Colombie-britannique

Historique récent | Victoria-Beacon Hill


2017 2020 2024 Projection NPD 43% ± 7% 53,6% 54,7% 47,4% PVCB 37% ± 8% 30,9% 30,2% 33,5% PCCB 16% ± 4% 0,0% 0,0% 19,2% BCU 0% ± 0% 14,5% 13,9% 0,0%

Infolettre Qc125

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Drapeau de la Colombie-Britannique

Projection Qc125 Victoria-Beacon Hill

Mise à jour : 18 février 2026

Victoria-Beacon Hill 36% 51% 43% ± 7% NPD 29% 45% 37% ± 8% PVCB 12% 21% 16% ± 4% PCCB NPD 2024 47,4% Projection du vote | 18 février 2026
Note méthodologique. Cette projection est calculée à l'aide d'un modèle principalement proportionnel, ajusté à l'aide de sondages provinciaux et régionaux réalisés par des sondeurs professionnels. Il ne s'agit pas d'un sondage, mais d'une projection basée sur des sondages. Pour en savoir plus sur la méthodologie de Qc125, cliquez ici.
50% 100% Victoria-Beacon Hill 84%▼ NPD 16%▲ PVCB <1% PCCB Probabilités de victoire | 18 février 2026
Note méthodologique. Ces chances de victoire sont celles si une élection générale avait lieu aujourd'hui. Elles sont calculées par le modèle avec des simulations de type Monte Carlo..


Projection du vote | Victoria-Beacon Hill

BCU 0% ± 0% PCCB 16% ± 4% NPD 43% ± 7% PVCB 37% ± 8% ONE 2% ± 2% CEN 2% ± 2% Projection du vote % | Victoria-Beacon Hill 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-05-01 2025-09-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-05-01 2026-09-01 Élection 2024 BCU PCCB NPD PVCB ONE CEN 18 février 2026 2024-03-26 NPD 48% PVCB 23% PCCB 18% BCU 8% ONE 0% CEN 0% 2024-03-26 2024-05-10 NPD 47% PVCB 21% PCCB 20% BCU 8% ONE 0% CEN 0% 2024-05-10 2024-05-18 NPD 45% PCCB 24% PVCB 21% BCU 8% ONE 0% CEN 0% 2024-05-18 2024-06-01 NPD 46% PCCB 22% PVCB 21% BCU 8% ONE 0% CEN 0% 2024-06-01 2024-06-26 NPD 46% PVCB 22% PCCB 22% BCU 8% ONE 0% CEN 0% 2024-06-26 2024-07-12 NPD 45% PCCB 23% PVCB 23% BCU 7% ONE 0% CEN 0% 2024-07-12 2024-08-01 NPD 42% PVCB 27% PCCB 23% BCU 7% ONE 0% CEN 0% 2024-08-01 2024-08-14 NPD 44% PVCB 25% PCCB 23% BCU 7% ONE 0% CEN 0% 2024-08-14 2024-09-03 NPD 44% PVCB 30% PCCB 24% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-03 2024-09-20 NPD 45% PVCB 31% PCCB 25% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-20 2024-09-21 NPD 45% PVCB 31% PCCB 25% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-21 2024-09-23 NPD 44% PVCB 31% PCCB 24% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-23 2024-09-25 NPD 43% PVCB 32% PCCB 25% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-25 2024-09-26 NPD 43% PVCB 31% PCCB 26% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-26 2024-09-27 NPD 43% PVCB 31% PCCB 26% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-27 