Colombie-britannique

Historique récent | Kelowna Centre


2017 2020 2024 Projection NPD 43% ± 8% 24,9% 32,3% 42,7% PCCB 40% ± 7% 1,5% 0,0% 42,8% PVCB 7% ± 4% 17,2% 15,4% 4,3% ONE 5% ± 5% 0,0% 0,0% 0,0% CEN 5% ± 5% 0,0% 0,0% 0,0% BCU 0% ± 0% 55,5% 49,8% 0,0%

Infolettre Qc125

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Drapeau de la Colombie-Britannique

Projection Qc125 Kelowna Centre

Mise à jour : 18 février 2026

Kelowna Centre 36% 51% 43% ± 8% NPD 32% 47% 40% ± 7% PCCB 3% 11% 7% ± 4% PVCB 0% 10% 5% ± 5% ONE 0% 10% 5% ± 5% CEN PCCB 2024 42,8% Projection du vote | 18 février 2026
Note méthodologique. Cette projection est calculée à l'aide d'un modèle principalement proportionnel, ajusté à l'aide de sondages provinciaux et régionaux réalisés par des sondeurs professionnels. Il ne s'agit pas d'un sondage, mais d'une projection basée sur des sondages. Pour en savoir plus sur la méthodologie de Qc125, cliquez ici.
50% 100% Kelowna Centre 72%▲ NPD 28%▼ PCCB <1% PVCB Probabilités de victoire | 18 février 2026
Note méthodologique. Ces chances de victoire sont celles si une élection générale avait lieu aujourd'hui. Elles sont calculées par le modèle avec des simulations de type Monte Carlo..


