Colombie-britannique

Historique récent | Esquimalt-Colwood


2017 2020 2024 Projection NPD 48% ± 7% 47,5% 59,4% 51,5% PCCB 25% ± 6% 0,0% 0,0% 29,2% PVCB 23% ± 6% 24,7% 23,8% 19,3% BCU 0% ± 0% 26,5% 15,9% 0,0%

Infolettre Qc125

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Drapeau de la Colombie-Britannique

Projection Qc125 Esquimalt-Colwood

Mise à jour : 18 février 2026

Esquimalt-Colwood 41% 55% 48% ± 7% NPD 19% 31% 25% ± 6% PCCB 16% 29% 23% ± 6% PVCB NPD 2024 51,5% Projection du vote | 18 février 2026
Note méthodologique. Cette projection est calculée à l'aide d'un modèle principalement proportionnel, ajusté à l'aide de sondages provinciaux et régionaux réalisés par des sondeurs professionnels. Il ne s'agit pas d'un sondage, mais d'une projection basée sur des sondages. Pour en savoir plus sur la méthodologie de Qc125, cliquez ici.
50% 100% Esquimalt-Colwood >99% NPD <1% PCCB <1% PVCB Probabilités de victoire | 18 février 2026
Note méthodologique. Ces chances de victoire sont celles si une élection générale avait lieu aujourd'hui. Elles sont calculées par le modèle avec des simulations de type Monte Carlo..


Projection du vote | Esquimalt-Colwood

BCU 0% ± 0% PCCB 25% ± 6% NPD 48% ± 7% PVCB 23% ± 6% ONE 2% ± 2% CEN 2% ± 2% Projection du vote % | Esquimalt-Colwood 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-05-01 2025-09-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-05-01 2026-09-01 Élection 2024 BCU PCCB NPD PVCB ONE CEN 18 février 2026 2024-03-26 NPD 53% PCCB 18% PVCB 17% BCU 9% ONE 0% CEN 0% 2024-03-26 2024-05-10 NPD 52% PCCB 20% PVCB 15% BCU 10% ONE 0% CEN 0% 2024-05-10 2024-05-18 NPD 49% PCCB 24% PVCB 15% BCU 10% ONE 0% CEN 0% 2024-05-18 2024-06-01 NPD 50% PCCB 22% PVCB 16% BCU 10% ONE 0% CEN 0% 2024-06-01 2024-06-26 NPD 51% PCCB 22% PVCB 16% BCU 9% ONE 0% CEN 0% 2024-06-26 2024-07-12 NPD 49% PCCB 24% PVCB 17% BCU 8% ONE 0% CEN 0% 2024-07-12 2024-08-01 NPD 50% PCCB 25% PVCB 16% BCU 8% ONE 0% CEN 0% 2024-08-01 2024-08-14 NPD 51% PCCB 25% PVCB 15% BCU 8% ONE 0% CEN 0% 2024-08-14 2024-09-03 NPD 55% PCCB 28% PVCB 15% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-03 2024-09-20 NPD 56% PCCB 29% PVCB 16% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-20 2024-09-21 NPD 56% PCCB 29% PVCB 16% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-21 2024-09-23 NPD 55% PCCB 29% PVCB 16% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-23 2024-09-25 NPD 55% PCCB 29% PVCB 16% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-25 2024-09-26 NPD 55% PCCB 30% PVCB 15% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-26 2024-09-27 NPD 55% PCCB 30% PVCB 15% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-27 2024-09-28 