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Colombie-britannique
Drapeau de la Colombie-Britannique

Surrey South

Mise à jour : 18 février 2026
C
Député(e) : Brent Chapman
Parti conservateur de la C-B
PCCB probable
Projection — Surrey South → Projection régionale — Métro Vancouver → Circonscriptions provinciales de la Colombie-Britannique → Carte de la projection de la Colombie-Britannique → Sondages de la Colombie-Britannique → Page d’accueil de la Colombie-Britannique → Simulateur de la Colombie-Britannique → Roulette de comté ! →

Historique récent | Surrey South


2017 2020 2024 Projection PCCB 52% ± 8% 0,0% 0,0% 58,8% NPD 40% ± 8% 29,5% 35,1% 41,2% ONE 4% ± 4% 0,0% 0,0% 0,0% PVCB 3% ± 3% 10,5% 9,3% 0,0% BCU 0% ± 0% 56,0% 55,4% 0,0%

Infolettre Qc125

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Drapeau de la Colombie-Britannique

Projection Qc125 Surrey South

Mise à jour : 18 février 2026

Surrey South 44% 60% 52% ± 8% ▼ PCCB 32% 47% 40% ± 8% NPD 0% 7% 4% ± 4% ▲ ONE PCCB 2024 58,8% Projection du vote | 18 février 2026
Note méthodologique. Cette projection est calculée à l'aide d'un modèle principalement proportionnel, ajusté à l'aide de sondages provinciaux et régionaux réalisés par des sondeurs professionnels. Il ne s'agit pas d'un sondage, mais d'une projection basée sur des sondages. Pour en savoir plus sur la méthodologie de Qc125, cliquez ici.
50% 100% Surrey South 97%▲ PCCB 3%▼ NPD <1% ONEProbabilités de victoire | 18 février 2026
Note méthodologique. Ces chances de victoire sont celles si une élection générale avait lieu aujourd'hui. Elles sont calculées par le modèle avec des simulations de type Monte Carlo..


