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Colombie-britannique
Drapeau de la Colombie-Britannique

Surrey-Newton

Mise à jour : 18 février 2026
N
Député(e) : Jessie Sunner
Nouveau Parti démocratique
NPD probable
Projection — Surrey-Newton → Projection régionale — Métro Vancouver → Circonscriptions provinciales de la Colombie-Britannique → Carte de la projection de la Colombie-Britannique → Sondages de la Colombie-Britannique → Page d’accueil de la Colombie-Britannique → Simulateur de la Colombie-Britannique → Roulette de comté ! →

Historique récent | Surrey-Newton


2017 2020 2024 Projection NPD 50% ± 9% 57,6% 62,4% 51,2% PCCB 39% ± 8% 0,0% 0,0% 43,0% ONE 5% ± 5% 0,0% 0,0% 0,0% PVCB 3% ± 3% 7,2% 7,5% 0,0% BCU 0% ± 0% 30,7% 29,9% 0,0%

Infolettre Qc125

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Drapeau de la Colombie-Britannique

Projection Qc125 Surrey-Newton

Mise à jour : 18 février 2026

Surrey-Newton 42% 59% 50% ± 9% ▼ NPD 31% 47% 39% ± 8% ▼ PCCB 0% 10% 5% ± 5% ONE NPD 2024 51,2% Projection du vote | 18 février 2026
Note méthodologique. Cette projection est calculée à l'aide d'un modèle principalement proportionnel, ajusté à l'aide de sondages provinciaux et régionaux réalisés par des sondeurs professionnels. Il ne s'agit pas d'un sondage, mais d'une projection basée sur des sondages. Pour en savoir plus sur la méthodologie de Qc125, cliquez ici.
50% 100% Surrey-Newton 95%▲ NPD 5%▼ PCCB <1% ONEProbabilités de victoire | 18 février 2026
Note méthodologique. Ces chances de victoire sont celles si une élection générale avait lieu aujourd'hui. Elles sont calculées par le modèle avec des simulations de type Monte Carlo..


