Colombie-britannique

Historique récent | Surrey North


2017 2020 2024 Projection PCCB 45% ± 8% 0,0% 0,0% 50,7% NPD 42% ± 8% 58,2% 63,5% 43,3% PVCB 7% ± 4% 8,6% 0,0% 4,2% ONE 4% ± 4% 0,0% 0,0% 0,0% BCU 0% ± 0% 32,3% 35,1% 0,0%

Infolettre Qc125

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Drapeau de la Colombie-Britannique

Projection Qc125 Surrey North

Mise à jour : 18 février 2026

Surrey North 37% 54% 45% ± 8% PCCB 34% 50% 42% ± 8% NPD 3% 11% 7% ± 4% PVCB 0% 8% 4% ± 4% ONE PCCB 2024 50,7% Projection du vote | 18 février 2026
Note méthodologique. Cette projection est calculée à l'aide d'un modèle principalement proportionnel, ajusté à l'aide de sondages provinciaux et régionaux réalisés par des sondeurs professionnels. Il ne s'agit pas d'un sondage, mais d'une projection basée sur des sondages. Pour en savoir plus sur la méthodologie de Qc125, cliquez ici.
50% 100% Surrey North 68%▼ PCCB 32%▲ NPD <1% PVCB Probabilités de victoire | 18 février 2026
Note méthodologique. Ces chances de victoire sont celles si une élection générale avait lieu aujourd'hui. Elles sont calculées par le modèle avec des simulations de type Monte Carlo..


Projection du vote | Surrey North

BCU 0% ± 0% PCCB 45% ± 8% NPD 42% ± 8% PVCB 7% ± 4% ONE 4% ± 4% CEN 2% ± 2% Projection du vote % | Surrey North 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-05-01 2025-09-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-05-01 2026-09-01 Élection 2024 BCU PCCB NPD PVCB ONE CEN 18 février 2026 2024-03-26 NPD 56% BCU 20% PCCB 19% PVCB 1% ONE 0% CEN 0% 2024-03-26 2024-05-10 NPD 55% PCCB 25% BCU 16% PVCB 1% ONE 0% CEN 0% 2024-05-10 2024-05-18 NPD 51% PCCB 33% BCU 12% PVCB 1% ONE 0% CEN 0% 2024-05-18 2024-06-01 NPD 53% PCCB 31% BCU 13% PVCB 1% ONE 0% CEN 0% 2024-06-01 2024-06-26 NPD 53% PCCB 31% BCU 12% PVCB 1% ONE 0% CEN 0% 2024-06-26 2024-07-12 NPD 52% PCCB 33% BCU 11% PVCB 2% ONE 0% CEN 0% 2024-07-12 2024-08-01 NPD 52% PCCB 34% BCU 10% PVCB 2% ONE 0% CEN 0% 2024-08-01 2024-08-14 NPD 52% PCCB 34% BCU 10% PVCB 1% ONE 0% CEN 0% 2024-08-14 2024-09-03 NPD 57% PCCB 40% PVCB 1% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-03 2024-09-20 NPD 58% PCCB 41% PVCB 1% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-20 2024-09-21 NPD 58% PCCB 41% PVCB 1% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-21 2024-09-23 NPD 57% PCCB 42% PVCB 1% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-23 2024-09-25 NPD 57% PCCB 42% PVCB 1% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-25 2024-09-26 NPD 57% PCCB 42% PVCB 1% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-26 2024-09-27 NPD 57% PCCB 42% PVCB 1% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-27 2024-09-28 NPD 57% PCCB 42% PVCB 1% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-28 2024-09-29 NPD 56% PCCB 42% PVCB 2% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-29 2024-09-30 NPD 57% PCCB 41% PVCB 2% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-30 2024-10-01 NPD 57% PCCB 41% PVCB 2% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-01 2024-10-02 NPD 56% PCCB 42% PVCB 2% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-02 2024-10-03 NPD 56% PCCB 42% PVCB 2% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-03 2024-10-04 NPD 56% PCCB 42% PVCB 2% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-04 2024-10-05 NPD 57% PCCB 42% PVCB 2% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-05 2024-10-06 NPD 57% PCCB 41% PVCB 2% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-06 2024-10-07 NPD 57% PCCB 41% PVCB 2% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-07 2024-10-08 NPD 58% PCCB 40% PVCB 2% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-08 2024-10-09 NPD 57% PCCB 41% PVCB 2% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-09 2024-10-10 NPD 57% PCCB 41% PVCB 2% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-10 2024-10-11 NPD 57% PCCB 41% PVCB 2% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-11 2024-10-12 NPD 57% PCCB 41% PVCB 2% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-12 2024-10-13 NPD 57% PCCB 41% PVCB 2% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-13 2024-10-14 NPD 58% PCCB 40% PVCB 2% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-14 2024-10-15 NPD 59% PCCB 39% PVCB 2% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-15 2024-10-16 NPD 59% PCCB 39% PVCB 2% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-16 2024-10-17 NPD 59% PCCB 39% PVCB 2% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-17 2024-10-18 NPD 59% PCCB 39% PVCB 2% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-18 2024-10-20 PCCB 51% NPD 43% PVCB 4% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-20 2024-11-10 PCCB 51% NPD 43% PVCB 4% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-11-10 2025-02-09 PCCB 51% NPD 43% PVCB 4% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2025-02-09 2025-06-18 PCCB 51% NPD 43% PVCB 4% ONE 2% CEN 0% BCU 0% 2025-06-18 2025-09-13 PCCB 51% NPD 43% PVCB 4% ONE 2% CEN 0% BCU 0% 2025-09-13 2025-10-21 PCCB 49% NPD 43% PVCB 4% ONE 2% CEN 0% BCU 0% 2025-10-21 2025-12-20 PCCB 48% NPD 43% PVCB 5% ONE 2% CEN 0% BCU 0% 2025-12-20 2026-02-05 PCCB 47% NPD 43% PVCB 5% ONE 4% CEN 2% BCU 0% 2026-02-05 2026-02-18 PCCB 45% NPD 42% PVCB 7% ONE 4% CEN 2% BCU 0% 2026-02-18