Projection du vote | Surrey South

BCU 0% ± 0% PCCB 52% ± 8% NPD 40% ± 8% PVCB 3% ± 3% ONE 4% ± 4% CEN 2% ± 2% Projection du vote % | Surrey South 70 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-05-01 2025-09-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-05-01 2026-09-01 Élection 2024 BCU PCCB NPD PVCB ONE CEN 18 février 2026 2024-03-26 BCU 32% NPD 31% PCCB 29% PVCB 6% ONE 0% CEN 0% 2024-03-26 2024-05-10 PCCB 34% NPD 29% BCU 28% PVCB 6% ONE 0% CEN 0% 2024-05-10 2024-05-18 PCCB 42% NPD 28% BCU 23% PVCB 6% ONE 0% CEN 0% 2024-05-18 2024-06-01 PCCB 39% NPD 29% BCU 24% PVCB 6% ONE 0% CEN 0% 2024-06-01 2024-06-26 PCCB 40% NPD 30% BCU 22% PVCB 6% ONE 0% CEN 0% 2024-06-26 2024-07-12 PCCB 43% NPD 29% BCU 20% PVCB 7% ONE 0% CEN 0% 2024-07-12 2024-08-01 PCCB 44% NPD 29% BCU 19% PVCB 7% ONE 0% CEN 0% 2024-08-01 2024-08-14 PCCB 45% NPD 30% BCU 18% PVCB 6% ONE 0% CEN 0% 2024-08-14 2024-09-03 PCCB 57% NPD 35% PVCB 6% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-03 2024-09-20 PCCB 59% NPD 35% PVCB 7% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-20 2024-09-21 PCCB 59% NPD 35% PVCB 7% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-21 2024-09-23 PCCB 58% NPD 35% PVCB 7% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-23 2024-09-25 PCCB 58% NPD 35% PVCB 6% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-25 2024-09-26 PCCB 58% NPD 35% PVCB 6% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-26 2024-09-27 PCCB 59% NPD 35% PVCB 6% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-27 2024-09-28 PCCB 59% NPD 35% PVCB 6% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-28 2024-09-29 PCCB 63% NPD 37% ONE 0% CEN 0% PVCB 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-29 2024-09-30 PCCB 62% NPD 38% ONE 0% CEN 0% PVCB 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-30 2024-10-01 PCCB 62% NPD 38% ONE 0% CEN 0% PVCB 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-01 2024-10-02 PCCB 63% NPD 37% ONE 0% CEN 0% PVCB 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-02 2024-10-03 PCCB 63% NPD 37% ONE 0% CEN 0% PVCB 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-03 2024-10-04 PCCB 63% NPD 37% ONE 0% CEN 0% PVCB 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-04 2024-10-05 PCCB 63% NPD 37% ONE 0% CEN 0% PVCB 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-05 2024-10-06 PCCB 62% NPD 38% ONE 0% CEN 0% PVCB 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-06 2024-10-07 PCCB 62% NPD 38% ONE 0% CEN 0% PVCB 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-07 2024-10-08 PCCB 61% NPD 39% ONE 0% CEN 0% PVCB 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-08 2024-10-09 PCCB 62% NPD 38% ONE 0% CEN 0% PVCB 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-09 2024-10-10 PCCB 62% NPD 38% ONE 0% CEN 0% PVCB 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-10 2024-10-11 PCCB 62% NPD 38% ONE 0% CEN 0% PVCB 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-11 2024-10-12 PCCB 62% NPD 38% ONE 0% CEN 0% PVCB 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-12 2024-10-13 PCCB 62% NPD 38% ONE 0% CEN 0% PVCB 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-13 2024-10-14 PCCB 61% NPD 39% ONE 0% CEN 0% PVCB 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-14 2024-10-15 PCCB 61% NPD 39% ONE 0% CEN 0% PVCB 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-15 2024-10-16 PCCB 61% NPD 39% ONE 0% CEN 0% PVCB 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-16 2024-10-17 PCCB 61% NPD 39% ONE 0% CEN 0% PVCB 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-17 2024-10-18 PCCB 60% NPD 40% ONE 0% CEN 0% PVCB 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-18 2024-10-20 PCCB 59% NPD 41% ONE 0% CEN 0% PVCB 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-20 2024-11-10 PCCB 59% NPD 41% ONE 0% CEN 0% PVCB 0% BCU 0% 2024-11-10 2025-02-09 PCCB 59% NPD 41% ONE 0% CEN 0% PVCB 0% BCU 0% 2025-02-09 2025-06-18 PCCB 59% NPD 41% ONE 0% CEN 0% PVCB 0% BCU 0% 2025-06-18 2025-09-13 PCCB 59% NPD 41% ONE 0% CEN 0% PVCB 0% BCU 0% 2025-09-13 2025-10-21 PCCB 56% NPD 41% ONE 1% CEN 0% PVCB 0% BCU 0% 2025-10-21 2025-12-20 PCCB 55% NPD 41% PVCB 1% ONE 1% CEN 0% BCU 0% 2025-12-20 2026-02-05 PCCB 54% NPD 40% ONE 3% CEN 2% PVCB 1% BCU 0% 2026-02-05 2026-02-18 PCCB 52% NPD 40% ONE 4% PVCB 3% CEN 2% BCU 0% 2026-02-18

