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Dernière mise à jour: 31 mars 2020
| Chef | Wab Kinew |
| Proportion du suffrage en 2019 | 31.6% |
| Projection de vote actuelle | 40.1% ± 5.3% |
| Nombre actuel de députés-es | 18 |
| Projection de sièges actuelle | 29 ± 8 |
Liste des circonscriptions favorables au Nouveau Parti démocratique
| Rang | Circonscriptions | Parti actuel | Dernière projection | Probabilités de victoire |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | Notre Dame | |
NPD solide | >99% |
| 2. | Flin Flon | |
NPD solide | >99% |
| 3. | Keewatinook | |
NPD solide | >99% |
| 4. | Point Douglas | |
NPD solide | >99% |
| 5. | Concordia | |
NPD solide | >99% |
| 6. | The Pas-Kameesak | |
NPD solide | >99% |
| 7. | Thompson | |
NPD solide | >99% |
| 8. | St. Johns | |
NPD solide | >99% |
| 9. | Union Station | |
NPD solide | >99% |
| 10. | Elmwood | |
NPD solide | >99% |
| 11. | Fort Rouge | |
NPD solide | >99% |
| 12. | St. James | |
NPD solide | >99% |
| 13. | St. Vital | |
NPD solide | >99% |
| 14. | Fort Garry | |
NPD solide | >99% |
| 15. | Burrows | |
NPD solide | >99% |
| 16. | Transcona | |
NPD solide | >99% |
| 17. | Wolseley | |
NPD solide | >99% |
| 18. | The Maples | |
NPD solide | >99% |
| 19. | Southdale |  |
NPD probable | 95% |
| 20. | McPhillips | |
NPD probable | 94% |
| 21. | Rossmere | |
NPD probable | 91% |
| 22. | Dauphin | |
NPD enclin | 90% |
| 23. | Assiniboia | |
NPD enclin | 89% |
| 24. | Radisson | |
NPD enclin | 83% |
| 25. | Riel | |
NPD enclin | 80% |
| 26. | Kildonan-River East | |
NPD enclin | 75% |
| 27. | Selkirk | |
Pivot | 68% |
| 28. | St. Boniface |  |
Pivot | 63% |
| 29. | Brandon East | |
Pivot | 59% |
| 30. | Seine River | |
Pivot | 49% |
| 31. | Waverley | |
Pivot | 46% |
| 32. | Interlake-Gimli | |
Pivot | 34% |
| 33. | Lagimodière | |
PC enclin | 26% |
| 34. | Fort Richmond | |
Pivot | 16% |
| 35. | Kirkfield Park | |
PC enclin | 16% |
| 36. | Tyndall Park | |
LIB enclin | 15% |
| 37. | Tuxedo | |
PC probable | 2% |
| 38. | Red River North | |
PC probable | 1% |
| 39. | Brandon West | |
PC probable | <1% |
| Rang | Circonscriptions | Projection |
|---|---|---|
| 1. | Notre Dame | NPD solide |
| 2. | Flin Flon | NPD solide |
| 3. | Keewatinook | NPD solide |
| 4. | Point Douglas | NPD solide |
| 5. | Concordia | NPD solide |
| 6. | The Pas-Kameesak | NPD solide |
| 7. | Thompson | NPD solide |
| 8. | St. Johns | NPD solide |
| 9. | Union Station | NPD solide |
| 10. | Elmwood | NPD solide |
| 11. | Fort Rouge | NPD solide |
| 12. | St. James | NPD solide |
| 13. | St. Vital | NPD solide |
| 14. | Fort Garry | NPD solide |
| 15. | Burrows | NPD solide |
| 16. | Transcona | NPD solide |
| 17. | Wolseley | NPD solide |
| 18. | The Maples | NPD solide |
| 19. | Southdale | NPD probable |
| 20. | McPhillips | NPD probable |
| 21. | Rossmere | NPD probable |
| 22. | Dauphin | NPD enclin |
| 23. | Assiniboia | NPD enclin |
| 24. | Radisson | NPD enclin |
| 25. | Riel | NPD enclin |
| 26. | Kildonan-River East | NPD enclin |
| 27. | Selkirk | Pivot |
| 28. | St. Boniface | Pivot |
| 29. | Brandon East | Pivot |
| 30. | Seine River | Pivot |
| 31. | Waverley | Pivot |
| 32. | Interlake-Gimli | Pivot |
| 33. | Lagimodière | PC enclin |
| 34. | Fort Richmond | Pivot |
| 35. | Kirkfield Park | PC enclin |
| 36. | Tyndall Park | LIB enclin |
| 37. | Tuxedo | PC probable |
| 38. | Red River North | PC probable |
| 39. | Brandon West | PC probable |