USA - Sondages, analyses et projections électorales



Bienvenue sur Qc125 - USA!


Le projet Qc125.com est un modèle statistique de projection électorale basé sur les tendances électorales, l'évolution démographique et les sondages politiques. Ce site web est une initiative de Philippe J. Fournier, professeur de physique et d'astronomie au Cégep de Saint-Laurent à Montréal.

P.J. Fournier est collaborateur politique aux magazines L'actualité et Maclean's, ainsi qu'analyste politique pour CTV Montréal et CJAD 800.

Vous pouvez vous abonner à la page Facebook de Qc125 ainsi qu'au compte Twitter de Qc125. Bonne lecture!







Projection Qc125 de l'élection présidentielle américaine 2020


Dernière mise à jour: 3 novembre 2020

Biden Trump
52.0% ± 5.4% 43.4% ± 5.4%




Décompte par État


Dernière mise à jour: 3 novembre 2020

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Glissez ou cliquez sur un état
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Dem solide: 182 Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element.
Dem probable: 45 Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element.
Dem enclin: 52 Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element.
Dem pivots: 71 Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element.
Rep pivot: 62 Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element.
Rep enclin: 25 Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element.
Rep probable: 48 Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element.
Rep solide: 53 Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element.

Dem solide: 182
Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element.
Dem probable: 45
Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element.
Dem enclin: 52
Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element.
Dem pivots: 71
Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element.
Rep pivot: 62
Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element.
Rep enclin: 25
Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element.
Rep probable: 48
Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element.
Rep solide: 53
Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element.




Point de bascule


Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element. Your browser does not support the canvas element.







Projection du vainqueur


Dernière mise à jour: 3 novembre 2020

Biden Trump
80.5% 18.9%







Projection du collège électoral


Dernière mise à jour: 3 novembre 2020

Biden Trump
340 ± 135 198 ± 135






Carte complète