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Dernière mise à jour: 19 décembre 2021
| Chef | Brian Pallister |
| Proportion du suffrage en 2019 | 46.8% |
| Projection de vote actuelle | 38.7% ± 4.0% |
| Nombre actuel de députés-es | 36 |
| Projection de sièges actuelle | 24 ± 5 |
Liste des circonscriptions favorables au Parti progressiste conservateur du Manitoba
| Rang | Circonscriptions | Parti actuel | Dernière projection | Probabilités de victoire |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | Morden-Winkler | |
PC solide | >99% |
| 2. | Steinbach | |
PC solide | >99% |
| 3. | Agassiz | |
PC solide | >99% |
| 4. | Midland | |
PC solide | >99% |
| 5. | Borderland | |
PC solide | >99% |
| 6. | Turtle Mountain | |
PC solide | >99% |
| 7. | La Vérendrye | |
PC solide | >99% |
| 8. | Spruce Woods | |
PC solide | >99% |
| 9. | Lac du Bonnet | |
PC solide | >99% |
| 10. | Springfield-Ritchot | |
PC solide | >99% |
| 11. | Roblin | |
PC solide | >99% |
| 12. | Fort Whyte | |
PC solide | >99% |
| 13. | Riding Mountain | |
PC solide | >99% |
| 14. | Lakeside | |
PC solide | >99% |
| 15. | Portage la Prairie | |
PC solide | >99% |
| 16. | Swan River | |
PC probable | >99% |
| 17. | Brandon West | |
PC probable | >99% |
| 18. | Dawson Trail | |
PC probable | >99% |
| 19. | Red River North | |
PC probable | 99% |
| 20. | Tuxedo | |
PC probable | 98% |
| 21. | Kirkfield Park | |
PC enclin | 85% |
| 22. | Lagimodière | |
PC enclin | 70% |
| 23. | Fort Richmond | |
Pivot | 55% |
| 24. | Interlake-Gimli | |
Pivot | 53% |
| 25. | Waverley | |
Pivot | 46% |
| 26. | Seine River | |
Pivot | 44% |
| 27. | Brandon East | |
NPD enclin | 17% |
| 28. | Selkirk | |
NPD enclin | 11% |
| 29. | Kildonan-River East | |
NPD enclin | 10% |
| 30. | Riel | |
NPD probable | 7% |
| 31. | Radisson | |
NPD probable | 5% |
| 32. | Assiniboia | |
NPD probable | 3% |
| 33. | Rossmere | |
NPD probable | 2% |
| 34. | McPhillips | |
NPD probable | 1% |
| 35. | Dauphin | |
NPD probable | 1% |
| 36. | Southdale | |
NPD probable | <1% |
| Rang | Circonscriptions | Projection |
|---|---|---|
| 1. | Morden-Winkler | PC solide |
| 2. | Steinbach | PC solide |
| 3. | Agassiz | PC solide |
| 4. | Midland | PC solide |
| 5. | Borderland | PC solide |
| 6. | Turtle Mountain | PC solide |
| 7. | La Vérendrye | PC solide |
| 8. | Spruce Woods | PC solide |
| 9. | Lac du Bonnet | PC solide |
| 10. | Springfield-Ritchot | PC solide |
| 11. | Roblin | PC solide |
| 12. | Fort Whyte | PC solide |
| 13. | Riding Mountain | PC solide |
| 14. | Lakeside | PC solide |
| 15. | Portage la Prairie | PC solide |
| 16. | Swan River | PC probable |
| 17. | Brandon West | PC probable |
| 18. | Dawson Trail | PC probable |
| 19. | Red River North | PC probable |
| 20. | Tuxedo | PC probable |
| 21. | Kirkfield Park | PC enclin |
| 22. | Lagimodière | PC enclin |
| 23. | Fort Richmond | Pivot |
| 24. | Interlake-Gimli | Pivot |
| 25. | Waverley | Pivot |
| 26. | Seine River | Pivot |
| 27. | Brandon East | NPD enclin |
| 28. | Selkirk | NPD enclin |
| 29. | Kildonan-River East | NPD enclin |
| 30. | Riel | NPD probable |
| 31. | Radisson | NPD probable |
| 32. | Assiniboia | NPD probable |
| 33. | Rossmere | NPD probable |
| 34. | McPhillips | NPD probable |
| 35. | Dauphin | NPD probable |
| 36. | Southdale | NPD probable |