2024-09-28 NPD 43% PVCB 31% PCCB 26% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-28 2024-09-29 NPD 43% PVCB 31% PCCB 26% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-29 2024-09-30 NPD 42% PVCB 30% PCCB 28% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-30 2024-10-01 NPD 42% PVCB 30% PCCB 28% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-01 2024-10-02 NPD 42% PVCB 30% PCCB 28% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-02 2024-10-03 NPD 42% PVCB 30% PCCB 28% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-03 2024-10-04 NPD 42% PVCB 30% PCCB 28% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-04 2024-10-05 NPD 42% PVCB 30% PCCB 28% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-05 2024-10-06 NPD 42% PVCB 31% PCCB 27% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-06 2024-10-07 NPD 43% PVCB 31% PCCB 27% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-07 2024-10-08 NPD 43% PVCB 31% PCCB 27% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-08 2024-10-09 NPD 43% PVCB 30% PCCB 27% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-09 2024-10-10 NPD 40% PVCB 34% PCCB 27% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-10 2024-10-11 PVCB 40% NPD 34% PCCB 26% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-11 2024-10-12 PVCB 40% NPD 34% PCCB 26% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-12 2024-10-13 PVCB 42% NPD 33% PCCB 25% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-13 2024-10-14 PVCB 41% NPD 34% PCCB 26% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-14 2024-10-15 PVCB 41% NPD 34% PCCB 25% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-15 2024-10-16 PVCB 41% NPD 34% PCCB 25% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-16 2024-10-17 PVCB 41% NPD 34% PCCB 25% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-17 2024-10-18 PVCB 41% NPD 34% PCCB 25% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-18 2024-10-20 NPD 47% PVCB 34% PCCB 19% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-20 2024-11-10 NPD 47% PVCB 34% PCCB 19% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-11-10 2025-02-09 NPD 47% PVCB 34% PCCB 19% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2025-02-09 2025-06-18 NPD 47% PVCB 34% PCCB 19% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2025-06-18 2025-09-13 NPD 47% PVCB 34% PCCB 19% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2025-09-13 2025-10-21 NPD 46% PVCB 34% PCCB 18% ONE 1% CEN 0% BCU 0% 2025-10-21 2025-12-20 NPD 45% PVCB 35% PCCB 17% ONE 1% CEN 0% BCU 0% 2025-12-20 2026-02-05 NPD 44% PVCB 35% PCCB 17% CEN 2% ONE 2% BCU 0% 2026-02-05 2026-02-18 NPD 43% PVCB 37% PCCB 16% CEN 2% ONE 2% BCU 0% 2026-02-18