Projection du vote | Kelowna Centre

BCU 0% ± 0% PCCB 40% ± 7% NPD 43% ± 8% PVCB 7% ± 4% ONE 5% ± 5% CEN 5% ± 5% Projection du vote % | Kelowna Centre 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-05-01 2025-09-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-05-01 2026-09-01 Élection 2024 BCU PCCB NPD PVCB ONE CEN 18 février 2026 2024-03-26 PCCB 31% NPD 29% BCU 27% PVCB 10% ONE 0% CEN 0% 2024-03-26 2024-05-10 PCCB 36% NPD 28% BCU 23% PVCB 9% ONE 0% CEN 0% 2024-05-10 2024-05-18 PCCB 42% NPD 27% BCU 19% PVCB 9% ONE 0% CEN 0% 2024-05-18 2024-06-01 PCCB 39% NPD 28% BCU 20% PVCB 10% ONE 0% CEN 0% 2024-06-01 2024-06-26 PCCB 40% NPD 28% BCU 18% PVCB 10% ONE 0% CEN 0% 2024-06-26 2024-07-12 PCCB 43% NPD 27% BCU 16% PVCB 11% ONE 0% CEN 0% 2024-07-12 2024-08-01 PCCB 44% NPD 27% BCU 16% PVCB 11% ONE 0% CEN 0% 2024-08-01 2024-08-14 PCCB 45% NPD 28% BCU 15% PVCB 10% ONE 0% CEN 0% 2024-08-14 2024-09-03 PCCB 57% NPD 30% PVCB 10% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-03 2024-09-20 PCCB 51% NPD 31% PVCB 10% BCU 8% ONE 0% CEN 0% 2024-09-20 2024-09-21 PCCB 51% NPD 31% PVCB 10% BCU 8% ONE 0% CEN 0% 2024-09-21 2024-09-23 PCCB 51% NPD 33% PVCB 11% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-23 2024-09-25 PCCB 52% NPD 33% PVCB 10% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-25 2024-09-26 PCCB 52% NPD 33% PVCB 10% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-26 2024-09-27 PCCB 52% NPD 33% PVCB 10% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-27 2024-09-28 PCCB 52% NPD 33% PVCB 10% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-28 2024-09-29 PCCB 52% NPD 33% PVCB 10% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-29 2024-09-30 PCCB 52% NPD 33% PVCB 9% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-30 2024-10-01 PCCB 52% NPD 33% PVCB 9% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-01 2024-10-02 PCCB 52% NPD 33% PVCB 9% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-02 2024-10-03 PCCB 53% NPD 33% PVCB 9% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-03 2024-10-04 PCCB 52% NPD 33% PVCB 9% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-04 2024-10-05 PCCB 52% NPD 33% PVCB 9% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-05 2024-10-06 PCCB 51% NPD 34% PVCB 10% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-06 2024-10-07 PCCB 51% NPD 34% PVCB 10% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-07 2024-10-08 PCCB 50% NPD 35% PVCB 10% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-08 2024-10-09 PCCB 51% NPD 34% PVCB 10% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-09 2024-10-10 PCCB 51% NPD 34% PVCB 10% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-10 2024-10-11 PCCB 50% NPD 34% PVCB 10% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-11 2024-10-12 PCCB 50% NPD 34% PVCB 10% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-12 2024-10-13 PCCB 50% NPD 34% PVCB 10% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-13 2024-10-14 PCCB 50% NPD 34% PVCB 10% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-14 2024-10-15 PCCB 49% NPD 31% PVCB 9% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-15 2024-10-16 PCCB 49% NPD 31% PVCB 9% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-16 2024-10-17 PCCB 49% NPD 31% PVCB 9% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-17 2024-10-18 PCCB 50% NPD 31% PVCB 9% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-18 2024-10-20 PCCB 43% NPD 43% PVCB 4% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-20 2024-11-10 PCCB 43% NPD 43% PVCB 4% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-11-10 2025-02-09 PCCB 43% NPD 43% PVCB 4% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2025-02-09 2025-06-18 NPD 43% PCCB 43% ONE 10% PVCB 4% CEN 0% BCU 0% 2025-06-18 2025-09-13 PCCB 43% NPD 42% ONE 10% PVCB 4% CEN 0% BCU 0% 2025-09-13 2025-10-21 NPD 44% PCCB 43% PVCB 5% ONE 3% CEN 0% BCU 0% 2025-10-21 2025-12-20 NPD 44% PCCB 43% PVCB 5% ONE 3% CEN 0% BCU 0% 2025-12-20 2026-02-05 NPD 44% PCCB 41% CEN 5% PVCB 5% ONE 5% BCU 0% 2026-02-05 2026-02-18 NPD 43% PCCB 40% PVCB 7% ONE 5% CEN 5% BCU 0% 2026-02-18

