Colombie-britannique

Historique récent | Oak Bay-Gordon Head


2017 2020 2024 Projection NPD 46% ± 7% 23,6% 51,1% 49,1% PVCB 25% ± 7% 52,2% 25,5% 22,0% PCCB 25% ± 6% 0,0% 0,0% 28,9% BCU 0% ± 0% 23,8% 22,9% 0,0%

Infolettre Qc125

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Drapeau de la Colombie-Britannique

Projection Qc125 Oak Bay-Gordon Head

Mise à jour : 18 février 2026

Oak Bay-Gordon Head 39% 53% 46% ± 7% NPD 19% 32% 25% ± 7% PVCB 19% 30% 25% ± 6% PCCB NPD 2024 49,1% Projection du vote | 18 février 2026
Note méthodologique. Cette projection est calculée à l'aide d'un modèle principalement proportionnel, ajusté à l'aide de sondages provinciaux et régionaux réalisés par des sondeurs professionnels. Il ne s'agit pas d'un sondage, mais d'une projection basée sur des sondages. Pour en savoir plus sur la méthodologie de Qc125, cliquez ici.
50% 100% Oak Bay-Gordon Head >99% NPD <1% PVCB <1% PCCB Probabilités de victoire | 18 février 2026
Note méthodologique. Ces chances de victoire sont celles si une élection générale avait lieu aujourd'hui. Elles sont calculées par le modèle avec des simulations de type Monte Carlo..


Projection du vote | Oak Bay-Gordon Head

BCU 0% ± 0% PCCB 25% ± 6% NPD 46% ± 7% PVCB 25% ± 7% ONE 2% ± 2% CEN 2% ± 2% Projection du vote % | Oak Bay-Gordon Head 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-05-01 2025-09-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-05-01 2026-09-01 Élection 2024 BCU PCCB NPD PVCB ONE CEN 18 février 2026 2024-03-26 NPD 47% PVCB 21% PCCB 18% BCU 12% ONE 0% CEN 0% 2024-03-26 2024-05-10 NPD 47% PCCB 23% PVCB 19% BCU 9% ONE 0% CEN 0% 2024-05-10 2024-05-18 NPD 44% PCCB 27% PVCB 18% BCU 9% ONE 0% CEN 0% 2024-05-18 2024-06-01 NPD 46% PCCB 25% PVCB 19% BCU 9% ONE 0% CEN 0% 2024-06-01 2024-06-26 NPD 46% PCCB 25% PVCB 20% BCU 8% ONE 0% CEN 0% 2024-06-26 2024-07-12 NPD 44% PCCB 26% PVCB 20% BCU 7% ONE 0% CEN 0% 2024-07-12 2024-08-01 NPD 45% PCCB 27% PVCB 20% BCU 7% ONE 0% CEN 0% 2024-08-01 2024-08-14 NPD 45% PCCB 28% PVCB 19% BCU 7% ONE 0% CEN 0% 2024-08-14 2024-09-03 NPD 48% PCCB 31% PVCB 20% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-03 2024-09-20 NPD 49% PCCB 31% PVCB 20% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-20 2024-09-21 NPD 49% PCCB 31% PVCB 20% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-21 2024-09-23 NPD 49% PCCB 31% PVCB 20% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-23 2024-09-25 NPD 48% PCCB 32% PVCB 20% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-25 2024-09-26 NPD 48% PCCB 33% PVCB 19% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-26 2024-09-27 NPD 48% PCCB 33% PVCB 19% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-27 