Colombie-britannique

Historique récent | North Island


2017 2020 2024 Projection NPD 43% ± 7% 47,5% 50,8% 44,9% PCCB 41% ± 7% 0,0% 6,0% 47,1% PVCB 11% ± 5% 14,9% 19,3% 8,0% ONE 3% ± 3% 0,0% 0,0% 0,0% BCU 0% ± 0% 35,5% 24,0% 0,0%

Infolettre Qc125

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Drapeau de la Colombie-Britannique

Projection Qc125 North Island

Mise à jour : 18 février 2026

North Island 36% 50% 43% ± 7% NPD 34% 48% 41% ± 7% PCCB 6% 16% 11% ± 5% PVCB PCCB 2024 47,1% Projection du vote | 18 février 2026
Note méthodologique. Cette projection est calculée à l'aide d'un modèle principalement proportionnel, ajusté à l'aide de sondages provinciaux et régionaux réalisés par des sondeurs professionnels. Il ne s'agit pas d'un sondage, mais d'une projection basée sur des sondages. Pour en savoir plus sur la méthodologie de Qc125, cliquez ici.
50% 100% North Island 61%▲ NPD 39%▼ PCCB <1% PVCB Probabilités de victoire | 18 février 2026
Note méthodologique. Ces chances de victoire sont celles si une élection générale avait lieu aujourd'hui. Elles sont calculées par le modèle avec des simulations de type Monte Carlo..


Projection du vote | North Island

BCU 0% ± 0% PCCB 41% ± 7% NPD 43% ± 7% PVCB 11% ± 5% ONE 3% ± 3% CEN 2% ± 2% Projection du vote % | North Island 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-05-01 2025-09-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-05-01 2026-09-01 Élection 2024 BCU PCCB NPD PVCB ONE CEN 18 février 2026 2024-03-26 NPD 42% PCCB 33% PVCB 13% BCU 11% ONE 0% CEN 0% 2024-03-26 2024-05-10 NPD 41% PCCB 35% PVCB 11% BCU 11% ONE 0% CEN 0% 2024-05-10 2024-05-18 NPD 41% PCCB 39% PVCB 11% BCU 8% ONE 0% CEN 0% 2024-05-18 2024-06-01 NPD 42% PCCB 37% PVCB 11% BCU 8% ONE 0% CEN 0% 2024-06-01 2024-06-26 NPD 42% PCCB 37% PVCB 12% BCU 7% ONE 0% CEN 0% 2024-06-26 2024-07-12 NPD 41% PCCB 39% PVCB 12% BCU 7% ONE 0% CEN 0% 2024-07-12 2024-08-01 NPD 41% PCCB 40% PVCB 12% BCU 6% ONE 0% CEN 0% 2024-08-01 2024-08-14 NPD 41% PCCB 41% PVCB 11% BCU 6% ONE 0% CEN 0% 2024-08-14 2024-09-03 NPD 45% PCCB 42% PVCB 12% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-03 2024-09-20 NPD 45% PCCB 43% PVCB 12% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-20 2024-09-21 NPD 45% PCCB 43% PVCB 12% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-21 2024-09-23 NPD 45% PCCB 43% PVCB 12% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-23 2024-09-25 NPD 45% PCCB 43% PVCB 12% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-25 2024-09-26 PCCB 44% NPD 44% PVCB 12% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-26 2024-09-27 PCCB 44% NPD 44% PVCB 12% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-27 2024-09-28 PCCB 44% NPD 44% PVCB 12% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-28 2024-09-29 PCCB 45% NPD 44% PVCB 11% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-29 2024-09-30 PCCB 47% NPD 42% PVCB 11% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-30 2024-10-01 PCCB 47% NPD 42% PVCB 11% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-01 2024-10-02 PCCB 47% NPD 42% PVCB 11% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-02 2024-10-03 PCCB 47% NPD 42% PVCB 11% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-03 2024-10-04 PCCB 47% NPD 42% PVCB 11% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-04 2024-10-05 PCCB 46% NPD 42% PVCB 11% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-05 2024-10-06 PCCB 46% NPD 43% PVCB 11% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-06 2024-10-07 PCCB 45% NPD 43% PVCB 11% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-07 2024-10-08 PCCB 45% NPD 44% PVCB 11% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-08 2024-10-09 PCCB 46% NPD 43% PVCB 11% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-09 2024-10-10 PCCB 46% NPD 43% PVCB 11% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-10 2024-10-11 PCCB 45% NPD 43% PVCB 12% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-11 2024-10-12 PCCB 45% NPD 43% PVCB 12% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-12 2024-10-13 PCCB 45% NPD 43% PVCB 13% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-13 2024-10-14 PCCB 45% NPD 43% PVCB 13% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-14 2024-10-15 PCCB 44% NPD 43% PVCB 13% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-15 2024-10-16 PCCB 44% NPD 43% PVCB 13% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-16 2024-10-17 PCCB 44% NPD 43% PVCB 13% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-17 2024-10-18 PCCB 44% NPD 43% PVCB 13% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-18 2024-10-20 PCCB 47% NPD 45% PVCB 8% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-20 2024-11-10 PCCB 47% NPD 45% PVCB 8% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-11-10 2025-02-09 PCCB 47% NPD 45% PVCB 8% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2025-02-09 2025-06-18 PCCB 47% NPD 45% PVCB 8% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2025-06-18 2025-09-13 PCCB 47% NPD 44% PVCB 8% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2025-09-13 2025-10-21 PCCB 45% NPD 44% PVCB 8% ONE 1% CEN 0% BCU 0% 2025-10-21 2025-12-20 PCCB 44% NPD 44% PVCB 9% ONE 1% CEN 0% BCU 0% 2025-12-20 2026-02-05 NPD 44% PCCB 43% PVCB 9% ONE 3% CEN 2% BCU 0% 2026-02-05 2026-02-18 NPD 43% PCCB 41% PVCB 11% ONE 3% CEN 2% BCU 0% 2026-02-18

