Colombie-britannique

Historique récent | Vancouver-Little Mountain


2017 2020 2024 Projection NPD 59% ± 7% 51,5% 50,9% 62,1% PCCB 27% ± 6% 0,0% 0,2% 30,6% PVCB 10% ± 5% 13,7% 14,7% 7,3% BCU 0% ± 0% 34,1% 33,3% 0,0%

Infolettre Qc125

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Drapeau de la Colombie-Britannique

Projection Qc125 Vancouver-Little Mountain

Mise à jour : 18 février 2026

Vancouver-Little Mountain 52% 66% 59% ± 7% NPD 21% 33% 27% ± 6% PCCB 5% 15% 10% ± 5% PVCB NPD 2024 62,1% Projection du vote | 18 février 2026
Note méthodologique. Cette projection est calculée à l'aide d'un modèle principalement proportionnel, ajusté à l'aide de sondages provinciaux et régionaux réalisés par des sondeurs professionnels. Il ne s'agit pas d'un sondage, mais d'une projection basée sur des sondages. Pour en savoir plus sur la méthodologie de Qc125, cliquez ici.
50% 100% Vancouver-Little Mountain >99% NPD <1% PCCB <1% PVCB Probabilités de victoire | 18 février 2026
Note méthodologique. Ces chances de victoire sont celles si une élection générale avait lieu aujourd'hui. Elles sont calculées par le modèle avec des simulations de type Monte Carlo..


Projection du vote | Vancouver-Little Mountain

BCU 0% ± 0% PCCB 27% ± 6% NPD 59% ± 7% PVCB 10% ± 5% ONE 2% ± 3% CEN 2% ± 2% Projection du vote % | Vancouver-Little Mountain 70 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-05-01 2025-09-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-05-01 2026-09-01 Élection 2024 BCU PCCB NPD PVCB ONE CEN 18 février 2026 2024-03-26 NPD 47% PCCB 21% BCU 19% PVCB 11% ONE 0% CEN 0% 2024-03-26 2024-05-10 NPD 46% PCCB 26% BCU 16% PVCB 10% ONE 0% CEN 0% 2024-05-10 2024-05-18 NPD 42% PCCB 34% BCU 12% PVCB 10% ONE 0% CEN 0% 2024-05-18 2024-06-01 NPD 44% PCCB 31% BCU 12% PVCB 10% ONE 0% CEN 0% 2024-06-01 2024-06-26 NPD 44% PCCB 32% BCU 11% PVCB 11% ONE 0% CEN 0% 2024-06-26 2024-07-12 NPD 43% PCCB 34% PVCB 11% BCU 10% ONE 0% CEN 0% 2024-07-12 2024-08-01 NPD 43% PCCB 35% PVCB 11% BCU 10% ONE 0% CEN 0% 2024-08-01 2024-08-14 NPD 43% PCCB 35% PVCB 10% BCU 9% ONE 0% CEN 0% 2024-08-14 2024-09-03 NPD 47% PCCB 40% PVCB 10% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-03 2024-09-20 NPD 48% PCCB 42% PVCB 11% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-20 2024-09-21 NPD 48% PCCB 42% PVCB 11% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-21 2024-09-23 NPD 48% PCCB 42% PVCB 11% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-23 2024-09-25 NPD 48% PCCB 42% PVCB 10% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-25 2024-09-26 NPD 48% PCCB 42% PVCB 10% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-26 2024-09-27 NPD 48% PCCB 42% PVCB 10% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-27 