NPD 55% PCCB 30% PVCB 15% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-28 2024-09-29 NPD 54% PCCB 31% PVCB 15% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-29 2024-09-30 NPD 53% PCCB 32% PVCB 15% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-30 2024-10-01 NPD 53% PCCB 32% PVCB 15% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-01 2024-10-02 NPD 53% PCCB 32% PVCB 15% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-02 2024-10-03 NPD 53% PCCB 32% PVCB 15% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-03 2024-10-04 NPD 53% PCCB 32% PVCB 15% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-04 2024-10-05 NPD 53% PCCB 32% PVCB 15% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-05 2024-10-06 NPD 54% PCCB 31% PVCB 15% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-06 2024-10-07 NPD 54% PCCB 31% PVCB 15% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-07 2024-10-08 NPD 54% PCCB 31% PVCB 15% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-08 2024-10-09 NPD 54% PCCB 31% PVCB 15% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-09 2024-10-10 NPD 54% PCCB 32% PVCB 15% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-10 2024-10-11 NPD 54% PCCB 31% PVCB 15% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-11 2024-10-12 NPD 54% PCCB 31% PVCB 15% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-12 2024-10-13 NPD 53% PCCB 31% PVCB 17% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-13 2024-10-14 NPD 53% PCCB 30% PVCB 17% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-14 2024-10-15 NPD 53% PCCB 30% PVCB 17% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-15 2024-10-16 NPD 53% PCCB 30% PVCB 17% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-16 2024-10-17 NPD 53% PCCB 30% PVCB 17% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-17 2024-10-18 NPD 53% PCCB 30% PVCB 17% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-18 2024-10-20 NPD 51% PCCB 30% PVCB 19% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-20 2024-11-10 NPD 51% PCCB 29% PVCB 19% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-11-10 2025-02-09 NPD 51% PCCB 29% PVCB 19% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2025-02-09 2025-06-18 NPD 51% PCCB 29% PVCB 19% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2025-06-18 2025-09-13 NPD 51% PCCB 30% PVCB 20% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2025-09-13 2025-10-21 NPD 50% PCCB 27% PVCB 20% ONE 1% CEN 0% BCU 0% 2025-10-21 2025-12-20 NPD 50% PCCB 27% PVCB 21% ONE 1% CEN 0% BCU 0% 2025-12-20 2026-02-05 NPD 49% PCCB 26% PVCB 21% ONE 2% CEN 2% BCU 0% 2026-02-05 2026-02-18 NPD 48% PCCB 25% PVCB 23% ONE 2% CEN 2% BCU 0% 2026-02-18

