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Colombie-britannique
Drapeau de la Colombie-Britannique

Surrey-Panorama

Mise à jour : 18 février 2026
C
Député(e) : Bryan Tepper
Parti conservateur de la C-B
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Projection — Surrey-Panorama → Projection régionale — Métro Vancouver → Circonscriptions provinciales de la Colombie-Britannique → Carte de la projection de la Colombie-Britannique → Sondages de la Colombie-Britannique → Page d’accueil de la Colombie-Britannique → Simulateur de la Colombie-Britannique → Roulette de comté ! →

Historique récent | Surrey-Panorama


2017 2020 2024 Projection NPD 47% ± 8% 52,3% 58,7% 48,1% PCCB 44% ± 8% 0,0% 0,0% 49,6% ONE 4% ± 5% 0,0% 0,0% 0,0% PVCB 3% ± 3% 6,9% 1,5% 0,0% BCU 0% ± 0% 39,3% 38,2% 0,0%

Infolettre Qc125

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Drapeau de la Colombie-Britannique

Projection Qc125 Surrey-Panorama

Mise à jour : 18 février 2026

Surrey-Panorama 38% 55% 47% ± 8% NPD 36% 52% 44% ± 8% ▼ PCCB 0% 9% 4% ± 5% ONE PCCB 2024 49,6% Projection du vote | 18 février 2026
Note méthodologique. Cette projection est calculée à l'aide d'un modèle principalement proportionnel, ajusté à l'aide de sondages provinciaux et régionaux réalisés par des sondeurs professionnels. Il ne s'agit pas d'un sondage, mais d'une projection basée sur des sondages. Pour en savoir plus sur la méthodologie de Qc125, cliquez ici.
50% 100% Surrey-Panorama 64%▲ NPD 36%▼ PCCB <1% ONEProbabilités de victoire | 18 février 2026
Note méthodologique. Ces chances de victoire sont celles si une élection générale avait lieu aujourd'hui. Elles sont calculées par le modèle avec des simulations de type Monte Carlo..


