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Colombie-britannique
Drapeau de la Colombie-Britannique

Abbotsford South

Mise à jour : 18 février 2026
C
Député(e) : Bruce Banman
Parti conservateur de la C-B
PCCB solide
Projection — Abbotsford South → Projection régionale — Grand Vancouver-Vallée Fraser → Circonscriptions provinciales de la Colombie-Britannique → Carte de la projection de la Colombie-Britannique → Sondages de la Colombie-Britannique → Page d’accueil de la Colombie-Britannique → Simulateur de la Colombie-Britannique → Roulette de comté ! →

Historique récent | Abbotsford South


2017 2020 2024 Projection PCCB 55% ± 8% 0,0% 2,4% 61,6% NPD 34% ± 7% 26,2% 34,2% 35,2% ONE 6% ± 6% 0,0% 0,0% 0,0% PVCB 3% ± 3% 14,0% 11,1% 0,0% BCU 0% ± 0% 55,4% 45,1% 0,0%

Infolettre Qc125

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Drapeau de la Colombie-Britannique

Projection Qc125 Abbotsford South

Mise à jour : 18 février 2026

Abbotsford South 47% 63% 55% ± 8% ▼ PCCB 27% 41% 34% ± 7% ▼ NPD 0% 12% 6% ± 6% ▲ ONE PCCB 2024 61,6% Projection du vote | 18 février 2026
Note méthodologique. Cette projection est calculée à l'aide d'un modèle principalement proportionnel, ajusté à l'aide de sondages provinciaux et régionaux réalisés par des sondeurs professionnels. Il ne s'agit pas d'un sondage, mais d'une projection basée sur des sondages. Pour en savoir plus sur la méthodologie de Qc125, cliquez ici.
50% 100% Abbotsford South >99% PCCB <1% NPD <1% ONEProbabilités de victoire | 18 février 2026
Note méthodologique. Ces chances de victoire sont celles si une élection générale avait lieu aujourd'hui. Elles sont calculées par le modèle avec des simulations de type Monte Carlo..