2024-09-28 NPD 48% PCCB 42% PVCB 10% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-28 2024-09-29 NPD 47% PCCB 43% PVCB 10% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-29 2024-09-30 NPD 48% PCCB 42% PVCB 10% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-30 2024-10-01 NPD 48% PCCB 42% PVCB 10% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-01 2024-10-02 NPD 47% PCCB 43% PVCB 10% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-02 2024-10-03 NPD 47% PCCB 43% PVCB 10% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-03 2024-10-04 NPD 48% PCCB 43% PVCB 10% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-04 2024-10-05 NPD 48% PCCB 43% PVCB 10% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-05 2024-10-06 NPD 48% PCCB 42% PVCB 10% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-06 2024-10-07 NPD 49% PCCB 42% PVCB 10% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-07 2024-10-08 NPD 49% PCCB 41% PVCB 10% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-08 2024-10-09 NPD 49% PCCB 42% PVCB 10% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-09 2024-10-10 NPD 48% PCCB 42% PVCB 10% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-10 2024-10-11 NPD 49% PCCB 41% PVCB 10% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-11 2024-10-12 NPD 48% PCCB 41% PVCB 10% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-12 2024-10-13 NPD 48% PCCB 41% PVCB 11% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-13 2024-10-14 NPD 49% PCCB 40% PVCB 11% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-14 2024-10-15 NPD 49% PCCB 40% PVCB 11% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-15 2024-10-16 NPD 49% PCCB 40% PVCB 11% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-16 2024-10-17 NPD 49% PCCB 40% PVCB 11% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-17 2024-10-18 NPD 49% PCCB 40% PVCB 11% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-18 2024-10-20 NPD 62% PCCB 31% PVCB 7% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-20 2024-11-10 NPD 62% PCCB 31% PVCB 7% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-11-10 2025-02-09 NPD 62% PCCB 31% PVCB 7% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2025-02-09 2025-06-18 NPD 62% PCCB 31% PVCB 7% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2025-06-18 2025-09-13 NPD 62% PCCB 31% PVCB 7% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2025-09-13 2025-10-21 NPD 61% PCCB 29% PVCB 8% ONE 1% CEN 0% BCU 0% 2025-10-21 2025-12-20 NPD 61% PCCB 29% PVCB 8% ONE 1% CEN 0% BCU 0% 2025-12-20 2026-02-05 NPD 60% PCCB 28% PVCB 8% ONE 2% CEN 2% BCU 0% 2026-02-05 2026-02-18 NPD 59% PCCB 27% PVCB 10% ONE 2% CEN 2% BCU 0% 2026-02-18

