Colombie-britannique

Historique récent | Abbotsford West


2017 2020 2024 Projection PCCB 52% ± 8% 0,0% 8,8% 58,4% NPD 36% ± 7% 31,5% 37,2% 36,9% ONE 7% ± 5% 0,0% 0,0% 0,0% PVCB 3% ± 3% 10,8% 8,5% 0,0% BCU 0% ± 0% 54,6% 45,0% 0,0%

Infolettre Qc125

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Drapeau de la Colombie-Britannique

Projection Qc125 Abbotsford West

Mise à jour : 18 février 2026

Abbotsford West 44% 60% 52% ± 8% PCCB 28% 43% 36% ± 7% NPD 2% 12% 7% ± 5% ONE PCCB 2024 58,4% Projection du vote | 18 février 2026
Note méthodologique. Cette projection est calculée à l'aide d'un modèle principalement proportionnel, ajusté à l'aide de sondages provinciaux et régionaux réalisés par des sondeurs professionnels. Il ne s'agit pas d'un sondage, mais d'une projection basée sur des sondages. Pour en savoir plus sur la méthodologie de Qc125, cliquez ici.
50% 100% Abbotsford West >99%▲ PCCB <1%▼ NPD <1% ONEProbabilités de victoire | 18 février 2026
Note méthodologique. Ces chances de victoire sont celles si une élection générale avait lieu aujourd'hui. Elles sont calculées par le modèle avec des simulations de type Monte Carlo..