Projection du vote | Surrey-Panorama

BCU 0% ± 0% PCCB 44% ± 8% NPD 47% ± 8% PVCB 3% ± 3% ONE 4% ± 5% CEN 2% ± 2% Projection du vote % | Surrey-Panorama 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-05-01 2025-09-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-05-01 2026-09-01 Élection 2024 BCU PCCB NPD PVCB ONE CEN 18 février 2026 2024-03-26 NPD 51% PCCB 24% BCU 21% PVCB 1% ONE 0% CEN 0% 2024-03-26 2024-05-10 NPD 49% PCCB 29% BCU 18% PVCB 1% ONE 0% CEN 0% 2024-05-10 2024-05-18 NPD 47% PCCB 37% BCU 13% PVCB 1% ONE 0% CEN 0% 2024-05-18 2024-06-01 NPD 49% PCCB 34% BCU 14% PVCB 1% ONE 0% CEN 0% 2024-06-01 2024-06-26 NPD 49% PCCB 35% BCU 13% PVCB 1% ONE 0% CEN 0% 2024-06-26 2024-07-12 NPD 48% PCCB 37% BCU 11% PVCB 1% ONE 0% CEN 0% 2024-07-12 2024-08-01 NPD 48% PCCB 38% BCU 11% PVCB 1% ONE 0% CEN 0% 2024-08-01 2024-08-14 NPD 48% PCCB 38% BCU 11% PVCB 1% ONE 0% CEN 0% 2024-08-14 2024-09-03 NPD 53% PCCB 44% PVCB 1% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-03 2024-09-20 NPD 54% PCCB 46% PVCB 1% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-20 2024-09-21 NPD 54% PCCB 46% PVCB 1% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-21 2024-09-23 NPD 53% PCCB 47% PVCB 1% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-23 2024-09-25 NPD 53% PCCB 47% PVCB 1% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-25 2024-09-26 NPD 53% PCCB 47% PVCB 1% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-26 2024-09-27 NPD 53% PCCB 47% PVCB 1% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-27 2024-09-28 NPD 52% PCCB 47% PVCB 1% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-28 2024-09-29 NPD 52% PCCB 48% ONE 0% CEN 0% PVCB 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-29 2024-09-30 NPD 53% PCCB 47% ONE 0% CEN 0% PVCB 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-30 2024-10-01 NPD 53% PCCB 47% ONE 0% CEN 0% PVCB 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-01 2024-10-02 NPD 52% PCCB 48% ONE 0% CEN 0% PVCB 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-02 2024-10-03 NPD 52% PCCB 48% ONE 0% CEN 0% PVCB 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-03 2024-10-04 NPD 52% PCCB 48% ONE 0% CEN 0% PVCB 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-04 2024-10-05 NPD 53% PCCB 47% ONE 0% CEN 0% PVCB 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-05 2024-10-06 NPD 53% PCCB 47% ONE 0% CEN 0% PVCB 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-06 2024-10-07 NPD 54% PCCB 46% ONE 0% CEN 0% PVCB 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-07 2024-10-08 NPD 54% PCCB 46% ONE 0% CEN 0% PVCB 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-08 2024-10-09 NPD 53% PCCB 47% ONE 0% CEN 0% PVCB 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-09 2024-10-10 NPD 53% PCCB 47% ONE 0% CEN 0% PVCB 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-10 2024-10-11 NPD 54% PCCB 46% ONE 0% CEN 0% PVCB 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-11 2024-10-12 NPD 54% PCCB 46% ONE 0% CEN 0% PVCB 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-12 2024-10-13 NPD 54% PCCB 46% ONE 0% CEN 0% PVCB 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-13 2024-10-14 NPD 54% PCCB 46% ONE 0% CEN 0% PVCB 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-14 2024-10-15 NPD 55% PCCB 45% ONE 0% CEN 0% PVCB 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-15 2024-10-16 NPD 55% PCCB 45% ONE 0% CEN 0% PVCB 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-16 2024-10-17 NPD 55% PCCB 45% ONE 0% CEN 0% PVCB 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-17 2024-10-18 NPD 55% PCCB 45% ONE 0% CEN 0% PVCB 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-18 2024-10-20 PCCB 50% NPD 48% ONE 0% CEN 0% PVCB 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-20 2024-11-10 PCCB 50% NPD 48% ONE 0% CEN 0% PVCB 0% BCU 0% 2024-11-10 2025-02-09 PCCB 50% NPD 48% ONE 0% CEN 0% PVCB 0% BCU 0% 2025-02-09 2025-06-18 PCCB 50% NPD 48% ONE 2% CEN 0% PVCB 0% BCU 0% 2025-06-18 2025-09-13 PCCB 50% NPD 48% ONE 2% CEN 0% PVCB 0% BCU 0% 2025-09-13 2025-10-21 NPD 48% PCCB 48% ONE 2% CEN 0% PVCB 0% BCU 0% 2025-10-21 2025-12-20 NPD 48% PCCB 47% ONE 2% PVCB 1% CEN 0% BCU 0% 2025-12-20 2026-02-05 NPD 47% PCCB 46% ONE 4% CEN 2% PVCB 1% BCU 0% 2026-02-05 2026-02-18 NPD 47% PCCB 44% ONE 4% PVCB 3% CEN 2% BCU 0% 2026-02-18

