USA - Sondages, analyses et projections électorales



Bienvenue sur Qc125 - USA!


Le projet Qc125.com est un modèle statistique de projection électorale basé sur les tendances électorales, l'évolution démographique et les sondages politiques. Ce site web est une initiative de Philippe J. Fournier, professeur de physique et d'astronomie au Cégep de Saint-Laurent à Montréal.

P.J. Fournier est collaborateur politique aux magazines L'actualité et Maclean's, ainsi qu'analyste politique pour CTV Montréal et CJAD 800.

Vous pouvez vous abonner à la page Facebook de Qc125 ainsi qu'au compte Twitter de Qc125. Bonne lecture!







Projection Qc125 de l'élection présidentielle américaine 2020


Dernière mise à jour: 24 octobre 2020

Biden Trump
52.2% ± 5.5% 42.3% ± 5.4%




Décompte par État


Dernière mise à jour: 24 octobre 2020

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Glissez ou cliquez sur un état
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Changements depuis la dernière mise à jour:
◆ Changement de parti / ▲ Plus sécure / ▼ Plus serré

Dem solide: 191 Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element.
Dem probable: 42 Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element.
Dem enclin: 46 Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element.
Dem pivots: 61 Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element.
Rep pivot: 72 Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element.
Rep enclin: 25 Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element.
Rep probable: 58 Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element.
Rep solide: 43 Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element.

Dem solide: 191
Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element.
Dem probable: 42
Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element.
Dem enclin: 46
Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element.
Dem pivots: 61
Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element.
Rep pivot: 72
Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element.
Rep enclin: 25
Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element.
Rep probable: 58
Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element.
Rep solide: 43
Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element.




Point de bascule








Projection du vainqueur


Dernière mise à jour: 24 octobre 2020

Biden Trump
83.1% 15.9%







Projection du collège électoral


Dernière mise à jour: 24 octobre 2020

Biden Trump
347 ± 134 191 ± 134






Carte complète