Probabilités de victoire | North Island

BCU <1% PCCB 39% NPD 61% PVCB <1% Probabilité de victoire 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-05-01 2025-09-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-05-01 2026-09-01 Élection 2024 PCCB NPD PVCB 18 février 2026 2024-03-26 NPD 84% PVCB <1% PCCB <1% 2024-03-26 2024-05-10 NPD 98% PVCB <1% PCCB <1% 2024-05-10 2024-05-18 NPD 97% PVCB <1% PCCB <1% 2024-05-18 2024-06-01 NPD 86% PVCB <1% PCCB <1% 2024-06-01 2024-06-26 NPD 87% PVCB <1% PCCB <1% 2024-06-26 2024-07-12 NPD 82% PVCB <1% PCCB <1% 2024-07-12 2024-08-01 NPD 83% PVCB <1% PCCB <1% 2024-08-01 2024-08-14 NPD 76% PVCB <1% PCCB <1% 2024-08-14 2024-09-03 NPD 95% PVCB <1% PCCB <1% 2024-09-03 2024-09-20 NPD >99% PCCB <1% PVCB <1% 2024-09-20 2024-09-21 NPD 99% PCCB 1% PVCB <1% 2024-09-21 2024-09-23 NPD 99% PCCB 1% PVCB <1% 2024-09-23 2024-09-25 NPD 99% PCCB 1% PVCB <1% 2024-09-25 2024-09-26 NPD 99% PCCB 1% PVCB <1% 2024-09-26 2024-09-27 NPD >99% PCCB <1% PVCB <1% 2024-09-27 2024-09-28 NPD 90% PCCB 10% PVCB <1% 2024-09-28 2024-09-29 NPD 79% PCCB 21% PVCB <1% 2024-09-29 2024-09-30 NPD 57% PCCB 43% PVCB <1% 2024-09-30 2024-10-01 NPD 80% PCCB 20% PVCB <1% 2024-10-01 2024-10-02 NPD 81% PCCB 19% PVCB <1% 2024-10-02 2024-10-03 NPD 61% PCCB 39% PVCB <1% 2024-10-03 2024-10-04 NPD 57% PCCB 43% PVCB <1% 2024-10-04 2024-10-05 NPD 56% PCCB 44% PVCB <1% 2024-10-05 2024-10-06 NPD 66% PCCB 34% PVCB <1% 2024-10-06 2024-10-07 NPD 63% PCCB 37% PVCB <1% 2024-10-07 2024-10-08 NPD 63% PCCB 37% PVCB <1% 2024-10-08 2024-10-09 NPD 65% PCCB 35% PVCB <1% 2024-10-09 2024-10-10 NPD 58% PCCB 42% PVCB <1% 2024-10-10 2024-10-11 PCCB 51% NPD 49% PVCB <1% 2024-10-11 2024-10-12 PCCB 52% NPD 48% PVCB <1% 2024-10-12 2024-10-13 PCCB 53% NPD 47% PVCB <1% 2024-10-13 2024-10-14 PCCB 59% NPD 41% PVCB <1% 2024-10-14 2024-10-15 PCCB 80% NPD 20% PVCB <1% 2024-10-15 2024-10-16 PCCB 81% NPD 19% PVCB <1% 2024-10-16 2024-10-17 PCCB 81% NPD 19% PVCB <1% 2024-10-17 2024-10-18 PCCB 80% NPD 20% PVCB <1% 2024-10-18 2024-10-20 PCCB 78% NPD 22% PVCB <1% 2024-10-20 2024-11-10 PCCB 76% NPD 24% PVCB <1% 2024-11-10 2025-02-09 PCCB 69% NPD 31% PVCB <1% 2025-02-09 2025-06-18 PCCB 66% NPD 34% PVCB <1% 2025-06-18 2025-09-13 PCCB 60% NPD 40% PVCB <1% 2025-09-13 2025-10-21 PCCB 68% NPD 32% PVCB <1% 2025-10-21 2025-12-20 PCCB 70% NPD 30% PVCB <1% 2025-12-20 2026-02-05 PCCB 64% NPD 36% PVCB <1% 2026-02-05 2026-02-18 PCCB 65% NPD 35% PVCB <1% 2026-02-18 2024-03-26 PCCB 65% NPD 35% PVCB <1% 2024-03-26 2024-05-10 PCCB 64% NPD 36% PVCB <1% 2024-05-10 2024-05-18 PCCB 58% NPD 42% PVCB <1% 2024-05-18 2024-06-01 PCCB 58% NPD 42% PVCB <1% 2024-06-01 2024-06-26 PCCB 57% NPD 43% PVCB <1% 2024-06-26 2024-07-12 PCCB 58% NPD 42% PVCB <1% 2024-07-12 2024-08-01 PCCB 74% NPD 26% PVCB <1% 2024-08-01 2024-08-14 PCCB 72% NPD 28% PVCB <1% 2024-08-14 2024-09-03 PCCB 64% NPD 36% PVCB <1% 2024-09-03 2024-09-20 PCCB 60% NPD 40% PVCB <1% 2024-09-20 2024-09-21 PCCB 66% NPD 34% PVCB <1% 2024-09-21 2024-09-23 PCCB 51% NPD 49% PVCB <1% 2024-09-23 2024-09-25 PCCB 51% NPD 49% PVCB <1% 2024-09-25 2024-09-26 NPD 55% PCCB 45% PVCB <1% 2024-09-26 2024-09-27 NPD 61% PCCB 39% PVCB <1% 2024-09-27