Colombie-britannique

Historique récent | Delta South


2017 2020 2024 Projection PCCB 48% ± 7% 0,0% 0,0% 55,1% NPD 43% ± 7% 21,5% 34,5% 44,9% ONE 3% ± 4% 0,0% 0,0% 0,0% PVCB 3% ± 2% 9,5% 14,5% 0,0% BCU 0% ± 0% 44,4% 51,0% 0,0%

Infolettre Qc125

Chargement…


Drapeau de la Colombie-Britannique

Projection Qc125 Delta South

Mise à jour : 18 février 2026

Delta South 41% 56% 48% ± 7% PCCB 36% 50% 43% ± 7% NPD PCCB 2024 55,1% Projection du vote | 18 février 2026
Note méthodologique. Cette projection est calculée à l'aide d'un modèle principalement proportionnel, ajusté à l'aide de sondages provinciaux et régionaux réalisés par des sondeurs professionnels. Il ne s'agit pas d'un sondage, mais d'une projection basée sur des sondages. Pour en savoir plus sur la méthodologie de Qc125, cliquez ici.
50% 100% Delta South 81% PCCB 19% NPD <1% ONEProbabilités de victoire | 18 février 2026
Note méthodologique. Ces chances de victoire sont celles si une élection générale avait lieu aujourd'hui. Elles sont calculées par le modèle avec des simulations de type Monte Carlo..


Projection du vote | Delta South

BCU 0% ± 0% PCCB 48% ± 7% NPD 43% ± 7% PVCB 3% ± 2% ONE 3% ± 4% CEN 2% ± 2% Projection du vote % | Delta South 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-05-01 2025-09-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-05-01 2026-09-01 Élection 2024 BCU PCCB NPD PVCB ONE CEN 18 février 2026 2024-03-26 BCU 33% NPD 28% PCCB 28% PVCB 9% ONE 0% CEN 0% 2024-03-26 2024-05-10 PCCB 33% BCU 30% NPD 27% PVCB 9% ONE 0% CEN 0% 2024-05-10 2024-05-18 PCCB 37% NPD 28% BCU 26% PVCB 8% ONE 0% CEN 0% 2024-05-18 2024-06-01 PCCB 34% NPD 29% BCU 27% PVCB 9% ONE 0% CEN 0% 2024-06-01 2024-06-26 PCCB 35% NPD 29% BCU 25% PVCB 9% ONE 0% CEN 0% 2024-06-26 2024-07-12 PCCB 38% NPD 29% BCU 22% PVCB 10% ONE 0% CEN 0% 2024-07-12 2024-08-01 PCCB 39% NPD 29% BCU 22% PVCB 10% ONE 0% CEN 0% 2024-08-01 2024-08-14 PCCB 40% NPD 29% BCU 21% PVCB 9% ONE 0% CEN 0% 2024-08-14 2024-09-03 PCCB 53% NPD 36% PVCB 10% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-03 2024-09-20 PCCB 55% NPD 36% PVCB 10% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-20 2024-09-21 PCCB 55% NPD 36% PVCB 10% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-21 2024-09-23 PCCB 54% NPD 36% PVCB 10% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-23 2024-09-25 PCCB 55% NPD 36% PVCB 10% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-25 2024-09-26 PCCB 55% NPD 36% PVCB 10% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-26 2024-09-27 PCCB 55% NPD 36% PVCB 10% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-27 2024-09-28 PCCB 55% NPD 36% PVCB 10% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-28 2024-09-29 