2024-09-28 NPD 48% PCCB 33% PVCB 19% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-28 2024-09-29 NPD 46% PCCB 36% PVCB 19% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-29 2024-09-30 NPD 44% PCCB 37% PVCB 19% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-30 2024-10-01 NPD 44% PCCB 37% PVCB 19% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-01 2024-10-02 NPD 44% PCCB 37% PVCB 19% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-02 2024-10-03 NPD 44% PCCB 37% PVCB 19% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-03 2024-10-04 NPD 44% PCCB 37% PVCB 18% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-04 2024-10-05 NPD 45% PCCB 37% PVCB 18% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-05 2024-10-06 NPD 45% PCCB 36% PVCB 19% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-06 2024-10-07 NPD 45% PCCB 36% PVCB 19% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-07 2024-10-08 NPD 46% PCCB 36% PVCB 19% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-08 2024-10-09 NPD 45% PCCB 36% PVCB 19% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-09 2024-10-10 NPD 45% PCCB 36% PVCB 19% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-10 2024-10-11 NPD 45% PCCB 36% PVCB 19% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-11 2024-10-12 NPD 45% PCCB 36% PVCB 19% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-12 2024-10-13 NPD 44% PCCB 35% PVCB 21% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-13 2024-10-14 NPD 44% PCCB 35% PVCB 21% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-14 2024-10-15 NPD 44% PCCB 34% PVCB 21% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-15 2024-10-16 NPD 44% PCCB 34% PVCB 21% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-16 2024-10-17 NPD 44% PCCB 34% PVCB 21% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-17 2024-10-18 NPD 42% PCCB 37% PVCB 21% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-18 2024-10-20 NPD 49% PCCB 29% PVCB 22% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-20 2024-11-10 NPD 49% PCCB 29% PVCB 22% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-11-10 2025-02-09 NPD 49% PCCB 29% PVCB 22% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2025-02-09 2025-06-18 NPD 49% PCCB 29% PVCB 22% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2025-06-18 2025-09-13 NPD 49% PCCB 29% PVCB 22% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2025-09-13 2025-10-21 NPD 48% PCCB 27% PVCB 22% ONE 1% CEN 0% BCU 0% 2025-10-21 2025-12-20 NPD 47% PCCB 27% PVCB 23% ONE 1% CEN 0% BCU 0% 2025-12-20 2026-02-05 NPD 47% PCCB 26% PVCB 24% ONE 2% CEN 2% BCU 0% 2026-02-05 2026-02-18 NPD 46% PVCB 25% PCCB 25% ONE 2% CEN 2% BCU 0% 2026-02-18

