | ![]() |
PCQ enclin (gain) | 1% |
90. | Laval-des-Rapides | ![]() |
PLQ probable (gain) | 1% |