PCCB 61% NPD 39% ONE 0% CEN 0% PVCB 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-29 2024-09-30 PCCB 60% NPD 40% ONE 0% CEN 0% PVCB 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-30 2024-10-01 PCCB 60% NPD 40% ONE 0% CEN 0% PVCB 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-01 2024-10-02 PCCB 61% NPD 39% ONE 0% CEN 0% PVCB 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-02 2024-10-03 PCCB 61% NPD 39% ONE 0% CEN 0% PVCB 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-03 2024-10-04 PCCB 61% NPD 39% ONE 0% CEN 0% PVCB 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-04 2024-10-05 PCCB 61% NPD 39% ONE 0% CEN 0% PVCB 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-05 2024-10-06 PCCB 60% NPD 40% ONE 0% CEN 0% PVCB 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-06 2024-10-07 PCCB 60% NPD 40% ONE 0% CEN 0% PVCB 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-07 2024-10-08 PCCB 59% NPD 41% ONE 0% CEN 0% PVCB 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-08 2024-10-09 PCCB 60% NPD 40% ONE 0% CEN 0% PVCB 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-09 2024-10-10 PCCB 60% NPD 40% ONE 0% CEN 0% PVCB 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-10 2024-10-11 PCCB 60% NPD 40% ONE 0% CEN 0% PVCB 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-11 2024-10-12 PCCB 60% NPD 40% ONE 0% CEN 0% PVCB 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-12 2024-10-13 PCCB 60% NPD 40% ONE 0% CEN 0% PVCB 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-13 2024-10-14 PCCB 59% NPD 41% ONE 0% CEN 0% PVCB 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-14 2024-10-15 PCCB 59% NPD 41% ONE 0% CEN 0% PVCB 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-15 2024-10-16 PCCB 59% NPD 41% ONE 0% CEN 0% PVCB 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-16 2024-10-17 PCCB 58% NPD 42% ONE 0% CEN 0% PVCB 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-17 2024-10-18 PCCB 58% NPD 42% ONE 0% CEN 0% PVCB 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-18 2024-10-20 PCCB 55% NPD 45% ONE 0% CEN 0% PVCB 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-20 2024-11-10 PCCB 55% NPD 45% ONE 0% CEN 0% PVCB 0% BCU 0% 2024-11-10 2025-02-09 PCCB 55% NPD 45% ONE 0% CEN 0% PVCB 0% BCU 0% 2025-02-09 2025-06-18 PCCB 55% NPD 45% ONE 0% CEN 0% PVCB 0% BCU 0% 2025-06-18 2025-09-13 PCCB 56% NPD 44% ONE 0% CEN 0% PVCB 0% BCU 0% 2025-09-13 2025-10-21 PCCB 52% NPD 45% ONE 1% CEN 0% PVCB 0% BCU 0% 2025-10-21 2025-12-20 PCCB 52% NPD 44% PVCB 1% ONE 1% CEN 0% BCU 0% 2025-12-20 2026-02-05 PCCB 50% NPD 44% ONE 3% CEN 2% PVCB 1% BCU 0% 2026-02-05 2026-02-18 PCCB 48% NPD 43% ONE 3% PVCB 3% CEN 2% BCU 0% 2026-02-18