Probabilités de victoire | Kelowna Centre

BCU <1% PCCB 28% NPD 72% PVCB <1% Probabilité de victoire 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-05-01 2025-09-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-05-01 2026-09-01 Élection 2024 PCCB NPD PVCB 18 février 2026 2024-03-26 NPD <1% PVCB <1% PCCB <1% 2024-03-26 2024-05-10 NPD 5% PVCB <1% PCCB <1% 2024-05-10 2024-05-18 NPD 4% PVCB <1% PCCB <1% 2024-05-18 2024-06-01 NPD <1% PVCB <1% PCCB <1% 2024-06-01 2024-06-26 NPD 1% PVCB <1% PCCB <1% 2024-06-26 2024-07-12 NPD <1% PVCB <1% PCCB <1% 2024-07-12 2024-08-01 NPD <1% PVCB <1% PCCB <1% 2024-08-01 2024-08-14 NPD <1% PVCB <1% PCCB <1% 2024-08-14 2024-09-03 NPD 3% PVCB <1% PCCB <1% 2024-09-03 2024-09-20 NPD 38% PCCB <1% PVCB <1% 2024-09-20 2024-09-21 NPD 60% PCCB 3% PVCB <1% 2024-09-21 2024-09-23 NPD 65% PCCB 18% PVCB <1% 2024-09-23 2024-09-25 NPD 65% PCCB 18% PVCB <1% 2024-09-25 2024-09-26 NPD 66% PCCB 18% PVCB <1% 2024-09-26 2024-09-27 NPD 79% PCCB 17% PVCB <1% 2024-09-27 2024-09-28 PCCB 54% NPD 31% PVCB <1% 2024-09-28 2024-09-29 PCCB 90% NPD 9% PVCB <1% 2024-09-29 2024-09-30 PCCB 99% NPD 1% PVCB <1% 2024-09-30 2024-10-01 PCCB 97% NPD 3% PVCB <1% 2024-10-01 2024-10-02 PCCB 98% NPD 2% PVCB <1% 2024-10-02 2024-10-03 PCCB >99% NPD <1% PVCB <1% 2024-10-03 2024-10-04 PCCB >99% NPD <1% PVCB <1% 2024-10-04 2024-10-05 PCCB >99% NPD <1% PVCB <1% 2024-10-05 2024-10-06 PCCB >99% PVCB <1% NPD <1% 2024-10-06 2024-10-07 PCCB >99% NPD <1% PVCB <1% 2024-10-07 2024-10-08 PCCB >99% NPD <1% PVCB <1% 2024-10-08 2024-10-09 PCCB >99% NPD <1% PVCB <1% 2024-10-09 2024-10-10 PCCB >99% NPD <1% PVCB <1% 2024-10-10 2024-10-11 PCCB >99% NPD <1% PVCB <1% 2024-10-11 2024-10-12 PCCB >99% NPD <1% PVCB <1% 2024-10-12 2024-10-13 PCCB >99% NPD <1% PVCB <1% 2024-10-13 2024-10-14 PCCB >99% NPD <1% PVCB <1% 2024-10-14 2024-10-15 PCCB >99% NPD <1% PVCB <1% 2024-10-15 2024-10-16 PCCB >99% NPD <1% PVCB <1% 2024-10-16 2024-10-17 PCCB >99% NPD <1% PVCB <1% 2024-10-17 2024-10-18 PCCB >99% PVCB <1% NPD <1% 2024-10-18 2024-10-20 PCCB >99% NPD <1% PVCB <1% 2024-10-20 2024-11-10 PCCB >99% NPD <1% PVCB <1% 2024-11-10 2025-02-09 PCCB >99% NPD <1% PVCB <1% 2025-02-09 2025-06-18 PCCB >99% NPD <1% PVCB <1% 2025-06-18 2025-09-13 PCCB >99% NPD <1% PVCB <1% 2025-09-13 2025-10-21 PCCB >99% NPD <1% PVCB <1% 2025-10-21 2025-12-20 PCCB >99% NPD <1% PVCB <1% 2025-12-20 2026-02-05 PCCB >99% NPD <1% PVCB <1% 2026-02-05 2026-02-18 PCCB >99% NPD <1% PVCB <1% 2026-02-18 2024-03-26 PCCB >99% NPD <1% PVCB <1% 2024-03-26 2024-05-10 PCCB >99% NPD <1% PVCB <1% 2024-05-10 2024-05-18 PCCB >99% NPD <1% PVCB <1% 2024-05-18 2024-06-01 PCCB >99% NPD <1% PVCB <1% 2024-06-01 2024-06-26 PCCB >99% NPD <1% PVCB <1% 2024-06-26 2024-07-12 PCCB >99% NPD <1% PVCB <1% 2024-07-12 2024-08-01 PCCB 56% NPD 44% PVCB <1% 2024-08-01 2024-08-14 PCCB 52% NPD 48% PVCB <1% 2024-08-14 2024-09-03 PCCB 51% NPD 49% PVCB <1% 2024-09-03 2024-09-20 NPD 50% PCCB 50% PVCB <1% 2024-09-20 2024-09-21 PCCB 55% NPD 45% PVCB <1% 2024-09-21 2024-09-23 NPD 59% PCCB 41% PVCB <1% 2024-09-23 2024-09-25 NPD 60% PCCB 40% PVCB <1% 2024-09-25 2024-09-26 NPD 65% PCCB 35% PVCB <1% 2024-09-26 2024-09-27 NPD 72% PCCB 28% PVCB <1% 2024-09-27