Projection du vote | Surrey-Newton

BCU 0% ± 0% PCCB 39% ± 8% NPD 50% ± 9% PVCB 3% ± 3% ONE 5% ± 5% CEN 3% ± 3% Projection du vote % | Surrey-Newton 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-05-01 2025-09-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-05-01 2026-09-01 Élection 2024 BCU PCCB NPD PVCB ONE CEN 18 février 2026 2024-03-26 NPD 55% PCCB 21% BCU 16% PVCB 5% ONE 0% CEN 0% 2024-03-26 2024-05-10 NPD 54% PCCB 27% BCU 12% PVCB 5% ONE 0% CEN 0% 2024-05-10 2024-05-18 NPD 50% PCCB 35% BCU 9% PVCB 5% ONE 0% CEN 0% 2024-05-18 2024-06-01 NPD 52% PCCB 32% BCU 9% PVCB 5% ONE 0% CEN 0% 2024-06-01 2024-06-26 NPD 52% PCCB 33% BCU 8% PVCB 5% ONE 0% CEN 0% 2024-06-26 2024-07-12 NPD 50% PCCB 35% BCU 8% PVCB 6% ONE 0% CEN 0% 2024-07-12 2024-08-01 NPD 51% PCCB 35% BCU 7% PVCB 6% ONE 0% CEN 0% 2024-08-01 2024-08-14 NPD 51% PCCB 36% BCU 7% PVCB 5% ONE 0% CEN 0% 2024-08-14 2024-09-03 NPD 54% PCCB 40% PVCB 5% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-03 2024-09-20 NPD 52% PCCB 39% BCU 5% PVCB 4% ONE 0% CEN 0% 2024-09-20 2024-09-21 NPD 52% PCCB 39% BCU 5% PVCB 4% ONE 0% CEN 0% 2024-09-21 2024-09-23 NPD 51% PCCB 42% PVCB 5% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-23 2024-09-25 NPD 51% PCCB 42% PVCB 5% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-25 2024-09-26 NPD 51% PCCB 42% PVCB 5% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-26 2024-09-27 NPD 51% PCCB 42% PVCB 5% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-27 2024-09-28 NPD 50% PCCB 42% PVCB 5% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-28 2024-09-29 NPD 52% PCCB 44% ONE 0% CEN 0% PVCB 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-29 2024-09-30 NPD 53% PCCB 43% ONE 0% CEN 0% PVCB 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-30 2024-10-01 NPD 53% PCCB 43% ONE 0% CEN 0% PVCB 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-01 2024-10-02 NPD 52% PCCB 44% ONE 0% CEN 0% PVCB 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-02 2024-10-03 NPD 52% PCCB 44% ONE 0% CEN 0% PVCB 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-03 2024-10-04 NPD 52% PCCB 44% ONE 0% CEN 0% PVCB 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-04 2024-10-05 NPD 52% PCCB 44% ONE 0% CEN 0% PVCB 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-05 2024-10-06 NPD 53% PCCB 43% ONE 0% CEN 0% PVCB 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-06 2024-10-07 NPD 53% PCCB 43% ONE 0% CEN 0% PVCB 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-07 2024-10-08 NPD 54% PCCB 42% ONE 0% CEN 0% PVCB 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-08 2024-10-09 NPD 53% PCCB 43% ONE 0% CEN 0% PVCB 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-09 2024-10-10 NPD 53% PCCB 43% ONE 0% CEN 0% PVCB 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-10 2024-10-11 NPD 53% PCCB 43% ONE 0% CEN 0% PVCB 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-11 2024-10-12 NPD 53% PCCB 43% ONE 0% CEN 0% PVCB 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-12 2024-10-13 NPD 53% PCCB 43% ONE 0% CEN 0% PVCB 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-13 2024-10-14 NPD 54% PCCB 42% ONE 0% CEN 0% PVCB 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-14 2024-10-15 NPD 54% PCCB 41% ONE 0% CEN 0% PVCB 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-15 2024-10-16 NPD 54% PCCB 41% ONE 0% CEN 0% PVCB 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-16 2024-10-17 NPD 54% PCCB 41% ONE 0% CEN 0% PVCB 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-17 2024-10-18 NPD 55% PCCB 41% ONE 0% CEN 0% PVCB 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-18 2024-10-20 NPD 51% PCCB 43% ONE 0% CEN 0% PVCB 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-20 2024-11-10 NPD 51% PCCB 43% ONE 0% CEN 0% PVCB 0% BCU 0% 2024-11-10 2025-02-09 NPD 51% PCCB 43% ONE 0% CEN 0% PVCB 0% BCU 0% 2025-02-09 2025-06-18 NPD 51% PCCB 43% ONE 6% CEN 0% PVCB 0% BCU 0% 2025-06-18 2025-09-13 NPD 51% PCCB 43% ONE 6% CEN 0% PVCB 0% BCU 0% 2025-09-13 2025-10-21 NPD 52% PCCB 42% ONE 3% CEN 0% PVCB 0% BCU 0% 2025-10-21 2025-12-20 NPD 52% PCCB 42% ONE 3% PVCB 1% CEN 0% BCU 0% 2025-12-20 2026-02-05 NPD 51% PCCB 40% ONE 5% CEN 3% PVCB 1% BCU 0% 2026-02-05 2026-02-18 NPD 50% PCCB 39% ONE 5% PVCB 3% CEN 3% BCU 0% 2026-02-18