Probabilités de victoire | Surrey North

BCU <1% PCCB 68% NPD 32% PVCB <1% Probabilité de victoire 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-05-01 2025-09-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-05-01 2026-09-01 Élection 2024 PCCB NPD PVCB 18 février 2026 2024-03-26 NPD >99% PVCB <1% PCCB <1% 2024-03-26 2024-05-10 NPD >99% PVCB <1% PCCB <1% 2024-05-10 2024-05-18 NPD >99% PVCB <1% PCCB <1% 2024-05-18 2024-06-01 NPD >99% PVCB <1% PCCB <1% 2024-06-01 2024-06-26 NPD >99% PVCB <1% PCCB <1% 2024-06-26 2024-07-12 NPD >99% PVCB <1% PCCB <1% 2024-07-12 2024-08-01 NPD >99% PVCB <1% PCCB <1% 2024-08-01 2024-08-14 NPD >99% PVCB <1% PCCB <1% 2024-08-14 2024-09-03 NPD >99% PVCB <1% PCCB <1% 2024-09-03 2024-09-20 NPD >99% PVCB <1% PCCB <1% 2024-09-20 2024-09-21 NPD >99% PVCB <1% PCCB <1% 2024-09-21 2024-09-23 NPD >99% PVCB <1% PCCB <1% 2024-09-23 2024-09-25 NPD >99% PVCB <1% PCCB <1% 2024-09-25 2024-09-26 NPD >99% PVCB <1% PCCB <1% 2024-09-26 2024-09-27 NPD >99% PVCB <1% PCCB <1% 2024-09-27 2024-09-28 NPD >99% PVCB <1% PCCB <1% 2024-09-28 2024-09-29 NPD >99% PVCB <1% PCCB <1% 2024-09-29 2024-09-30 NPD 99% PCCB 1% PVCB <1% 2024-09-30 2024-10-01 NPD >99% PCCB <1% PVCB <1% 2024-10-01 2024-10-02 NPD >99% PCCB <1% PVCB <1% 2024-10-02 2024-10-03 NPD >99% PCCB <1% PVCB <1% 2024-10-03 2024-10-04 NPD >99% PCCB <1% PVCB <1% 2024-10-04 2024-10-05 NPD >99% PCCB <1% PVCB <1% 2024-10-05 2024-10-06 NPD 99% PCCB 1% PVCB <1% 2024-10-06 2024-10-07 NPD 99% PCCB 1% PVCB <1% 2024-10-07 2024-10-08 NPD 99% PCCB 1% PVCB <1% 2024-10-08 2024-10-09 NPD 99% PCCB 1% PVCB <1% 2024-10-09 2024-10-10 NPD 99% PCCB 1% PVCB <1% 2024-10-10 2024-10-11 NPD 99% PCCB 1% PVCB <1% 2024-10-11 2024-10-12 NPD 99% PCCB 1% PVCB <1% 2024-10-12 2024-10-13 NPD 99% PCCB 1% PVCB <1% 2024-10-13 2024-10-14 NPD 98% PCCB 2% PVCB <1% 2024-10-14 2024-10-15 NPD 99% PCCB 1% PVCB <1% 2024-10-15 2024-10-16 NPD 99% PCCB 1% PVCB <1% 2024-10-16 2024-10-17 NPD 98% PCCB 2% PVCB <1% 2024-10-17 2024-10-18 NPD 98% PCCB 2% PVCB <1% 2024-10-18 2024-10-20 NPD 98% PCCB 2% PVCB <1% 2024-10-20 2024-11-10 NPD 98% PCCB 2% PVCB <1% 2024-11-10 2025-02-09 NPD 99% PCCB 1% PVCB <1% 2025-02-09 2025-06-18 NPD 99% PCCB 1% PVCB <1% 2025-06-18 2025-09-13 NPD >99% PCCB <1% PVCB <1% 2025-09-13 2025-10-21 NPD 99% PCCB 1% PVCB <1% 2025-10-21 2025-12-20 NPD 99% PCCB 1% PVCB <1% 2025-12-20 2026-02-05 NPD 99% PCCB 1% PVCB <1% 2026-02-05 2026-02-18 NPD 99% PCCB 1% PVCB <1% 2026-02-18 2024-03-26 NPD 99% PCCB 1% PVCB <1% 2024-03-26 2024-05-10 NPD >99% PCCB <1% PVCB <1% 2024-05-10 2024-05-18 NPD >99% PCCB <1% PVCB <1% 2024-05-18 2024-06-01 NPD >99% PCCB <1% PVCB <1% 2024-06-01 2024-06-26 NPD >99% PCCB <1% PVCB <1% 2024-06-26 2024-07-12 NPD >99% PCCB <1% PVCB <1% 2024-07-12 2024-08-01 PCCB 95% NPD 5% PVCB <1% 2024-08-01 2024-08-14 PCCB 92% NPD 8% PVCB <1% 2024-08-14 2024-09-03 PCCB 85% NPD 15% PVCB <1% 2024-09-03 2024-09-20 PCCB 81% NPD 19% PVCB <1% 2024-09-20 2024-09-21 PCCB 85% NPD 15% PVCB <1% 2024-09-21 2024-09-23 PCCB 75% NPD 25% PVCB <1% 2024-09-23 2024-09-25 PCCB 74% NPD 26% PVCB <1% 2024-09-25 2024-09-26 PCCB 70% NPD 30% PVCB <1% 2024-09-26 2024-09-27 PCCB 68% NPD 32% PVCB <1% 2024-09-27