Probabilités de victoire | Delta South

BCU <1% PCCB 81% NPD 19% PVCB <1% Probabilité de victoire 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-05-01 2025-09-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-05-01 2026-09-01 Élection 2024 PCCB NPD PVCB 18 février 2026 2024-03-26 NPD >99% PVCB <1% PCCB <1% 2024-03-26 2024-05-10 NPD >99% PVCB <1% PCCB <1% 2024-05-10 2024-05-18 NPD >99% PVCB <1% PCCB <1% 2024-05-18 2024-06-01 NPD >99% PVCB <1% PCCB <1% 2024-06-01 2024-06-26 NPD >99% PVCB <1% PCCB <1% 2024-06-26 2024-07-12 NPD >99% PVCB <1% PCCB <1% 2024-07-12 2024-08-01 NPD >99% PVCB <1% PCCB <1% 2024-08-01 2024-08-14 NPD >99% PVCB <1% PCCB <1% 2024-08-14 2024-09-03 NPD >99% PVCB <1% PCCB <1% 2024-09-03 2024-09-20 NPD >99% PVCB <1% PCCB <1% 2024-09-20 2024-09-21 NPD >99% PVCB <1% PCCB <1% 2024-09-21 2024-09-23 NPD 38% PCCB 9% PVCB <1% 2024-09-23 2024-09-25 NPD 38% PCCB 9% PVCB <1% 2024-09-25 2024-09-26 NPD 38% PCCB 8% PVCB <1% 2024-09-26 2024-09-27 NPD 47% PCCB 4% PVCB <1% 2024-09-27 2024-09-28 PCCB 17% NPD 9% PVCB <1% 2024-09-28 2024-09-29 PCCB 67% NPD 5% PVCB <1% 2024-09-29 2024-09-30 PCCB 91% NPD 6% PVCB <1% 2024-09-30 2024-10-01 PCCB 80% NPD 12% PVCB <1% 2024-10-01 2024-10-02 PCCB 85% NPD 14% PVCB <1% 2024-10-02 2024-10-03 PCCB 96% NPD 4% PVCB <1% 2024-10-03 2024-10-04 PCCB 97% NPD 3% PVCB <1% 2024-10-04 2024-10-05 PCCB 97% NPD 3% PVCB <1% 2024-10-05 2024-10-06 PCCB >99% NPD <1% PVCB <1% 2024-10-06 2024-10-07 PCCB >99% NPD <1% PVCB <1% 2024-10-07 2024-10-08 PCCB >99% NPD <1% PVCB <1% 2024-10-08 2024-10-09 PCCB >99% NPD <1% PVCB <1% 2024-10-09 2024-10-10 PCCB >99% NPD <1% PVCB <1% 2024-10-10 2024-10-11 PCCB >99% NPD <1% PVCB <1% 2024-10-11 2024-10-12 PCCB >99% NPD <1% PVCB <1% 2024-10-12 2024-10-13 PCCB >99% NPD <1% PVCB <1% 2024-10-13 2024-10-14 PCCB >99% NPD <1% PVCB <1% 2024-10-14 2024-10-15 PCCB >99% NPD <1% PVCB <1% 2024-10-15 2024-10-16 PCCB >99% NPD <1% PVCB <1% 2024-10-16 2024-10-17 PCCB >99% NPD <1% PVCB <1% 2024-10-17 2024-10-18 PCCB >99% NPD <1% PVCB <1% 2024-10-18 2024-10-20 PCCB >99% NPD <1% PVCB <1% 2024-10-20 2024-11-10 PCCB >99% NPD <1% PVCB <1% 2024-11-10 2025-02-09 PCCB >99% NPD <1% PVCB <1% 2025-02-09 2025-06-18 PCCB >99% NPD <1% PVCB <1% 2025-06-18 2025-09-13 PCCB >99% NPD <1% PVCB <1% 2025-09-13 2025-10-21 PCCB >99% NPD <1% PVCB <1% 2025-10-21 2025-12-20 PCCB >99% NPD <1% PVCB <1% 2025-12-20 2026-02-05 PCCB >99% NPD <1% PVCB <1% 2026-02-05 2026-02-18 PCCB >99% NPD <1% PVCB <1% 2026-02-18 2024-03-26 PCCB >99% NPD <1% PVCB <1% 2024-03-26 2024-05-10 PCCB >99% NPD <1% PVCB <1% 2024-05-10 2024-05-18 PCCB >99% NPD <1% PVCB <1% 2024-05-18 2024-06-01 PCCB >99% NPD <1% PVCB <1% 2024-06-01 2024-06-26 PCCB >99% NPD <1% PVCB <1% 2024-06-26 2024-07-12 PCCB >99% NPD <1% PVCB <1% 2024-07-12 2024-08-01 PCCB 99% NPD 1% PVCB <1% 2024-08-01 2024-08-14 PCCB 99% NPD 1% PVCB <1% 2024-08-14 2024-09-03 PCCB 94% NPD 6% PVCB <1% 2024-09-03 2024-09-20 PCCB 90% NPD 10% PVCB <1% 2024-09-20 2024-09-21 PCCB 92% NPD 8% PVCB <1% 2024-09-21 2024-09-23 PCCB 85% NPD 15% PVCB <1% 2024-09-23 2024-09-25 PCCB 84% NPD 16% PVCB <1% 2024-09-25 2024-09-26 PCCB 81% NPD 19% PVCB <1% 2024-09-26 2024-09-27 PCCB 81% NPD 19% PVCB <1% 2024-09-27