Probabilités de victoire | Surrey-Newton

BCU <1% PCCB 5% NPD 95% PVCB <1% Probabilité de victoire 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-05-01 2025-09-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-05-01 2026-09-01 Élection 2024 PCCB NPD PVCB 18 février 2026 2024-03-26 NPD >99% PVCB <1% PCCB <1% 2024-03-26 2024-05-10 NPD >99% PVCB <1% PCCB <1% 2024-05-10 2024-05-18 NPD >99% PVCB <1% PCCB <1% 2024-05-18 2024-06-01 NPD >99% PVCB <1% PCCB <1% 2024-06-01 2024-06-26 NPD >99% PVCB <1% PCCB <1% 2024-06-26 2024-07-12 NPD >99% PVCB <1% PCCB <1% 2024-07-12 2024-08-01 NPD >99% PVCB <1% PCCB <1% 2024-08-01 2024-08-14 NPD >99% PVCB <1% PCCB <1% 2024-08-14 2024-09-03 NPD >99% PVCB <1% PCCB <1% 2024-09-03 2024-09-20 NPD >99% PVCB <1% PCCB <1% 2024-09-20 2024-09-21 NPD >99% PVCB <1% PCCB <1% 2024-09-21 2024-09-23 NPD >99% PVCB <1% PCCB <1% 2024-09-23 2024-09-25 NPD >99% PVCB <1% PCCB <1% 2024-09-25 2024-09-26 NPD >99% PVCB <1% PCCB <1% 2024-09-26 2024-09-27 NPD >99% PVCB <1% PCCB <1% 2024-09-27 2024-09-28 NPD >99% PVCB <1% PCCB <1% 2024-09-28 2024-09-29 NPD >99% PCCB <1% PVCB <1% 2024-09-29 2024-09-30 NPD 98% PCCB 2% PVCB <1% 2024-09-30 2024-10-01 NPD >99% PCCB <1% PVCB <1% 2024-10-01 2024-10-02 NPD >99% PCCB <1% PVCB <1% 2024-10-02 2024-10-03 NPD 99% PCCB 1% PVCB <1% 2024-10-03 2024-10-04 NPD 98% PCCB 2% PVCB <1% 2024-10-04 2024-10-05 NPD 99% PCCB 1% PVCB <1% 2024-10-05 2024-10-06 NPD 98% PCCB 2% PVCB <1% 2024-10-06 2024-10-07 NPD 97% PCCB 3% PVCB <1% 2024-10-07 2024-10-08 NPD 97% PCCB 3% PVCB <1% 2024-10-08 2024-10-09 NPD 90% PCCB 10% PVCB <1% 2024-10-09 2024-10-10 NPD 91% PCCB 9% PVCB <1% 2024-10-10 2024-10-11 NPD 91% PCCB 9% PVCB <1% 2024-10-11 2024-10-12 NPD 90% PCCB 10% PVCB <1% 2024-10-12 2024-10-13 NPD 90% PCCB 10% PVCB <1% 2024-10-13 2024-10-14 NPD 88% PCCB 12% PVCB <1% 2024-10-14 2024-10-15 NPD 93% PCCB 7% PVCB <1% 2024-10-15 2024-10-16 NPD 93% PCCB 7% PVCB <1% 2024-10-16 2024-10-17 NPD 87% PCCB 13% PVCB <1% 2024-10-17 2024-10-18 NPD 87% PCCB 13% PVCB <1% 2024-10-18 2024-10-20 NPD 88% PCCB 12% PVCB <1% 2024-10-20 2024-11-10 NPD 90% PCCB 10% PVCB <1% 2024-11-10 2025-02-09 NPD 93% PCCB 7% PVCB <1% 2025-02-09 2025-06-18 NPD 94% PCCB 6% PVCB <1% 2025-06-18 2025-09-13 NPD 95% PCCB 5% PVCB <1% 2025-09-13 2025-10-21 NPD 93% PCCB 7% PVCB <1% 2025-10-21 2025-12-20 NPD 92% PCCB 8% PVCB <1% 2025-12-20 2026-02-05 NPD 94% PCCB 6% PVCB <1% 2026-02-05 2026-02-18 NPD 94% PCCB 6% PVCB <1% 2026-02-18 2024-03-26 NPD 94% PCCB 6% PVCB <1% 2024-03-26 2024-05-10 NPD 96% PCCB 4% PVCB <1% 2024-05-10 2024-05-18 NPD 97% PCCB 3% PVCB <1% 2024-05-18 2024-06-01 NPD 97% PCCB 3% PVCB <1% 2024-06-01 2024-06-26 NPD 98% PCCB 2% PVCB <1% 2024-06-26 2024-07-12 NPD 98% PCCB 2% PVCB <1% 2024-07-12 2024-08-01 NPD 92% PCCB 8% PVCB <1% 2024-08-01 2024-08-14 NPD 94% PCCB 6% PVCB <1% 2024-08-14 2024-09-03 NPD 89% PCCB 11% PVCB <1% 2024-09-03 2024-09-20 NPD 85% PCCB 15% PVCB <1% 2024-09-20 2024-09-21 NPD 81% PCCB 19% PVCB <1% 2024-09-21 2024-09-23 NPD 89% PCCB 11% PVCB <1% 2024-09-23 2024-09-25 NPD 89% PCCB 11% PVCB <1% 2024-09-25 2024-09-26 NPD 91% PCCB 9% PVCB <1% 2024-09-26 2024-09-27 NPD 95% PCCB 5% PVCB <1% 2024-09-27