Projection du vote | Abbotsford West

BCU 0% ± 0% PCCB 52% ± 8% NPD 36% ± 7% PVCB 3% ± 3% ONE 7% ± 5% CEN 2% ± 2% Projection du vote % | Abbotsford West 70 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-05-01 2025-09-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-05-01 2026-09-01 Élection 2024 BCU PCCB NPD PVCB ONE CEN 18 février 2026 2024-03-26 PCCB 38% NPD 32% BCU 22% PVCB 6% ONE 0% CEN 0% 2024-03-26 2024-05-10 PCCB 43% NPD 31% BCU 19% PVCB 5% ONE 0% CEN 0% 2024-05-10 2024-05-18 PCCB 49% NPD 30% BCU 15% PVCB 5% ONE 0% CEN 0% 2024-05-18 2024-06-01 PCCB 46% NPD 31% BCU 16% PVCB 5% ONE 0% CEN 0% 2024-06-01 2024-06-26 PCCB 47% NPD 32% BCU 14% PVCB 5% ONE 0% CEN 0% 2024-06-26 2024-07-12 PCCB 49% NPD 31% BCU 13% PVCB 5% ONE 0% CEN 0% 2024-07-12 2024-08-01 PCCB 53% NPD 29% BCU 11% PVCB 5% ONE 0% CEN 0% 2024-08-01 2024-08-14 PCCB 54% NPD 30% BCU 11% PVCB 5% ONE 0% CEN 0% 2024-08-14 2024-09-03 PCCB 60% NPD 34% PVCB 5% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-03 2024-09-20 PCCB 61% NPD 35% PVCB 5% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-20 2024-09-21 PCCB 61% NPD 35% PVCB 5% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-21 2024-09-23 PCCB 61% NPD 35% PVCB 5% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-23 2024-09-25 PCCB 61% NPD 35% PVCB 5% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-25 2024-09-26 PCCB 62% NPD 34% PVCB 4% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-26 2024-09-27 PCCB 62% NPD 34% PVCB 4% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-27 2024-09-28 PCCB 62% NPD 34% PVCB 4% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-28 2024-09-29 PCCB 65% NPD 35% ONE 0% CEN 0% PVCB 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-29 2024-09-30 PCCB 65% NPD 35% ONE 0% CEN 0% PVCB 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-30 2024-10-01 PCCB 65% NPD 35% ONE 0% CEN 0% PVCB 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-01 2024-10-02 PCCB 65% NPD 35% ONE 0% CEN 0% PVCB 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-02 2024-10-03 PCCB 65% NPD 35% ONE 0% CEN 0% PVCB 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-03 2024-10-04 PCCB 65% NPD 35% ONE 0% CEN 0% PVCB 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-04 2024-10-05 PCCB 65% NPD 35% ONE 0% CEN 0% PVCB 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-05 2024-10-06 PCCB 64% NPD 36% ONE 0% CEN 0% PVCB 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-06 2024-10-07 PCCB 64% NPD 36% ONE 0% CEN 0% PVCB 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-07 2024-10-08 PCCB 64% NPD 36% ONE 0% CEN 0% PVCB 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-08 2024-10-09 PCCB 64% NPD 36% ONE 0% CEN 0% PVCB 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-09 2024-10-10 PCCB 64% NPD 36% ONE 0% CEN 0% PVCB 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-10 2024-10-11 PCCB 64% NPD 36% ONE 0% CEN 0% PVCB 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-11 2024-10-12 PCCB 64% NPD 36% ONE 0% CEN 0% PVCB 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-12 2024-10-13 PCCB 64% NPD 36% ONE 0% CEN 0% PVCB 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-13 2024-10-14 PCCB 59% NPD 41% ONE 0% CEN 0% PVCB 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-14 2024-10-15 PCCB 59% NPD 41% ONE 0% CEN 0% PVCB 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-15 2024-10-16 PCCB 59% NPD 41% ONE 0% CEN 0% PVCB 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-16 2024-10-17 PCCB 59% NPD 41% ONE 0% CEN 0% PVCB 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-17 2024-10-18 PCCB 59% NPD 41% ONE 0% CEN 0% PVCB 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-18 2024-10-20 PCCB 59% NPD 36% ONE 0% CEN 0% PVCB 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-20 2024-11-10 PCCB 58% NPD 37% ONE 0% CEN 0% PVCB 0% BCU 0% 2024-11-10 2025-02-09 PCCB 58% NPD 37% ONE 0% CEN 0% PVCB 0% BCU 0% 2025-02-09 2025-06-18 PCCB 58% NPD 37% ONE 5% CEN 0% PVCB 0% BCU 0% 2025-06-18 2025-09-13 PCCB 59% NPD 36% ONE 5% CEN 0% PVCB 0% BCU 0% 2025-09-13 2025-10-21 PCCB 56% NPD 37% ONE 5% CEN 0% PVCB 0% BCU 0% 2025-10-21 2025-12-20 PCCB 56% NPD 37% ONE 5% PVCB 1% CEN 0% BCU 0% 2025-12-20 2026-02-05 PCCB 54% NPD 36% ONE 7% CEN 2% PVCB 1% BCU 0% 2026-02-05 2026-02-18 PCCB 52% NPD 36% ONE 7% PVCB 3% CEN 2% BCU 0% 2026-02-18