Probabilités de victoire | Surrey-Panorama

BCU <1% PCCB 36% NPD 64% PVCB <1% Probabilité de victoire 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-05-01 2025-09-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-05-01 2026-09-01 Élection 2024 PCCB NPD PVCB 18 février 2026 2024-03-26 NPD 91% PVCB <1% PCCB <1% 2024-03-26 2024-05-10 NPD 99% PVCB <1% PCCB <1% 2024-05-10 2024-05-18 NPD 99% PVCB <1% PCCB <1% 2024-05-18 2024-06-01 NPD 92% PVCB <1% PCCB <1% 2024-06-01 2024-06-26 NPD 93% PVCB <1% PCCB <1% 2024-06-26 2024-07-12 NPD 78% PVCB <1% PCCB <1% 2024-07-12 2024-08-01 NPD 80% PVCB <1% PCCB <1% 2024-08-01 2024-08-14 NPD 73% PVCB <1% PCCB <1% 2024-08-14 2024-09-03 NPD 94% PVCB <1% PCCB <1% 2024-09-03 2024-09-20 NPD >99% PVCB <1% PCCB <1% 2024-09-20 2024-09-21 NPD >99% PCCB <1% PVCB <1% 2024-09-21 2024-09-23 NPD >99% PVCB <1% PCCB <1% 2024-09-23 2024-09-25 NPD >99% PVCB <1% PCCB <1% 2024-09-25 2024-09-26 NPD >99% PVCB <1% PCCB <1% 2024-09-26 2024-09-27 NPD >99% PVCB <1% PCCB <1% 2024-09-27 2024-09-28 NPD >99% PVCB <1% PCCB <1% 2024-09-28 2024-09-29 NPD >99% PCCB <1% PVCB <1% 2024-09-29 2024-09-30 NPD 91% PCCB 9% PVCB <1% 2024-09-30 2024-10-01 NPD 98% PCCB 2% PVCB <1% 2024-10-01 2024-10-02 NPD 98% PCCB 2% PVCB <1% 2024-10-02 2024-10-03 NPD 94% PCCB 6% PVCB <1% 2024-10-03 2024-10-04 NPD 93% PCCB 7% PVCB <1% 2024-10-04 2024-10-05 NPD 93% PCCB 7% PVCB <1% 2024-10-05 2024-10-06 NPD 89% PCCB 11% PVCB <1% 2024-10-06 2024-10-07 NPD 85% PCCB 15% PVCB <1% 2024-10-07 2024-10-08 NPD 86% PCCB 14% PVCB <1% 2024-10-08 2024-10-09 NPD 80% PCCB 20% PVCB <1% 2024-10-09 2024-10-10 NPD 80% PCCB 20% PVCB <1% 2024-10-10 2024-10-11 NPD 80% PCCB 20% PVCB <1% 2024-10-11 2024-10-12 NPD 79% PCCB 21% PVCB <1% 2024-10-12 2024-10-13 NPD 78% PCCB 22% PVCB <1% 2024-10-13 2024-10-14 NPD 74% PCCB 26% PVCB <1% 2024-10-14 2024-10-15 NPD 83% PCCB 17% PVCB <1% 2024-10-15 2024-10-16 NPD 83% PCCB 17% PVCB <1% 2024-10-16 2024-10-17 NPD 73% PCCB 27% PVCB <1% 2024-10-17 2024-10-18 NPD 73% PCCB 27% PVCB <1% 2024-10-18 2024-10-20 NPD 76% PCCB 24% PVCB <1% 2024-10-20 2024-11-10 NPD 78% PCCB 22% PVCB <1% 2024-11-10 2025-02-09 NPD 83% PCCB 17% PVCB <1% 2025-02-09 2025-06-18 NPD 85% PCCB 15% PVCB <1% 2025-06-18 2025-09-13 NPD 88% PCCB 12% PVCB <1% 2025-09-13 2025-10-21 NPD 84% PCCB 16% PVCB <1% 2025-10-21 2025-12-20 NPD 82% PCCB 18% PVCB <1% 2025-12-20 2026-02-05 NPD 86% PCCB 14% PVCB <1% 2026-02-05 2026-02-18 NPD 85% PCCB 15% PVCB <1% 2026-02-18 2024-03-26 NPD 85% PCCB 15% PVCB <1% 2024-03-26 2024-05-10 NPD 91% PCCB 9% PVCB <1% 2024-05-10 2024-05-18 NPD 93% PCCB 7% PVCB <1% 2024-05-18 2024-06-01 NPD 92% PCCB 8% PVCB <1% 2024-06-01 2024-06-26 NPD 93% PCCB 7% PVCB <1% 2024-06-26 2024-07-12 NPD 94% PCCB 6% PVCB <1% 2024-07-12 2024-08-01 PCCB 66% NPD 34% PVCB <1% 2024-08-01 2024-08-14 PCCB 62% NPD 38% PVCB <1% 2024-08-14 2024-09-03 PCCB 58% NPD 42% PVCB <1% 2024-09-03 2024-09-20 PCCB 56% NPD 44% PVCB <1% 2024-09-20 2024-09-21 PCCB 61% NPD 39% PVCB <1% 2024-09-21 2024-09-23 NPD 52% PCCB 48% PVCB <1% 2024-09-23 2024-09-25 NPD 53% PCCB 47% PVCB <1% 2024-09-25 2024-09-26 NPD 58% PCCB 42% PVCB <1% 2024-09-26 2024-09-27 NPD 64% PCCB 36% PVCB <1% 2024-09-27