Probabilités de victoire | Vancouver-Little Mountain

BCU <1% PCCB <1% NPD >99% PVCB <1% Probabilité de victoire 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-05-01 2025-09-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-05-01 2026-09-01 Élection 2024 PCCB NPD PVCB 18 février 2026 2024-03-26 NPD >99% PVCB <1% PCCB <1% 2024-03-26 2024-05-10 NPD >99% PVCB <1% PCCB <1% 2024-05-10 2024-05-18 NPD >99% PVCB <1% PCCB <1% 2024-05-18 2024-06-01 NPD >99% PVCB <1% PCCB <1% 2024-06-01 2024-06-26 NPD >99% PVCB <1% PCCB <1% 2024-06-26 2024-07-12 NPD 99% PVCB <1% PCCB <1% 2024-07-12 2024-08-01 NPD 99% PVCB <1% PCCB <1% 2024-08-01 2024-08-14 NPD 99% PVCB <1% PCCB <1% 2024-08-14 2024-09-03 NPD >99% PVCB <1% PCCB <1% 2024-09-03 2024-09-20 NPD >99% PVCB <1% PCCB <1% 2024-09-20 2024-09-21 NPD >99% PVCB <1% PCCB <1% 2024-09-21 2024-09-23 NPD >99% PVCB <1% PCCB <1% 2024-09-23 2024-09-25 NPD >99% PVCB <1% PCCB <1% 2024-09-25 2024-09-26 NPD >99% PVCB <1% PCCB <1% 2024-09-26 2024-09-27 NPD >99% PVCB <1% PCCB <1% 2024-09-27 2024-09-28 NPD >99% PVCB <1% PCCB <1% 2024-09-28 2024-09-29 NPD >99% PCCB <1% PVCB <1% 2024-09-29 2024-09-30 NPD 89% PCCB 11% PVCB <1% 2024-09-30 2024-10-01 NPD 98% PCCB 2% PVCB <1% 2024-10-01 2024-10-02 NPD 98% PCCB 2% PVCB <1% 2024-10-02 2024-10-03 NPD 93% PCCB 7% PVCB <1% 2024-10-03 2024-10-04 NPD 91% PCCB 9% PVCB <1% 2024-10-04 2024-10-05 NPD 91% PCCB 9% PVCB <1% 2024-10-05 2024-10-06 NPD 87% PCCB 13% PVCB <1% 2024-10-06 2024-10-07 NPD 82% PCCB 18% PVCB <1% 2024-10-07 2024-10-08 NPD 82% PCCB 18% PVCB <1% 2024-10-08 2024-10-09 NPD 84% PCCB 16% PVCB <1% 2024-10-09 2024-10-10 NPD 84% PCCB 16% PVCB <1% 2024-10-10 2024-10-11 NPD 84% PCCB 16% PVCB <1% 2024-10-11 2024-10-12 NPD 83% PCCB 17% PVCB <1% 2024-10-12 2024-10-13 NPD 82% PCCB 18% PVCB <1% 2024-10-13 2024-10-14 NPD 79% PCCB 21% PVCB <1% 2024-10-14 2024-10-15 NPD 87% PCCB 13% PVCB <1% 2024-10-15 2024-10-16 NPD 88% PCCB 12% PVCB <1% 2024-10-16 2024-10-17 NPD 78% PCCB 22% PVCB <1% 2024-10-17 2024-10-18 NPD 78% PCCB 22% PVCB <1% 2024-10-18 2024-10-20 NPD 80% PCCB 20% PVCB <1% 2024-10-20 2024-11-10 NPD 82% PCCB 18% PVCB <1% 2024-11-10 2025-02-09 NPD 87% PCCB 13% PVCB <1% 2025-02-09 2025-06-18 NPD 89% PCCB 11% PVCB <1% 2025-06-18 2025-09-13 NPD 91% PCCB 9% PVCB <1% 2025-09-13 2025-10-21 NPD 88% PCCB 12% PVCB <1% 2025-10-21 2025-12-20 NPD 86% PCCB 14% PVCB <1% 2025-12-20 2026-02-05 NPD 89% PCCB 11% PVCB <1% 2026-02-05 2026-02-18 NPD 89% PCCB 11% PVCB <1% 2026-02-18 2024-03-26 NPD 89% PCCB 11% PVCB <1% 2024-03-26 2024-05-10 NPD 93% PCCB 7% PVCB <1% 2024-05-10 2024-05-18 NPD 95% PCCB 5% PVCB <1% 2024-05-18 2024-06-01 NPD 95% PCCB 5% PVCB <1% 2024-06-01 2024-06-26 NPD 95% PCCB 5% PVCB <1% 2024-06-26 2024-07-12 NPD 96% PCCB 4% PVCB <1% 2024-07-12 2024-08-01 NPD >99% PVCB <1% PCCB <1% 2024-08-01 2024-08-14 NPD >99% PVCB <1% PCCB <1% 2024-08-14 2024-09-03 NPD >99% PVCB <1% PCCB <1% 2024-09-03 2024-09-20 NPD >99% PVCB <1% PCCB <1% 2024-09-20 2024-09-21 NPD >99% PCCB <1% PVCB <1% 2024-09-21 2024-09-23 NPD >99% PVCB <1% PCCB <1% 2024-09-23 2024-09-25 NPD >99% PVCB <1% PCCB <1% 2024-09-25 2024-09-26 NPD >99% PVCB <1% PCCB <1% 2024-09-26 2024-09-27 NPD >99% PVCB <1% PCCB <1% 2024-09-27