Probabilités de victoire | Oak Bay-Gordon Head

BCU <1% PCCB <1% NPD >99% PVCB <1% Probabilité de victoire 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-05-01 2025-09-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-05-01 2026-09-01 Élection 2024 PCCB NPD PVCB 18 février 2026 2024-03-26 NPD 7% PVCB <1% PCCB <1% 2024-03-26 2024-05-10 NPD 34% PVCB <1% PCCB <1% 2024-05-10 2024-05-18 NPD 28% PVCB <1% PCCB <1% 2024-05-18 2024-06-01 NPD 6% PVCB <1% PCCB <1% 2024-06-01 2024-06-26 NPD 9% PVCB <1% PCCB <1% 2024-06-26 2024-07-12 NPD 3% PVCB <1% PCCB <1% 2024-07-12 2024-08-01 NPD 4% PVCB <1% PCCB <1% 2024-08-01 2024-08-14 NPD 4% PVCB <1% PCCB <1% 2024-08-14 2024-09-03 NPD 22% PVCB <1% PCCB <1% 2024-09-03 2024-09-20 NPD 80% PCCB <1% PVCB <1% 2024-09-20 2024-09-21 NPD 92% PCCB 1% PVCB <1% 2024-09-21 2024-09-23 NPD >99% PVCB <1% PCCB <1% 2024-09-23 2024-09-25 NPD >99% PVCB <1% PCCB <1% 2024-09-25 2024-09-26 NPD >99% PVCB <1% PCCB <1% 2024-09-26 2024-09-27 NPD >99% PVCB <1% PCCB <1% 2024-09-27 2024-09-28 NPD >99% PVCB <1% PCCB <1% 2024-09-28 2024-09-29 NPD >99% PVCB <1% PCCB <1% 2024-09-29 2024-09-30 NPD >99% PCCB <1% PVCB <1% 2024-09-30 2024-10-01 NPD >99% PVCB <1% PCCB <1% 2024-10-01 2024-10-02 NPD >99% PVCB <1% PCCB <1% 2024-10-02 2024-10-03 NPD >99% PCCB <1% PVCB <1% 2024-10-03 2024-10-04 NPD >99% PCCB <1% PVCB <1% 2024-10-04 2024-10-05 NPD >99% PCCB <1% PVCB <1% 2024-10-05 2024-10-06 NPD >99% PCCB <1% PVCB <1% 2024-10-06 2024-10-07 NPD >99% PCCB <1% PVCB <1% 2024-10-07 2024-10-08 NPD >99% PCCB <1% PVCB <1% 2024-10-08 2024-10-09 NPD >99% PCCB <1% PVCB <1% 2024-10-09 2024-10-10 NPD >99% PCCB <1% PVCB <1% 2024-10-10 2024-10-11 NPD >99% PCCB <1% PVCB <1% 2024-10-11 2024-10-12 NPD >99% PCCB <1% PVCB <1% 2024-10-12 2024-10-13 NPD >99% PCCB <1% PVCB <1% 2024-10-13 2024-10-14 NPD 98% PCCB 2% PVCB <1% 2024-10-14 2024-10-15 NPD 92% PCCB 8% PVCB <1% 2024-10-15 2024-10-16 NPD 92% PCCB 8% PVCB <1% 2024-10-16 2024-10-17 NPD 92% PCCB 8% PVCB <1% 2024-10-17 2024-10-18 NPD 92% PCCB 8% PVCB <1% 2024-10-18 2024-10-20 NPD 93% PCCB 7% PVCB <1% 2024-10-20 2024-11-10 NPD 94% PCCB 6% PVCB <1% 2024-11-10 2025-02-09 NPD 96% PCCB 4% PVCB <1% 2025-02-09 2025-06-18 NPD 97% PCCB 3% PVCB <1% 2025-06-18 2025-09-13 NPD 98% PCCB 2% PVCB <1% 2025-09-13 2025-10-21 NPD 96% PCCB 4% PVCB <1% 2025-10-21 2025-12-20 NPD 96% PCCB 4% PVCB <1% 2025-12-20 2026-02-05 NPD 97% PCCB 3% PVCB <1% 2026-02-05 2026-02-18 NPD 97% PCCB 3% PVCB <1% 2026-02-18 2024-03-26 NPD 97% PCCB 3% PVCB <1% 2024-03-26 2024-05-10 NPD 97% PCCB 3% PVCB <1% 2024-05-10 2024-05-18 NPD 98% PCCB 2% PVCB <1% 2024-05-18 2024-06-01 NPD 98% PCCB 2% PVCB <1% 2024-06-01 2024-06-26 NPD 98% PCCB 2% PVCB <1% 2024-06-26 2024-07-12 NPD 84% PCCB 16% PVCB <1% 2024-07-12 2024-08-01 NPD >99% PVCB <1% PCCB <1% 2024-08-01 2024-08-14 NPD >99% PVCB <1% PCCB <1% 2024-08-14 2024-09-03 NPD >99% PVCB <1% PCCB <1% 2024-09-03 2024-09-20 NPD >99% PCCB <1% PVCB <1% 2024-09-20 2024-09-21 NPD >99% PCCB <1% PVCB <1% 2024-09-21 2024-09-23 NPD >99% PCCB <1% PVCB <1% 2024-09-23 2024-09-25 NPD >99% PCCB <1% PVCB <1% 2024-09-25 2024-09-26 NPD >99% PCCB <1% PVCB <1% 2024-09-26 2024-09-27 NPD >99% PVCB <1% PCCB <1% 2024-09-27