Projection du vote | Abbotsford South

BCU 0% ± 0% PCCB 55% ± 8% NPD 34% ± 7% PVCB 3% ± 3% ONE 6% ± 6% CEN 2% ± 2% Projection du vote % | Abbotsford South 70 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-05-01 2025-09-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-05-01 2026-09-01 Élection 2024 BCU PCCB NPD PVCB ONE CEN 18 février 2026 2024-03-26 NPD 32% PCCB 29% BCU 25% PVCB 8% ONE 0% CEN 0% 2024-03-26 2024-05-10 PCCB 34% NPD 31% BCU 21% PVCB 7% ONE 0% CEN 0% 2024-05-10 2024-05-18 PCCB 40% NPD 30% BCU 17% PVCB 7% ONE 0% CEN 0% 2024-05-18 2024-06-01 PCCB 38% NPD 31% BCU 18% PVCB 8% ONE 0% CEN 0% 2024-06-01 2024-06-26 PCCB 38% NPD 32% BCU 16% PVCB 8% ONE 0% CEN 0% 2024-06-26 2024-07-12 PCCB 41% NPD 30% BCU 15% PVCB 8% ONE 0% CEN 0% 2024-07-12 2024-08-01 PCCB 44% NPD 30% BCU 13% PVCB 8% ONE 0% CEN 0% 2024-08-01 2024-08-14 PCCB 45% NPD 30% BCU 13% PVCB 8% ONE 0% CEN 0% 2024-08-14 2024-09-03 PCCB 55% NPD 32% PVCB 7% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-03 2024-09-20 PCCB 59% NPD 34% PVCB 8% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-20 2024-09-21 PCCB 59% NPD 34% PVCB 8% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-21 2024-09-23 PCCB 58% NPD 34% PVCB 8% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-23 2024-09-25 PCCB 59% NPD 34% PVCB 8% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-25 2024-09-26 PCCB 59% NPD 33% PVCB 7% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-26 2024-09-27 PCCB 60% NPD 33% PVCB 7% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-27 2024-09-28 PCCB 60% NPD 33% PVCB 7% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-28 2024-09-29 PCCB 65% NPD 35% ONE 0% CEN 0% PVCB 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-29 2024-09-30 PCCB 65% NPD 35% ONE 0% CEN 0% PVCB 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-30 2024-10-01 PCCB 65% NPD 35% ONE 0% CEN 0% PVCB 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-01 2024-10-02 PCCB 65% NPD 35% ONE 0% CEN 0% PVCB 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-02 2024-10-03 PCCB 65% NPD 35% ONE 0% CEN 0% PVCB 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-03 2024-10-04 PCCB 65% NPD 35% ONE 0% CEN 0% PVCB 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-04 2024-10-05 PCCB 65% NPD 35% ONE 0% CEN 0% PVCB 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-05 2024-10-06 PCCB 64% NPD 36% ONE 0% CEN 0% PVCB 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-06 2024-10-07 PCCB 64% NPD 36% ONE 0% CEN 0% PVCB 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-07 2024-10-08 PCCB 63% NPD 37% ONE 0% CEN 0% PVCB 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-08 2024-10-09 PCCB 64% NPD 36% ONE 0% CEN 0% PVCB 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-09 2024-10-10 PCCB 64% NPD 36% ONE 0% CEN 0% PVCB 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-10 2024-10-11 PCCB 64% NPD 36% ONE 0% CEN 0% PVCB 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-11 2024-10-12 PCCB 64% NPD 36% ONE 0% CEN 0% PVCB 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-12 2024-10-13 PCCB 64% NPD 36% ONE 0% CEN 0% PVCB 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-13 2024-10-14 PCCB 60% NPD 40% ONE 0% CEN 0% PVCB 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-14 2024-10-15 PCCB 60% NPD 40% ONE 0% CEN 0% PVCB 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-15 2024-10-16 PCCB 60% NPD 40% ONE 0% CEN 0% PVCB 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-16 2024-10-17 PCCB 60% NPD 40% ONE 0% CEN 0% PVCB 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-17 2024-10-18 PCCB 60% NPD 40% ONE 0% CEN 0% PVCB 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-18 2024-10-20 PCCB 62% NPD 35% ONE 0% CEN 0% PVCB 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-20 2024-11-10 PCCB 62% NPD 35% ONE 0% CEN 0% PVCB 0% BCU 0% 2024-11-10 2025-02-09 PCCB 62% NPD 35% ONE 0% CEN 0% PVCB 0% BCU 0% 2025-02-09 2025-06-18 PCCB 61% NPD 35% ONE 3% CEN 0% PVCB 0% BCU 0% 2025-06-18 2025-09-13 PCCB 62% NPD 35% ONE 3% CEN 0% PVCB 0% BCU 0% 2025-09-13 2025-10-21 PCCB 59% NPD 35% ONE 3% CEN 0% PVCB 0% BCU 0% 2025-10-21 2025-12-20 PCCB 59% NPD 35% ONE 3% PVCB 1% CEN 0% BCU 0% 2025-12-20 2026-02-05 PCCB 57% NPD 35% ONE 5% CEN 2% PVCB 1% BCU 0% 2026-02-05 2026-02-18 PCCB 55% NPD 34% ONE 6% PVCB 3% CEN 2% BCU 0% 2026-02-18