Probabilités de victoire | Esquimalt-Colwood

BCU <1% PCCB <1% NPD >99% PVCB <1% Probabilité de victoire 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-05-01 2025-09-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-05-01 2026-09-01 Élection 2024 PCCB NPD PVCB 18 février 2026 2024-03-26 NPD 40% PVCB <1% PCCB <1% 2024-03-26 2024-05-10 NPD 74% PVCB <1% PCCB <1% 2024-05-10 2024-05-18 NPD 62% PVCB <1% PCCB <1% 2024-05-18 2024-06-01 NPD 29% PVCB <1% PCCB <1% 2024-06-01 2024-06-26 NPD 40% PVCB <1% PCCB <1% 2024-06-26 2024-07-12 NPD 46% PVCB <1% PCCB <1% 2024-07-12 2024-08-01 NPD 48% PVCB <1% PCCB <1% 2024-08-01 2024-08-14 NPD 50% PVCB <1% PCCB <1% 2024-08-14 2024-09-03 NPD 79% PVCB <1% PCCB <1% 2024-09-03 2024-09-20 NPD 99% PCCB <1% PVCB <1% 2024-09-20 2024-09-21 NPD >99% PCCB <1% PVCB <1% 2024-09-21 2024-09-23 NPD >99% PVCB <1% PCCB <1% 2024-09-23 2024-09-25 NPD >99% PVCB <1% PCCB <1% 2024-09-25 2024-09-26 NPD >99% PVCB <1% PCCB <1% 2024-09-26 2024-09-27 NPD >99% PVCB <1% PCCB <1% 2024-09-27 2024-09-28 NPD >99% PVCB <1% PCCB <1% 2024-09-28 2024-09-29 NPD >99% PVCB <1% PCCB <1% 2024-09-29 2024-09-30 NPD >99% PVCB <1% PCCB <1% 2024-09-30 2024-10-01 NPD >99% PVCB <1% PCCB <1% 2024-10-01 2024-10-02 NPD >99% PVCB <1% PCCB <1% 2024-10-02 2024-10-03 NPD >99% PVCB <1% PCCB <1% 2024-10-03 2024-10-04 NPD >99% PVCB <1% PCCB <1% 2024-10-04 2024-10-05 NPD >99% PVCB <1% PCCB <1% 2024-10-05 2024-10-06 NPD >99% PVCB <1% PCCB <1% 2024-10-06 2024-10-07 NPD >99% PVCB <1% PCCB <1% 2024-10-07 2024-10-08 NPD >99% PVCB <1% PCCB <1% 2024-10-08 2024-10-09 NPD >99% PVCB <1% PCCB <1% 2024-10-09 2024-10-10 NPD >99% PVCB <1% PCCB <1% 2024-10-10 2024-10-11 NPD >99% PVCB <1% PCCB <1% 2024-10-11 2024-10-12 NPD >99% PVCB <1% PCCB <1% 2024-10-12 2024-10-13 NPD >99% PVCB <1% PCCB <1% 2024-10-13 2024-10-14 NPD >99% PVCB <1% PCCB <1% 2024-10-14 2024-10-15 NPD >99% PCCB <1% PVCB <1% 2024-10-15 2024-10-16 NPD >99% PVCB <1% PCCB <1% 2024-10-16 2024-10-17 NPD >99% PVCB <1% PCCB <1% 2024-10-17 2024-10-18 NPD >99% PVCB <1% PCCB <1% 2024-10-18 2024-10-20 NPD >99% PVCB <1% PCCB <1% 2024-10-20 2024-11-10 NPD >99% PCCB <1% PVCB <1% 2024-11-10 2025-02-09 NPD >99% PVCB <1% PCCB <1% 2025-02-09 2025-06-18 NPD >99% PVCB <1% PCCB <1% 2025-06-18 2025-09-13 NPD >99% PVCB <1% PCCB <1% 2025-09-13 2025-10-21 NPD >99% PVCB <1% PCCB <1% 2025-10-21 2025-12-20 NPD >99% PVCB <1% PCCB <1% 2025-12-20 2026-02-05 NPD >99% PCCB <1% PVCB <1% 2026-02-05 2026-02-18 NPD >99% PVCB <1% PCCB <1% 2026-02-18 2024-03-26 NPD >99% PVCB <1% PCCB <1% 2024-03-26 2024-05-10 NPD >99% PCCB <1% PVCB <1% 2024-05-10 2024-05-18 NPD >99% PVCB <1% PCCB <1% 2024-05-18 2024-06-01 NPD >99% PVCB <1% PCCB <1% 2024-06-01 2024-06-26 NPD >99% PVCB <1% PCCB <1% 2024-06-26 2024-07-12 NPD >99% PVCB <1% PCCB <1% 2024-07-12 2024-08-01 NPD >99% PVCB <1% PCCB <1% 2024-08-01 2024-08-14 NPD >99% PVCB <1% PCCB <1% 2024-08-14 2024-09-03 NPD >99% PVCB <1% PCCB <1% 2024-09-03 2024-09-20 NPD >99% PCCB <1% PVCB <1% 2024-09-20 2024-09-21 NPD >99% PCCB <1% PVCB <1% 2024-09-21 2024-09-23 NPD >99% PCCB <1% PVCB <1% 2024-09-23 2024-09-25 NPD >99% PCCB <1% PVCB <1% 2024-09-25 2024-09-26 NPD >99% PVCB <1% PCCB <1% 2024-09-26 2024-09-27 NPD >99% PVCB <1% PCCB <1% 2024-09-27