Probabilités de victoire | Victoria-Beacon Hill

BCU <1% PCCB <1% NPD 84% PVCB 16% Probabilité de victoire 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-05-01 2025-09-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-05-01 2026-09-01 Élection 2024 PCCB NPD PVCB 18 février 2026 2024-03-26 PVCB <1% NPD <1% PCCB <1% 2024-03-26 2024-05-10 PVCB <1% NPD <1% PCCB <1% 2024-05-10 2024-05-18 PVCB <1% NPD <1% PCCB <1% 2024-05-18 2024-06-01 PVCB <1% NPD <1% PCCB <1% 2024-06-01 2024-06-26 PVCB <1% NPD <1% PCCB <1% 2024-06-26 2024-07-12 PVCB <1% NPD <1% PCCB <1% 2024-07-12 2024-08-01 PVCB <1% NPD <1% PCCB <1% 2024-08-01 2024-08-14 PVCB <1% NPD <1% PCCB <1% 2024-08-14 2024-09-03 PVCB <1% NPD <1% PCCB <1% 2024-09-03 2024-09-20 PVCB <1% NPD <1% PCCB <1% 2024-09-20 2024-09-21 PVCB <1% NPD <1% PCCB <1% 2024-09-21 2024-09-23 NPD >99% PVCB <1% PCCB <1% 2024-09-23 2024-09-25 NPD >99% PVCB <1% PCCB <1% 2024-09-25 2024-09-26 NPD >99% PVCB <1% PCCB <1% 2024-09-26 2024-09-27 NPD >99% PVCB <1% PCCB <1% 2024-09-27 2024-09-28 NPD >99% PVCB <1% PCCB <1% 2024-09-28 2024-09-29 NPD >99% PVCB <1% PCCB <1% 2024-09-29 2024-09-30 NPD >99% PVCB <1% PCCB <1% 2024-09-30 2024-10-01 NPD >99% PVCB <1% PCCB <1% 2024-10-01 2024-10-02 NPD >99% PCCB <1% PVCB <1% 2024-10-02 2024-10-03 NPD >99% PVCB <1% PCCB <1% 2024-10-03 2024-10-04 NPD >99% PVCB <1% PCCB <1% 2024-10-04 2024-10-05 NPD >99% PVCB <1% PCCB <1% 2024-10-05 2024-10-06 NPD 99% PVCB 1% PCCB <1% 2024-10-06 2024-10-07 NPD >99% PVCB <1% PCCB <1% 2024-10-07 2024-10-08 NPD 99% PVCB 1% PCCB <1% 2024-10-08 2024-10-09 NPD 99% PVCB 1% PCCB <1% 2024-10-09 2024-10-10 NPD 98% PVCB 2% PCCB <1% 2024-10-10 2024-10-11 NPD 99% PVCB 1% PCCB <1% 2024-10-11 2024-10-12 NPD 99% PVCB 1% PCCB <1% 2024-10-12 2024-10-13 NPD 99% PVCB 1% PCCB <1% 2024-10-13 2024-10-14 NPD 99% PVCB 1% PCCB <1% 2024-10-14 2024-10-15 NPD 99% PVCB 1% PCCB <1% 2024-10-15 2024-10-16 NPD 99% PVCB 1% PCCB <1% 2024-10-16 2024-10-17 NPD 99% PVCB 1% PCCB <1% 2024-10-17 2024-10-18 NPD 99% PVCB 1% PCCB <1% 2024-10-18 2024-10-20 NPD 99% PVCB 1% PCCB <1% 2024-10-20 2024-11-10 NPD 99% PVCB 1% PCCB <1% 2024-11-10 2025-02-09 NPD 99% PVCB 1% PCCB <1% 2025-02-09 2025-06-18 NPD 99% PVCB 1% PCCB <1% 2025-06-18 2025-09-13 NPD 99% PVCB 1% PCCB <1% 2025-09-13 2025-10-21 NPD 99% PVCB 1% PCCB <1% 2025-10-21 2025-12-20 NPD 88% PVCB 12% PCCB <1% 2025-12-20 2026-02-05 PVCB 88% NPD 12% PCCB <1% 2026-02-05 2026-02-18 PVCB 88% NPD 12% PCCB <1% 2026-02-18 2024-03-26 PVCB 96% NPD 4% PCCB <1% 2024-03-26 2024-05-10 PVCB 89% NPD 11% PCCB <1% 2024-05-10 2024-05-18 PVCB 88% NPD 12% PCCB <1% 2024-05-18 2024-06-01 PVCB 87% NPD 13% PCCB <1% 2024-06-01 2024-06-26 PVCB 88% NPD 12% PCCB <1% 2024-06-26 2024-07-12 PVCB 88% NPD 12% PCCB <1% 2024-07-12 2024-08-01 NPD >99% PVCB <1% PCCB <1% 2024-08-01 2024-08-14 NPD >99% PVCB <1% PCCB <1% 2024-08-14 2024-09-03 NPD 99% PVCB 1% PCCB <1% 2024-09-03 2024-09-20 NPD 98% PVCB 2% PCCB <1% 2024-09-20 2024-09-21 NPD 97% PVCB 3% PCCB <1% 2024-09-21 2024-09-23 NPD 96% PVCB 4% PCCB <1% 2024-09-23 2024-09-25 NPD 92% PVCB 8% PCCB <1% 2024-09-25 2024-09-26 NPD 90% PVCB 10% PCCB <1% 2024-09-26 2024-09-27 NPD 84% PVCB 16% PCCB <1% 2024-09-27