Probabilités de victoire | Surrey South

BCU <1% PCCB 97% NPD 3% PVCB <1% Probabilité de victoire 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-05-01 2025-09-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-05-01 2026-09-01 Élection 2024 PCCB NPD PVCB 18 février 2026 2024-03-26 NPD >99% PVCB <1% PCCB <1% 2024-03-26 2024-05-10 NPD >99% PVCB <1% PCCB <1% 2024-05-10 2024-05-18 NPD >99% PVCB <1% PCCB <1% 2024-05-18 2024-06-01 NPD >99% PVCB <1% PCCB <1% 2024-06-01 2024-06-26 NPD >99% PVCB <1% PCCB <1% 2024-06-26 2024-07-12 NPD >99% PVCB <1% PCCB <1% 2024-07-12 2024-08-01 NPD >99% PVCB <1% PCCB <1% 2024-08-01 2024-08-14 NPD >99% PVCB <1% PCCB <1% 2024-08-14 2024-09-03 NPD >99% PVCB <1% PCCB <1% 2024-09-03 2024-09-20 NPD >99% PVCB <1% PCCB <1% 2024-09-20 2024-09-21 NPD >99% PVCB <1% PCCB <1% 2024-09-21 2024-09-23 NPD 51% PCCB 3% PVCB <1% 2024-09-23 2024-09-25 NPD 52% PCCB 3% PVCB <1% 2024-09-25 2024-09-26 NPD 51% PCCB 3% PVCB <1% 2024-09-26 2024-09-27 NPD 76% PCCB 4% PVCB <1% 2024-09-27 2024-09-28 NPD 30% PCCB 21% PVCB <1% 2024-09-28 2024-09-29 PCCB 68% NPD 17% PVCB <1% 2024-09-29 2024-09-30 PCCB 97% NPD 2% PVCB <1% 2024-09-30 2024-10-01 PCCB 93% NPD 6% PVCB <1% 2024-10-01 2024-10-02 PCCB 95% NPD 5% PVCB <1% 2024-10-02 2024-10-03 PCCB 99% NPD 1% PVCB <1% 2024-10-03 2024-10-04 PCCB 99% NPD 1% PVCB <1% 2024-10-04 2024-10-05 PCCB 99% NPD 1% PVCB <1% 2024-10-05 2024-10-06 PCCB >99% NPD <1% PVCB <1% 2024-10-06 2024-10-07 PCCB >99% NPD <1% PVCB <1% 2024-10-07 2024-10-08 PCCB >99% NPD <1% PVCB <1% 2024-10-08 2024-10-09 PCCB >99% NPD <1% PVCB <1% 2024-10-09 2024-10-10 PCCB >99% NPD <1% PVCB <1% 2024-10-10 2024-10-11 PCCB >99% NPD <1% PVCB <1% 2024-10-11 2024-10-12 PCCB >99% NPD <1% PVCB <1% 2024-10-12 2024-10-13 PCCB >99% NPD <1% PVCB <1% 2024-10-13 2024-10-14 PCCB >99% PVCB <1% NPD <1% 2024-10-14 2024-10-15 PCCB >99% NPD <1% PVCB <1% 2024-10-15 2024-10-16 PCCB >99% PVCB <1% NPD <1% 2024-10-16 2024-10-17 PCCB >99% NPD <1% PVCB <1% 2024-10-17 2024-10-18 PCCB >99% PVCB <1% NPD <1% 2024-10-18 2024-10-20 PCCB >99% PVCB <1% NPD <1% 2024-10-20 2024-11-10 PCCB >99% PVCB <1% NPD <1% 2024-11-10 2025-02-09 PCCB >99% NPD <1% PVCB <1% 2025-02-09 2025-06-18 PCCB >99% NPD <1% PVCB <1% 2025-06-18 2025-09-13 PCCB >99% NPD <1% PVCB <1% 2025-09-13 2025-10-21 PCCB >99% NPD <1% PVCB <1% 2025-10-21 2025-12-20 PCCB >99% PVCB <1% NPD <1% 2025-12-20 2026-02-05 PCCB >99% NPD <1% PVCB <1% 2026-02-05 2026-02-18 PCCB >99% NPD <1% PVCB <1% 2026-02-18 2024-03-26 PCCB >99% NPD <1% PVCB <1% 2024-03-26 2024-05-10 PCCB >99% NPD <1% PVCB <1% 2024-05-10 2024-05-18 PCCB >99% NPD <1% PVCB <1% 2024-05-18 2024-06-01 PCCB >99% NPD <1% PVCB <1% 2024-06-01 2024-06-26 PCCB >99% NPD <1% PVCB <1% 2024-06-26 2024-07-12 PCCB >99% NPD <1% PVCB <1% 2024-07-12 2024-08-01 PCCB >99% NPD <1% PVCB <1% 2024-08-01 2024-08-14 PCCB >99% NPD <1% PVCB <1% 2024-08-14 2024-09-03 PCCB >99% NPD <1% PVCB <1% 2024-09-03 2024-09-20 PCCB 99% NPD 1% PVCB <1% 2024-09-20 2024-09-21 PCCB 99% NPD 1% PVCB <1% 2024-09-21 2024-09-23 PCCB 98% NPD 2% PVCB <1% 2024-09-23 2024-09-25 PCCB 97% NPD 3% PVCB <1% 2024-09-25 2024-09-26 PCCB 96% NPD 4% PVCB <1% 2024-09-26 2024-09-27 PCCB 97% NPD 3% PVCB <1% 2024-09-27