Probabilités de victoire | Abbotsford West

BCU <1% PCCB >99% NPD <1% PVCB <1% Probabilité de victoire 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-05-01 2025-09-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-05-01 2026-09-01 Élection 2024 PCCB NPD PVCB 18 février 2026 2024-03-26 NPD 10% PVCB <1% PCCB <1% 2024-03-26 2024-05-10 NPD 40% PVCB <1% PCCB <1% 2024-05-10 2024-05-18 NPD 35% PVCB <1% PCCB <1% 2024-05-18 2024-06-01 NPD 12% PVCB <1% PCCB <1% 2024-06-01 2024-06-26 NPD 14% PVCB <1% PCCB <1% 2024-06-26 2024-07-12 NPD 11% PVCB <1% PCCB <1% 2024-07-12 2024-08-01 NPD 11% PVCB <1% PCCB <1% 2024-08-01 2024-08-14 NPD 13% PVCB <1% PCCB <1% 2024-08-14 2024-09-03 NPD 40% PCCB <1% PVCB <1% 2024-09-03 2024-09-20 NPD 84% PCCB 8% PVCB <1% 2024-09-20 2024-09-21 NPD 75% PCCB 24% PVCB <1% 2024-09-21 2024-09-23 NPD 53% PCCB 47% PVCB <1% 2024-09-23 2024-09-25 NPD 54% PCCB 46% PVCB <1% 2024-09-25 2024-09-26 NPD 52% PCCB 48% PVCB <1% 2024-09-26 2024-09-27 NPD 58% PCCB 42% PVCB <1% 2024-09-27 2024-09-28 PCCB 78% NPD 22% PVCB <1% 2024-09-28 2024-09-29 PCCB 95% NPD 5% PVCB <1% 2024-09-29 2024-09-30 PCCB 99% NPD 1% PVCB <1% 2024-09-30 2024-10-01 PCCB 98% NPD 2% PVCB <1% 2024-10-01 2024-10-02 PCCB 98% NPD 2% PVCB <1% 2024-10-02 2024-10-03 PCCB >99% NPD <1% PVCB <1% 2024-10-03 2024-10-04 PCCB >99% NPD <1% PVCB <1% 2024-10-04 2024-10-05 PCCB >99% NPD <1% PVCB <1% 2024-10-05 2024-10-06 PCCB >99% NPD <1% PVCB <1% 2024-10-06 2024-10-07 PCCB >99% PVCB <1% NPD <1% 2024-10-07 2024-10-08 PCCB >99% PVCB <1% NPD <1% 2024-10-08 2024-10-09 PCCB >99% NPD <1% PVCB <1% 2024-10-09 2024-10-10 PCCB >99% PVCB <1% NPD <1% 2024-10-10 2024-10-11 PCCB >99% NPD <1% PVCB <1% 2024-10-11 2024-10-12 PCCB >99% PVCB <1% NPD <1% 2024-10-12 2024-10-13 PCCB >99% PVCB <1% NPD <1% 2024-10-13 2024-10-14 PCCB >99% PVCB <1% NPD <1% 2024-10-14 2024-10-15 PCCB >99% PVCB <1% NPD <1% 2024-10-15 2024-10-16 PCCB >99% PVCB <1% NPD <1% 2024-10-16 2024-10-17 PCCB >99% PVCB <1% NPD <1% 2024-10-17 2024-10-18 PCCB >99% PVCB <1% NPD <1% 2024-10-18 2024-10-20 PCCB >99% PVCB <1% NPD <1% 2024-10-20 2024-11-10 PCCB >99% PVCB <1% NPD <1% 2024-11-10 2025-02-09 PCCB >99% PVCB <1% NPD <1% 2025-02-09 2025-06-18 PCCB >99% PVCB <1% NPD <1% 2025-06-18 2025-09-13 PCCB >99% PVCB <1% NPD <1% 2025-09-13 2025-10-21 PCCB >99% NPD <1% PVCB <1% 2025-10-21 2025-12-20 PCCB >99% PVCB <1% NPD <1% 2025-12-20 2026-02-05 PCCB >99% NPD <1% PVCB <1% 2026-02-05 2026-02-18 PCCB >99% PVCB <1% NPD <1% 2026-02-18 2024-03-26 PCCB >99% NPD <1% PVCB <1% 2024-03-26 2024-05-10 PCCB >99% NPD <1% PVCB <1% 2024-05-10 2024-05-18 PCCB >99% NPD <1% PVCB <1% 2024-05-18 2024-06-01 PCCB >99% NPD <1% PVCB <1% 2024-06-01 2024-06-26 PCCB >99% NPD <1% PVCB <1% 2024-06-26 2024-07-12 PCCB >99% NPD <1% PVCB <1% 2024-07-12 2024-08-01 PCCB >99% PVCB <1% NPD <1% 2024-08-01 2024-08-14 PCCB >99% PVCB <1% NPD <1% 2024-08-14 2024-09-03 PCCB >99% NPD <1% PVCB <1% 2024-09-03 2024-09-20 PCCB >99% NPD <1% PVCB <1% 2024-09-20 2024-09-21 PCCB >99% NPD <1% PVCB <1% 2024-09-21 2024-09-23 PCCB 99% NPD 1% PVCB <1% 2024-09-23 2024-09-25 PCCB 99% NPD 1% PVCB <1% 2024-09-25 2024-09-26 PCCB 99% NPD 1% PVCB <1% 2024-09-26 2024-09-27 PCCB >99% NPD <1% PVCB <1% 2024-09-27