Probabilités de victoire | Abbotsford South

BCU <1% PCCB >99% NPD <1% PVCB <1% Probabilité de victoire 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-05-01 2025-09-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-05-01 2026-09-01 Élection 2024 PCCB NPD PVCB 18 février 2026 2024-03-26 NPD 9% PVCB <1% PCCB <1% 2024-03-26 2024-05-10 NPD 37% PVCB <1% PCCB <1% 2024-05-10 2024-05-18 NPD 31% PVCB <1% PCCB <1% 2024-05-18 2024-06-01 NPD 8% PVCB <1% PCCB <1% 2024-06-01 2024-06-26 NPD 12% PVCB <1% PCCB <1% 2024-06-26 2024-07-12 NPD 16% PVCB <1% PCCB <1% 2024-07-12 2024-08-01 NPD 18% PVCB <1% PCCB <1% 2024-08-01 2024-08-14 NPD 19% PVCB <1% PCCB <1% 2024-08-14 2024-09-03 NPD 50% PVCB <1% PCCB <1% 2024-09-03 2024-09-20 NPD 95% PCCB <1% PVCB <1% 2024-09-20 2024-09-21 NPD 98% PCCB <1% PVCB <1% 2024-09-21 2024-09-23 NPD 92% PCCB 5% PVCB <1% 2024-09-23 2024-09-25 NPD 92% PCCB 4% PVCB <1% 2024-09-25 2024-09-26 NPD 93% PCCB 4% PVCB <1% 2024-09-26 2024-09-27 NPD 96% PCCB 3% PVCB <1% 2024-09-27 2024-09-28 NPD 69% PCCB 27% PVCB <1% 2024-09-28 2024-09-29 PCCB 68% NPD 31% PVCB <1% 2024-09-29 2024-09-30 PCCB 94% NPD 6% PVCB <1% 2024-09-30 2024-10-01 PCCB 86% NPD 14% PVCB <1% 2024-10-01 2024-10-02 PCCB 87% NPD 13% PVCB <1% 2024-10-02 2024-10-03 PCCB 96% NPD 4% PVCB <1% 2024-10-03 2024-10-04 PCCB 99% NPD 1% PVCB <1% 2024-10-04 2024-10-05 PCCB 99% NPD 1% PVCB <1% 2024-10-05 2024-10-06 PCCB >99% NPD <1% PVCB <1% 2024-10-06 2024-10-07 PCCB >99% NPD <1% PVCB <1% 2024-10-07 2024-10-08 PCCB >99% NPD <1% PVCB <1% 2024-10-08 2024-10-09 PCCB >99% PVCB <1% NPD <1% 2024-10-09 2024-10-10 PCCB >99% NPD <1% PVCB <1% 2024-10-10 2024-10-11 PCCB >99% PVCB <1% NPD <1% 2024-10-11 2024-10-12 PCCB >99% NPD <1% PVCB <1% 2024-10-12 2024-10-13 PCCB >99% PVCB <1% NPD <1% 2024-10-13 2024-10-14 PCCB >99% PVCB <1% NPD <1% 2024-10-14 2024-10-15 PCCB >99% PVCB <1% NPD <1% 2024-10-15 2024-10-16 PCCB >99% PVCB <1% NPD <1% 2024-10-16 2024-10-17 PCCB >99% PVCB <1% NPD <1% 2024-10-17 2024-10-18 PCCB >99% PVCB <1% NPD <1% 2024-10-18 2024-10-20 PCCB >99% PVCB <1% NPD <1% 2024-10-20 2024-11-10 PCCB >99% PVCB <1% NPD <1% 2024-11-10 2025-02-09 PCCB >99% PVCB <1% NPD <1% 2025-02-09 2025-06-18 PCCB >99% PVCB <1% NPD <1% 2025-06-18 2025-09-13 PCCB >99% PVCB <1% NPD <1% 2025-09-13 2025-10-21 PCCB >99% NPD <1% PVCB <1% 2025-10-21 2025-12-20 PCCB >99% PVCB <1% NPD <1% 2025-12-20 2026-02-05 PCCB >99% NPD <1% PVCB <1% 2026-02-05 2026-02-18 PCCB >99% PVCB <1% NPD <1% 2026-02-18 2024-03-26 PCCB >99% PVCB <1% NPD <1% 2024-03-26 2024-05-10 PCCB >99% NPD <1% PVCB <1% 2024-05-10 2024-05-18 PCCB >99% NPD <1% PVCB <1% 2024-05-18 2024-06-01 PCCB >99% NPD <1% PVCB <1% 2024-06-01 2024-06-26 PCCB >99% NPD <1% PVCB <1% 2024-06-26 2024-07-12 PCCB >99% NPD <1% PVCB <1% 2024-07-12 2024-08-01 PCCB >99% PVCB <1% NPD <1% 2024-08-01 2024-08-14 PCCB >99% PVCB <1% NPD <1% 2024-08-14 2024-09-03 PCCB >99% PVCB <1% NPD <1% 2024-09-03 2024-09-20 PCCB >99% NPD <1% PVCB <1% 2024-09-20 2024-09-21 PCCB >99% NPD <1% PVCB <1% 2024-09-21 2024-09-23 PCCB >99% NPD <1% PVCB <1% 2024-09-23 2024-09-25 PCCB >99% NPD <1% PVCB <1% 2024-09-25 2024-09-26 PCCB >99% NPD <1% PVCB <1% 2024-09-26 2024-09-27 PCCB >99% NPD <1% PVCB <1% 2024-09-27